Sex differences in recovery of quality of life 12 months post-fracture in community-dwelling older adults: analyses of the Australian arm of the International Costs and Utilities Related to Osteoporotic Fractures Study (AusICUROS).

In this study of 695 Australian older adults (aged ≥50 years), we found that men and women had a similar trajectory of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) recovery following fragility fracture at any skeletal site. These results provide us with critical knowledge that improves our understanding of health outcomes post-fracture. INTRODUCTION: Mortality is higher in men than that in women following a fragility fracture, but it is unclear whether recovery of patient-reported outcomes such as health-related quality of life (HRQoL) differs between sexes. This study aimed to identify sex differences in HRQoL recovery 12 months post-fracture. METHODS: Data were from the Australian arm of the International Costs and Utilities Related to Osteoporotic Fractures Study (AusICUROS). Participants recruited to AusICUROS were adults aged ≥50 years who sustained a fragility fracture. HRQoL was measured using the EQ-5D-3L at three time-points post-fracture: within 2 weeks (including pre-fracture recall) and at 4 and 12 months. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were undertaken, adjusting for confounders including age, education, income, and healthcare utilization post-fracture. RESULTS: Overall, 695 AusICUROS participants (536 women, 77.1%) were eligible for analysis with fractures at the hip (n = 150), distal forearm (n = 261), vertebrae (n = 61), humerus (n = 52), and other skeletal sites (n = 171). At the time of fracture, men were younger, reported a higher income, and were more likely to be employed, compared with women. For all fracture sites combined, there were no differences between men and women in recovery to pre-fracture HRQoL at 12-month follow-up (adjusted OR = 1.09; 95% CI: 0.75-1.61). When stratified by fracture site, no significant sex differences were seen for hip (OR = 1.02; 95% CI: 0.42-2.52), distal forearm (OR = 1.60; 95% CI: 0.68-3.78), vertebral (OR = 2.28; 95% CI: 0.61-8.48), humeral (OR = 1.62; 95% CI: 0.16-9.99), and other fractures (OR = 1.00; 95% CI: 0.44-2.26). CONCLUSION: Community-dwelling men and women who survived the 12 months following fragility fracture had a similar trajectory of HRQoL recovery at any skeletal site.

The cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of dietary patterns with knee symptoms and MRI detected structure in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of dietary patterns with knee symptoms and structures in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: Participants with symptomatic knee OA were recruited from a randomised, placebo-controlled trial conducted in Tasmania (N = 259) and Victoria (N = 133). Diet was assessed by the Anti-Cancer Council of Victoria food frequency questionnaire. Factor analysis was used to identify dietary patterns. Knee symptoms were assessed using Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC) and structures using MRI. Multivariable linear regressions were used to examine associations. RESULTS: Three dietary patterns ("high-fat", "healthy" and "mixed") were identified in whole sample. Participants with higher "healthy pattern" score had lower total WOMAC, pain, function and stiffness scores at baseline but the associations were not significant over 24 months. Three ("western", "vegetable and meat" and "mediterranean") and two ("processed" and "vegetable") patterns were identified in Tasmania and Victoria, respectively. Cross-sectionally, only "mediterranean pattern" and "vegetable pattern" scores were significantly and negatively associated with total WOMAC or function scores. Longitudinally, participants with higher "western pattern" had worsening function (ß: 0.35, 95%CI: 0.03, 0.67) and total WOMAC (ß: 0.40, 95%CI: 0.07, 0.72) scores; furthermore, "vegetable pattern" was associated with decreased WOMAC stiffness score (ß: -0.47, 95%CI: -0.93, -0.02). In contrast, dietary patterns were largely not associated with structural changes. CONCLUSION: Some healthy dietary patterns were associated with reduced joint symptoms but dietary patterns were not associated with joint structure in this sample with knee OA. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

The interactions between MRI-detected osteophytes and bone marrow lesions or effusion-synovitis on knee symptom progression: an exploratory study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the longitudinal association between MRI-detected osteophyte scores and progression of knee symptoms, and whether the association was modified in the presence of bone marrow lesions (BMLs) or effusion-synovitis. METHODS: Data from Vitamin D Effects on Osteoarthritis (VIDEO) study, a randomized, double-blinded and placebo-controlled clinical trial in symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA) patients, were analyzed as an exploratory study. Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) was used to assess knee symptoms. Osteophytes, BMLs and effusion-synovitis were measured using MRI. RESULTS: 334 participants with MRI information and WOMAC score (baseline and follow-up) were included in the analyses, with 24.3% of them having knee pain increased 2 years later. Statistically significant interactions were found between MRI-detected osteophytes and BMLs or effusion-synovitis on increased knee symptoms. In participants with BMLs, higher baseline scores of MRI-detected osteophytes in most compartments were significantly associated with increased total knee pain, weight-bearing pain, stiffness, and physical dysfunction, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, intervention and effusion-synovitis. In participants with effusion-synovitis, higher baseline scores of MRI-detected osteophytes in almost all the compartments were significantly associated with increased total knee pain, weight-bearing pain, stiffness, and physical dysfunction, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, intervention and BMLs. In contrast, MRI-detected osteophyte scores were generally not associated with knee symptom progression in participants without baseline BMLs or effusion-synovitis. CONCLUSIONS: MRI-detected OPs are associated with increased total knee pain, weight-bearing knee pain, stiffness and physical dysfunction in participants presenting BMLs or effusion-synovitis, but not in participants lacking BMLs or effusion-synovitis. This suggests they could interact with bone or synovial abnormalities to induce symptoms in knee OA.

Incidence and circumstances of falls among middle-aged women: a cohort study.

This was the first study assessing falls prospectively in middle-aged women. The 1-year incidence was 42% for any fall, which suggest falls are a major issue in middle-aged women. Middle-aged women, particularly those sustaining a fall, could be a target group for fall-prevention strategies. PURPOSE: Incidence and circumstances of falls in middle-aged people are poorly understood. This cohort study aimed to elucidate the incidence and circumstances of falls over 1 year in middle-aged women. METHODS: Falls were recorded monthly for 1 year by questionnaire in 2017-2019 in a population-based sample of women aged 41-62 years. The incidence of falls and injurious falls and related circumstances were descriptively analysed. RESULTS: Of 273 women, 115 sustained 209 falls. The 1-year incidence was 42% for any fall, 17% for multiple (two or more) falls, and 24% for injurious falls. The incidence was greater in older age groups for any fall (33, 45, and 44% for people aged < 50, 50-55, and > 55 years, respectively), multiple falls (7, 14, and 22%) and injurious falls (15, 20, and 28%), although only the incidence of multiple falls was significantly increased across the three age groups (P = 0.01). Most falls occurred outdoors (71%) and were attributed to tripping and slipping (60%) CONCLUSIONS: Falls are a major issue in middle-aged women, a group that has been largely ignored in the prevention of falls. Middle-aged women, in particular those sustaining a fall, could be a target group for fall-prevention strategies. Future studies are needed to identify risk factors for falling in this population so as inform the development of strategies for preventing falls in middle-aged women.

Development and validation of the risk engine for an Australian Health Economics Model of Osteoporosis.

The Australian Health Economics Model of Osteoporosis (AusHEMO) has shown good face, internal and cross validities, and can be used to assist healthcare decision-making in Australia. PURPOSE: This study aimed to document and validate the risk engine of the Australian Health Economics Model of Osteoporosis (AusHEMO). METHODS: AusHEMO is a state-transition microsimulation model. The fracture risks were simulated using fracture incidence rates from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study. The AusHEMO was validated regarding its face, internal and cross validities. Goodness-of-fit analysis was conducted and Lin's coefficient of agreement and mean absolute difference with 95% limits of agreement were reported. RESULTS: The development of AusHEMO followed general and osteoporosis-specific health economics guidelines. AusHEMO showed good face validity regarding the model's structure, evidence, problem formulation and results. In addition, the model has been proven good internal and cross validities in goodness-of-fit test. Lin's coefficient was 0.99, 1 and 0.94 for validation against the fracture incidence rates, Australian life expectancies and residual lifetime fracture risks, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, the development of the risk engine of AusHEMO followed the best practice for osteoporosis disease modelling and the model has been shown to have good face, internal and cross validities. The AusHEMO can be confidently used to predict long-term fracture-related outcomes and health economic evaluations when costs data are included. Health policy-makers in Australia can use the AusHEMO to select which osteoporosis interventions such as medications and public health interventions represent good value for money.

Comparison of radiographic and MRI osteoarthritis definitions and their combination for prediction of tibial cartilage loss, knee symptoms and total knee replacement: a longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the value of radiographic- and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-defined tibiofemoral osteoarthritis (ROA and MRI-OA, respectively) and in combination for predicting tibial cartilage loss, knee pain and disability and total knee replacement (TKR) in a population-based cohort. DESIGN: A radiograph and 1.5T MRI of the right knee was performed. ROA and MRI-OA at baseline were defined according to the Osteoarthritis Research Society International atlas and a published Delphi exercise, respectively. Tibial cartilage volume was measured over 2.6 and 10.7 years. Knee pain and disability were assessed at baseline, 2.6, 5.1 and 10.7 years. Right-sided TKRs were assessed over 13.5 years. RESULTS: Of 574 participants (mean 62 years, 49% female), 8% had ROA alone, 15% had MRI-OA alone, 13% had both ROA and MRI-OA. Having ROA (vs. no ROA) and MRI-OA (vs. no MRI-OA) predicted greater tibial cartilage loss over 2.6 years (-75.9 and -86.4 mm3/year) and higher risk of TKR over 13.5 years (Risk Ratio [RR]: 15.0 and 10.9). Only MRI-OA predicted tibial cartilage loss over 10.7 years (-7.1 mm3/year) and only ROA predicted onset and progression of knee symptoms (RR: 1.32-1.88). In participants with both MRI-OA and ROA, tibial cartilage loss was the greatest (over 2.6 years: -116.1 mm3/year; over 10.7 years: -11.2 mm3/year), and the onset and progression of knee symptoms (RR: 1.75-2.89) and risk of TKR (RR: 50.9) were the highest. CONCLUSIONS: The Delphi definition of MRI-OA is not superior to ROA for predicting structural or symptomatic OA progression but, combining MRI-OA and ROA has much stronger predictive validity.

Once-yearly zoledronic acid and change in abdominal aortic calcification over 3 years in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis: results from the HORIZON Pivotal Fracture Trial.

This study evaluated whether zoledronic acid (ZA) inhibited the progression of abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) over 3 years in 502 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. AAC progressed in a similar proportion of participants in the ZA (29%) and placebo (31%) groups, suggesting no effect of ZA on AAC progression. INTRODUCTION: Bisphosphonate use is associated with reduced risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events. The underlying mechanisms are uncertain but may include effects on vascular calcification. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of zoledronic acid (ZA) on abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of the HORIZON Pivotal Fracture Trial that included 502 postmenopausal women (mean age 72.5 years) with osteoporosis (234 received ZA and 268 placebo). AAC scores (range, 0-8) were assessed from paired spine X-rays at baseline and after 3 years. Progression of AAC was defined as any increase in AAC score. The association between change in hip and femoral neck bone mineral density and change in AAC score was also assessed. RESULTS: At baseline, 292 (58.2%) participants had AAC (i.e., AAC score > 0), with AAC scores similar in the two intervention groups (median [interquartile range], 1 [0 to 2] for both; p = 0.98). Over 3 years, AAC progressed in a similar proportion of participants in both groups (ZA 29% and placebo 31%; p = 0.64). Change in bone mineral density and change in AAC score were not correlated. CONCLUSION: Once-yearly zoledronic acid did not affect progression of AAC over 3 years in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00049829.

A novel method for assessing proximal tibiofibular joint on MR images in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To validate a method to measure the morphological parameters of the proximal tibiofibular joint (PTFJ) in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: 408 participants were examined in this cross-sectional subject-based study. We calculated the fibular contacting area of PTFJ (S) and its projection areas onto the horizontal plane (load-bearing area, Sτ), the sagittal plane (lateral stress-bolstering area, Sφ) and the coronal plane (posterior stress-bolstering area, Sυ). Joint space narrowing (JSN) and osteophyte was measured using radiographs. Cartilage defects, bone marrow lesions (BMLs) and cartilage volume were evaluated using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). RESULTS: The average PTFJ fibular contacting area was 2.4 cm2 (SD, ±0.7 cm2). Intra-observer and inter-observer reliabilities of measures of PTFJ morphological parameters were excellent (≥0.90). S, Sτ and Sφ were significantly associated with JSN in the medial tibiofemoral compartment (PR: 1.40, 95% CI 1.10-1.78; PR: 1.65, 95% CI 1.25-2.18 and PR: 0.53, 95% CI 0.29-0.97, respectively). There was a significantly positive association between S, Sτ and medial and/or femoral tibial cartilage defects. S, Sτ and Sυ were significantly and positively associated with medial and/or femoral tibial BMLs (PR: 1.36, 95% CI 1.12-1.64; PR: 1.47, 95% CI 1.17-1.83; and PR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.06-1.82, respectively) after adjustment. S and Sτ were significantly and negatively associated with medial tibial cartilage volume. CONCLUSIONS: This novel method to assess the morphological parameters of PTFJ in MRI is reproducible. These parameters are associated with knee radiographic and MRI-based OA-related structural abnormalities, suggesting clinical construct validity. Its predictive validity needs to be examined in future longitudinal studies.

Associations of health literacy with diabetic foot outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: People with diabetes have low health literacy, but the role of the latter in diabetic foot disease is unclear. AIM: To determine, through a systematic review and meta-analysis, if health literacy is associated with diabetic foot disease, its risk factors, or foot care. METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, Scopus and Science Direct. All studies were screened and data extracted by two independent reviewers. Studies in English with valid and reliable measures of health literacy and published tests of association were included. Data were extracted on the associations between the outcomes and health literacy. Meta-analyses were performed using random effects models. RESULTS: Sixteen articles were included in the systematic review, with 11 in the meta-analysis. In people with inadequate health literacy, the odds of having diabetic foot disease were twice those in people with adequate health literacy, but this was not statistically significant [odds ratio 1.99 (95% CI 0.83, 4.78); two studies in 1278 participants]. There was no statistically significant difference in health literacy levels between people with and without peripheral neuropathy [standardized mean difference -0.14 (95% CI -0.47, 0.18); two studies in 399 participants]. There was no association between health literacy and foot care [correlation coefficient 0.01 (95% CI -0.07, 0.10); seven studies in 1033 participants]. CONCLUSIONS: There were insufficient data to exclude associations between health literacy and diabetic foot disease and its risk factors, but health literacy appears unlikely to have a role in foot care. The contribution of low health literacy to diabetic foot disease requires definitive assessment through robust longitudinal studies.

The interaction between weight and family history of total knee replacement with knee cartilage: a 10-year prospective study.

OBJECTIVE: Although being overweight or obese is an important risk factor for the development of knee osteoarthritis (OA), the interplay between weight and genetic factors remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the associations between weight and knee cartilage volume/defects over 10 years in offspring having at least one parent with a total knee replacement (TKR) for primary knee OA and in controls without a knee OA family history. METHOD: 367 participants (183 offspring and 184 controls) aged from 26 to 61 years were recruited at baseline, and followed at 2 and 10 years later. T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the right knee was used to measure cartilage volume/defects at each time-point. Mixed-effects models were used with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Study participants were middle-age adults (mean age 45 years, mean weight 77.5 kg at baseline). In multivariable analysis, increasing body weight was deleteriously associated with medial tibiofemoral cartilage volume (ß = -0.28 ml, per 1 SD increase, 95% CI -0.49 to -0.07) and presence of medial tibiofemoral cartilage defects (RR = 1.27, per 1 SD increase, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.51) in offspring over 10 years. Similar associations were observed for lateral tibiofemoral cartilage volume (ß = -0.19 ml, P = 0.059), and defects (RR = 1.24, P = 0.049). However, there were no statistically significant associations between weight and cartilage volume or defects in controls. CONCLUSION: The adverse effects of increasing weight are stronger in the offspring of people with knee replacement for knee OA suggesting genetics-environment interaction with regard to overweight/obesity in the pathogenesis of knee OA particularly in the early stages.

Knee effusion-synovitis volume measurement and effects of vitamin D supplementation in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a measure of knee joint effusion-synovitis volume and to examine the effect of vitamin D supplementation on effusion-synovitis in people with knee osteoarthritis (OA) and low vitamin D levels over 24 months. METHOD: Symptomatic knee OA patients with low 25-(OH)D levels (12.5-60 nmol/l) were recruited for a multi-centre, randomised, placebo-controlled and double-blind trial. Participants (age 63 ± 7 years, 208 females) were allocated to either 50,000 IU monthly vitamin D3 (n = 209) or placebo (n = 204) for 24 months. Knee effusion-synovitis volume in suprapatellar and other regions was measured on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) using OsiriX software. The intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) were used to test inter- and intra-rater reliabilities. The least significant change criterion was used to define the increase/decrease in effusion-synovitis volume. RESULT: The reproducibilities of effusion-synovitis volume measurement were high with ICCs ranging from 0.93 to 0.99. Over 24 months, effusion-synovitis volume remained stable in the vitamin D group but increased in placebos with a significant between-group difference (-1.94 ml, 95% confidence interval (CI): -3.54, -0.33). This effect was evident in those with baseline effusion-synovitis and with suprapatellar effusion-synovitis. The proportion with an increase in effusion-synovitis volume was lower in the vitamin D group than placebo (risk ratio (RR): 0.87, 95% CI: 0.77, 0.97). CONCLUSION: This highly reproducible effusion-synovitis volume measurement could be a promising outcome measure in OA trials. Vitamin D supplementation could retard the progression of effusion-synovitis which can potentially benefit people with an inflammatory OA phenotype.

Associations between endogenous sex hormones and MRI structural changes in patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the longitudinal association between endogenous sex hormones and knee osteoarthritis (OA) structures and pain. METHOD: We examined 200 participants (mean age 63.0 ± 7.3 years) from a clinical trial of vitamin D supplement for symptomatic knee OA. Serum levels of estradiol, progesterone, testosterone and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) were analyzed at baseline and 24 months later. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of selected knee were obtained at both baseline and follow-up for the measurement of cartilage volume, cartilage defects, bone marrow lesions (BMLs) and effusion-synovitis volume. Knee pain was assessed using a 100 mm visual analogue scale (VAS). Longitudinal data were analyzed using linear mixed-effects model. RESULTS: One hundred and seven males and 93 females were included in this study. For females, after adjustment for age, body mass index (BMI), and vitamin D level, progesterone was positively associated with cartilage volume (ß = 0.12 mm3 per quartile, P < 0.01). Estradiol levels were associated with lower grades of BMLs (ß = -0.46 per quartile, P = 0.03), while estradiol (ß = -1.28 per quartile, P = 0.04), progesterone (ß = -1.56 per quartile, P < 0.01) and testosterone (ß = -1.51 per quartile, P = 0.01) were inversely associated with effusion-synovitis volume. Testosterone was inversely associated with knee pain. No consistent associations were observed for males. CONCLUSION: In women but not men, low serum levels of endogenous estradiol, progesterone and testosterone are associated with increased knee effusion-synovitis and possibly other OA-related structural changes. This may contribute to observed sex differences in knee OA.

Cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between serum inflammatory cytokines and knee bone marrow lesions in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To describe cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between serum levels of interleukin (IL) - 6, IL-17A, IL-17F, IL-23 and knee bone marrow lesions (BMLs) in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: Patients (n = 192) with symptomatic knee OA (mean 63 years, range 50-79, female 53%) were assessed at baseline and after 24 months. At each time point, serum IL-6, IL-17A, IL-17F and IL-23 were measured using Bio-Plex® Multiplex Immunoassays with Luminex xMAP technology. Knee BMLs were scored using the modified whole organ MRI score (WORMS) from T2 weighted fat-suppressed fast spin echo magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Multivariable linear regression and log binominal regression were used to determine the associations between cytokines and BMLs. RESULTS: Baseline IL-6 (quarters) were significantly associated with total knee BMLs (P < 0.01 for the trend) as well as associated with an increase in BML score (P = 0.05 for the trend), after adjustment for confounders. Baseline IL-17F and IL-23 (highest quarters vs others) was associated with an increase in BML score in females (P = 0.04 for IL-17F; P = 0.01 for IL-23), but not in males, in multivariable analyses. In contrast, IL-17A was not significantly associated with BMLs in either females or males. CONCLUSION: IL-6 is associated with increased knee BMLs in both females and males with OA. Serum IL-17F and IL-23 predicted increased knee BML scores in females only, suggesting that inflammation is involved in BML pathogenesis in knee OA, especially in women. TRAIL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01176344; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ACTRN12610000495022.

Cut-points for associations between vitamin D status and multiple musculoskeletal outcomes in middle-aged women.

This was the first study examining optimal vitamin D status for musculoskeletal health in middle-aged women. A 25-hydroxyvitamin D level of at least 29 to 33 nmol/L appears required for optimal musculoskeletal health, but the current cut-off of 50 nmol/L may be warranted. INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to determine whether cut-points exist for associations between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) and musculoskeletal health outcomes in middle-aged women, below which greater 25OHD levels are associated with musculoskeletal health benefits and above which no such associations exist. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study of 344 women aged 36-57 years. Cut-points for associations of serum 25OHD with lumbar spine (LS) and femoral neck (FN) bone mineral density (BMD), lower limb muscle strength (LMS), timed up and go test (TUG), functional reach test (FRT), lateral reach test (LRT), and step test (ST) were explored using locally weighted regression smoothing and nonlinear least-squares estimation, and associations above and below the identified cut-points were estimated using segmented regression. RESULTS: The prevalence of low 25OHD was 28 % (<50 nmol/L). Significant cut-points (nmol/L) were identified for FN BMD 31 (95 % confidence interval (CI): 18, 43), LS BMD 31 (17, 45), TUG 30 (24, 36), ST 33 (24, 31), FRT 31 (18, 43), and LMS 29 (8, 49) but not LRT (42 (-8, 93). Below these cut-points, there were beneficial associations between higher 25OHD level and each outcome, while above the cut-points, there were no beneficial associations. CONCLUSIONS: In middle-aged women, there are thresholds for associations between serum 25OHD concentrations and bone density and most balance measures, suggesting that 25OHD levels of at least 29 to 33 nmol/L are required for optimal musculoskeletal health in this population. The current cut-off of 50 nmol/L may be higher than needed for some outcomes but appears warranted overall.

The relationship between cumulative lifetime ultraviolet radiation exposure, bone mineral density, falls risk and fractures in older adults.

Data linking cumulative lifetime vitamin D status with skeletal outcomes are lacking. We show that increasing cumulative sun exposure was associated with higher bone mineral density in younger males and protective against fractures in females independent of current vitamin D. This supports the concept that cumulative sun exposure is an important contributor to skeletal health. INTRODUCTION: While low 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels are associated with increased fracture risk, this reflects only recent sun exposure. The Beagley-Gibson (BG) method utilises microtopographical skin changes to quantify cumulative lifetime ultraviolet radiation (sun) exposure. This study aimed to describe the relationship between BG grade, BMD, falls risk and fractures in older adults. METHODS: Eight hundred thirty-five community-dwelling adults aged 53-83 years had silicone casts from the dorsum of both hands graded by the BG method. BMD was measured using DXA and falls risk using the short form of the Physiological Profile Assessment. Vertebral deformities and symptomatic fractures were assessed by DXA and questionnaire, respectively. RESULTS: The relationship between BG grade, spine BMD and vertebral fracture varied depending upon sex. In females, increasing grade was associated with lower vertebral fracture prevalence (OR = 0.44/grade, p = 0.018) and fewer fractures (OR = 0.82/grade, p = 0.021), particularly major fractures (OR = 0.75/grade, p = 0.03). In males, increasing grade was associated with more DXA-detected vertebral deformities (RR = 1.28/grade, p = 0.001), but not symptomatic fractures. These relationships were independent of BMD, falls risk, smoking and current 25-hydroxyvitamin D. BG grade was not associated with falls risk. For BMD, there were interactions between BG grade and both age and sex and a positive trend with hip BMD in younger males. CONCLUSIONS: BG grade demonstrated beneficial associations with fracture outcomes in females and BMD in younger males independent of current 25-hydroxyvitamin D. These data support the concept that cumulative ultraviolet radiation exposure is an important determinant of skeletal health. The association with vertebral deformities in males may reflect outdoor physical trauma in younger life.

Predictors of Beagley-Gibson skin cast grade in older adults.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Beagley-Gibson (BG) grading system utilizes microtopographical skin changes to generate an individualized, objective estimate of cumulative, lifetime ultraviolet radiation (UVR) exposure. However, predictors of BG grade are ill-defined, particularly in older populations. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to describe the factors associated with skin damage as measured by the BG method in 835 community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: Study participants aged 53-83 years had silicone casts taken from the dorsum of both hands and graded by the BG method. Lifetime sun exposure, skin phenotypic traits and smoking status were assessed by questionnaire. 25-hydroxyvitamin D and melanin density were measured using radioimmunoassay and spectrophotometry, respectively. Ordered logistic regression was used to compute a single odds ratio (OR) by taking BG grade as the outcome variable. RESULTS: Higher 25-hydroxyvitamin D was associated with increasing BG grade (OR = 1.39, P = 0.02) in adjusted analysis. Age (OR = 1.14, P < 0.001), occupational sun exposure (OR = 1.62, P < 0.001), ability to tan (OR = 1.40, P < 0.001), melanin density (OR=0.79, P = 0.001), lifetime leisure time sun exposure (OR = 1.21, P = 0.004), current smoking (OR = 1.82, P = 0.007), propensity to sunburn (OR = 1.18, P = 0.016), and waist-hip ratio (OR = 1.10, P = 0.02) were independent predictors of BG grade. Hair colour, number of sunburns, body mass index and gender were not independent predictors of BG grade. CONCLUSIONS: Beagley-Gibson skin cast grade is a biologically relevant marker of UVR exposure in older adults influenced by both intrinsic and extrinsic factors.

Screening for osteoporosis in Chinese post-menopausal women: a health economic modelling study.

UNLABELLED: Screening and appropriate treatment for osteoporosis has been proven to be cost-effective in many populations; however, it is not clear in the Chinese population. Simulations using a validated health economics model suggest that screening for osteoporosis in Chinese women is cost-effective and may even be cost-saving in Chinese post-menopausal women. INTRODUCTION: This study aimed at determining the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis screening strategies in post-menopausal Chinese women. METHODS: A validated state-transition microsimulation model with a lifetime horizon was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different screening strategies with treatment of alendronate compared with current osteoporosis management in China. Osteoporosis screening strategies assessed were (1) universal screening with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) alone; (2) Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool for Asians (OSTA) + DXA; and (3) quantitative ultrasound (QUS) + DXA with rescreening at 2, 5 or 10-year intervals for patients screened negative by DXA. The study was performed from the Chinese healthcare payer's perspective. All model inputs were retrieved from publically available literature. Uncertainties were addressed by one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Screening strategies all improved clinical outcomes at increased costs, and each were cost-effective compared with no screening in women aged 55 years given the Chinese willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Pre-screening with QUS and subsequent DXA screening if the QUS T-score ≤ -0.5 with a 2-year rescreening interval was the most cost-effective strategy with the highest probability of being cost-effective across all non-dominated strategies. Screening strategies were cost-saving if screenings were initiated from age 65 years. One-way sensitivity analyses indicated that the results were robust. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-screening with QUS with subsequent DXA screening if the QUS T-score ≤ -0.5 with a 2-year rescreening interval in the Chinese women starting at age 55 is the most cost-effective. In addition, screening and treatment strategies are cost-saving if the screening initiation age is greater than 65 years.

Lower limb muscle strength is associated with poor balance in middle-aged women: linear and nonlinear analyses.

UNLABELLED: This was the first study investigating both linear associations between lower limb muscle strength and balance in middle-aged women and the potential for thresholds for the associations. There was strong evidence that even in middle-aged women, poorer LMS was associated with reduced balance. However, no evidence was found for thresholds. INTRODUCTION: Decline in balance begins in middle age, yet, the role of muscle strength in balance is rarely examined in this age group. We aimed to determine the association between lower limb muscle strength (LMS) and balance in middle-aged women and investigate whether cut-points of LMS exist that might identify women at risk of poorer balance. METHODS: Cross-sectional analysis of 345 women aged 36-57 years was done. Associations between LMS and balance tests (timed up and go (TUG), step test (ST), functional reach test (FRT), and lateral reach test (LRT)) were assessed using linear regression. Nonlinear associations were explored using locally weighted regression smoothing (LOWESS) and potential cut-points identified using nonlinear least-squares estimation. Segmented regression was used to estimate associations above and below the identified cut-points. RESULTS: Weaker LMS was associated with poorer performance on the TUG (ß -0.008 (95 % CI: -0.010, -0.005) second/kg), ST (ß 0.031 (0.011, 0.051) step/kg), FRT (ß 0.071 (0.047, 0.096) cm/kg), and LRT (ß 0.028 (0.011, 0.044) cm/kg), independent of confounders. Potential nonlinear associations were evident from LOWESS results; significant cut-points of LMS were identified for all balance tests (29-50 kg). However, excepting ST, cut-points did not persist after excluding potentially influential data points. CONCLUSIONS: In middle-aged women, poorer LMS is associated with reduced balance. Therefore, improving muscle strength in middle-age may be a useful strategy to improve balance and reduce falls risk in later life. Middle-aged women with low muscle strength may be an effective target group for future randomized controlled trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) NCT00273260.

Higher body mass index is associated with plantar fasciopathy/'plantar fasciitis': systematic review and meta-analysis of various clinical and imaging risk factors.

QUESTION: What (risk) factors are associated with plantar fasciopathy (PF)? DESIGN: Systematic review with meta-analyses. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with PF. FACTORS: All factors described in prospective, case-control or cross-sectional observational studies. RESULTS: 51 included studies (1 prospective, 46 case-control and 4 cross-sectional studies) evaluated a total of 104 variables. Pooling was possible for 12 variables. Higher body mass index (BMI) (BMI>27, OR 3.7 (95% CI 2.93 to 5.62)) in patients with PF was the only significant clinical association, and its effect was the strongest in the non-athletic subgroup. In people with PF compared to controls, pooled imaging data demonstrated a significantly thicker, hypoechogenic plantar fascia with increased vascular signal and perifascial fluid collection. In addition, people with PF were more likely to have a thicker loaded and unloaded heel fat pat, and bone findings, including a subcalcaneal spur and increased Tc-99 uptake. No significant difference was found in the extension of the first metatarsophalangeal joint. CONCLUSIONS: We found a consistent clinical association between higher BMI and plantar fasciopathy. This association may differ between athletic and non-athletic subgroups. While consistent evidence supports a range of bone and soft tissue abnormalities, there is lack of evidence for the dogma of clinical and mechanical measures of foot and ankle function. Clinicians can use this information in shared decision-making.

Familial effects on structural changes relevant to knee osteoarthritis: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Genetic factors play an important role in the pathogenesis of knee osteoarthritis (OA), but which knee structural changes mediate this is unclear. This study aimed to describe the differences in knee structural changes over 8-10 years between offspring having at least one parent with total knee replacement (TKR) for severe primary knee OA and controls with no family history of knee OA. DESIGN: 115 offspring (mean age 45 years) with a family history of TKR for severe knee OA were compared with 104 (mean age 46 years) controls. T1 or T2-weighted fat saturated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed respectively to evaluate knee cartilage defects, bone marrow lesions (BMLs), meniscal extrusion and tears at baseline and 10 years. Multivariate logistic regression model was used to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS: Offspring had a greater increase in cartilage defect score (1.03 vs 0.52, P = 0.007) and meniscal extrusion score (0.28 vs 0.10, P = 0.027) over 10 years, and a greater increase in meniscal tear score (0.40 vs 0.10, P = 0.012) over 8 years in the medial but not the lateral tibiofemoral compartment. Changes in BMLs over 8-years were not different between the two groups. These associations were independent of potential confounders, and strengthened after further adjustment for each other. CONCLUSION: With the exception of BMLs, offspring with a family history of knee OA have a greater risk of increases in multiple knee structural abnormalities in the medial tibiofemoral compartment suggesting pleiotropic familial effects.