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In this study, we focus on the impacts of spatial-temporal heterogeneity of human-to-human contacts on the spread of infectious diseases and develop a multi-type branching process model by introducing random human-to-human contact mode into a structured population. We provide the general formulas of the generation size, extinction probability, and basic reproduction number of the proposed branching process model. The result shows that the natural temporal heterogeneity (i.e. random contacts over time) can lead to a higher extinction probability while remains the same basic reproduction number and generation size. This is also numerically verified by choosing the real contact distributions from different circumstances of four countries. In addition, we observe a non-monotonic pattern of the differences, against the transmission probability and the mean contact rate, between the extinction probabilities under the constant and random contact patterns. Given the spatial heterogeneity, we show that it can contribute to the increase of basic reproduction number, but also increase the extinction probability of the infectious disease. This study adds novel insights to the course of the impact of heterogeneity on the transmission dynamics and also provides additional evidence for the limited role of reproduction numbers.
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Doenças Transmissíveis , Modelos Biológicos , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Probabilidade , Número Básico de ReproduçãoRESUMO
Singapore grouper iridovirus (SGIV) is one of the major infectious diseases responsible for high mortality and huge economic losses in the grouper aquaculture industry. Berberine (BBR), a naturally occurring plant alkaloid, is a phytochemical having a variety of biological properties, such as antiviral, antioxidant, and anti-inflammatory effects. In this work, we used an in vitro model based on Western blot, ROS fluorescence probe, and real-time quantitative PCR (qRT-PCR) to examine the antiviral qualities of BBR against SGIV. The outcomes demonstrated that varying BBR concentrations could significantly inhibit the replication of SGIV. In addition, BBR greatly inhibited the production of genes associated with pro-inflammatory cytokines in SGIV-infected or SGIV-uninfected GS cells based on qRT-PCR data. Subsequent investigations demonstrated that BBR suppressed the expression of the promoter activity of NF-κB and NF-κB-p65 protein. Additionally, BBR reduced the phosphorylation of ERK 1/2, JNK, and p38. Furthermore, BBR also inhibits SGIV-induced ROS production by upregulating the expression of antioxidant-related genes. In conclusion, BBR is a viable therapy option for SGIV infection due to its antiviral properties.
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Berberina , Doenças dos Peixes , Estresse Oxidativo , Replicação Viral , Berberina/farmacologia , Animais , Estresse Oxidativo/efeitos dos fármacos , Doenças dos Peixes/imunologia , Doenças dos Peixes/virologia , Replicação Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Inflamação/imunologia , Inflamação/veterinária , Antivirais/farmacologia , Infecções por Vírus de DNA/veterinária , Infecções por Vírus de DNA/imunologia , Ranavirus/fisiologia , Linhagem CelularRESUMO
A dynamic gravimeter with an atomic interferometer (AI) can perform absolute gravity measurements with high precision. AI-based dynamic gravity measurement is a type of joint measurement that uses an AI sensor and a classical accelerometer. The coupling of the two sensors may degrade the measurement precision. In this study, we analyzed the cross-coupling effect and introduced a recovery vector to suppress this effect. We improved the phase noise of the interference fringe by a factor of 1.9 by performing marine gravity measurements using an AI-based gravimeter and optimizing the recovery vector. Marine gravity measurements were performed, and high gravity measurement precision was achieved. The external and inner coincidence accuracies of the gravity measurement were ±0.42 mGal and ±0.46 mGal after optimizing the cross-coupling effect, which was improved by factors of 4.18 and 4.21 compared to the cases without optimization.
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Ellipse fitting is widely used in the extraction of the differential phase between atom interferometers amid substantial common phase noise. This study meticulously examines the dependency of extraction noise on the differential phase between atom interferometers during ellipse fitting. It reveals that the minimum extraction noise can manifest at distinct differential phases, contingent upon the dominance of different noise types. Moreover, the outcomes are influenced by whether the interferometers undergo simultaneous detection or not. Our theoretical simulations find empirical validation in a compact horizontal atom gravity gradiometer. The adjustment of the differential phase significantly enhances measurement sensitivity, culminating in a differential gravity resolution of 1.6 × 10-10â g @ 4800 s.
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BACKGROUND: Radio/chemotherapy and immune systems provide examples of hormesis, as tumours can be stimulated (or reduced) at low radio/chemical or antibody doses but inhibited (or stimulated) by high doses. METHODS: Interactions between effector cells, tumour cells and cytokines with pulsed radio/chemo-immunotherapy were modelled using a pulse differential system. RESULTS: Our results show that radio/chemotherapy (dose) response curves (RCRC) and/or immune response curves (IRC) or a combination of both, undergo homeostatic changes or catastrophic shifts revealing hormesis in many parameter regions. Some mixed response curves had multiple humps, posing challenges for interpretation of clinical trials and experimental design, due to a fuzzy region between an hormetic zone and the toxic threshold. Mixed response curves from two parameter bifurcation analyses demonstrated that low-dose radio/chemotherapy and strong immunotherapy counteract side-effects of radio/chemotherapy on effector cells and cytokines and stimulate effects of immunotherapy on tumour growth. The implications for clinical applications were confirmed by good fits to our model of RCRC and IRC data. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of low-dose radio/chemotherapy and high-dose immunotherapy is very effective for many solid tumours. The net benefit and synergistic effect of combined therapy is conducive to the treatment and inhibition of tumour cells.
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Hormese , Neoplasias , Humanos , Neoplasias/terapia , Imunoterapia/efeitos adversos , CitocinasRESUMO
Ion intercalation in graphite is widely used in desalination, batteries, and graphene stripping; it has high value in the fields of industry and research. However, selective ion transport, particularly (de)hydration energy and the hydration shell effect on the intercalation of ions into the graphite interlayer spaces, is still unclear. Here, we report low-voltage ion intercalation as observed by electrowetting on highly oriented pyrolytic graphite of an aqueous drop containing various inorganic salts. The electrowetting response exhibits asymmetric behavior with no contact angle change for the negative polarity and a threshold voltage for the onset of the contact angle change for the positive polarity. To explain the asymmetric electrowetting behavior and quantitatively predict the threshold voltage, we developed a physical model based on the hydration shell energy and size of the ion that undergoes partial breaking/deformation during the co-intercalation into the spaces between graphite layers. Electrowetting experiments using ions with various hydration energies and hydration radii were performed to confirm the prediction of the model. Further, we show a strategy to make the electrowetting response of LiCl drops symmetric via tuning the hydration energy of the Li+ ions using a binary solvent of a glycerol-water mixture. This article will provide an understanding of the hydration (solvation) energy dependence intercalation mechanism in graphite for electrowetting, which underpins various processes such as ion battery applications and the graphene exfoliation process.
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The lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) has been widely used in multi-phase fluid mechanics and is known to be more computationally efficient than the traditional method of numerically solving Navier-Stokes and Cahn-Hilliard equations. Electrowetting is an important component of interfacial sciences, in which the liquid-liquid and solid-liquid interfaces are tuned by electrostatics. Modeling electrowetting using the LBM can be categorized into surface and bulk methods. By modifying the surface tension scalar, the surface method easily reproduces the fundamental Young-Lippmann (YL) equation at low voltages but fails to capture contact angle saturation at high voltages. With fully coupled hydrodynamics and electrostatics in the form of spatially dependent matrices, the bulk method can successfully show contact angle saturation, but it is often unable to reproduce the YL equation due to its intrinsic inaccuracies. The inaccuracies are mainly due to the fact that while the hydrodynamics are all described by continuous physical quantities in the framework of diffusive interfaces, the interfacial electrostatics are governed by discontinuous electric fields caused by sheet charge density. In this paper, we show that accurately modeling electrowetting using the LBM is non-trivial. Additional modeling work, especially the treatment of interfacial electric fields, is needed to recover the fundamental YL equation at low voltages and predict contact angle saturation at high voltages, with a systematic model validation over key parameters and applications.
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BACKGROUND: Cancer stem cells (CSCs) are different from regular cancer cells because of their self-renewal feature and differentiation potential, which establishes the backbone of the vital role of CSCs in the progress and drug resistance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of blood exosome-derived miRNA-30d-5p on the stemness and gemcitabine resistance of HCC cells and the underlying mechanisms. METHODS: The expression data of HCC-related miRNAs and mRNAs were downloaded from TCGA database and analyzed for differences. Employing the databases of starBase, TargetScan, miRDB, and mirDIP, we conducted target gene prediction upstream of mRNA. The expression of miRNA-30d-5p and SOCS3 mRNA was assayed by qRT-PCR, and the binding between them was validated by dual luciferase assay. CCK-8 was employed to evaluate cell viability and the IC50 value of gemcitabine. Cells were subjected to a sphere-forming assay to assess their ability to form spheres. Western blot was applied to evaluate the levels of cell surface marker proteins (Nanog, CD133, and Oct4) and exosome markers (CD9, CD81, and FLOT1). RESULTS: Bioinformatics analysis found that SOCS3 expression was down-regulated in HCC. qRT-PCR showed that SOCS3 expression was notably lower in HCC cell lines than in normal liver cell WRL68. At the cellular functional level, SOCS3 overexpression inhibited the viability, sphere-forming ability, stemness, and gemcitabine resistance of HCC cells. Bioinformatics analysis demonstrated that miRNA-30d-5p was the upstream regulator of SOCS3 and highly expressed in HCC tissues and cells. Dual luciferase assay demonstrated that miRNA-30d-5p could bind SOCS3. Rescue experiments showed that upregulating SOCS3 could reverse the effects of miRNA-30d-5p overexpression on the viability, sphere-forming ability, and gemcitabine sensitivity of HCC cells. CONCLUSIONS: Blood exosome-derived miRNA-30d-5p promoted the stemness and gemcitabine resistance of HCC cells by repressing SOCS3 expression. Hence, the miRNA-30d-5p/SOCS3 axis might be a therapeutic target for chemotherapy resistance and a feasible marker for the prognosis of HCC patients.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Exossomos , Neoplasias Hepáticas , MicroRNAs , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/tratamento farmacológico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/genética , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/metabolismo , Linhagem Celular Tumoral , Proliferação de Células/genética , Exossomos/genética , Exossomos/metabolismo , Gencitabina , Regulação Neoplásica da Expressão Gênica , Neoplasias Hepáticas/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/genética , Neoplasias Hepáticas/metabolismo , MicroRNAs/genética , MicroRNAs/metabolismo , RNA Mensageiro/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: During 2021-2022, mainland China experienced multiple times of local COVID-19 outbreaks in several cities, including Yangzhou, Xi'an etc., and the Chinese government persistently adopted the zero-COVID policy in combating with the local outbreaks. METHODS: We develop a mathematical model with pulse population-wide nucleic acid screening, part of the zero-COVID policy, to reveal its role in controlling the spread of COVID-19. We calibrate the model by fitting the COVID-19 epidemic data of the local outbreaks in Yangzhou and Xi'an, China. Sensitivity analysis is conducted to investigate the impact of population-wide nucleic acid screening on controlling the outbreak of COVID-19. RESULTS: Without the screening, the cumulative number of confirmed cases increases by [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] in Yangzhou and Xi'an, respectively. Meanwhile, the screening program helps to shorten the lockdown period for more than one month when we aim at controlling the cases into zero. Considering its role in mitigating the epidemics, we observe a paradox phenomenon of the screening rate in avoiding the runs on medical resource. That is, the screening will aggravate the runs on medical resource when the screening rate is small, while it helps to relieve the runs on medical resource if the screening rate is high enough. We also conclude that the screening has limited effects on mitigating the epidemics if the outbreak is in a high epidemic level or there has already been runs on medical resources. Alternatively, a smaller screening population per time with a higher screening frequency may be a better program to avoid the runs on medical resources. CONCLUSIONS: The population-wide nucleic acid screening strategy plays an important role in quickly controlling and stopping the local outbreaks under the zero-COVID policy. However, it has limited impacts and even increase the potential risk of the runs on medical resource for containing the large scale outbreaks.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2 , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The continuous emergence of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants with markedly increased transmissibility presents major challenges to the zero-COVID policy in China. It is critical to adjust aspects of the policy about non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) by searching for and implementing more effective ways. We use a mathematical model to mimic the epidemic pattern of the Omicron variant in Shanghai to quantitatively show the control challenges and investigate the feasibility of different control patterns in avoiding other epidemic waves. METHODS: We initially construct a dynamic model with a core step-by-step release strategy to reveal its role in controlling the spread of COVID-19, including the city-based pattern and the district-based pattern. We used the least squares method and real reported case data to fit the model for Shanghai and its 16 districts, respectively. Optimal control theory was utilized to explore the quantitative and optimal solutions of the time-varying control strength (i.e., contact rate) to suppress the highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants. RESULTS: The necessary period for reaching the zero-COVID goal can be nearly 4 months, and the final epidemic size was 629,625 (95%CI: [608,049, 651,201]). By adopting the city-based pattern, 7 out of 16 strategies released the NPIs more or earlier than the baseline and ensured a zero-resurgence risk at the average cost of 10 to 129 more cases in June. By adopting the district-based pattern, a regional linked release can allow resumption of social activity to ~ 100% in the boundary-region group about 14 days earlier and allow people to flow between different districts without causing infection resurgence. Optimal solutions of the contact rate were obtained with various testing intensities, and higher diagnosis rate correlated with higher optimal contact rate while the number of daily reported cases remained almost unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Shanghai could have been bolder and more flexible in unleashing social activity than they did. The boundary-region group should be relaxed earlier and more attention should be paid to the centre-region group. With a more intensive testing strategy, people could return to normal life as much as possible but still ensure the epidemic was maintained at a relatively low level.
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COVID-19 , Epidemias , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologiaRESUMO
ß-alanine has been used in food and pharmaceutical industries. Although Escherichia coli Nissle 1917 (EcN) is generally considered safe and engineered as living therapeutics, engineering EcN for producing industrial metabolites has rarely been explored. Here, by protein and metabolic engineering, EcN was engineered for producing ß-alanine from glucose. First, an aspartate-α-decarboxylase variant ADCK43Y with improved activity was identified and over-expressed in EcN, promoting the titer of ß-alanine from an undetectable level to 0.46 g/L. Second, directing the metabolic flux towards L-aspartate increased the titer of ß-alanine to 0.92 g/L. Third, the yield of ß-alanine was elevated to 1.19 g/L by blocking conversion of phosphoenolpyruvate to pyruvate, and further increased to 2.14 g/L through optimizing culture medium. Finally, the engineered EcN produced 11.9 g/L ß-alanine in fed-batch fermentation. Our work not only shows the potential of EcN as a valuable industrial platform, but also facilitates production of ß-alanine via fermentation. KEY POINTS: ⢠Escherichia coli Nissle 1917 (EcN) was engineered as a ß-alanine producing cell factory ⢠Identification of a decarboxylase variant ADCK43Y with improved activity ⢠Directing the metabolic flux to L-ASP and expressing ADCK43Y elevated the titer of ß-alanine to 11.9 g/L.
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Engenharia Metabólica , Probióticos , Escherichia coli/metabolismo , beta-Alanina/metabolismo , FermentaçãoRESUMO
By 31 May 2022, original/Alpha, Delta and Omicron strains induced 101 outbreaks of COVID-19 in mainland China. Most outbreaks were cleared by combining non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) with vaccines, but continuous virus variations challenged the dynamic zero-case policy (DZCP), posing questions of what are the prerequisites and threshold levels for success? And what are the independent effects of vaccination in each outbreak? Using a modified classic infectious disease dynamic model and an iterative relationship for new infections per day, the effectiveness of vaccines and NPIs was deduced, from which the independent effectiveness of vaccines was derived. There was a negative correlation between vaccination coverage rates and virus transmission. For the Delta strain, a 61.8% increase in the vaccination rate (VR) reduced the control reproduction number (CRN) by about 27%. For the Omicron strain, a 20.43% increase in VR, including booster shots, reduced the CRN by 42.16%. The implementation speed of NPIs against the original/Alpha strain was faster than the virus's transmission speed, and vaccines significantly accelerated the DZCP against the Delta strain. The CRN ([Formula: see text]) during the exponential growth phase and the peak time and intensity of NPIs were key factors affecting a comprehensive theoretical threshold condition for DZCP success, illustrated by contour diagrams for the CRN under different conditions. The DZCP maintained the [Formula: see text] of 101 outbreaks below the safe threshold level, but the strength of NPIs was close to saturation especially for Omicron, and there was little room for improvement. Only by curbing the rise in the early stage and shortening the exponential growth period could clearing be achieved quickly. Strengthening China's vaccine immune barrier can improve China's ability to prevent and control epidemics and provide greater scope for the selection and adjustment of NPIs. Otherwise, there will be rapid rises in infection rates and an extremely high peak and huge pressure on the healthcare system, and a potential increase in excess mortality.
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COVID-19 , Epidemias , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , PolíticasRESUMO
We design and implement a compact 85Rb atom gravimeter (AG). The diameter of the sensor head is 35 cm and the height is 65 cm; the optical and electronic systems are installed in four standard 3U cabinets. The measurement accuracy of this AG is improved by suppress laser crosstalk and light shift. In addition, the angle of the Raman laser reflector is adjusted and locked, and the attitude of the sensing head is automatically adjusted, and the vibration noise is also compensated. The comparison measurement results between this AG and the superconducting gravimeter indicate that its long-term stability is 0.65 µGal @50000 s.
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Fenômenos Fisiológicos Celulares , Eletrônica , Reações Cruzadas , Lasers , SorogrupoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mass gatherings can not only trigger major outbreaks on-site but also facilitate global spread of infectious pathogens. Hajj is one of the largest mass gathering events worldwide where over two million pilgrims from all over the world gather annually creating intense congestion. METHODS: We developed a meta-population model to represent the transmission dynamics of Neisseria meningitidis and the impact of Hajj pilgrimage on the risk of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) for pilgrims population, local population at the Hajj site and country of origin of Hajj pilgrims. This model was calibrated using data on IMD over 17 years (1995-2011) and further used to simulate potential changes in vaccine policy and endemic conditions. RESULTS: The effect of increased density of contacts during Hajj was estimated to generate a 78-fold increase in disease transmission that impacts not only pilgrims but also the local population. Quadrivalent ACWY vaccination was found to be very effective in reducing the risk of outbreak during Hajj. Hajj has more limited impact on IMD transmission and exportation in the pilgrim countries of origin, although not negligible given the size of the population considered. CONCLUSION: The analysis performed highlighted the amplifying effect of mass gathering on N. meningitidis transmission and confirm vaccination as a very effective preventive measure to mitigate outbreak risks.
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Doenças Transmissíveis , Infecções Meningocócicas , Neisseria meningitidis , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Eventos de Massa , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controleRESUMO
COVID-19 epidemics exhibited multiple waves regionally and globally since 2020. It is important to understand the insight and underlying mechanisms of the multiple waves of COVID-19 epidemics in order to design more efficient non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and vaccination strategies to prevent future waves. We propose a multi-scale model by linking the behaviour change dynamics to the disease transmission dynamics to investigate the effect of behaviour dynamics on COVID-19 epidemics using game theory. The proposed multi-scale models are calibrated and key parameters related to disease transmission dynamics and behavioural dynamics with/without vaccination are estimated based on COVID-19 epidemic data (daily reported cases and cumulative deaths) and vaccination data. Our modeling results demonstrate that the feedback loop between behaviour changes and COVID-19 transmission dynamics plays an essential role in inducing multiple epidemic waves. We find that the long period of high-prevalence or persistent deterioration of COVID-19 epidemics could drive almost all of the population to change their behaviours and maintain the altered behaviours. However, the effect of behaviour changes fades out gradually along the progress of epidemics. This suggests that it is essential to have not only persistent, but also effective behaviour changes in order to avoid subsequent epidemic waves. In addition, our model also suggests the importance to maintain the effective altered behaviours during the initial stage of vaccination, and to counteract relaxation of NPIs, it requires quick and massive vaccination to avoid future epidemic waves.
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COVID-19 , Epidemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Epidemias/prevenção & controle , Teoria dos Jogos , Humanos , Conceitos Matemáticos , Modelos BiológicosRESUMO
Edaravone, an antioxidant protective agent, has anti-cerebral ischemic reperfusion injury (CIRI) effects, but its anti-CIRI mechanism is unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the anti-CIRI mechanism of edaravone based on the nuclear factor-E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2)/ferroportin (FPN) pathway that regulates ferroptosis-mediated cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury. We evaluated the brain injury by constructing a middle cerebral artery occlusion and reperfusion (MCAO/R) model in rats. The results showed that cerebral infarct volume and neurological impairment scores were increased in cerebral ischemia-reperfusion rats, with impaired sensorimotor ability; furthermore, brain tissue glutathione (GSH) content was decreased, Fe2+, malondialdehyde (MDA) and lipide peroxide (LPO) content were increased, and the expression level of glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), a key protein of ferroptosis, was also decreased. Meanwhile, the Nrf2 expression level was increased and the FPN expression level was decreased after cerebral ischemia-reperfusion, while the levels of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-1ß, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, and myeloperoxidase (MPO) were increased. However, edaravone exhibited a protective effect on cerebral infarct and neurological and sensorimotor function in relevant tests. In addition, we also found that edaravone decreased the contents of Fe2+, MDA, and LPO in the brain tissue of MCAO/R rats and increased GSH content to inhibit ferroptosis. Furthermore, Western blot showed that after treatment with edaravone, the expression of Nrf2, GPX4, and FPN was up-regulated, the nuclear location of Nrf2 was increased, and the levels of inflammation-related indicators IL-6, IL-1ß, TNF-α, and MPO were lower than in the MCAO/R group. Our results demonstrated that edaravone inhibits ferroptosis to attenuate CIRI, probably through the activation of the Nrf2/FPN pathway.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Ferroptose , Traumatismo por Reperfusão , Animais , Isquemia Encefálica/tratamento farmacológico , Isquemia Encefálica/metabolismo , Proteínas de Transporte de Cátions , Edaravone/farmacologia , Glutationa , Infarto da Artéria Cerebral Média/tratamento farmacológico , Infarto da Artéria Cerebral Média/patologia , Fator 2 Relacionado a NF-E2/metabolismo , Ratos , Traumatismo por Reperfusão/metabolismoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Mass immunization is a potentially effective approach to finally control the local outbreak and global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, it can also lead to undesirable outcomes if mass vaccination results in increased transmission of effective contacts and relaxation of other public health interventions due to the perceived immunity from the vaccine. METHODS: We designed a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission dynamics that takes into consideration the epidemiological status, public health intervention status (quarantined/isolated), immunity status of the population, and strain variations. Comparing the control reproduction numbers and the final epidemic sizes (attack rate) in the cases with and without vaccination, we quantified some key factors determining when vaccination in the population is beneficial for preventing and controlling future outbreaks. RESULTS: Our analyses predicted that there is a critical (minimal) vaccine efficacy rate (or a critical quarantine rate) below which the control reproduction number with vaccination is higher than that without vaccination, and the final attack rate in the population is also higher with the vaccination. We also predicted the worst case scenario occurs when a high vaccine coverage rate is achieved for a vaccine with a lower efficacy rate and when the vaccines increase the transmission efficient contacts. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses show that an immunization program with a vaccine efficacy rate below the predicted critical values will not be as effective as simply investing in the contact tracing/quarantine/isolation implementation. We reached similar conclusions by considering the final epidemic size (or attack rates). This research then highlights the importance of monitoring the impact on transmissibility and vaccine efficacy of emerging strains.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Humanos , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Probabilidade , Vacinação , Cobertura VacinalRESUMO
According to the characteristics of flexible job shop scheduling problems, a dual-resource constrained flexible job shop scheduling problem (DRCFJSP) model with machine and worker constraints is constructed such that the makespan and total delay are minimized. An improved African vulture optimization algorithm (IAVOA) is developed to solve the presented problem. A three-segment representation is proposed to code the problem, including the operation sequence, machine allocation, and worker selection. In addition, the African vulture optimization algorithm (AVOA) is improved in three aspects: First, in order to enhance the quality of the initial population, three types of rules are employed in population initialization. Second, a memory bank is constructed to retain the optimal individuals in each iteration to increase the calculation precision. Finally, a neighborhood search operation is designed for individuals with certain conditions such that the makespan and total delay are further optimized. The simulation results indicate that the qualities of the solutions obtained by the developed approach are superior to those of the existing approaches.
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Algoritmos , Humanos , Simulação por ComputadorRESUMO
The transferability of bacterial resistance to tigecycline, the 'last-resort' antibiotic, is an emerging challenge of global health concern. The plasmid-borne tet(X) that encodes a flavin-dependent monooxygenase represents a new mechanism for tigecycline resistance. Natural source for an ongoing family of Tet(X) resistance determinants is poorly understood. Here, we report the discovery of 26 new variants [tet(X18) to tet(X44)] from the poultry pathogen Riemerella anatipestifer, which expands extensively the current Tet(X) family. R. anatipestifer appears as a natural reservoir for tet(X), of which the chromosome harbours varied copies of tet(X) progenitors. Despite that an inactive ancestor rarely occurs, the action and mechanism of Tet(X2/4)-P, a putative Tet(X) progenitor, was comprehensively characterized, giving an intermediate level of tigecycline resistance. The potential pattern of Tet(X) dissemination from ducks to other animals and humans was raised, in the viewpoint of ecological niches. Therefore, this finding defines a large pool of natural sources for Tet(X) tigecycline resistance, heightening the need of efficient approaches to manage the inter-species transmission of tet(X) resistance determinants.