High-dimensional mass cytometry identified circulating natural killer T-cell subsets associated with protection from cytomegalovirus infection in kidney transplant recipients.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is associated with poor kidney transplant outcomes. While innate and adaptive immune cells have been implicated in its prevention, an in-depth characterization of the in vivo kinetics of multiple cell subsets and their role in protecting against CMV infection has not been achieved. Here, we performed high-dimensional immune phenotyping by mass cytometry, and functional assays, on 112 serially collected samples from CMV seropositive kidney transplant recipients. Advanced unsupervised deep learning analysis was used to assess immune cell populations that significantly correlated with prevention against CMV infection and anti-viral immune function. Prior to infection, kidney transplant recipients who developed CMV infection showed significantly lower CMV-specific cell-mediated immune (CMI) frequencies than those that did not. A broad diversity of circulating cell subsets within innate and adaptive immune compartments were associated with CMV infection or protective CMV-specific CMI. While percentages of CMV (tetramer-stained)-specific T cells associated with high CMI responses and clinical protection, circulating CD3+CD8midCD56+ NK-T cells overall strongly associated with low CMI and subsequent infection. However, three NK-T cell subsets sharing the CD11b surface marker associated with CMV protection and correlated with strong anti-viral CMI frequencies in vitro. These data were validated in two external independent cohorts of kidney transplant recipients. Thus, we newly describe the kinetics of a novel NK-T cell subset that may have a protective role in post-transplantation CMV infection. Our findings pave the way to more mechanistic studies aimed at understanding the function of these cells in protection against CMV infection.

Exploring kidney allograft rejection: A proof-of-concept study using spatial transcriptomics.

In this proof-of-concept study, spatial transcriptomics combined with public single-cell ribonucleic acid-sequencing data were used to explore the potential of this technology to study kidney allograft rejection. We aimed to map gene expression patterns within diverse pathologic states by examining biopsies classified across nonrejection, T cell-mediated acute rejection, interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy. Our results revealed distinct immune cell signatures, including those of T and B lymphocytes, monocytes, mast cells, and plasma cells, and their spatial organization within the renal interstitium. We also mapped chemokine receptors and ligands to study immune cell migration and recruitment. Finally, our analysis demonstrated differential spatial enrichment of transcription signatures associated with kidney allograft rejection across various biopsy regions. Interstitium regions displayed higher enrichment scores for rejection-associated gene expression patterns than tubular areas, which had negative scores. This implies that these signatures are primarily driven by processes unfolding in the renal interstitium. Overall, this study highlights the value of spatial transcriptomics for revealing cellular heterogeneity and immune signatures in renal transplant biopsies and demonstrates its potential for studying the molecular and cellular mechanisms associated with rejection. However, certain limitations must be borne in mind regarding the development and future applications of this technology.

Expression of Rejection-Associated Transcripts in Early Protocol Renal Transplant Biopsies Is Associated with Tacrolimus Exposure and Graft Outcome.

Subclinical inflammation in protocol biopsies relates to tacrolimus exposure and human leukocyte antigen (HLA) matching. We aimed to characterize transcripts associated with rejection and tacrolimus exposure and the latter's association with transplant outcomes. We tested whether gene expression is associated with rejection using strictly normal protocol biopsies (n = 17) and biopsies with T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) or antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) according to Banff criteria (n = 12). Subsequently, we analyzed these transcripts in a set of 4-month protocol biopsies (n = 137) to assess their association with donor and recipient characteristics, the intensity of immunosuppression, and the graft outcome. Differential expression (false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.01, fold (change (FC) > 3) between normal and rejection biopsies yielded a set of 111 genes. In the protocol biopsy cohort (n = 137), 19 out of these 111 genes correlated with tacrolimus trough levels at the time of biopsy (TAC-C0), and unsupervised analysis split this cohort into two clusters. The two clusters differed in donor age and tacrolimus trough levels. Subclinical rejection, including borderline lesions, tended to occur in the same cluster. Logistic regression analysis indicated that TAC-C0 at the time of biopsy (OR: 0.83, 95%CI:0.72-0.06, p = 0.0117) was associated with cluster 2. In a follow-up averaging 70 ± 30 months, this patient group displayed a significant decline in renal function (p = 0.0135). The expression of rejection-associated transcripts in early protocol biopsies is associated with tacrolimus exposure and a faster decline in renal function.

Corrigendum: Enteric Budesonide in Transplant and Native IgA Nephropathy: Real-World Clinical Practice.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/ti.2022.10693.].

Deciphering transplant outcomes of expanded kidney allografts donated after controlled circulatory death in the current transplant era. A call for caution.

Outcomes of kidney transplantation (KT) after controlled circulatory death (cDCD) with highly expanded criteria donors (ECD) and recipients have not been thoroughly evaluated. We analyzed in a multicenter cohort of 1161 consecutive KT, granular baseline donor and recipient factors predicting transplant outcomes, selected by bootstrapping and Cox proportional hazards, and were validated in a contemporaneous European KT cohort (n = 1585). 74.3% were DBD and 25.7% cDCD-KT. ECD-KT showed the poorest graft survival rates, irrespective of cDCD or DBD (log-rank < 0.001). Besides standard ECD classification, dialysis vintage, older age, and previous cardiovascular recipient events together with low class-II-HLA match, long cold ischemia time and combining a diabetic donor with a cDCD predicted graft loss (C-Index 0.715, 95% CI 0.675-0.755). External validation showed good prediction accuracy (C-Index 0.697, 95%CI 0.643-0.741). Recipient older age, male gender, dialysis vintage, previous cardiovascular events, and receiving a cDCD independently predicted patient death. Benefit/risk assessment of undergoing KT was compared with concurrent waitlisted candidates, and despite the fact that undergoing KT outperformed remaining waitlisted, remarkably high mortality rates were predicted if KT was undertaken under the worst risk-prediction model. Strategies to increase the donor pool, including cDCD transplants with highly expanded donor and recipient candidates, should be performed with caution.

COVID-19 in CKD Patients: Lessons from 553 CKD Patients with Biopsy-Proven Kidney Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients infected with COVID-19 are at risk of serious complications such as hospitalization and death. The prognosis and lethality of COVID-19 infection in patients with established kidney disease has not been widely studied. METHODS: Data included patients who underwent kidney biopsy at the Vall d'Hebron Hospital between January 2013 and February 2020 with COVID-19 diagnosis during the period from March 1 to May 15, 2020. RESULTS: Thirty-nine (7%) patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 infection. Mean age was 63 ± 15 years and 48.7% were male. Hypertension was present in 79.5%, CKD without renal replacement therapy in 76.9%, and cardiovascular disease in 64.1%. Nasopharyngeal swab was performed in 26 patients; older (p = 0.01), hypertensive (p = 0.005), and immunosuppressed (p = 0.01) patients, those using RAS-blocking drugs (p = 0.04), and those with gastrointestinal symptoms (p = 0.02) were more likely to be tested for CO-VID-19. Twenty-two patients required hospitalization and 15.4% died. In bivariate analysis, mortality was associated with older age (p = 0.03), cardiovascular disease (p = 0.05), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p = 0.05), and low hemoglobin levels (p = 0.006). Adjusted Cox regression showed that low hemoglobin levels at admission had 1.81 greater risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CO-VID-19 infection and kidney disease confirmed by kidney biopsy presented a mortality of 15.4%. Swab test for COVID-19 was more likely to be performed in older, hypertensive, and immunosuppressed patients, those using RAS-blocking drugs, and those with gastrointestinal symptoms. Low hemoglobin is a risk factor for mortality.

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for severe COVID-19 in hospitalized kidney transplant recipients: A multicentric cohort study.

Kidney transplant recipients might be at higher risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, risk factors for relevant outcomes remain uncertain in this population. This is a multicentric kidney transplant cohort including 104 hospitalized patients between March 4 and April 17, 2020. Risk factors for death and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) were investigated, and clinical and laboratory data were analyzed. The mean age was 60 years. Forty-seven patients (54.8%) developed ARDS. Obesity was associated to ARDS development (OR 2.63; P = .04). Significant age differences were not found among patients developing and not developing ARDS (61.3 vs 57.8 years, P = .16). Seventy-six (73%) patients were discharged, and 28 (27%) died. Death was more common among the elderly (55 and 70.8 years, P < .001) and those with preexisting pulmonary disease (OR 2.89, P = .009). At admission, higher baseline lactate dehydrogenase (257 vs 358 IU/mL, P = .001) or ARDS conferred higher risk of death (HR 2.09, P = .044). In our cohort, ARDS was equally present among young and old kidney recipients. However, the elderly might be at higher risk of death, along with those showing higher baseline LDH at admission.

A Rejection Gene Expression Score in Indication and Surveillance Biopsies Is Associated with Graft Outcome.

Rejection-associated gene expression has been characterized in renal allograft biopsies for cause. The aim is to evaluate rejection gene expression in subclinical rejection and in biopsies with borderline changes or interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA). We included 96 biopsies. Most differentially expressed genes between normal surveillance biopsies (n = 17) and clinical rejection (n = 12) were obtained. A rejection-associated gene (RAG) score was defined as its geometric mean. The following groups were considered: (a) subclinical rejection (REJ-S, n = 6); (b) borderline changes in biopsies for cause (BL-C, n = 13); (c) borderline changes in surveillance biopsies (BL-S, n = 12); (d) IFTA in biopsies for cause (IFTA-C, n = 20); and (e) IFTA in surveillance biopsies (IFTA-S, n = 16). The outcome variable was death-censored graft loss or glomerular filtration rate decline ≥ 30 % at 2 years. A RAG score containing 109 genes derived from normal and clinical rejection (area under the curve, AUC = 1) was employed to classify the study groups. A positive RAG score was observed in 83% REJ-S, 38% BL-C, 17% BL-S, 25% IFTA-C, and 5% IFTA-S. A positive RAG score was an independent predictor of graft outcome from histological diagnosis (hazard ratio: 3.5 and 95% confidence interval: 1.1-10.9; p = 0.031). A positive RAG score predicts graft outcome in surveillance and for cause biopsies with a less severe phenotype than clinical rejection.

In situ ripening stages monitoring of Lamuyo pepper using a new-generation near-infrared spectroscopy sensor.

BACKGROUND: Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) was used as a nondestructive sensor to assess the quality of freshly harvested Lamuyo peppers. One hundred and forty-four Lamuyo peppers, which were in a range of colors (green, chocolate, orange, and red) when harvested, were analyzed. In this study, the evolution of the main quality parameters during the harvest period was analyzed. Additionally, NIRS predictive models using a portable manual spectrophotometer to evaluate quality parameters together with color index were developed. Moreover, two procedures for taking near-infrared spectra were tested: (1) static, where point spectral readings were taken of around the equator of the fruit; (2) dynamic, where spectra were taken by scanning the entire length of the pepper. RESULTS: Green peppers and those harvested at the beginning of the campaign presented significantly lower values (P < 0.05) of dry matter, soluble solid contents, and titratable acidity, whereas those with red coloration and those harvested at the end of the campaign showed significantly higher values of these three quality parameters (P < 0.05). The predictive capacity of the NIRS models showed that the static mode proved to be the most suitable for measuring the quality of Lamuyo peppers. CONCLUSIONS: The viability of NIRS for measuring dry matter content and soluble solid contents in situ, using a new-generation NIRS sensor, was demonstrated. However, the high water content, the irregular shape of the fruit, and the fact that it is hollow inside all point to the need for using larger samples sets so as to increase the robustness of the models obtained. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry.

Safety and quality issues in summer squashes using handheld portable NIRS sensors for real-time decision making and for on-vine monitoring.

BACKGROUND: Portable handheld near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) instruments currently present enormous advantages in terms of size, weight, and robustness. They also provide fast, precise information that can be obtained in situ, and they represent a viable option for controlling vegetable safety and quality during the growth period. The aim of this research was to evaluate three handheld portable NIRS instruments for in situ and real-time analysis of intact summer squashes. Traditional methods were used to analyze 221 summer squashes, and this work was used to develop calibration models for morphological, safety, and quality parameters. The longitudinal distribution of nitrate content in summer squashes weighing over 400 g was also studied, and the evolution of this parameter during the harvest period was tracked to determine which summer squashes and which zones of the vegetables (peduncle, equatorial, or stylar) could be earmarked for baby-food production. RESULTS: The robustness of the calibration models confirmed the expectations raised by NIRS technology for morphological, safety, and quality control of individual summer squashes, and the models developed with the MicroNIR-1700 instrument were those that provided more accuracy and precision, being the peduncle zone the part with higher nitrate content. CONCLUSIONS: It is in the peduncle zone, therefore, where measurements of this parameter must be carried out to decide on the destination of the harvested product. Summer squashes picked at the end of the harvest are those that must be used for baby-food production. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry.

Rapid, simultaneous, and in situ authentication and quality assessment of intact bell peppers using near-infrared spectroscopy technology.

BACKGROUND: The ability of near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy to authenticate individual bell peppers as a function of the growing system (outdoor or greenhouse) was tested using partial least squares discriminant analysis. Bell peppers grown outdoors (130 samples) or in a greenhouse (264 samples) during the 2015 and 2016 seasons were selected for this purpose and analysed using a portable, handheld, microelectromechanical system (MEMS) instrument MicroPhazir (spectral range 1600-2400 nm), working in reflectance. Subsequently, the potential of NIR spectroscopy as a non-destructive sensor for in situ quality (dry matter and soluble solid content) measurements, was investigated. RESULTS: The models correctly classified 89.73% and 88.00% of the samples by growing system, when trained with unbalanced and balanced sets respectively, mainly due to the differences in physical-chemical attributes between bell peppers cultivated in the two growing systems. Separate classification models for bell peppers grouped by ripeness (judged by the colour), allowed the classification of 88.28-91.37% of the samples correctly. The standard error of cross-validation values for the quantitative models were 0.66% fresh weight and 0.75 °Brix for dry matter and soluble solid content, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results showed that NIR spectroscopy can be used successfully for predicting the growing systems used in bell pepper production, which is of particular value to guarantee the authentication of outdoor-grown peppers. Additionally, the results showed that NIR spectroscopy can be used simultaneously as a rapid preliminary screening technique to measure quality. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry.

Treatment of chronic antibody mediated rejection with intravenous immunoglobulins and rituximab: A multicenter, prospective, randomized, double-blind clinical trial.

There are no approved treatments for chronic antibody mediated rejection (ABMR). We conducted a multicenter, prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trial to evaluate efficacy and safety of intravenous immunoglobulins (IVIG) combined with rituximab (RTX) (EudraCT 2010-023746-67). Patients with transplant glomerulopathy and anti-HLA donor-specific antibodies (DSA) were eligible. Patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <20 mL/min per 1.73m2 and/or severe interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy were excluded. Patients were randomized to receive IVIG (4 doses of 0.5 g/kg) and RTX (375 mg/m2 ) or a wrapped isovolumetric saline infusion. Primary efficacy variable was the decline of eGFR at one year. Secondary efficacy variables included evolution of proteinuria, renal lesions, and DSA at 1 year. The planned sample size was 25 patients per group. During 2012-2015, 25 patients were randomized (13 to the treatment and 12 to the placebo group). The planned patient enrollment was not achieved because of budgetary constraints and slow patient recruitment. There were no differences between the treatment and placebo groups in eGFR decline (-4.2 ± 14.4 vs. -6.6 ± 12.0 mL/min per 1.73 m2 , P-value = .475), increase of proteinuria (+0.9 ± 2.1 vs. +0.9 ± 2.1 g/day, P-value = .378), Banff scores at one year and MFI of the immunodominant DSA. Safety was similar between groups. These data suggest that the combination of IVIG and RTX is not useful in patients displaying transplant glomerulopathy and DSA.

Tacrolimus and mycophenolate regimen and subclinical tubulo-interstitial inflammation in low immunological risk renal transplants.

The aim was to evaluate the relationship between maintenance immunosuppression, subclinical tubulo-interstitial inflammation and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IF/TA) in surveillance biopsies performed in low immunological risk renal transplants at two transplant centers. The Barcelona cohort consisted of 109 early and 66 late biopsies in patients receiving high tacrolimus (TAC-C0 target at 1-year 6-10 ng/ml) and reduced MMF dose (500 mg bid at 1-year). The Oslo cohort consisted of 262 early and 237 late biopsies performed in patients treated with low TAC-C0 (target 3-7 ng/ml) and standard MMF dose (750 mg bid). Subclinical inflammation, adjusted for confounders, was associated with low TAC-C0 in the early (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.61-0.92; P = 0.006) and late biopsies (OR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.50-0.95; P = 0.023) from Barcelona. In the Oslo cohort, it was associated with low MMF in early biopsies (OR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.83-0.98; P = 0.0101) and with low TAC-C0 in late biopsies (OR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.61-0.97; P = 0.0286). MMF dose was significantly reduced in Oslo between early and late biopsies. IF/TA was not associated with TAC-C0 or MMF dose in the multivariate analysis. Our data suggest that in TAC- and MMF-based regimens, TAC-C0 levels are associated with subclinical inflammation in patients receiving reduced MMF dose.

Fast, Low-Cost and Non-Destructive Physico-Chemical Analysis of Virgin Olive Oils Using Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy.

Near-Infrared (NIR) Spectroscopy was used for the non-destructive assessment of physico-chemical quality parameters in olive oil. At the same time, the influence of the sample presentation mode (spinning versus static cup) was evaluated using two spectrophotometers with similar optical characteristics. A total of 478 olive oil samples were used to develop calibration models, testing various spectral signal pre-treatments. The models obtained by applying MPLS regression to spectroscopic data yielded promising results for olive oil quality measurements, particularly for acidity, the peroxide index and alkyl and ethyl ester content. The results obtained indicate that this non-invasive technology can be used successfully by the olive oil sector to categorize olive oils, to detect potential fraud and to provide consumers with more reliable information. Although both sample presentation modes yielded comparable results, equations constructed with samples scanned using the spinning mode provided greater predictive capacity.

The reproducibility and predictive value on outcome of renal biopsies from expanded criteria donors.

Reproducibility and predictive value on outcome are the main criteria to evaluate the utility of histological scores. Here we analyze the reproducibility of donor biopsy assessment by different on-call pathologists and the retrospective evaluation by a single renal pathologist blinded to clinical outcomes. We also evaluate the predictive value on graft outcome of both evaluations. A biopsy was performed in donors with any of the following: age≥55 years, hypertension, diabetes, creatinine>1.5 mg/dl, or stroke. Glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy, intimal thickening, and arteriolar hyalinosis evaluated according to the Banff criteria were added to obtain a chronic score. Biopsies were classified as mild (≥3), intermediate (4-5), or advanced (6-7) damage, and unacceptable (≥8) for transplantation of 127 kidneys biopsied. Weighted κ value between both readings was 0.41 (95% CI: 0.28-0.54). Evaluation of biopsies by the renal pathologist was significantly and independently associated with estimated 12-month glomerular filtration rate and a significant composite outcome variable, including death-censored graft survival and time to reach an estimated glomerular filtration rate<30 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Thus, there was no association between readings of on-call pathologists and outcome. The lack of association between histological scores obtained by the on-call pathologists and graft outcome suggests that a specific training on renal pathology is recommended to optimize the use of kidneys retrieved from expanded criteria donors.

Comparing transplant glomerulopathy in the absence of C4d deposition and donor-specific antibodies to chronic antibody-mediated rejection.

INTRODUCTION: Transplant glomerulopathy (TG) is the characteristic lesion of chronic antibody-mediated rejection (AMR). However, in some patients presents with no circulating HLA antibodies or C4d positivity. AIM: Patients with TG accomplishing criteria for chronic AMR were compared to patients with isolated TG. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We reviewed late (>6 months) graft biopsies performed between 2007 and 2010 (n = 75). Biopsies with C4d-negative TG and no circulating donor-specific antibody were called isolated TG (n = 12), and chronic AMR was defined according to Banff consensus (n = 17). HLA antibodies were evaluated by Luminex technology. Immunohistochemistry was performed to quantify graft infiltrating cells. RESULTS: Patients with isolated TG were older (52 ± 14 vs. 35 ± 14; p = 0.0048), received grafts from older donors (54 ± 16 vs. 41 ± 18; p = 0.0554), and displayed a lower inflammation in the glomerular (g-score: 0.5 ± 0.5 vs. 1.0 ± 0.9; p = 0.0865; CD3 positive cells/glomeruli: 1.5 ± 2.9 vs. 4.4 ± 4.1; p = 0.0147), interstitial (i-score: 1.2 ± 0.9 vs. 1.9 ± 1.0; p = 0.0685; CD45 positive cells/hpf: 18 ± 11 vs. 57 ± 68; p = 0.0132), and peritubular capillary (ptc-score 0.2 ± 0.6 vs. 1.1 ± 0.9; p = 0.0089; CD45 positive cells/hpf: 3.7 ± 3.1 vs. 10.1 ± 7.4; p = 0.0290) compartments. Fifteen grafts were lost and graft survival was significantly lower in patients with chronic AMR (p = 0.0122). CONCLUSION: Isolated TG is associated with less severe allograft inflammation and with a better outcome than chronic AMR.

Tocilizumab in the treatment of active chronic humoral rejection resistant to standard therapy.

INTRODUCTION: There is no consensus on the most appropriate treatment for chronic active antibody-mediated rejection (cAMR). Recent studies suggest that treatment with tocilizumab (TCZ) may stabilize graft function, decrease the intensity of donor-specific HLA antibodies (DSAs) and reduce inflammation of microcirculation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Observational study with renal allograft recipients diagnosed with cAMR (n = 5) who had not submitted a response to traditional treatment based on the combination of plasma replacements, immunoglobulins, and rituximab. Patients were told to be treated with TCZ as compassionate use in six doses per month (8 mg/kg/month). Renal function, proteinuria, and the intensity of DSAs were monitored during follow-up. RESULTS: Five patients, average age 60 ± 13 years, three male and two retrasplants (cPRA average 55%) with preformed DSAs. Treatment with TCZ was initiated within 47 ± 52 days of biopsy. In two cases treatment was discontinued after the first dose, by severe bicitopenia with cytomegalovirus viremia and by graft failure, respectively. In the three patients who completed treatment, no stability of renal function (serum creatinine from 1.73 ± 0.70 to 2.04 ± 0.52 mg/dL, e-FGR 4 6 ± 15 to 36 ± 16 mL/min), showed increased proteinuria (3.2 ± 4.0 to 6.9 ± 11.0 g/g) and the intensity of DSAs maintain stable. No changes were observed in the degree of inflammation of microcirculation (g+pt 4.2 ± 0.8 vs. 4.3 ± 1.0) or in the degree of transplant glomerulopathy (cg 1.2 ± 0.4 vs. 1.8 ± 1.0). CONCLUSIONS: TCZ therapy does not appear to be effective in modifying the natural history of chronic active antibody-mediated rejection, does not improve the degree of inflammation of microcirculation and does not reduces the intensity of DSAs.

Estimation of renal allograft half-life: fact or fiction?

INTRODUCTION: Renal allograft half-life time (t½) is the most straightforward representation of long-term graft survival. Since some statistical models overestimate this parameter, we compare different approaches to evaluate t½. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with a 1-year functioning graft transplanted in Spain during 1990, 1994, 1998 and 2002 were included. Exponential, Weibull, gamma, lognormal and log-logistic models censoring the last year of follow-up were evaluated. The goodness of fit of these models was evaluated according to the Cox-Snell residuals and the Akaike's information criterion (AIC) was employed to compare these models. RESULTS: We included 4842 patients. Real t½ in 1990 was 14.2 years. Median t½ (95% confidence interval) in 1990 and 2002 was 15.8 (14.2-17.5) versus 52.6 (35.6-69.5) according to the exponential model (P < 0.001). No differences between 1990 and 2002 were observed when t½ was estimated with the other models. In 1990 and 2002, t½ was 14.0 (13.1-15.0) versus 18.0 (13.7-22.4) according to Weibull, 15.5 (13.9-17.1) versus 19.1 (15.6-22.6) according to gamma, 14.4 (13.3-15.6) versus 18.3 (14.2-22.3) according to the log-logistic and 15.2 (13.8-16.6) versus 18.8 (15.3-22.3) according to the lognormal models. The AIC confirmed that the exponential model had the lowest goodness of fit, while the other models yielded a similar result. CONCLUSIONS: The exponential model overestimates t½, especially in cohorts of patients with a short follow-up, while any of the other studied models allow a better estimation even in cohorts with short follow-up.

An innovative non-targeted control system based on NIR spectral information for detecting non-compliant batches of sweet almonds.

Nowadays, there is growing awareness about the need to develop new methodologies to fight against deliberate fraud. This study explored the use of near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) as an instantaneous, non-targeted method for detecting non-compliant products; in this case, when used to detect sweet almond batches adulterated with bitter almonds. For this purpose, we simulated the adulteration of batches by preparing four different types of mixed samples which contained 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% of bitter almonds, respectively, using 90 samples of sweet almonds and 50 samples of bitter almonds. For each of the adulteration percentages, 21 samples were produced. The samples were analysed using the Aurora and the Matrix-F spectrophotometers. The procedure initially constructed the desired standard or target using only the spectral information provided by the sweet almond population (control population). To achieve this, after principal components analysis, the spectral warning and action limits were calculated using the n-dimensional statistic Mahalanobis global distance. Next, the spectral distances from the product standard defined for those samples not belonging to the control population, including the adulterated sweet almonds, were calculated and represented as Shewhart control charts. The implementation of NIRS technology throughout the almond supply chain enabled to identify 87% (73/84) of the adulterated sweet almond batches. These findings suggest that NIRS technology and the use of spectral distances could enable to establish an innovative, non-targeted control system based only on spectral information to assess almond batches. This system allows to carry out conformity tests both in situ and online of the batches of almonds received and processed in the industry, as well as establishing fast, cost-efficient anti-fraud alert systems, which would help to reduce the number of batches to be analysed by expensive and time-consuming confirmatory methods.