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1.
Mov Disord ; 37(6): 1193-1201, 2022 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35257414

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Essential tremor is the most common movement disorder with clear unmet need. Mounting evidence indicates tremor is caused by increased neuronal burst firing and oscillations in cerebello-thalamo-cortical circuitry and may be dependent on T-type calcium channel activity. T-type calcium channels regulate sigma band electroencephalogram (EEG) power during non-rapid eye movement sleep, representing a potential biomarker of channel activity. PRAX-944 is a novel T-type calcium channel blocker in development for essential tremor. OBJECTIVES: Using a rat tremor model and sigma-band EEG power, we assessed pharmacodynamically-active doses of PRAX-944 and their translation into clinically tolerated doses in healthy participants, informing dose selection for future efficacy trials. METHODS: Harmaline-induced tremor and spontaneous locomotor activity were used to assess PRAX-944 efficacy and tolerability, respectively, in rats. Sigma-power was used as a translational biomarker of T-type calcium channel blockade in rats and, subsequently, in a phase 1 trial assessing pharmacologic activity and tolerability in healthy participants. RESULTS: In rats, PRAX-944 dose-dependently reduced tremor by 50% and 72% at 1 and 3 mg/kg doses, respectively, without locomotor side effects. These doses also reduced sigma-power by ~30% to 50% in rats. In healthy participants, sigma-power was similarly reduced by 34% to 50% at 10 to 100 mg, with no further reduction at 120 mg. All doses were well tolerated. CONCLUSIONS: In rats, PRAX-944 reduced sigma-power at concentrations that reduced tremor without locomotor side effects. In healthy participants, comparable reductions in sigma-power indicate that robust T-type calcium channel blockade was achieved at well-tolerated doses that may hold promise for reducing tremor in patients with essential tremor. © 2022 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.


Assuntos
Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio , Canais de Cálcio Tipo T , Tremor Essencial , Animais , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio/farmacologia , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Cálcio/uso terapêutico , Canais de Cálcio Tipo T/efeitos dos fármacos , Desenvolvimento de Medicamentos , Tremor Essencial/tratamento farmacológico , Ratos
2.
Epilepsia ; 63(3): 697-708, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35037706

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the effects of PRAX-562 on sodium current (INa ), intrinsic neuronal excitability, and protection from evoked seizures to determine whether a preferential persistent INa inhibitor would exhibit improved preclinical efficacy and tolerability compared to two standard voltage-gated sodium channel (NaV ) blockers. METHODS: Inhibition of INa  was characterized using patch clamp analysis. The effect on intrinsic excitability was measured using evoked action potentials recorded from hippocampal CA1 pyramidal neurons in mouse brain slices. Anticonvulsant activity was evaluated using the maximal electroshock seizure (MES) model, and tolerability was assessed by measuring spontaneous locomotor activity (sLMA). RESULTS: PRAX-562 potently and preferentially inhibited persistent INa induced by ATX-II or the SCN8A mutation N1768D (half-maximal inhibitory concentration [IC50 ] = 141 and 75 nmol·L-1 , respectively) relative to peak INa tonic/resting block (60× preference). PRAX-562 also exhibited potent use-dependent block (31× preference to tonic block). This profile is considerably different from standard NaV blockers, including carbamazepine (CBZ; persistent INa IC50 = 77 500 nmol·L-1 , preference ratios of 30× [tonic block], less use-dependent block observed at various frequencies). In contrast to CBZ, PRAX-562 reduced neuronal intrinsic excitability with only a minor reduction in action potential amplitude. PRAX-562 (10 mg/kg po) completely prevented evoked seizures without affecting sLMA (MES unbound brain half-maximal efficacious concentration = 4.3 nmol·L-1 , sLMA half-maximal tolerated concentration = 69.7 nmol·L-1 , protective index [PI] = 16×). In contrast, CBZ and lamotrigine (LTG) had PIs of approximately 5.5×, with significant overlap between doses that were anticonvulsant and that reduced locomotor activity. SIGNIFICANCE: PRAX-562 demonstrated robust preclinical anticonvulsant activity similar to CBZ but improved compared to LTG. PRAX-562 exhibited significantly improved preclinical tolerability compared with standard NaV blockers (CBZ and LTG), potentially due to the preference for persistent INa . Preferential targeting of persistent INa may represent a differentiated therapeutic option for diseases of hyperexcitability, where standard NaV blockers have demonstrated efficacy but poor tolerability.


Assuntos
Anticonvulsivantes , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Sódio , Animais , Anticonvulsivantes/farmacologia , Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapêutico , Carbamazepina/farmacologia , Carbamazepina/uso terapêutico , Lamotrigina/uso terapêutico , Camundongos , Morfolinas , Canal de Sódio Disparado por Voltagem NAV1.6/genética , Convulsões/tratamento farmacológico , Sódio , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Sódio/farmacologia , Bloqueadores dos Canais de Sódio/uso terapêutico , Padrão de Cuidado
3.
Mol Cell Neurosci ; 99: 103393, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31356882

RESUMO

Enhancing remyelination is a key therapeutic strategy for demyelinating diseases such as multiple sclerosis. To achieve this goal, a central challenge is being able to quantitatively and longitudinally track functional remyelination, especially with translatable biomarkers that can be performed in both preclinical models and in the clinic. We developed the methodology to stably measure multi-modal sensory evoked potentials from the skull surface over the course of months in individual mice and applied it to a genetic mouse model of oligodendrocyte ablation and demyelination. We found that auditory and somatosensory evoked potential latencies reliably increased over time during the early phase of the model and recovered spontaneously and almost completely during a later phase. Histological examination supported the interpretation that the evoked potential latency changes dynamically reflect changes in CNS myelination. Specifically, we found reduction of myelination in corresponding brain regions at the time that sensory evoked potentials were maximally impacted. Importantly, we also found that myelination levels recovered when evoked potential latencies recovered. Other changes known to associate with demyelination were also observed at the time of delayed evoked potentials, including the emergence of white matter vacuoles and increased markers for activated microglia and macrophages; these changes also fully reversed by the time that evoked potentials recovered. Our results support the hypothesis that skull-surface recorded evoked potential latencies can dynamically track CNS myelination changes. The methods developed here allow for longitudinally tracking functional myelination changes in vivo in preclinical rodent models with a quantitative biomarker that can also be applied clinically and will facilitate translational development of CNS remyelinating therapies.


Assuntos
Encefalomielite Autoimune Experimental/fisiopatologia , Potenciais Evocados Auditivos , Potenciais Somatossensoriais Evocados , Animais , Eletroencefalografia/métodos , Masculino , Camundongos , Camundongos Endogâmicos C57BL , Bainha de Mielina/metabolismo , Substância Branca/metabolismo , Substância Branca/patologia
4.
J Pharmacol Exp Ther ; 365(3): 556-566, 2018 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29563325

RESUMO

The current standard of care for treating Alzheimer's disease is acetylcholinesterase inhibitors, which nonselectively increase cholinergic signaling by indirectly enhancing activity of nicotinic and muscarinic receptors. These drugs improve cognitive function in patients, but also produce unwanted side effects that limit their efficacy. In an effort to selectively improve cognition and avoid the cholinergic side effects associated with the standard of care, various efforts have been aimed at developing selective M1 muscarinic receptor activators. In this work, we describe the preclinical and clinical pharmacodynamic effects of the M1 muscarinic receptor-positive allosteric modulator, MK-7622. MK-7622 attenuated the cognitive-impairing effects of the muscarinic receptor antagonist scopolamine and altered quantitative electroencephalography (qEEG) in both rhesus macaque and human. For both scopolamine reversal and qEEG, the effective exposures were similar between species. However, across species the minimum effective exposures to attenuate the scopolamine impairment were lower than for qEEG. Additionally, there were differences in the spectral power changes produced by MK-7622 in rhesus versus human. In sum, these results are the first to demonstrate translation of preclinical cognition and target modulation to clinical effects in humans for a selective M1 muscarinic receptor-positive allosteric modulator.


Assuntos
Quinazolinas/farmacologia , Receptor Muscarínico M1/metabolismo , Regulação Alostérica/efeitos dos fármacos , Animais , Cognição/efeitos dos fármacos , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Eletroencefalografia/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , Macaca mulatta , Masculino , Quinazolinas/farmacocinética , Pesquisa Translacional Biomédica
5.
Am J Pathol ; 187(6): 1399-1412, 2017 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28408124

RESUMO

The clinical progression of Alzheimer disease (AD) is associated with the accumulation of tau neurofibrillary tangles, which may spread throughout the cortex by interneuronal tau transfer. If so, targeting extracellular tau species may slow the spreading of tau pathology and possibly cognitive decline. To identify suitable target epitopes, we tested the effects of a panel of tau antibodies on neuronal uptake and aggregation in vitro. Immunodepletion was performed on brain extract from tau-transgenic mice and postmortem AD brain and added to a sensitive fluorescence resonance energy transfer-based tau uptake assay to assess blocking efficacy. The antibodies reduced tau uptake in an epitope-dependent manner: N-terminal (Tau13) and middomain (6C5 and HT7) antibodies successfully prevented uptake of tau species, whereas the distal C-terminal-specific antibody (Tau46) had little effect. Phosphorylation-dependent (40E8 and p396) and C-terminal half (4E4) tau antibodies also reduced tau uptake despite removing less total tau by immunodepletion, suggesting specific interactions with species involved in uptake. Among the seven antibodies evaluated, 6C5 most efficiently blocked uptake and subsequent aggregation. More important, 6C5 also blocked neuron-to-neuron spreading of tau in a unique three-chamber microfluidic device. Furthermore, 6C5 slowed down the progression of tau aggregation even after uptake had begun. Our results imply that not all antibodies/epitopes are equally robust in terms of blocking tau uptake of human AD-derived tau species.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Neurônios/metabolismo , Proteínas tau/metabolismo , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença de Alzheimer/patologia , Animais , Anticorpos Monoclonais/biossíntese , Anticorpos Monoclonais/imunologia , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Encéfalo/patologia , Células Cultivadas , Epitopos/imunologia , Feminino , Humanos , Interneurônios/metabolismo , Masculino , Camundongos Transgênicos , Técnicas Analíticas Microfluídicas , Terapia de Alvo Molecular/métodos , Emaranhados Neurofibrilares/metabolismo , Emaranhados Neurofibrilares/patologia , Fosforilação , Proteínas tau/antagonistas & inibidores , Proteínas tau/imunologia
6.
Alzheimers Dement ; 12(10): 1033-1039, 2016 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27154059

RESUMO

Alzheimer's Association Research Roundtable Fall 2015-Tau: From research to clinical development. Tau pathology is recognized as the key driver of disease progression in Alzheimer's and other neurodegenerative diseases. Although this makes tau an attractive target for the development of novel diagnostic and therapeutic strategies, the mechanisms underlying the onset and progression of tau-related neurotoxicity remain elusive. Recent strides in the development of sophisticated preclinical models and the emergence of tau PET imaging and fluid biomarkers provide new opportunities to increase our understanding of tau biology, overcome translational challenges, and accelerate the advancement of tau therapeutics from bench to bedside. With this in mind, the Alzheimer's Association convened a Research Roundtable in October 2015, bringing together experts from academia, industry, and regulatory agencies to discuss the latest understanding of tau pathogenic pathways and review the evolution of tau therapeutics and biomarkers currently in development. The meeting provided a forum to share experience and expertise with the common goal of advancing the discovery and development of new treatment strategies and expediting the design and implementation of efficient clinical trials.


Assuntos
Progressão da Doença , Tauopatias , Proteínas tau/metabolismo , Doença de Alzheimer/patologia , Animais , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Humanos , Emaranhados Neurofibrilares/patologia , Fosforilação
7.
Conserv Biol ; 29(1): 187-97, 2015 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25132396

RESUMO

Identifying which nonindigenous species will become invasive and forecasting the damage they will cause is difficult and presents a significant problem for natural resource management. Often, the data or resources necessary for ecological risk assessment are incomplete or absent, leaving environmental decision makers ill equipped to effectively manage valuable natural resources. Structured expert judgment (SEJ) is a mathematical and performance-based method of eliciting, weighting, and aggregating expert judgments. In contrast to other methods of eliciting and aggregating expert judgments (where, for example, equal weights may be assigned to experts), SEJ weights each expert on the basis of his or her statistical accuracy and informativeness through performance measurement on a set of calibration variables. We used SEJ to forecast impacts of nonindigenous Asian carp (Hypophthalmichthys spp.) in Lake Erie, where it is believed not to be established. Experts quantified Asian carp biomass, production, and consumption and their impact on 4 fish species if Asian carp were to become established. According to experts, in Lake Erie Asian carp have the potential to achieve biomass levels that are similar to the sum of biomasses for several fishes that are harvested commercially or recreationally. However, the impact of Asian carp on the biomass of these fishes was estimated by experts to be small, relative to long term average biomasses, with little uncertainty. Impacts of Asian carp in tributaries and on recreational activities, water quality, or other species were not addressed. SEJ can be used to quantify key uncertainties of invasion biology and also provide a decision-support tool when the necessary information for natural resource management and policy is not available.


Assuntos
Carpas/fisiologia , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Espécies Introduzidas , Animais , Pesqueiros , Peixes/fisiologia , Previsões , Humanos , Lagos , Ontário , Dinâmica Populacional , Recreação , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos
8.
Bioorg Med Chem Lett ; 24(5): 1417-20, 2014 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24485781

RESUMO

A series of methoxynaphthalene amides were prepared and evaluated as alternatives to quinolizidinone amide M1 positive allosteric modulators. A methoxy group was optimal for M1 activity and addressed key P-gp issues present in the aforementioned quinolizidinone amide series.


Assuntos
Amidas/química , Naftalenos/química , Quinolizidinas/química , Receptor Muscarínico M1/metabolismo , Regulação Alostérica , Amidas/síntese química , Amidas/metabolismo , Animais , Células CHO , Cricetinae , Cricetulus , Camundongos , Ligação Proteica , Receptor Muscarínico M1/química , Relação Estrutura-Atividade
9.
Environ Sci Technol ; 48(4): 2150-6, 2014 Feb 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24467555

RESUMO

Recently, authors have theorized that invasive species prevention is more cost-effective than control in protecting ecosystem services. However, quantification of the effectiveness of prevention is rare because experiments at field scales are expensive or infeasible. We therefore used structured expert judgment to quantify the efficacy of 17 proposed strategies to prevent Asian carp invasion of the Laurentian Great Lakes via the hydrologic connection between the Mississippi and Great Lakes watersheds. Performance-weighted expert estimates indicated that hydrologic separation would prevent 99% (95,100; median, 5th and 95th percentiles) of Asian carp access, while electric and acoustic-bubble-strobe barriers would prevent 92% (85,95) and 92% (75,95), respectively. For all other strategies, estimated effectiveness was lower, with greater uncertainty. When potential invasions by other taxa are considered, the effectiveness of hydrologic separation increases relative to strategies that are effective primarily for fishes. These results could help guide invasive species management in many waterways globally.


Assuntos
Carpas/fisiologia , Hidrologia , Espécies Introduzidas , Julgamento , Lagos , Animais , Calibragem , Geografia , Mississippi , Rios
10.
J Environ Manage ; 145: 330-40, 2014 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25108183

RESUMO

The unwanted impacts of non-indigenous species have become one of the major ecological and economic threats to aquatic ecosystems worldwide. Assessing the potential dispersal and colonization of non-indigenous species is necessary to prevent or reduce deleterious effects that may lead to ecosystem degradation and a range of economic impacts. A three dimensional (3D) numerical model has been developed to evaluate the local dispersal of the planktonic larvae of an invasive bivalve, Asian clam (Corbicula fluminea), by passive hydraulic transport in Lake Tahoe, USA. The probability of dispersal of Asian clam larvae from the existing high density populations to novel habitats is determined by the magnitude and timing of strong wind events. The probability of colonization of new near-shore areas outside the existing beds is low, but sensitive to the larvae settling velocity ws. High larvae mortality was observed due to settling in unsuitable deep habitats. The impact of UV-radiation during the pelagic stages, on the Asian clam mortality was low. This work provides a quantification of the number of propagules that may be successfully transported as a result of natural processes and in function of population size. The knowledge and understanding of the relative contribution of different dispersal pathways, may directly inform decision-making and resource allocation associated with invasive species management.


Assuntos
Distribuição Animal , Corbicula/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Ecossistema , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Corbicula/fisiologia , Lagos , Larva/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Larva/fisiologia , Plâncton/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Plâncton/fisiologia , Densidade Demográfica , Estados Unidos , Vento
11.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 106(37): 15950-5, 2009 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19717450

RESUMO

The forebrain cholinergic system promotes higher brain function in part by signaling through the M(1) muscarinic acetylcholine receptor (mAChR). During Alzheimer's disease (AD), these cholinergic neurons degenerate, therefore selectively activating M(1) receptors could improve cognitive function in these patients while avoiding unwanted peripheral responses associated with non-selective muscarinic agonists. We describe here benzyl quinolone carboxylic acid (BQCA), a highly selective allosteric potentiator of the M(1) mAChR. BQCA reduces the concentration of ACh required to activate M(1) up to 129-fold with an inflection point value of 845 nM. No potentiation, agonism, or antagonism activity on other mAChRs is observed up to 100 microM. Furthermore studies in M(1)(-/-) mice demonstrates that BQCA requires M(1) to promote inositol phosphate turnover in primary neurons and to increase c-fos and arc RNA expression and ERK phosphorylation in the brain. Radioligand-binding assays, molecular modeling, and site-directed mutagenesis experiments indicate that BQCA acts at an allosteric site involving residues Y179 and W400. BQCA reverses scopolamine-induced memory deficits in contextual fear conditioning, increases blood flow to the cerebral cortex, and increases wakefulness while reducing delta sleep. In contrast to M(1) allosteric agonists, which do not improve memory in scopolamine-challenged mice in contextual fear conditioning, BQCA induces beta-arrestin recruitment to M(1), suggesting a role for this signal transduction mechanism in the cholinergic modulation of memory. In summary, BQCA exploits an allosteric potentiation mechanism to provide selectivity for the M(1) receptor and represents a promising therapeutic strategy for cognitive disorders.


Assuntos
Receptor Muscarínico M1/metabolismo , Regulação Alostérica , Sequência de Aminoácidos , Animais , Encéfalo/efeitos dos fármacos , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Células CHO , Sinalização do Cálcio/efeitos dos fármacos , Circulação Cerebrovascular/efeitos dos fármacos , Circulação Cerebrovascular/fisiologia , Condicionamento Psicológico/efeitos dos fármacos , Condicionamento Psicológico/fisiologia , Cricetinae , Cricetulus , Cães , Medo/efeitos dos fármacos , Medo/fisiologia , Humanos , Técnicas In Vitro , Fosfatos de Inositol/metabolismo , Macaca mulatta , Camundongos , Camundongos Knockout , Modelos Moleculares , Estrutura Terciária de Proteína , Quinolonas/farmacologia , Ensaio Radioligante , Ratos , Receptor Muscarínico M1/química , Receptor Muscarínico M1/deficiência , Receptor Muscarínico M1/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/genética , Proteínas Recombinantes/metabolismo , Sono/efeitos dos fármacos , Sono/fisiologia
12.
Environ Manage ; 49(6): 1163-73, 2012 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22476670

RESUMO

Anoxia can restrict species establishment in aquatic systems and the artificial promotion of these conditions can provide an effective control strategy for invasive molluscs. Low abundances (2-20 m(-2)) of the nonnative bivalve, Asian clam (Corbicula fluminea), were first recorded in Lake Tahoe, CA-NV in 2002 and by 2010 nuisance-level population densities (>10,000 m(-2)) were observed. A non-chemical control method using gas impermeable benthic barriers to reduce dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations available to C. fluminea was tested in this ultra-oligotrophic natural lake. In 2009, the impact of ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM) sheets (9 m(2), n = 6) on C. fluminea beds was tested on 1-7 day intervals over a 56 day period (August-September). At an average water temperature of 18 °C, DO concentrations under these small barriers were reduced to zero after 72 h resulting in 100 % C. fluminea mortality after 28 days. In 2010, a large EPDM barrier (1,950 m(2)) was applied to C. fluminea populations for 120 days (July-November). C. fluminea abundances were reduced over 98 % after barrier removal, and remained significantly reduced (>90 %) 1 year later. Non-target benthic macroinvertebrate abundances were also reduced, with variable taxon-specific recolonization rates. High C. fluminea abundance under anoxic conditions increased the release of ammonium and soluble reactive phosphorus from the sediment substrate; but levels of unionized ammonia were low at 0.004-0.005 mg L(-1). Prolonged exposure to anoxia using benthic barriers can provide an effective short term control strategy for C. fluminea.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Corbicula/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Elastômeros/química , Lagos/química , Oxigênio/análise , Animais , Análise da Demanda Biológica de Oxigênio , Corbicula/metabolismo , Monitoramento Ambiental , Etilenos/química , Hipóxia/metabolismo , Hipóxia/fisiopatologia , Permeabilidade , Densidade Demográfica , Estações do Ano , Propriedades de Superfície , Estados Unidos
14.
Bioorg Med Chem Lett ; 21(6): 1710-5, 2011 Mar 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21324684

RESUMO

SAR study of the piperidine moiety in a series of quinolizidinone carboxylic acid M(1) positive allosteric modulators was examined. While the SAR was generally flat, compounds were identified with high CNS exposure to warrant additional in vivo evaluation.


Assuntos
Piperidinas/farmacologia , Regulação Alostérica , Animais , Células CHO , Cricetinae , Cricetulus , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Piperidinas/metabolismo , Relação Estrutura-Atividade
15.
ACS Med Chem Lett ; 12(4): 593-602, 2021 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33859800

RESUMO

The gene KCNT1 encodes the sodium-activated potassium channel KNa1.1 (Slack, Slo2.2). Variants in the KCNT1 gene induce a gain-of-function (GoF) phenotype in ionic currents and cause a spectrum of intractable neurological disorders in infants and children, including epilepsy of infancy with migrating focal seizures (EIMFS) and autosomal dominant nocturnal frontal lobe epilepsy (ADNFLE). Effective treatment options for KCNT1-related disease are absent, and novel therapies are urgently required. We describe the development of a novel class of oxadiazole KNa1.1 inhibitors, leading to the discovery of compound 31 that reduced seizures and interictal spikes in a mouse model of KCNT1 GoF.

16.
Am Nat ; 175(4): 461-8, 2010 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20163244

RESUMO

Demographic stochasticity can have large effects on the dynamics of small populations as well as on the persistence of rare genotypes and lineages. Survival is sensibly modeled as a binomial process, but annual reproductive success (ARS) is more complex and general models for demographic stochasticity do not exist. Here we introduce a stochastic model framework for ARS and illustrate some of its properties. We model a sequence of stochastic events: nest completion, the number of eggs or neonates produced, nest predation, and the survival of individual offspring to independence. We also allow multiple nesting attempts within a breeding season. Most of these components can be described by Bernoulli or binomial processes; the exception is the distribution of offspring number. Using clutch and litter size distributions from 53 vertebrate species, we demonstrate that among-individual variability in offspring number can usually be described by the generalized Poisson distribution. Our model framework allows the demographic variance to be calculated from underlying biological processes and can easily be linked to models of environmental stochasticity or selection because of its parametric structure. In addition, it reveals that the distributions of ARS are often multimodal and skewed, with implications for extinction risk and evolution in small populations.


Assuntos
Modelos Biológicos , Reprodução , Processos Estocásticos , Animais , Tamanho da Ninhada , Dinâmica Populacional , Comportamento Sexual Animal
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