Comprehensive Case-Control Study of Protective and Risk Factors for Buruli Ulcer, Southeastern Australia.

To examine protective and risk factors for Buruli ulcer (BU), we conducted a case-control study of 245 adult BU cases and 481 postcode-matched controls across BU-endemic areas of Victoria, Australia. We calculated age- and sex-adjusted odds ratios for socio-environmental, host, and behavioral factors associated with BU by using conditional logistic regression. Odds of BU were >2-fold for persons with diabetes mellitus and persons working outdoors who had soil contact in BU-endemic areas (compared with indoor work) but were lower among persons who had bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccinations. BU was associated with increasing numbers of possums and with ponds and bore water use at residences. Using insect repellent, covering arms and legs outdoors, and immediately washing wounds were protective; undertaking multiple protective behaviors was associated with the lowest odds of BU. Skin hygiene/protection behaviors and previous bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination might provide protection against BU in BU-endemic areas.

Exploration of associations between occupational exposures and current adult eczema.

OBJECTIVES: There is a scarcity of evidence on occupational exposures that may increase eczema in adults. We aimed to investigate potential associations between occupational exposures and eczema in middle-aged adults. METHODS: A lifetime work history calendar was collected from the Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study participants when they were at age 53. Their work history was collated with the occupational asthma-specific job exposure matrix to define ever-exposure and cumulative exposure unit-years since no eczema job exposure matrix is available. Eczema was determined using the report of flexural rash that was coming and going for at least 6 months in the last 12 months. Skin prick tests were used to further subgroup eczema and atopic eczema (AE) or non-AE (NAE). Logistic and multinomial regression models were used to investigate the associations. RESULTS: Eczema prevalence was 9.1%. Current occupational exposure to animals (adjusted OR, aOR=3.06 (95% CI 1.43 to 6.58)), storage mites (aOR=2.96 (95% CI 1.38 to 6.34)) and endotoxin (aOR=1.95 (95% CI 1.04 to 3.64)) were associated with increased risk of current eczema. Furthermore, increased odds of NAE were associated with current exposure to animals (aOR=5.60 (95% CI 1.45 to 21.7)) and storage mites (aOR=5.63 (95% CI 1.45 to 21.9)). Current exposures to isocyanates (aOR=5.27 (95% CI 1.17 to 23.7)) and acrylates (aOR=8.41 (95% CI 1.60 to 44.3)) were associated with AE. There was no evidence of associations between cumulative exposures and eczema prevalence. Cumulative exposure to metalworking fluids (aOR=1.10 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.22)) was associated with NAE and acrylates (aOR=1.24 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.46)) with AE. CONCLUSIONS: In this exploratory assessment, multiple occupational exposures were associated with current eczema in middle-aged adults. Raising awareness and limiting these exposures during an individual's productive working life will likely have various health benefits, including reducing eczema prevalence.

Establishing subclasses of childhood eczema, their risk factors and prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The heterogeneity of development and progression of eczema suggests multiple underlying subclasses for which aetiology and prognosis may vary. A better understanding may provide a comprehensive overview of eczema development and progression in childhood. Thus, we aimed to determine longitudinal eczema subclasses based on assessments and identify their associations with risk factors and allergic outcomes. METHODS: A total of 619 participants with a family history of allergic disease were assessed at 24 time-points from birth to 12 years. At each time, eczema was defined as the report of current rash treated with topical steroid-based preparations. Longitudinal latent class analysis was used to determine eczema subclasses. Subsequent analyses using regression models assessed the associations between eczema subclasses and potential risk factors and allergic outcomes at 18- and 25-year follow-ups (eczema, allergic rhinitis, asthma and allergic sensitization). RESULTS: We identified five eczema subclasses 'early-onset persistent', 'early-onset resolving', 'mid-onset persistent', 'mid-onset resolving' and 'minimal eczema'. Filaggrin null mutations were associated with the early-onset persistent (OR = 2.58 [1.09-6.08]) and mid-onset persistent class (OR = 2.58 [1.32-5.06]). Compared with 'minimal eczema', participants from early-onset persistent class had higher odds of eczema (OR = 11.8 [5.20-26.6]) and allergic rhinitis (OR = 3.13 [1.43-6.85]) at 18 and at 25 years eczema (OR = 9.37 [3.17-27.65]), allergic rhinitis (OR = 3.26 [1.07-9.93]) and asthma (OR = 2.91 [1.14-7.43]). Likewise, mid-onset persistent class had higher odds of eczema (OR = 2.59 [1.31-5.14]), allergic rhinitis (OR = 1.70 [1.00-2.89]) and asthma (OR = 2.00 [1.10-3.63]) at 18 and at 25 years eczema (OR = 6.75 [3.11-14-65]), allergic rhinitis (OR = 2.74 [1.28-5.88]) and asthma (OR = 2.50 [1.25-5.00]). Allergic and food sensitization in early life was more common in those in the persistent eczema subclasses. CONCLUSION: We identified five distinct eczema subclasses. These classes were differentially associated with risk factors, suggesting differences in aetiology, and also with the development of allergic outcomes, highlighting their potential to identify high-risk groups for close monitoring and intervention.

The association between domestic hard water and eczema in adults from the UK Biobank cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Eczema is a chronic inflammatory skin disease. Domestic water with high mineral content (hard water) is a risk factor for eczema in children, but this association has not been assessed in adults. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between domestic hard water supply and eczema prevalence and incidence in adults aged 40-69 years and the contextual effect in eczema outcomes by postcode in adults in the UK. METHODS: We used data from the UK Biobank study collected in 2006-10 (baseline) and 2013-14 (follow-up). Eczema prevalence at baseline (2006-10) and at follow-up (2013-14) and incidence (new onset between baseline and follow-up) were determined from the touchscreen questionnaires and nurse-led interviews. Domestic hard water information was obtained in 2005 and 2013 from the local water supply companies in England, Wales and Scotland as CaCO3 concentrations. We fitted multilevel logistic regression models with random intercepts for postcode areas to examine the effect of domestic hard water on eczema outcomes, and we measured components of variance. RESULTS: In total, 306 531 participants with a mean age of 57 years nested across 7642 postcodes were included in the baseline analysis, and 31 036 participants nested across 3695 postcodes were included in the follow-up analysis. We observed an increase in the odds of eczema at baseline [odds ratio (OR) 1·02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1·01-1·04] per 50 mg L-1 of CaCO3 increase. Furthermore, exposure to domestic hard water (> 200 mg L-1 of CaCO3 ) was associated with increased odds of prevalent eczema at baseline (OR 1·12, 95% CI 1·04-1·22). Moreover, there was a significant linear trend (P < 0·001) in which increasing levels of hard water increased eczema prevalence risk. No association was observed with incident eczema or eczema at follow-up. The intraclass correlation coefficient for postcode was 1·6% (95% CI 0·7-3·4), which remained unexplained by area-level socioeconomic measures. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing levels of domestic hard water, as measured by CaCO3 concentrations, were associated with an increased prevalence of eczema in adults but not increased incidence. Ongoing efforts to reduce hard water exposure may have a beneficial effect in reducing the burden of eczema in adults. Further research is needed to explore area-level factors that may lead to eczema. What is already known about this topic? Hard water is formed when minerals are dissolved in water from filtration through sedimentary rocks. Several studies have reported a higher prevalence of eczema in areas with hard water. However, all studies on this topic have assessed this in infants and school-aged children, while this association has not been explored in adults. What does this study add? Our findings suggest that exposure to higher concentrations of domestic hard water is associated with an increase in eczema prevalence in adults aged 40-69 years. Ongoing efforts to reduce hard water exposure may have a beneficial effect in reducing eczema prevalence in adults.

Infant body mass index trajectories and asthma and lung function.

BACKGROUND: The impact of early rapid increase in body mass index (BMI) on asthma risk and subsequent lung function remains contentious, with limited prospective studies during a critical window for lung growth. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to investigate the associations between BMI trajectories in the first 2 years of life and adolescent asthma and lung function. METHODS: Anthropometric data on 620 infants from the Melbourne Atopy Cohort Study were collected up to 18 times in the first 24 months of the study. BMI trajectories were developed by using group-based trajectory modeling. Associations between these trajectories and spirometry, fractional exhaled nitric oxide level, and current asthma status at 12 and/or 18 years of age were modeled by using multiple linear and logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 5 BMI trajectories were identified. Compared with those children with the "average" trajectory, the children belonging to the "early-low and catch-up" and "persistently high" BMI trajectories were at higher risk of asthma at the age of 18 years (odds ratios = 2.2 [95% CI = 1.0-4.8] and 2.4 [95% CI = 1.1-5.3], respectively). These trajectories were also associated with a lower ratio of FEV1 to forced vital capacity and a higher fractional exhaled nitric oxide levels at age 18 years. In addition, children belonging to the persistently low trajectory had lower FEV1 (ß = -183.9 mL [95% CI = -340.9 to -26.9]) and forced vital capacity (ß = -207.8 mL [95% CI = -393.6 to -22.0]) values at the age of 18 years. CONCLUSION: In this cohort, the early-low and catch-up and persistently high trajectories were associated with asthma and obstructive lung function pattern in adolescence. Having a persistently low BMI at an early age was associated with a restrictive pattern. Thus, maintenance of normal growth patterns may lead to improved adolescent respiratory health.

Association between ambient air pollution and development and persistence of atopic and non-atopic eczema in a cohort of adults.

BACKGROUND: There is limited information on risk factors for eczema in adults. Recent evidence suggests that air pollution may be associated with increased incidence of eczema in adults. We aimed to assess this possible association. METHODS: Ambient air pollution exposures (distance from a major road, nitrogen dioxide [NO2 ], fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 µm [PM2.5 ]) were assessed for the residential address of Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study participants at ages 43 and 53 years. Eczema incidence (onset after age 43 years), prevalence (at 53 years), and persistence were assessed from surveys, while IgE sensitization was assessed using skin prick tests. The presence or absence of eczema and sensitization was classified into four groups: no atopy or eczema, atopy alone, non-atopic eczema, and atopic eczema. Adjusted logistic and multinomial regression models were fitted to estimate associations between ambient air pollution and eczema, and interaction by sex was assessed. RESULTS: Of 3153 participants in both follow-ups, 2369 had valid skin prick tests. For males, a 2.3 ppb increase in baselineNO2 was associated with increased odds of prevalent eczema (OR = 1.15 [95% CI 0.98-1.36]) and prevalent atopic eczema (OR = 1.26 [1.00-1.59]). These associations were not seen in females (p for interaction = 0.08, <0.01). For both sexes, a 1.6 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 exposure at follow-up was associated with increased odds of aeroallergen sensitization (OR = 1.15 [1.03-1.30]). CONCLUSION: Increased exposure to residential ambient air pollutants was associated with an increased odds of eczema, only in males, and aeroallergen sensitization in both genders.

Is short-term exposure to grass pollen adversely associated with lung function and airway inflammation in the community?

BACKGROUND: The association between grass pollen exposure and early markers of asthma exacerbations such as lung function changes and increase in airway inflammation is limited. We investigated the associations between short-term grass pollen exposure and lung function and airway inflammation in a community-based sample, and whether any such associations were modified by current asthma, current hay fever, pollen sensitization, age, and other environmental factors. METHODS: Cross-sectional and short-term analyses of data from the Melbourne Atopy Cohort Study (MACS) participants (n = 936). Lung function was assessed using spirometry. Airway inflammation was assessed by fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and exhaled breath condensate pH and nitrogen oxides (NOx). Daily pollen counts were collected using a volumetric spore trap. The associations were examined by linear regression. RESULTS: Higher ambient levels of grass pollen 2 days before (lag 2) were associated with lower mid-forced expiratory flow (FEF25%-75% ) and FEV1 /FVC ratio (Coef. [95% CI] = -119 [-226, -11] mL/s and -1.0 [-3.0, -0.03] %, respectively) and also 3 days before (lag 3). Increased levels of grass pollen a day before (lag 1) were associated with increased FeNO (4.35 [-0.1, 8.7] ppb) and also at lag 2. Adverse associations between pollen and multiple outcomes were greater in adults with current asthma, hay fever, and pollen sensitization. CONCLUSION: Grass pollen exposure was associated with eosinophilic airway inflammation 1-2 days after exposure and airway obstruction 2-3 days after exposure. Adults and individuals with asthma, hay fever, and pollen sensitization may be at higher risk.

Predictors of lung function trajectories in population-based studies: A systematic review.

Despite the growing body of evidence on lung function trajectories over the life course and their risk factors, the literature has not been systematically synthesized. Publications related to lung function trajectories were identified from PubMed, EMBASE and CINAHL databases. Two authors independently identified publications for inclusion according to predefined selection criteria. Studies that modelled lung function trajectories and reported associated exposures were included. Meta-analyses could not be conducted due to heterogeneity in the exposures and methods used to model lung function trajectories. Nine publications were eligible for inclusion of which four used group-based trajectory modelling to model lung function trajectories, while five used latent profile analysis. Studies with repeated lung function measurements over the life course identified more trajectories than others. Only one study spanning from childhood to middle age reported catch-up trajectory. The following childhood risk factors for subnormal lung function trajectories were observed in at least across two studies: low birth weight, early wheezing, asthma, allergic sensitization, eczema, allergic rhinitis, lower respiratory tract infections, family history of asthma and second-hand smoke exposure. Adult active asthma and personal cigarette smoking were observed to be associated with accelerated decline lung trajectories. Our review identified 10 risk factors associated with the growth, catch-up, reduced plateau and decline trajectories of lung function. Intervention directed at childhood asthma and infections, and tobacco smoke exposure at all ages would help promote lung health and prevent subnormal lung function trajectories.

The effect of breastfeeding on lung function at 12 and 18†years: a prospective cohort study.

The objective was to assess associations between duration of total and exclusive breastfeeding and lung function up to adolescence.A birth cohort (Melbourne Atopy Cohort Study) of 620 infants with a family history of allergic disease was recruited. Mothers were encouraged to breastfeed exclusively for 6 months. Lung function was assessed at 12 and 18 years of age. Associations between breastfeeding and lung function were investigated using multivariable linear regression and path analysis was used to assess the potential mediating factors.Duration of breastfeeding (total and exclusive) was not associated with most assessed lung function outcomes. However, there was a trend for increased pre-bronchodilator mid-expiratory flow (MEF) at both 12 (adjusted mean difference (95% CI) per week of breastfeeding of 10 (-1-20) mL·s(-1)) and 18 years (11 (-1-22) mL·s(-1)) (p-values of 0.07 and 0.08, respectively). There was a strong indirect effect of height on these observed associations.Duration of breastfeeding does not appear to greatly influence lung function outcomes in children with a family history of allergic diseases. Longer duration of exclusive breastfeeding may be associated with an increase in MEF, partly due to greater attained height of the child.

A serological assay using Tropheryma whipplei antigens for the presumptive exclusion of Whipple disease.

Whipple disease (WD) is a rare infection in genetically susceptible people caused by the bacterium Tropheryma whipplei. An indirect immunofluorescence serological assay (IFA), detecting patient antibodies to the bacterium, was developed using T. whipplei as antigen. We hypothesised that this assay could be used to rule out WD in patients in whom the diagnosis was being considered, based on high immunoglobulin (Ig) G titres to T. whipplei. In this study, 16 confirmed WD patients and 156 age-matched controls from across Australia were compared serologically. WD patients mostly underproduced IgG antibody to T. whipplei, with titres of ≤1:32 being common. While at an antibody titre of <1:64 the assay sensitivity for WD was only 69% [95% confidence interval (CI) 41-89%], its specificity for excluding WD was 91% (95% CI 85-95%). This specificity increased to 95% (95% CI 90-98%) at an antibody titre of <1:16. Patients with antibody titres of >1:64 were unlikely to have WD. At this titre, the seroprevalence of T. whipplei IgG antibody was 92% (223/242) in Australian blood donors. Unlike other serological assays, which are used to confirm a specific infection, this novel assay is designed to rule out WD infection with a specificity in Australia of 91%. Further validation of this assay, by trialling in other countries, should now be undertaken, as its usefulness is dependent on there being a high background seropositivity to T. whipplei in the general population at the location in which the assay is being used.

Mycobacterium ulcerans culture results according to duration of prior antibiotic treatment: A cohort study.

Mycobacterium ulcerans disease is a necrotising disease of the skin and subcutaneous tissue and is effectively treated with eight-weeks antibiotic therapy. Significant toxicities, however, are experienced under this prolonged regimen. Here, we investigated the length of antibiotic duration required to achieve negative cultures of M. ulcerans disease lesions and evaluated the influence of patient characteristics on this outcome. M. ulcerans cases from an observational cohort that underwent antibiotic treatment prior to surgery and had post-excision culture assessment at Barwon Health, Victoria, from May 25 1998 to June 30 2019, were included. Antibiotic duration before surgery was grouped as <2 weeks, ≥2-<4 weeks, ≥4-<6 weeks, ≥6-<8 weeks, ≥8-<10 weeks and ≥10-20 weeks. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the association between variables and culture positive results. Ninety-two patients fitted the inclusion criteria. The median age was 60 years (IQR 28-74.5) and 51 (55.4%) were male. Rifampicin-based regimens were predominantly used in combination with clarithromycin (47.8%) and ciprofloxacin (46.7%), and the median duration of antibiotic treatment before surgery was 23 days (IQR, 8.0-45.5). There were no culture positive results after 19 days of antibiotic treatment and there was a significant association between antibiotic duration before surgery and a culture positive outcome (p<0.001). The World Health Organisation category of the lesion and the antibiotic regimen used had no association with the culture outcome. Antibiotics appear to be effective at achieving negative cultures of M. ulcerans disease lesions in less than the currently recommended eight-week duration.

The association between sugar intake during pregnancy and allergies in offspring: a systematic review and a meta-analysis of cohort studies.

CONTEXT: It has been hypothesized that a mother's diet during pregnancy may modulate her offspring's immune system development and lead to development of allergic diseases among offspring. However, the evidence for this is unclear and inconclusive. OBJECTIVE: This systematic review was undertaken to examine the weight of evidence for causality from cohort studies on the association between maternal free sugar intake during pregnancy and development of allergies in offspring. DATA SOURCES: Using a systematic search strategy, PubMed, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases were searched from inception to May 2020. DATA EXTRACTION: For the reporting of this systematic review, the PRISMA guideline was followed. Studies examining maternal sugar consumption during pregnancy (using self-reported data) and the development of allergic diseases among offspring (infancy to 5 years) were included. DATA ANALYSIS: The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale quality assessment tool was used to assess the study quality. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to synthesize the findings. Of 159 publications identified from the search, 5 articles with 4 unique cohort studies were included in this systematic review. The limited meta-analysis showed that a mother's increased free sugar intake during pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of developing asthma in offspring (odds ratio 1.07 [95% CI, 1.00 to 1.14; I2 = 0%]). High free sugar intake by the mother during pregnancy was also associated with increased odds of offspring (to age 7.7 years) developing other common allergies, including allergic rhinitis, atopy and eczema, wheeze, and food allergies . CONCLUSION: From the limited evidence, this review suggests that high free sugar consumption during pregnancy may be associated with the development of allergies in offspring. Clinical guidelines and public health policy recommendations for maternal diet in pregnancy should include advice about reducing free sugar intake due to a possible association with allergies in offspring. However, recommendations should be made with caution considering other maternal and fetal risk factors.

Particulate Matter and Premature Mortality: A Bayesian Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: We present a systematic review of studies assessing the association between ambient particulate matter (PM) and premature mortality and the results of a Bayesian hierarchical meta-analysis while accounting for population differences of the included studies. METHODS: The review protocol was registered in the PROSPERO systematic review registry. Medline, CINAHL and Global Health databases were systematically searched. Bayesian hierarchical meta-analysis was conducted using a non-informative prior to assess whether the regression coefficients differed across observations due to the heterogeneity among studies. RESULTS: We identified 3248 records for title and abstract review, of which 309 underwent full text screening. Thirty-six studies were included, based on the inclusion criteria. Most of the studies were from China (n = 14), India (n = 6) and the USA (n = 3). PM2.5 was the most frequently reported pollutant. PM was estimated using modelling techniques (22 studies), satellite-based measures (four studies) and direct measurements (ten studies). Mortality data were sourced from country-specific mortality statistics for 17 studies, Global Burden of Disease data for 16 studies, WHO data for two studies and life tables for one study. Sixteen studies were included in the Bayesian hierarchical meta-analysis. The meta-analysis revealed that the annual estimate of premature mortality attributed to PM2.5 was 253 per 1,000,000 population (95% CI: 90, 643) and 587 per 1,000,000 population (95% CI: 1, 39,746) for PM10. CONCLUSION: 253 premature deaths per million population are associated with exposure to ambient PM2.5. We observed an unstable estimate for PM10, most likely due to heterogeneity among the studies. Future research efforts should focus on the effects of ambient PM10 and premature mortality, as well as include populations outside Asia. Key messages: Ambient PM2.5 is associated with premature mortality. Given that rapid urbanization may increase this burden in the coming decades, our study highlights the urgency of implementing air pollution mitigation strategies to reduce the risk to population and planetary health.

Cell-mediated and serology-based tests for Mycobacterium ulcerans disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Buruli ulcer (BU) is a subcutaneous necrotic infection of the skin caused by Mycobacterium ulcerans. It is the third most common human mycobacterial disease after tuberculosis (TB) and leprosy. The available methods for detection of the bacilli in lesions are microscopic detection, isolation and cultivation of the bacterium, histopathology, and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). These methods, although approved by the World Health Organization (WHO), have infrastructural and resource challenges in medical centres and cell-mediated immunity (CMI) and/or serology-based tests have been suggested as easier and more appropriate for accurate assessment of the disease, especially in remote or underdeveloped areas. This study systematically reviewed and conducted a meta-analysis for all research aimed at developing cell-mediated immunity (CMI) and/or serology-based tests for M. ulcerans disease. Information for this review was searched through PubMed and Web of Science databases and identified up to June 2019. References from relevant articles and reports from the WHO Annual Meeting of the Global Buruli Ulcer Initiative were also used. Twelve studies beginning in 1952, that attempted to develop CMI and/or serology-based tests for the disease were identified. These studies addressed issues of specificity and sensitivity in context of antigen composition as well as study heterogeneity and bias. The two main types of antigenic preparations considered were pathogen-derived and recombinant protein preparations. There was slight difference in test performance when M. ulcerans recombinant proteins [positivity: 67.5%; 32.5%] or pathogen-derived [positivity: 76.0%; 24.0%] preparations were used as test antigens among BU patients. However, pathogen-derived preparations were better at differentiating between patients and control groups [odds ratio (OR) of 27.92, 95%CI: 5.05-154.28]. This was followed by tests with the recombinant proteins [OR = 1.23, 95%CI: 0.27-5.62]. Overall, study heterogeneity index, I2 was 92.4% (p = 0.000). It is apparent from this review that standardisation is needed in any future CMI and/or serology-based tests used for M. ulcerans disease.

Interaction of Glutathione S-Transferase M1, T1, and P1 Genes With Early Life Tobacco Smoke Exposure on Lung Function in Adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Glutathione S-transferase (GST) genes are involved in the management of oxidative stress in the lungs. We aimed to determine whether they modify the associations between early life smoke exposure and adverse lung health outcomes. METHODS: The Melbourne Atopy Cohort study (a high-risk birth cohort) enrolled 620 children and followed them prospectively from birth. We recorded perinatal tobacco smoke exposure, asthma, and lung function at 12 (59%) and 18 years (66%) and genotyped for GSTM1, GSTT1, and GSTP1 (69%). RESULTS: GST genotypes were found to interact with tobacco smoke exposure on lung function outcomes (P interaction ≤ .05). Only among children with GSTT1 null genotypes was exposure to mother's, father's, or parental tobacco smoke in early life associated with an increased risk of reductions in prebronchodilator (BD) FEV1 and FVC at both 12 and 18 years. These associations were not seen in children with GSTT1 present. Similarly, only among children with GSTM1 null genotypes was exposure to father's or parental smoking associated with reductions in pre- and post-BD FEV1 and FVC at 18 years. Only among children with Ile/Ile genotypes of GSTP1 was exposure to mother's smoking associated with increased risk of reduced FEV1 at 18 years, but this was not the case among children with Val/Val or Ile/Val genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides evidence of interaction between early tobacco smoke exposure and GST genotypes on lung function. Carriers of GST null mutations and GSTP1 Ile/Ile alleles may be more susceptible when exposed to tobacco smoke in early life. These findings support stronger recommendations to protect all infants from tobacco smoke exposure. TRIAL REGISTRY: Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry; No.: ACTRN12609000734268; URL: http://www.anzctr.org.au/.

Prediction models for the development of COPD: a systematic review.

Early identification of people at risk of developing COPD is crucial for implementing preventive strategies. We aimed to systematically review and assess the performance of all published models that predicted development of COPD. A search was conducted to identify studies that developed a prediction model for COPD development. The Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies was followed when extracting data and appraising the selected studies. Of the 4,481 records identified, 30 articles were selected for full-text review, and only four of these were eligible to be included in the review. The only consistent predictor across all four models was a measure of smoking. Sex and age were used in most models; however, other factors varied widely. Two of the models had good ability to discriminate between people who were correctly or incorrectly classified as at risk of developing COPD. Overall none of the models were particularly useful in accurately predicting future risk of COPD, nor were they good at ruling out future risk of COPD. Further studies are needed to develop new prediction models and robustly validate them in external cohorts.

The impact of breastfeeding on lung development and function: a systematic review.

With the global trend of increasing asthma and allergic disorders there is strong interest regarding early life nutrition as a potentially modifiable risk factor for lung disease. This systematic review includes 10 studies that assessed the effect of breastfeeding on lung growth and function. The review found breastfeeding to be beneficial for lung function, with the most consistent effect on increased forced vital capacity. There was no clear evidence that the relationship between breastfeeding and lung function was mediated through other factors. Furthermore, the findings from the few studies that investigated if maternal asthma modified the effect of breastfeeding on lung function were inconsistent. Further research is needed to determine the specific details such as duration and type (exclusive vs partial) of breastfeeding that leads to improved lung function.