RESUMO
Individual crewmember escape from a disabled U.S. Navy nuclear submarine has never been necessary, but remains an important contingency. Decompression sickness (DCS) is one of the foreseeable risks and a robust mathematical model of DCS incidence has been used to estimate the magnitude of this risk under a variety of escape scenarios. The model was calibrated with over 3000 well-controlled human pressure exposures, less than 2% of which simulated pressure profiles of submarine escape. For disabled submarine depths < 300 ft of sea water (fsw) and internal submarine pressures of <11 fsw (arguably the most likely conditions), the DCS risks are comparable to those routinely undertaken by U.S. Navy divers--less than 5%. For progressively deeper depths and especially for higher submarine internal pressures, the risk of DCS becomes much greater, including unknown chances of permanent injury and death. Variations from the baseline escape procedure are explored, including equipment differences, delays in exiting the submarine and changes in the oxygen content of the breathing mix.
Assuntos
Doença da Descompressão/etiologia , Militares , Modelos Biológicos , Trabalho de Resgate/métodos , Medicina Submarina , Acidentes , Calibragem , Doença da Descompressão/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Funções Verossimilhança , Modelos Lineares , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Pressão , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Análise de Sobrevida , Fatores de Tempo , Estados UnidosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The U.S. Navy Submarine Force offers a unique opportunity to study asthma because of the relative socioeconomic and physical homogeneity of the population and the closed environment occupational exposure. Currently, asthma is disqualifying from submarine service, which results in a significant loss of experienced personnel. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 119 U.S. Navy submariner disqualification packages for asthma between 1989-1993. RESULTS: We found a 0.16% annual period prevalence of asthma in the active duty enlisted Atlantic Fleet Submarine Force. Two groups of asthma disqualifications were identified with a significant increase above their proportional representation in the fleet: enlisted personnel (p < 0.01) and submarine recruits (p < 0.0001). The proportion of African-American personnel also had a tendency toward increased asthma disqualification (p < 0.08). There were no differences in prevalence of asthma between crews of ballistic missile submarines or fast attack submarines. Asthma risk factors reported in the civilian literature (childhood history of asthma, family history of asthma and non-drug allergies) were highly represented in our study (41%, 46% and 68% of submariners, respectively). Most disqualified submariners had "mild" asthma based on the diagnostic work-up. The methacholine challenge test appeared to carry a disproportionate diagnostic weight despite its low specificity. CONCLUSION: Although the period prevalence of asthma is low in the U.S. Navy Submarine Force, submariners disqualified for asthma have similar historical and ethnic risk factors as the civilian population.