RESUMO
During October 2016-March 2022, Uganda increased tuberculosis (TB) preventive therapy coverage among persons living with HIV from 0.6% to 88.8%. TB notification rates increased from 881.1 to 972.5 per 100,000 persons living with HIV. Timely TB screening, diagnosis, and earlier treatment should remain high priorities for TB/HIV prevention programming.
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Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Infecções por HIV , Tuberculose , Humanos , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Uganda , Programas de Rastreamento , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controleRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Maternal mortality is still a challenge in Uganda, at 336 deaths per 100,000 live births, especially in rural hard to reach communities. Distance to a health facility influences maternal deaths. We explored women's mobility for maternal health, distances travelled for antenatal care (ANC) and childbirth among hard-to-reach Lake Victoria islands fishing communities (FCs) of Kalangala district, Uganda. METHODS: A cross sectional survey among 450 consenting women aged 15-49 years, with a prior childbirth was conducted in 6 islands FCs, during January-May 2018. Data was collected on socio-demographics, ANC, birth attendance, and distances travelled from residence to ANC or childbirth during the most recent childbirth. Regression modeling was used to determine factors associated with over 5 km travel distance and mobility for childbirth. RESULTS: The majority of women were residing in communities with a government (public) health facility [84.2 %, (379/450)]. Most ANC was at facilities within 5 km distance [72 %, (157/218)], while most women had travelled outside their communities for childbirth [58.9 %, (265/450)]. The longest distance travelled was 257.5 km for ANC and 426 km for childbirth attendance. Travel of over 5 km for childbirth was associated with adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) [AOR = 1.9, 95 % CI (1.1-3.6)], up to five years residency duration [AOR = 1.8, 95 % CI (1.0-3.3)], and absence of a public health facility in the community [AOR = 6.1, 95 % CI (1.4-27.1)]. Women who had stayed in the communities for up to 5 years [AOR = 3.0, 95 % CI (1.3-6.7)], those whose partners had completed at least eight years of formal education [AOR = 2.2, 95 % CI (1.0-4.7)], and those with up to one lifetime birth [AOR = 6.0, 95 % CI (2.0-18.1)] were likely to have moved to away from their communities for childbirth. CONCLUSIONS: Despite most women who attended ANC doing so within their communities, we observed that majority chose to give birth outside their communities. Longer travel distances were more likely among AGYW, among shorter term community residents and where public health facilities were absent. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PACTR201903906459874 (Retrospectively registered). https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=5977 .
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Lagos , Saúde Materna , Adolescente , Estudos Transversais , Parto Obstétrico , Feminino , Instalações de Saúde , Humanos , Gravidez , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Uganda/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: To reduce the under-five mortality (U5M), fine-gained spatial assessment of the effects of health interventions is critical because national averages can obscure important sub-national disparities. In turn, sub-national estimates can guide control programmes for spatial targeting. The purpose of our study is to quantify associations of interventions with U5M rate at national and sub-national scales in Uganda and to identify interventions associated with the largest reductions in U5M rate at the sub-national scale. METHODS: Spatially explicit data on U5M, interventions and sociodemographic indicators were obtained from the 2011 Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). Climatic data were extracted from remote sensing sources. Bayesian geostatistical Weibull proportional hazards models with spatially varying effects at sub-national scales were utilized to quantify associations between all-cause U5M and interventions at national and regional levels. Bayesian variable selection was employed to select the most important determinants of U5M. RESULTS: At the national level, interventions associated with the highest reduction in U5M were artemisinin-based combination therapy (hazard rate ratio (HRR) = 0.60; 95% Bayesian credible interval (BCI): 0.11, 0.79), initiation of breastfeeding within 1 h of birth (HR = 0.70; 95% BCI: 0.51, 0.86), intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp) (HRR = 0.74; 95% BCI: 0.67, 0.97) and access to insecticide-treated nets (ITN) (HRR = 0.75; 95% BCI: 0.63, 0.84). In Central 2, Mid-Western and South-West, largest reduction in U5M was associated with access to ITNs. In Mid-North and West-Nile, improved source of drinking water explained most of the U5M reduction. In North-East, improved sanitation facilities were associated with the highest decline in U5M. In Kampala and Mid-Eastern, IPTp had the largest associated with U5M. In Central1 and East-Central, oral rehydration solution and postnatal care were associated with highest decreases in U5M respectively. CONCLUSION: Sub-national estimates of the associations between U5M and interventions can guide control programmes for spatial targeting and accelerate progress towards mortality-related Sustainable Development Goals.
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Serviços de Saúde da Criança/organização & administração , Mortalidade da Criança/tendências , Proteção da Criança/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Inseticidas/uso terapêutico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , UgandaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Electronic reporting of routine health facility data in Uganda began with the adoption of the District Health Information Software System version 2 (DHIS2) in 2011. This has improved health facility reporting and overall data quality. In this study, the effects of case management with artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) and vector control interventions on space-time patterns of disease incidence were determined using DHIS2 data reported during 2013-2016. METHODS: Bayesian spatio-temporal negative binomial models were fitted on district-aggregated monthly malaria cases, reported by two age groups, defined by a cut-off age of 5 years. The effects of interventions were adjusted for socio-economic and climatic factors. Spatial and temporal correlations were taken into account by assuming a conditional autoregressive and a first-order autoregressive AR(1) process on district and monthly specific random effects, respectively. Fourier trigonometric functions were incorporated in the models to take into account seasonal fluctuations in malaria transmission. RESULTS: The temporal variation in incidence was similar in both age groups and depicted a steady decline up to February 2014, followed by an increase from March 2015 onwards. The trends were characterized by a strong bi-annual seasonal pattern with two peaks during May-July and September-December. Average monthly incidence in children < 5 years declined from 74.7 cases (95% CI 72.4-77.1) in 2013 to 49.4 (95% CI 42.9-55.8) per 1000 in 2015 and followed by an increase in 2016 of up to 51.3 (95% CI 42.9-55.8). In individuals ≥ 5 years, a decline in incidence from 2013 to 2015 was followed by an increase in 2016. A 100% increase in insecticide-treated nets (ITN) coverage was associated with a decline in incidence by 44% (95% BCI 28-59%). Similarly, a 100% increase in ACT coverage reduces incidence by 28% (95% BCI 11-45%) and 25% (95% BCI 20-28%) in children < 5 years and individuals ≥ 5 years, respectively. The ITN effect was not statistically important in older individuals. The space-time patterns of malaria incidence in children < 5 are similar to those of parasitaemia risk predicted from the malaria indicator survey of 2014-15. CONCLUSION: The decline in malaria incidence highlights the effectiveness of vector-control interventions and case management with ACT in Uganda. This calls for optimizing and sustaining interventions to achieve universal coverage and curb reverses in malaria decline.
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Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Artemisininas/uso terapêutico , Administração de Caso , Malária/epidemiologia , Controle de Mosquitos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Teorema de Bayes , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Combinação de Medicamentos , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Plasmodium/efeitos dos fármacos , Análise Espaço-Temporal , Uganda/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: High retention (follow-up) rates improve the validity and statistical power of outcomes in longitudinal studies and the effectiveness of programs with prolonged administration of interventions. We assessed participant retention in a potential HIV vaccine trials population of fishing communities along Lake Victoria, Uganda. METHODS: In a community-based individual randomized trial, 662 participants aged 15-49 years were randomized to either mobile phone or physical contact tracing reminders and followed up at months 1, 2, 3, 6, 12 and 18 post-enrolment. The visit schedules aimed at mimicking a vaccine efficacy trial representing an early interval (months 1-6) where most vaccinations would be administered and a later period of post-vaccination follow-up. The primary outcome was retention measured as the proportion of post-baseline follow up visits completed by a participant. Retention was estimated in early and later follow-up intervals, and overall for all the six follow-up visits. Adjusted differences in retention between the study arms were determined by multivariable logistic regression using Stata® 14. One participant was later dropped from the analysis because of age ineligibility discovered after enrolment. RESULTS: Of the expected total follow up visits of 3966 among 661 participants, 84.1% (3334) were attained; 82.1% (1626/1980) in the phone arm and 86% (1708/1986) in the physical tracing arm (p = 0.001). No statistically significant differences in retention were observed between the study arms in the first 6 months but thereafter, retention was significantly higher for physical contact reminders than mobile phones; 91.5% versus 82.1% (p < 0.0001) at month 12 and 82.8% versus 75.4%, (p = 0.021) at month 18. Controlling for sex, age, education, occupation, community location, length of stay and marital status, the odds of good retention (completing 5 out of 6 follow-up visits) were 1.56 (95% CI;1.08-2.26, p = 0.018) for physical contact tracing compared to mobile phone tracing. Other statistically significant predictors of good retention were residing on islands and having stayed in the fishing communities for 5 or more years. CONCLUSIONS: Among fishing communities of Lake Victoria, Uganda, 84% of follow-up visits can be attained and participant retention is higher using physical contact reminders than mobile phones. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: PACTR201311000696101 ( http://www.pactr.org/ ). retrospectively registered on 05 November, 2013.
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Vacinas contra a AIDS/uso terapêutico , Telefone Celular , Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Programas de Imunização , Participação do Paciente , Sistemas de Alerta , Adolescente , Adulto , Assistência Ambulatorial/estatística & dados numéricos , Busca de Comunicante/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/métodos , Programas de Imunização/organização & administração , Lagos , Perda de Seguimento , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ocupações , Participação do Paciente/métodos , Participação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Exame Físico/métodos , Exame Físico/estatística & dados numéricos , Vigilância da População/métodos , Sistemas de Alerta/normas , Estudos Retrospectivos , Telemedicina/métodos , Telemedicina/organização & administração , Uganda/epidemiologia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: An effective HIV vaccine is still elusive. Of the 9 HIV preventive vaccine efficacy trials conducted to-date, only one reported positive results of modest efficacy. More efficacy trials need to be conducted before one or more vaccines are eventually licensed. We assessed the suitability of fishing communities in Uganda for future HIV vaccine efficacy trials. METHODS: A community-based cohort study was conducted among a random sample of 2191 participants aged 18-49 years. Data were collected on socio-demographic characteristics, HIV risky behaviors, and willingness to participate in future HIV vaccine trials (WTP). Venous blood was collected for HIV serological testing. Retention/follow rates and HIV incidence rates per 100 person years at-risk (pyar) were estimated. Adjusted prevalence proportion ratios (PPRs) of retention and odds ratios (ORs) of lack of WTP were estimated using log-binomial and logistic regression models respectively. RESULTS: Overall retention rate was 76.9% (1685/2191), highest (89%) among participants who had spent 5+ years in the community and lowest (54.1%) among those with <1 year stay. Significant predictors of retention included tribe/ethnicity, baseline HIV negative status, and longer than 1 year stay in the community. Overall WTP was 89.1% (1953/2191). Lack of WTP was significantly higher among women than men [adj.OR = 1.51 (95% CI, 1.14- 2.00)] and among participants who had stayed in fishing communities for 10 or more years relative to those with less than one year [adj.OR = 1.78 (95% CI, 1.11 - 2.88)]. Overall HIV incidence rate per 100 pyar was 3.39 (95% CI; 2.55 - 4.49). Participants aged 25-29 years had highest incidence rates (4.61 - 7.67/100 pyar) and high retention rates between 78.5 and 83.1%. In a combined analysis of retention and incidence rates participants aged 30+ years had retention rates ~80% but low incidence rates (2.45 - 3.57 per 100 pyar) while those aged 25-29 years had the highest incidence rates (4.61 - 7.67/100 pyar) and retention rates 78.5 - 83.1%. CONCLUSIONS: There is high HIV incidence, retention and WTP among fishing communities around L. Victoria, Uganda which make these communities appropriate for future HIV prevention efficacy studies including vaccine trials.
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Vacinas contra a AIDS/uso terapêutico , Pesqueiros , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Características de Residência , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Animais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Pacientes Desistentes do Tratamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Assunção de Riscos , Distribuição por Sexo , Resultado do Tratamento , Uganda/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In 2019, WHO recommended dolutegravir (DTG) as a backbone for first- and second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens for people living with HIV (PLHIV). According to the 2018 Uganda's HIV treatment guidelines, patients with viral non-suppression (≥1,000 copies/mL) should receive intensive adherence counseling (IAC) with repeat viral load (VL) within 6 months. This analysis focused on the prevalence and factors associated with viral suppression following IAC among PLHIV on DTG-based regimens (DBRs) with an initial episode of viral non-suppression (VNS) in Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis for PLHIV on DBRs with an initial episode of VNS (≥1,000 copies/mL) in Uganda during October 2019-September 2020 who had a follow up VL test result during September 2020-July 2021. Data were abstracted from the Central Public Health Laboratory (CPHL) database, including patient demographics and VL results. Viral non-suppression (VNS) was defined as a VL test result of ≥1,000 copies/mL. We characterized PLHIV on DBRs and used logistic regression models to determine factors associated with VL suppression after an initial episode of VNS. RESULTS: A total of 564 PLHIV on DBRs with an initial episode of VNS were followed up and 43 were excluded due to missing data. Of the 521, 220 (42.2%) were children (<15 years) and 231 (44.3%) were female. Median age was 28 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 12-43 years), and median duration on DBRs was 12 months (IQR: 6-15 months). Overall, 80.8% (421/521) PLHIV had a suppressed viral load at first follow up testing (children = 74.5% [164/220]; adults = 85.4% [257/301]). Children with initial VL results ≥5,000 copies/mL were less likely to achieve viral suppression at follow up testing compared to those with <5,000 copies/mL (AOR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.20-0.71; p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In a programmatic setting, most adults and children suppressed following an initial episode of VNS on DBRs. High rates of suppression after VNS suggest adherence challenges, rather than drug resistance. Continuation of DBRs should be considered before regimen switch.
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Infecções por HIV , Compostos Heterocíclicos com 3 Anéis , Oxazinas , Piperazinas , Piridonas , Carga Viral , Humanos , Compostos Heterocíclicos com 3 Anéis/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Uganda/epidemiologia , Masculino , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Adulto , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Piperazinas/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Inibidores de Integrase de HIV/uso terapêutico , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Criança , HIV-1/efeitos dos fármacosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To explore whether community health worker household-based maternal health visits improve antenatal care and skilled birth attendance among hard-to-reach fishing villages on Lake Victoria, Uganda. METHODS: This quasi-experimental 18-month prospective study involved 486 consenting women aged 15-49 years, who were pregnant or had a pregnancy outcome in the past 6 months, from 6 island fishing communities. The community health worker household-based intervention (community health workers' household visits to provide counseling, blood pressure measurement, anemia, and HIV testing) involved 243 women from three fishing communities. Random effects logistic regression was used to determine the association between the community health worker intervention and antenatal care and skilled birth attendance among women who had at least 5 months of pregnancy or childbirth at follow-up. RESULTS: Almost all women accepted the community health worker intervention (90.9% (221/243)). Hypertension was at 12.5% (27/216) among those who accepted blood pressure measurements, a third (33.3% (9/27)) were pregnant. HIV prevalence was 23.5% (52/221). Over a third (34.2% (69/202)) of women tested had anemia (hemoglobin levels less than 11 g/dL). The community health worker intervention was associated with attendance of first antenatal care visit within 20 weeks of pregnancy (adjusted odd ratio = 2.1 (95% confidence interval 0.6-7.6)), attendance of at least four antenatal care visits (adjusted odd ratio = 0.9 (95% confidence interval 0.4-2.0)), and skilled birth attendance (adjusted odd ratio = 0.5 (95% confidence interval 0.1-1.5)), though not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Community health workers have a crucial role in improving early antenatal care attendance, early community-based diagnosis of anemia, hypertensive disorders, and HIV among women in these hard-to-reach fishing communities.
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Infecções por HIV , Hipertensão , Serviços de Saúde Materna , Agentes Comunitários de Saúde , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , Caça , Gravidez , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Estudos Prospectivos , Uganda/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Information on the causes of death among under-five children is key in designing and implementation of appropriate interventions. In Uganda, civil death registration is incomplete which limits the estimation of disease-related mortality burden especially at a local scale. In the absence of routine cause-specific data, we used household surveys to quantify the effects and contribution of main childhood diseases such as malaria, severe or moderate anaemia, severe or moderate malnutrition, diarrhoea and acute respiratory infections (ARIs) on all-cause under-five mortality (U5M) at national and sub-national levels. We related all-cause U5M with risks of childhood diseases after adjusting for geographical disparities in coverages of health interventions, socio-economic, environmental factors and disease co-endemicities. METHODS: Data on U5M, disease prevalence, socio-economic and intervention coverage indicators were obtained from the 2011 Demographic and Health Survey, while data on malaria prevalence were extracted from the 2009 Malaria Indicator Survey. Bayesian geostatistical Weibull proportional hazards models with spatially varying disease effects at sub-national scales were fitted to quantify the associations between childhood diseases and the U5M. Spatial correlation between clusters was incorporated via locational random effects while region-specific random effects with conditional autoregressive prior distributions modeled the geographical variation in the effects of childhood diseases. The models addressed geographical misalignment in the locations of the two surveys. The contribution of childhood diseases to under-five mortality was estimated using population attributable fractions. RESULTS: The overall U5M rate was 90 deaths per 1000 live births. Large regional variations in U5M rates were observed, lowest in Kampala at 56 and highest in the North-East at 152 per 1000 live births. National malaria parasitemia prevalence was 42%, with Kampala experiencing the lowest of 5% and the Mid-North the highest of 62%. About 27% of Ugandan children aged 6-59â¯months were severely or moderately anaemic; lowest in South-West (8%) and highest in East-Central (46%). Overall, 17% of children were either severely or moderately malnourished. The percentage of moderately/severely malnourished children varied by region with Kampala having the lowest (8%) and North-East the highest (45%). Nearly a quarter of the children under-five years were reported to have diarrhoea at national level, and this proportion was highest in East-Central (32%) and Mid-Eastern (33%) and lowest in South-West (14%). Overall, ARIs in the two weeks before the survey was 15%; highest in Mid-North (22%) and lowest in Central 1 (9%). At national level, the U5M was associated with prevalence of malaria (hazard ratio (HR)â¯=â¯1.74; 95% BCI: 1.42, 2.16), severe or moderate anaemia (HR =1.37; 95% BCI: 1.20, 1.75), severe or moderate malnutrition (HRâ¯=â¯1.49; 95% BCI: 1.25, 1.66) and diarrhoea (HRâ¯=â¯1.61; 95% BCI: 1.31, 2.05). The relationship between malaria and U5M was important in the regions of Central 2, East-Central, Mid-North, North-East and West-Nile. Diarrhoea was associated with under-five deaths in Central 2, East-central, Mid-Eastern and Mid-Western. Moderate/severe malnutrition was associated with U5M in East-Central, Mid-Eastern and North-East. Moderate/severe anaemia was associated with deaths in Central 1, Kampala, Mid-North, Mid-Western, North-East, South-West and West-Nile.At the national level, 97% (PAFâ¯=â¯96.9; 95%BCI: 94.4, 98.0), 91% (PAFâ¯=â¯90.9; 95%BCI: 84.4, 95.3), 89% (PAFâ¯=â¯89.3; 95%BCI: 76.0,93.8) and 93% (PAFâ¯=â¯93.3 95%BCI: 87.7,96.0) of the deaths among children less than five years in Uganda were attributable to malaria, severe/moderate anaemia, severe/moderate malnutrition and diarrhoea respectively. The attribution of malaria was comparable in Central 2, East-Central, Mid-North, North-East and West-Nile while severe/moderate anaemia was more common in all regions except Central 2, East-Central and Mid-Eastern. The attribution of diarrhoea in Central 2, East-Central, Mid-Eastern and Mid-Western was similar. The attribution of severe/moderate malnutrition was common in East-Central, Mid-Eastern and North-East. CONCLUSION: In Uganda, the contribution and effects of childhood diseases on U5M vary by region. Majority of the under-five deaths are due to malaria, followed by diarrhoea, severe/moderate anaemia and severe/moderate malnutrition. Thus, strengthening disease-specific interventions especially in the affected regions may be an important strategy to accelerate progress towards the reduction of the U5M as per the SDG target by 2030. In particular, Indoor Residual Spraying, iron supplementation, deworming, exclusive breastfeeding, investment in nutrition and education in nutrition practices, oral rehydration therapy or recommended home fluid, improved sanitation facilities should be improved.
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Uganda is among the most HIV/AIDS-afflicted countries, and many HIV-infected persons live in remote areas with poor access to health care. The success of HIV care programs relies in part on patient monitoring using CD4 T cell counts. We conducted an evaluation of the point-of-care PIMA test using BD FACSCount as a gold standard. One hundred fifty-one participants were enrolled, provided venous blood and samples tested at the point of care with the Alere PIMA™ CD4 Analyzer and the BD FACSCount in the UVRI-IAVI main laboratory. Correlation between the methods was assessed, as was the ability of the Pima Analyzer to predict values <200, <350, and ≥500 CD4 cells/mm3 when compared with BD FACSCount as the gold standard. A near-perfect positive Pearson correlation coefficient (r = 0.948; p < .0001) between the two methods was observed. The Alere PIMA Analyzer had a mean bias of -32.5 cells/mm3. The sensitivity and specificity, for PIMA to predict CD4 lymphocyte count less than 200 cells/mm3, were 71.4% and 100%, respectively; less than 350 cells/mm3 were 84.6% and 94.6%, respectively; and at CD4 count less than 500 cells/mm3 were 94.4% and 100%. The Alere Pima Analyzer provides reliable CD4 cell count measurement and is suitable for monitoring and screening eligible HIV patients in hard-to-reach settings.
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Contagem de Linfócito CD4/métodos , Aconselhamento , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito/normas , Adulto , Contagem de Linfócito CD4/instrumentação , Contagem de Linfócito CD4/normas , Feminino , Citometria de Fluxo , Humanos , Lagos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/instrumentação , Unidades Móveis de Saúde , População Rural , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , UgandaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although malaria burden in Uganda has declined since 2009 following the scale-up of interventions, the disease is still the leading cause of hospitalization and death. Transmission remains high and is driven by suitable weather conditions. There is a real concern that intervention gains may be reversed by climatic changes in the country. In this study, we investigate the effects of climate on the spatio-temporal trends of malaria incidence in Uganda during 2013-2017. METHODS: Bayesian spatio-temporal negative binomial models were fitted on district-aggregated monthly malaria cases, reported by two age groups, defined by a cut-off age of 5â¯years. Weather data was obtained from remote sensing sources including rainfall, day land surface temperature (LSTD) and night land surface temperature (LSTN), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), altitude, land cover, and distance to water bodies. Spatial and temporal correlations were taken into account by assuming a conditional autoregressive and a first-order autoregressive process on district and monthly specific random effects, respectively. Fourier trigonometric functions modeled seasonal fluctuations in malaria transmission. The effects of climatic changes on the malaria incidence changes between 2013 and 2017 were estimated by modeling the difference in time varying climatic conditions at the two time points and adjusting for the effects of intervention coverage, socio-economic status and health seeking behavior. RESULTS: Malaria incidence declined steadily from 2013 to 2015 and then increased in 2016. The decrease was by over 38% and 20% in children <5â¯years and individuals ≥5â¯years, respectively. Temporal trends depict a strong bi-annual seasonal pattern with two peaks during April-June and October-December. The annual average of rainfall, LSTD and LSTN increased by 3.7â¯mm, 2.2⯰C and 1.0⯰C, respectively, between 2013 and 2017, whereas NDVI decreased by 6.8%. On the one hand, the increase in LSTD and decrease in NDVI were associated with a reduction in the incidence decline. On the other hand, malaria interventions and treatment seeking behavior had reverse effects, that were stronger compared to the effects of climatic changes. Important interactions between interventions with NDVI and LSTD suggest a varying impact of interventions on malaria burden in different climatic conditions. CONCLUSION: Climatic changes in Uganda during the last five years contributed to a favorable environment for malaria transmission, and had a detrimental effect on malaria reduction gains achieved through interventions scale-up efforts. The NMCP should create synergies with the National Meteorological Authority with an ultimate goal of developing a Malaria Early Warning System to mitigate adverse climatic change effects on malaria risk in the country.
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There is paucity of evidence for the role of health service delivery to the malaria decline in Uganda We developed a methodology to quantify health facility readiness and assessed its role on severe malaria outcomes among lower-level facilities (HCIIIs and HCIIs) in the country. Malaria data was extracted from the Health Management Information System (HMIS). General service and malaria-specific readiness indicators were obtained from the 2013 Uganda service delivery indicator survey. Multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) was used to construct a composite facility readiness score based on multiple factorial axes. Geostatistical models assessed the effect of facility readiness on malaria deaths and severe cases. Malaria readiness was achieved in one-quarter of the facilities. The composite readiness score explained 48% and 46% of the variation in the original indicators compared to 23% and 27%, explained by the first axis alone for HCIIIs and HCIIs, respectively. Mortality rate was 64% (IRR = 0.36, 95% BCI: 0.14-0.61) and 68% (IRR = 0.32, 95% BCI: 0.12-0.54) lower in the medium and high compared to low readiness groups, respectively. A composite readiness index is more informative and consistent than the one based on the first MCA factorial axis. In Uganda, higher facility readiness is associated with a reduced risk of severe malaria outcomes.
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Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Malária/mortalidade , Fortalecimento Institucional , Instalações de Saúde , Sistemas de Informação em Saúde , Humanos , Prognóstico , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Uganda/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Malaria burden in Uganda has declined disproportionately among regions despite overall high intervention coverage across all regions. The Uganda Malaria Indicator Survey (MIS) 2014-15 was the second nationally representative survey conducted to provide estimates of malaria prevalence among children less than 5 years, and to track the progress of control interventions in the country. In this present study, 2014-15 MIS data were analysed to assess intervention effects on malaria prevalence in Uganda among children less than 5 years, assess intervention effects at regional level, and estimate geographical distribution of malaria prevalence in the country. METHODS: Bayesian geostatistical models with spatially varying coefficients were used to determine the effect of interventions on malaria prevalence at national and regional levels. Spike-and-slab variable selection was used to identify the most important predictors and forms. Bayesian kriging was used to predict malaria prevalence at unsampled locations. RESULTS: Indoor Residual Spraying (IRS) and Insecticide Treated Nets (ITN) ownership had a significant but varying protective effect on malaria prevalence. However, no effect was observed for Artemisinin Combination-based Therapies (ACTs). Environmental factors, namely, land cover, rainfall, day and night land surface temperature, and area type were significantly associated with malaria prevalence. Malaria prevalence was higher in rural areas, increased with the child's age, and decreased with higher household socioeconomic status and higher level of mother's education. The highest prevalence of malaria in children less than 5 years was predicted for regions of East Central, North East and West Nile, whereas the lowest was predicted in Kampala and South Western regions, and in the mountainous areas in Mid-Western and Mid-Eastern regions. CONCLUSIONS: IRS and ITN ownership are important interventions against malaria prevalence in children less than 5 years in Uganda. The varying effects of the interventions calls for selective implementation of control tools suitable to regional ecological settings. To further reduce malaria burden and sustain malaria control in Uganda, current tools should be supplemented by health system strengthening, and socio-economic development.
Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/prevenção & controle , Animais , Anopheles/parasitologia , Teorema de Bayes , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Insetos Vetores/parasitologia , Mosquiteiros Tratados com Inseticida , Inseticidas , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Classe Social , Inquéritos e Questionários , Uganda/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In Uganda, malaria vector control interventions and case management with Artemisinin Combination Therapies (ACTs) have been scaled up over the last few years as a result of increased funding. Data on parasitaemia prevalence among children less than 5 years old and coverage of interventions was collected during the first two Malaria Indicator Surveys (MIS) conducted in 2009 and 2014, respectively. In this study, we quantify the effects of control interventions on parasitaemia risk changes between the two MIS in a spatio-temporal analysis. METHODS: Bayesian geostatistical and temporal models were fitted on the MIS data of 2009 and 2014. The models took into account geographical misalignment in the locations of the two surveys and adjusted for climatic changes and socio-economic differentials. Parasitaemia risk was predicted over a 2 × 2 km2 grid and the number of infected children less than 5 years old was estimated. Geostatistical variable selection was applied to identify the most important ITN coverage indicators. A spatially varying coefficient model was used to estimate intervention effects at sub-national level. RESULTS: The coverage of Insecticide Treated Nets (ITNs) and ACTs more than doubled at country and sub-national levels during the period 2009-2014. The coverage of Indoor Residual Spraying (IRS) remained static at all levels. ITNs, IRS, and ACTs were associated with a reduction in parasitaemia odds of 19% (95% BCI: 18-29%), 78% (95% BCI: 67-84%), and 34% (95% BCI: 28-66%), respectively. Intervention effects varied with region. Higher socio-economic status and living in urban areas were associated with parasitaemia odds reduction of 46% (95% BCI: 0.51-0.57) and 57% (95% BCI: 0.40-0.53), respectively. The probability of parasitaemia risk decline in the country was 85% and varied from 70% in the North-East region to 100% in Kampala region. The estimated number of children infected with malaria declined from 2,480,373 in 2009 to 825,636 in 2014. CONCLUSIONS: Interventions have had a strong effect on the decline of parasitaemia risk in Uganda during 2009-2014, albeit with varying magnitude in the regions. This success should be sustained by optimizing ITN coverage to achieve universal coverage.
Assuntos
Malária/prevenção & controle , Parasitemia/prevenção & controle , Animais , Artemisininas/farmacologia , Pré-Escolar , Culicidae/efeitos dos fármacos , Culicidae/fisiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Mosquiteiros Tratados com Inseticida/estatística & dados numéricos , Inseticidas/farmacologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Masculino , Controle de Mosquitos , Parasitemia/epidemiologia , Análise Espaço-Temporal , Uganda/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Although the association between alcohol consumption and HIV risk is well documented, few studies have examined the magnitude of new HIV infections that could be prevented by controlling alcohol use. We report the population attributable fraction (PAF) of incident HIV infections due to alcohol consumption among the HIV high-risk population of fishing communities along Lake Victoria, Uganda. METHODS: In a community-based cohort study, 1607 HIV sero-negative participants aged 18-49 years were enrolled from eight fishing communities along Lake Victoria, Uganda. At follow up 12 months later, 1288 (80.1%) were seen and interviewed. At baseline and follow-up visits, participants completed interviewer-administered questionnaires on alcohol consumption, demographics, and sexual risk behavior, and were tested for HIV infection. HIV incidence and adjusted incident rate ratios (adjusted IRRs) were estimated using Poisson regression models; the crude and adjusted PAFs of incident HIV infections associated with alcohol consumption were calculated using the Greenland and Drescher method for cohort studies. RESULTS: Among the 1288 participants seen at follow up, 53.5% reported drinking alcohol of whom 24.4% drank occasionally (2 days a week or less) and 29.1% drank regularly (3-7 days a week). Forty eight incident HIV infections occurred giving an incidence rate of 3.39/100 person years at-risk (pyar) (95% CI, 2.55-4.49). Compared to non-drinkers, the adjusted IRR of HIV was 3.09 (1.13-8.46) among occasional drinkers and 5.34 (2.04-13.97) among regular drinkers. The overall adjusted PAF of incident HIV infections due alcohol was 64.1 (95% CI; 23.5-83.1); ranging from 52.3 (11.9-74.2) among Muslims to 71.2 (32.6-87.7) for participants who reported ≥ 2 sexual partners in the past 12 months. CONCLUSION: In fishing communities along Lake Victoria, Uganda, 64% of new HIV infections can be attributed to drinking alcohol. Interventions to reduce alcohol consumption should be integrated in HIV/AIDS prevention activities for populations in whom both HIV and alcohol consumption are highly prevalent.
Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Pesqueiros , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , HIV-1/patogenicidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Humanos , Incidência , Lagos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Assunção de Riscos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Fishing communities (FCs) in Uganda have high HIV infection rates but poor access to health services including family planning (FP). Although FP is a cost-effective public health intervention, there is a paucity of data on knowledge and use of modern FP in FCs. This study determined knowledge and use of modern FP methods in FCs of Uganda. METHODS: Data were accrued from a 12-month follow up of 1,688 HIV-uninfected individuals, 18-49 years from 8 FCs along Lake Victoria, between September 2011 and March 2013. Data on knowledge and use of modern FP were collected through a semi-structured questionnaire. Prevalence Risk Ratios with corresponding 95% CIs were used to determine factors associated with Modern FP knowledge and use. RESULTS: The mean age was 31.4 years, with nearly half (48.8%) being females while more than half (58.6%) had attained up to primary education level. Knowledge of modern FP was high, 87.5% (1477/1688); significantly higher among females [adj. PRR = 4.84 (95% CI; 3.08, 7.61)], among older respondents (25-29 years) [adj. PRR = 1.83 (95% CI; 1.12, 2.99)] compared to younger ones (18-24 years) and among those conducting business [adj. PRR = 2.42(95% CI; 1.02, 5.74)] relative to those primarily in fishing. Just over a third (35.2%, 595/1688) reported use of at least one modern FP method. Use of modern FP methods was significantly higher among females [adj. PRR = 2.04 (95% CI; 1.56, 2.65, and among those reporting multiple sexual partnerships [adj. PRR = 2.12, 95% CI; 1.63, 2.76)]. Nonuse of modern methods was mostly due to desire for more children (30.6%), fear of side effects (12.2%) and partner refusal (5.2%). CONCLUSION: Despite their high knowledge of FP, FCs have low use of modern FP methods. Key barriers to use of modern FP methods were high fertility desires, fear of perceived side effects and partner refusal of methods.