Five Aluminum Seasonality Regimes Identified in Chronically Acidified Rivers of Nova Scotia.

Despite reductions in acidic deposition, high freshwater Al concentrations continue to threaten acidified ecosystems across the northern hemisphere. Seasonally elevated Al concentrations may pose a particular threat to freshwater organisms. Despite this threat, there is a lack of understanding about the timing and drivers of seasonal Al fluctuations. Here, we address this knowledge gap by identifying seasonal patterns of Al and their drivers in 16 rivers across Nova Scotia, Canada. We identify five distinct Al regimes with different timing of seasonally elevated Al concentrations. Regimes are distinguished by correlation strength and direction between Al and base cations, total organic carbon, turbidity, and discharge. Most notably, regimes are distinguished by a gradient of Al-base cation decoupling as Ca and Mg concentration approaches 1.4 mg L-1 and 0.6 mg L-1, respectively. Seasonally elevated Al concentrations exceeded the 0.1-0.2 mg L-1 World Health Organization drinking water guidelines in all regimes, and inorganic monomeric Al is projected to exceed the 15 µg L-1 threshold for aquatic health in most rivers. This research highlights the complexity of seasonal Al dynamics and the importance of understanding seasonal variation of Al to quantify the impact of Al on human health, water treatment, and aquatic organisms.

Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: results from long-term experimental watershed sites across North America.

Climate warming is projected to affect forest water yields but the effects are expected to vary. We investigated how forest type and age affect water yield resilience to climate warming. To answer this question, we examined the variability in historical water yields at long-term experimental catchments across Canada and the United States over 5-year cool and warm periods. Using the theoretical framework of the Budyko curve, we calculated the effects of climate warming on the annual partitioning of precipitation (P) into evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield. Deviation (d) was defined as a catchment's change in actual ET divided by P [AET/P; evaporative index (EI)] coincident with a shift from a cool to a warm period - a positive d indicates an upward shift in EI and smaller than expected water yields, and a negative d indicates a downward shift in EI and larger than expected water yields. Elasticity was defined as the ratio of interannual variation in potential ET divided by P (PET/P; dryness index) to interannual variation in the EI - high elasticity indicates low d despite large range in drying index (i.e., resilient water yields), low elasticity indicates high d despite small range in drying index (i.e., nonresilient water yields). Although the data needed to fully evaluate ecosystems based on these metrics are limited, we were able to identify some characteristics of response among forest types. Alpine sites showed the greatest sensitivity to climate warming with any warming leading to increased water yields. Conifer forests included catchments with lowest elasticity and stable to larger water yields. Deciduous forests included catchments with intermediate elasticity and stable to smaller water yields. Mixed coniferous/deciduous forests included catchments with highest elasticity and stable water yields. Forest type appeared to influence the resilience of catchment water yields to climate warming, with conifer and deciduous catchments more susceptible to climate warming than the more diverse mixed forest catchments.

Detection and Prediction of Toxic Aluminum Concentrations in High-Priority Salmon Rivers in Nova Scotia.

Elevated concentrations of toxic cationic aluminum (Ali) are symptomatic of terrestrial and freshwater acidification and are particularly toxic to salmonid fish species such as Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar). Speciated metal samples are rarely included in standard water monitoring protocols, and therefore the processes affecting Ali dynamics in freshwater remain poorly understood. Previous analysis of Ali concentrations in Nova Scotia (Canada) rivers found that the majority of study rivers had concentrations exceeding the threshold for aquatic health, but a wide-scale survey of Ali in Nova Scotia has not taken place since 2006 (Dennis, I. F., & Clair, T. A., 2012, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 69(7), 1174-1183). The observed levels of dissolved aluminum in Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) rivers of Atlantic Canada have potential serious and harmful effects for aquatic populations. We present the findings of the first large-scale assessment of the Ali status of Nova Scotia rivers in 17 years; we measured Ali concentrations and other water chemistry parameters at 150 sites throughout the Southern Uplands region of Nova Scotia from 2015 to 2022. We found that Ali concentrations exceeded toxic thresholds at least once during the study period at 80% of the study sites and that Ali concentrations increased during the study period at all four large-sample study sites. Modeling of relationships between Ali concentrations and other water chemistry parameters showed that the most important predictors of Ali are concentrations of the dissolved fractions of Al, iron, titanium, and calcium, as well as dissolved organic carbon and fluoride. We developed a fully Bayesian linear mixed model to predict Ali concentrations from a test data set within 15 µg/L. This model may be a valuable tool to predict Ali concentrations in rivers and to prioritize areas where Ali should be monitored. Environ Toxicol Chem 2024;00:1-12. © 2024 The Author(s). Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of SETAC.