RESUMO
Stochastic computer models were used to evaluate nine crossbreeding systems in beef herds consisting of two bulls, 50 cows and 15 replacements. Systems examined were: 1) purebred (PB), 2) two- and three-breed rotations using natural service (2R and 3R) or artificial insemination (2RAI and 3RAI), 3) two-breed roto-terminals not exploiting complementarity using natural service (2RT) or AI (2RTAI) and 4) two-breed roto-terminals exploiting complementarity using natural service (2RTC) or AI (2RTCAI). Average heterosis estimates were taken from literature sources. Replacement females were produced within the herd; sires were purchased. Estimates of calf and dam heterosis were used to calculate performance of calf weight weaned and sold, cow and total weights sold and gross calf, cow and total incomes. All crossbred systems were superior to PB for weights sold and income. The natural-service systems (2R, 3R, 2RT and 2RTC) utilized 90 to 98% of the heterosis available in their AI counterparts (2RAI, 3RAI, 2RTAI and 2RTCAI). No differences were found between corresponding natural-service and AI systems for weights sold and incomes. Increasing the complexity of the system did not provide important improvements in traits measured.
Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/métodos , Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Cruzamentos Genéticos , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Estudos de Avaliação como Assunto , Feminino , Vigor Híbrido , Inseminação Artificial/veterinária , MasculinoRESUMO
Mixed model techniques were used to evaluate the importance of cytoplasmic genetic effects on beef cattle performance. Birth weight (BWT), preweaning average daily gain (ADG), weaning weight (WT205), postweaning gain (PG), ultrasonic backfat thickness (FAT) and predicted milk yield (MILK) data were collected in two herds of Hereford cattle located at Plymouth and Raleigh, North Carolina. Cytoplasmic lines were determined based on the foundation female in the maternal lineage of each animal. An animal model was used to account for all nuclear genetic variation among animals within herds. Direct breeding values were estimated for all animals with records and their parents for all traits. For MILK, permanent environmental effects were estimated for animals with multiple records. For preweaning traits, maternal breeding values and permanent maternal environmental effects also were estimated. In all analyses, F-tests for cytoplasmic effects were not significant. Probability values approached significance (P = .15 to P = .10) only for PG and FAT at Plymouth. Assumptions regarding the ratios of genetic and environmental variances and covariances had no effect on F-tests. Results contrast with earlier analyses of the same data in which nuclear genetic effects were accounted for by including sire and maternal grandsire in the statistical model. This study failed to show that cytoplasmic genetic effects were important sources of variation in performance; residual additive genetic effects were confounded with cytoplasmic lines for these herds. Because cytoplasmic sources may be regarded as founder effects, further research is needed in other populations.
Assuntos
Peso Corporal/genética , Bovinos/genética , Variação Genética , Lactação/genética , Animais , Cruzamento , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Feminino , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Probabilidade , DesmameRESUMO
Production data from 11 southeastern Montana ranches were used to parameterize a bio-economic computer model of cow/calf range production. Effects of changes in breeding date, weaning date, and range removal date on system performance for a ranch with a fixed forage resource base (3,060 animal unit months of range forage and 744 t of hay) were simulated. Input costs were locally established in 1994. Cattle prices were determined by week from 13-yr averages. For the base scenario, breeding season was 66 d with breeding starting on June 9. Weaning, range removal, and calf sales occurred on November 3. Cows were fed stored forages from November 3 until turnout to grazing (May 1). Five replications were simulated for combinations of breeding, weaning, and range removal dates in a factorial design. Each factor was deviated from the base scenario by +/- 14 and 28 d. Production efficiency was measured by break-even steer price. Gross margin (gross revenue - variable costs) was used as a measure of profitability. Increasing calf age (and weight) at sale time, by decreasing breeding date and(or) increasing weaning date, improved ranch efficiency and profitability. Increasing range removal date improved system performance even though extending the grazing season led to decreased herd size. Compared to the base system, the best system increased gross margin by approximately 17%. Responses for gross margin reflect the dynamics of herd size, purchased feed expense, and production efficiency. Results suggest that for range-based cow-calf enterprises in the northern Great Plains, production efficiency and profitability may be improved by increasing calf weaning age and extending the grazing season, even if herd size must be reduced.
Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/métodos , Bovinos/fisiologia , Fatores Etários , Análise de Variância , Criação de Animais Domésticos/economia , Animais , Cruzamento , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Simulação por Computador , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Masculino , Modelos Biológicos , Montana , Estações do Ano , Fatores de Tempo , DesmameRESUMO
A mathematical computer model of beef cattle production systems was developed at Montana State University. The objective of this report was to describe the rationale and procedures used to simulate animal and system performance. The model was designed to simulate the dynamic relationships among cattle genotype, physiological state, forage quality, and management in range environments. Forage intake, energy and protein metabolism, growth, reproduction, lactation, and changes in chemical body composition are simulated for individual animals over complete life cycles. Expenses driven by animal performance, management decisions, and land resources are tabulated. Several biological and economic measures of system performance can be computed, including ratios of inputs (e.g., DM, CP, ME, dollars) to outputs (e.g., weight, lean), break even prices, and annual gross margin per cow or ranch. Primary uses of the model include the evaluation of system responses to changes in breeding strategies and management in range production/marketing systems.
Assuntos
Cruzamento/métodos , Bovinos/fisiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Ração Animal , Animais , Bovinos/genética , Metabolismo Energético , Feminino , Genótipo , Lactação , Masculino , ReproduçãoRESUMO
Development of a general beef cattle simulation model was described in a companion paper. The objectives of this research were to demonstrate and evaluate the model's performance. Four experiments were conducted to demonstrate 1) life-cycle weight and body condition changes for different genotypes raised in a northern range environment; 2) responses in forage intake and weight to changes in forage quality, protein supplementation, and cow physiological state; 3) responses in reproduction, weight, body condition, and calf growth to differences in pre- and postpartum nutrition; and 4) differences in enterprise efficiency and profit for different genotypes and mating systems. Results indicated that the model performs acceptably for the types of situations for which it was designed and highlighted areas of animal science where more information is needed in order to better understand and manipulate beef cattle systems. Computer simulation models are useful tools to facilitate the integration of scientific concepts and to help scientists, teachers, and producers better understand the complex production systems that they study and manage. In addition to addressing enterprise-level problems that are beyond the scope of traditional experimentation, modeling and simulation help identify research needs and foster exchange among disciplines.
Assuntos
Cruzamento/métodos , Bovinos/fisiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Ração Animal , Animais , Composição Corporal , Peso Corporal , Bovinos/genética , Ingestão de Energia , Metabolismo Energético , Feminino , Genótipo , Lactação , Masculino , Período Pós-Parto , ReproduçãoRESUMO
Mixed-model techniques were used to evaluate the importance of cytoplasmic genetic effects on growth traits in beef cattle. The data used were records on birth weight (BWT, n = 4,716), preweaning average daily gain (PREADG, n = 4,428), and postweaning average daily gain (POSTADG, n = 3,476) collected from 1935 through 1989 in a closed line of Hereford cattle (Miles City Line 1). Selection criterion was adjusted yearling weight. Cytoplasmic genetic effects were evaluated as both potential fixed and random genetic effects. Cytoplasmic sources (n = 26) were determined based on the foundation female in the maternal lineage of each animal. All foundation females were at least five generations removed from any descendant that produced a performance record. An animal model was used to account for all nuclear additive genetic variation among animals. Direct additive effects were estimated for all traits. Maternal additive and permanent environmental effects were estimated for BWT and PREADG. Fixed effects included year of birth, age of dam, sex of calf, and regressions on inbreeding of calf, inbreeding of dam, and age off postweaning gain test (POSTADG only). When cytoplasm was fit as a fixed effect, F-tests for cytoplasmic effects were not significant (P = .10 to .99) for any trait. Inclusion of cytoplasmic source (fixed) in the statistical model reduced residual standard deviations less than .1%. Variance components for cytoplasmic genetic effects were estimated simultaneously with variance components for direct, maternal, direct-maternal covariance, and maternal permanent environment using REML techniques. Cytoplasmic source accounted for .40, .00 and .00% of the phenotypic variance for BWT, PREADG, and POSTADG, respectively.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Assuntos
Peso ao Nascer/genética , Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Citoplasma/fisiologia , Aumento de Peso/genética , Animais , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , DNA Mitocondrial/fisiologia , Feminino , Variação Genética , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Modelos Genéticos , Óvulo/fisiologia , Fenótipo , Software , DesmameRESUMO
Inferences about fixed effects in mixed linear models are important in a variety of animal science studies. The statistical theory for making such inferences is well known, and if the variance components are known up to a proportionality constant, then optimal exact tests can be performed. Computing the test statistics, however, can still be problematic when the random effects have many levels. In practice, approximate tests that are easily computed but less efficient are usually employed. This article describes reduction in error sum of squares procedures for performing the exact test and for computing associated confidence intervals. By taking advantage of iterative algorithms for solving Henderson's mixed-model equations, the tests can be performed without inverting the covariance matrix or computing a generalized inverse of the mixed-model coefficient matrix. The procedures are illustrated on an animal model that has three random effects, two with 1,372 levels and one with 450 levels.
Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Biológicos , Algoritmos , AnimaisRESUMO
Performance records on Hereford cattle raised in two herds were used to evaluate cytoplasmic genetic effects on preweaning growth and milk production. Animals were traced through maternal lineage to foundation females to form cytoplasmic lines. Growth records were available on 1,189 calves at Raleigh and 1,599 at Plymouth representing 27 and 15 cytoplasmic lines, respectively. Milk records were available on 418 cows at Raleigh and 522 cows at Plymouth, representing 20 and 13 cytoplasmic lines. After adjustment for sire, cytoplasmic effects were significant for birth weight (BWT), average daily gain (ADG) and 205-d weight (WT205) in both herds. Cytoplasm accounted for 2, 5 and 5% of the variance for BWT, ADG and WT205 at Raleigh; and 1, 2 and 2% of the variance at Plymouth. After addition of maternal grandsire to the model, cytoplasm was still significant; however, variances were reduced at Plymouth. Cytoplasmic effects for milk yield were important at Raleigh (P less than .01) but marginal at Plymouth (P = .10). Variance components for cytoplasm accounted for 4 and 1% of the variance for milk yield at Raleigh and Plymouth, respectively. Ranges for least-squares constants for cytoplasmic lines corresponded to one of two standard deviations. Correlations among least-squares constants for ADG, WT205 and milk yield were high, suggesting that cytoplasmic effects were mediated through milk production. More research is needed to confirm these results before cytoplasmic inheritance is considered in breeding programs for beef cattle.
Assuntos
Peso Corporal , Bovinos/genética , Herança Extracromossômica , Variação Genética , Lactação/fisiologia , Animais , Feminino , Masculino , GravidezRESUMO
Relative genetic responses to selection for alternative measures of economic efficiency of pork production were examined. The analysis was based on results from a deterministic bio-economic model of lifecycle pork production. Alternative aggregate breeding values considered were based on cost (+)/unit of live weight or of carcass output lean for different production systems and for different breeding roles of the selected stocks. For cost/unit of lean, changes in leanness (or fatness) dominated the index. For cost/unit of live weight, however, no one trait dominated the index, and changes in growth and reproductive traits as well as the breeding role of the stock (purebred, maternal or paternal) were important in defining selection objectives. Management and production systems were less important than breeding role for cost/unit live weight output, except that importance of growth rate was increased by marketing at the mean weight reached at a fixed age rather than at a fixed weight irrespective of age. Implications of these results for goals and systems of pig improvement are discussed.
Assuntos
Cruzamento , Suínos/genética , Tecido Adiposo , Animais , Peso Corporal , Economia , Feminino , Fertilidade , Masculino , Modelos Genéticos , Seleção Genética , Suínos/fisiologiaRESUMO
Single trait selection was practiced in three lines of Hereford cattle at two locations. Bulls were selected within sire families for increased weaning weight (WW) in the WW line (WWL), for postweaning gain (PG) in the PG line (PGL) and at random in the control line (CTL). Data include the performance of 2,467 calves produced from 1967 to 1981. Environmental effects were estimated from CTL (method I) and from multiple regression procedures (method II). Phenotypic and environmental time trends were negative for WW and generally were positive for PG. Estimated genetic gains for WW in WWL were 1.07 +/- .51 kg/yr in bulls and .62 +/- .36 kg/yr in heifers using method I and .50 +/- .31 kg/yr in bulls and .10 +/- .17 kg/yr in heifers using method II. Corresponding values for PG in PGL were .85 +/- .40 and 1.03 +/- .24 kg/yr in bulls and .30 +/- .28 and .37 +/- .12 kg in heifers. Correlated genetic gains for WW in PGL were larger than direct WW gains, whereas genetic gains for PG in WWL were smaller than direct PG gains. From method I, estimates of realized heritability (h2R) for WW were .31 +/- .18 in bulls and .22 +/- .13 in heifers. For PG, h2R was .31 +/- .13 in bulls and .06 +/- .12 in heifers. Using method II, h2R for WW was .09 +/- .08 in bulls and .02 +/- .07 in heifers. Corresponding values for PG were .29 +/- .10 and .11 +/- .08. Joint estimates of the realized genetic correlation between WW and PG were .69 +/- .18 and .46 +/- .31 for methods I and II, respectively. Variation in selection response was evaluated using quasi-replicates. Results of this study indicate that selection for PG improved both WW and PG faster than selection for WW.
Assuntos
Peso Corporal , Bovinos/genética , Seleção Genética , Animais , Bovinos/fisiologia , Feminino , Endogamia , Masculino , Modelos Genéticos , Fenótipo , Fatores de Tempo , DesmameRESUMO
Single trait selection was practiced in three lines of Hereford cattle derived from a common base population. Selection was practiced on males only within sire families for increased weaning weight (WW) in the WW line (WWL), for postweaning gain (PG) in the PG line (PGL) and at random in the control line (CTL). Females were culled on the basis of age or reproductive failure. Progeny of selected bulls were produced in two herds from 1970 through 1981. The data consisted of records on 2,467 progeny of 125 sires and 922 dams. Generations of selection to produce the 1981 calf crop were 1.96, 1.85 and 1.80 for WWL, PGL and CTL, respectively. For calves born in 1981, mean cumulative selection differentials (CSD) were 54.5 kg in WWL and 37.8 kg in PGL. Corresponding values in standard deviation units (SDU) were 2.31 and 1.68, respectively. Secondary selection differentials were 25 to 40% as large as selection differentials for the primary traits. Unintentional selection in the CTL in 1981 was 16.2 kg or .68 SDU for WW and .2 kg or .01 SDU for PG, respectively. Regressions of CSD on year were 4.1 kg or .17 SDU in WWL and 3.2 kg or .14 SDU in PGL. Realized selection differentials were approximately 88% of the potential selection differentials in both lines. Inbreeding coefficients of dam and calves in 1981 were 2.0 and 3.5% in WWL, 2.1 and 3.5% in PGL and 2.9 and 5.8% in CTL.
Assuntos
Peso Corporal , Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Seleção Genética , Animais , Bovinos/fisiologia , Feminino , Endogamia , Masculino , DesmameRESUMO
Single trait selection was practiced in three lines of Hereford cattle. Bulls were selected within sire families for increased weaning weight (WW) in the WW line (WWL), for postweaning gain (PG) in the PG line (PGL) and at random in the control line (CTL). Correlated responses to selection indicated that predicted milk yield in cows and preweaning daily gain and yearling weight in bulls and heifers were genetically improved in both WWL and PGL. Larger correlated responses were observed in PGL than in WWL. Birth weight in bulls and heifers increased in PGL but no genetic change was observed in WWL. Feed efficiency, feed intake and fatness were evaluated in bulls on postweaning feedlot test. No significant correlated responses in feed efficiency were observed in either line. Larger correlated responses in feed intake were observed in PGL bulls than in WWL bulls, while fatness was significantly increased in both selection lines.
Assuntos
Peso Corporal , Bovinos/genética , Leite/metabolismo , Seleção Genética , Tecido Adiposo , Ração Animal , Animais , Bovinos/fisiologia , Metabolismo Energético , Feminino , Lactação , Masculino , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Tempo , DesmameRESUMO
A stochastic computer model was developed to simulate individual pigs in a hierarchical breeding system. The bioeconomic model was designed as a tool to facilitate the evaluation of selection, culling, and management strategies for a three-tiered breeding structure. Events such as mating, farrowing, and selection occurred weekly. Variables included number of pigs born alive, survival rate from birth to weaning, average daily gain and backfat at 110 kg, number of pigs weaned, feed per gain, days from weaning to 110 kg, age at puberty, and growth rate and weight of sows and service boars. Also included were probabilities of conception, return to estrus by week, survival, involuntary culling, male infertility, and unacceptable conformation. Variables important for selection were determined by breeding value, individual and maternal heterosis, parity, size of birth litter, sex, age of dam, genetic and environmental relationships between variables, and common litter, permanent, and random environmental effects. Variables derived from selection variables were computed by regression using phenotypic relationships between all variables. Also, a random environmental effect was added to predicted performance. Means and variances of variables differed between genetic lines. Production costs included feed, non-feed operating, fixed, and replacement stock costs. Income included market animals, culls, and replacements sold to lower tiers. Effects of changes in backfat on market value and sow maintenance feed costs were not modeled. An example is given to illustrate model output.
Assuntos
Cruzamento/economia , Simulação por Computador , Modelos Biológicos , Suínos/genética , Ração Animal/economia , Animais , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Genótipo , Vigor Híbrido , Masculino , Fenótipo , Análise de Regressão , Suínos/crescimento & desenvolvimentoRESUMO
Deterministic computer models were used to simulate the cow-calf segment of an integrated production system. Angus, Charolais, Hereford, Limousin, and Simmental breeds were included in three mating systems: pure-breeding (PB) or two- (2R) or three-breed (3R) rotational crossbreeding. Breed data were taken from the literature. Herds were evaluated over the production year. Sires represented breed averages and were available from sources outside their herds, and 100 replacement heifers were saved annually. Females in 3R had the highest average energy requirements (8,144 Mcal of ME.cow-1.yr-1) and production costs ($322.31.cow-1.yr-1), and PB females had the lowest average requirements (7,748 Mcal of ME.cow-1.yr-1) and costs ($313.2.cow-1.yr-1). Purebred systems were the least biologically and economically efficient (64.9 Mcal of ME/kg of steer equivalent, $2.35/kg of steer equivalent), respectively, and 3R systems were the most efficient (56.6 Mcal of ME/kg of steer equivalent, $1.95/kg of steer equivalent). On average, 3R systems were more efficient biologically and economically than 2R systems. However, some 2R systems were as efficient as some 3R systems. Crossbred combinations containing Angus and(or) Hereford ranked more biologically and economically efficient than other breed combinations. Conversely, British purebreds ranked more biologically efficient, whereas Continental purebreds ranked more economically efficient.
Assuntos
Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Cruzamentos Genéticos , Criação de Animais Domésticos/economia , Animais , Peso ao Nascer/genética , Peso Corporal/genética , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Bovinos/fisiologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/genética , Simulação por Computador , Custos e Análise de Custo , Distocia/genética , Distocia/veterinária , Ingestão de Energia , Metabolismo Energético , Feminino , Fertilidade/genética , Vigor Híbrido , Lactação/genética , Masculino , Modelos Biológicos , Gravidez , Reprodução/genéticaRESUMO
Computer models were used to simulate the feedlot segment of an integrated beef production system. Five breeds, Angus (A), Charolais (C), Hereford (H), Limousin (L), and Simmental (S), in three mating systems, pure-breeding and two- and three-breed rotational crossbreeding, were evaluated for feedlot and carcass performance. Breed data were taken from the literature. Feeder calves (steers and non-replacement heifers) entered the feedlot at 205 d of age. After a 35-d adjustment period, calves were custom-fed to four slaughter end points: 440 d, 457 d, 288-kg carcass weight, or low Choice. Cattle were fed to requirements (megacalories of ME). Input costs included feed and nonfeed expenses (purchase prices, transportation, yardage, and medicinal fees). Carcass values were $2.65 and $2.54/kg of carcass weight for steer and heifers, respectively, between 272 to 318 kg. Over- or underweight carcasses were discounted $.60/kg. At the 440-d end point, Select grade steer and heifer carcasses were discounted an additional $.22 and $17/kg, respectively. Biological efficiency was measured as megacalories of ME/kg of gain, and economic efficiencies were measured as input costs per kilogram of carcass weight, input costs per kilogram of lean weight, and input costs per carcass value. Continental breed combinations (C and S) were most efficient at age- and weight-constant end points for megacalories of ME per kilogram of gain and for input costs per carcass value and most efficient at all end points for input costs per kilogram of carcass weight and input costs per kilogram of lean weight. British breed combinations (A) were most efficient at a fat-constant end point for megacalories of ME per kilogram of gain and input costs per carcass value. Therefore, choosing breed combinations for feedlots depends on slaughter end point and measures of efficiency.
Assuntos
Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Cruzamentos Genéticos , Tecido Adiposo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Ração Animal , Criação de Animais Domésticos/economia , Animais , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Simulação por Computador , Custos e Análise de Custo , Ingestão de Energia , Metabolismo Energético , Feminino , Vigor Híbrido , Masculino , Carne/normas , Modelos Biológicos , Aumento de PesoRESUMO
Angus (A), Charolais (C), Hereford (H), Limousin (L), and Simmental (S) breeds were included in deterministic computer models simulating integrated cow-calf-feedlot production systems. Three mating systems were used: pure-breeding and two-and three-breed rotational crossbreeding. Breed information was taken from the literature. Herd sizes were unrestricted; however, 100 heifers were saved as replacements. Cows were removed for reproductive failure, age (greater than 10.5 yr), or death. Calves produced in the cow-calf segment were fed in a custom feedlot to four slaughter end points: 440 d, 457 d, 288-kg carcass weight, and low Choice. All animals were fed to requirements. Cull cows were slaughtered after weaning. Biological and economic efficiencies improved with crossbreeding; however, rankings of breed combinations depended on how efficiencies were measured (weight, lean, or value basis). Among purebreds, reproductive performance had a large influence on breed rankings at age and weight end points, whereas feedlot performance was important at the low Choice end point. Crossbred combinations involving British (A or H) and Continental (C or S) breeds were more efficient than other crossbred combinations at all end points. However, choosing specific breed combinations for integrated systems depends on slaughter end points, market end points (weight vs lean), and measures of efficiency (weight, lean, or value basis).
Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/economia , Cruzamento , Bovinos/genética , Cruzamentos Genéticos , Animais , Peso Corporal , Bovinos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Masculino , Modelos BiológicosRESUMO
A stochastic life-cycle swine production model was used to study the effect of female replacement rates in the dam-daughter pathway for a tiered breeding structure on genetic change and returns to the breeder. Genetic, environmental, and economic parameters were used to simulate characteristics of individual pigs in a system producing F1 female replacements. Evaluated were maximum culling ages for nucleus and multiplier tier sows. System combinations included one- and five-parity alternatives for both levels and 10-parity options for the multiplier tier. Yearly changes and average phenotypic levels were computed for performance and economic measures. Generally, at the nucleus level, responses to 10 yr of selection for sow and pig performance in five-parity herds were 70 to 85% of response in one-parity herds. Similarly, the highest selection responses in multiplier herds were from systems with one-parity nucleus tiers. Responses in these were typically greater than 115% of the response for systems with the smallest yearly change, namely, the five-parity nucleus and five- and 10-parity multiplier levels. In contrast, the most profitable multiplier tiers (10-parity) had the lowest replacement costs. Within a multiplier culling strategy, rapid genetic change was desirable. Differences between systems that culled after five or 10 parities were smaller than differences between five- and one-parity multiplier options. To recover production costs, systems with the lowest returns required 140% of market hog value for gilts available to commercial tiers, whereas more economically efficient systems required no premium.
Assuntos
Cruzamento/economia , Modelos Biológicos , Suínos/genética , Tecido Adiposo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Custos e Análise de Custo , Ingestão de Alimentos , Feminino , Renda , Paridade , Análise de Regressão , Suínos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Desmame , Aumento de PesoRESUMO
Commercial-level sow replacement rates were investigated for a 10-yr planning horizon using a stochastic life-cycle swine production model. A three-tiered breeding structure was modeled for the production of market hogs in a three-breed static crossing scheme. Growth and reproductive traits of individual pigs were simulated using genetic, environmental, and economic parameters. Culling was after a maximum of 1, 5, or 10 parities in commercial levels within 1- and 5-parity nucleus and 1-, 5-, and 10-parity multiplier combinations. Yearly changes and average phenotypic levels were computed for pig and sow performance and economic measures. For growth traits, greater commercial level response was for systems with higher sow replacement rates, 110 to 115% of lowest response. Phenotypic changes in net returns ranged from $.85 to 1.01 x pig-1 x yr-1. Average growth performances were highest for systems with greatest genetic trend. Highest kilograms.sow-1 x year-1 finished was for 10-parity commercial alternatives. System differences in total costs and returns per pig resulted primarily from differences in replacement costs. Removal of the gilt system from analyses often reduced ranges among systems for economic measures by more than 70%. Systems with the lowest commercial replacement rates were most profitable. Within these systems, those with higher genetic change had highest net returns. For high replacement rates, no more than 175% of market value could be paid for gilts, but with lower sow replacement rates commercial units could justify as much as 450%.
Assuntos
Cruzamento , Suínos/genética , Tecido Adiposo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Cruzamento/economia , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Renda , Tamanho da Ninhada de Vivíparos , Modelos Biológicos , Paridade , Análise de Regressão , Reprodução/genética , Suínos/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Suínos/fisiologia , Aumento de PesoRESUMO
Sow replacement rates in a three-tiered breeding structure were investigated for a 10-yr planning horizon using a stochastic life-cycle swine production model. Market hogs were produced in a three-breed static crossing program and marketed on a liveweight basis. Growth and reproductive traits of individual pigs were simulated using genetic, environmental, and economic parameters. Sows were culled after a maximum of 1, 5, or 10 parities. Systems were defined by maximum sow age at culling and included combinations of 1- and 5-parity nucleus and 1-, 5-, and 10-parity multiplier and commercial tiers. Economic response to index selection was considerable for all culling alternatives with yearly increases in system profits ranging from $1.06 to 1.44 for each commercial hog marketed. When sows were culled after one parity in nucleus, multiplier, and commercial tiers, respectively (1,1,1), annual changes in net returns and all cost measures were 40 to 50% larger than responses in systems with lower sow replacement rates. Based on 10-yr averages for net returns, systems with low multiplier- and commercial-level replacement rates were more profitable than systems with higher replacement rates. The most profitable system (5,10,10) differed from the least profitable system (1,1,1) by more than $10 per pig, but when the (1,1,1) system was excluded, the range was only $3 per pig. The system with lowest replacement rates supported 3,388 more multiplier and 34,151 more commercial sows from a 750-sow nucleus level than the (1,1,1) system. Output from the two extremes differed by > 664,000 commercial market hogs sold.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
Assuntos
Cruzamento/métodos , Suínos/genética , Análise de Sistemas , Animais , Cruzamento/economia , Custos e Análise de Custo , Cruzamentos Genéticos , Feminino , Renda , Masculino , Modelos Biológicos , Paridade , Seleção Genética , Processos Estocásticos , Suínos/crescimento & desenvolvimentoRESUMO
Computer models were used to simulate integrated cow-calf-feedlot production systems. Angus (A), Charolais (C), Hereford (H), Limousin (L), and Simmental (S) purebreds and two- and three-breed rotational crossbreds were included. Models were deterministic and based on data reported primarily from the 1970s. Variation in carcass weights were determined to predict distributions of carcass weights and values for 272- to 318-kg carcasses. Data were updated to a 1984 base by increasing birth, weaning, yearling, and mature weights to account for genetic trends within breeds. Two slaughter end points were considered: 288-kg carcass weight and low Choice grade. At low Choice grade, accounting for variation in carcass weights around the 272- to 318-kg target weight increased the estimated efficiency of A and AH crosses (input costs/carcass value), whereas at the 288-kg end point, efficiency rankings among other breed combinations were relatively unchanged. Including genetic trends resulted in increased estimated efficiencies among breed combinations with previously underweight carcasses at low Choice (A and AH), measured either as input costs/carcass weight or lean weight values. Within breeds, accounting for genetic trends and variation for weights caused breeds to be ranked differently when evaluated at low Choice.