RESUMO
BACKGROUND: NULL-PLEASE is a simple and accurate clinical scoring system developed in a Western cohort of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The need for blood test results limits its use in early stages of care. We adapted and validated the NULL-EASE score (without laboratory tests) in an independent, multiethnic Asian cohort of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Singapore OHCA registry, we included consecutive adult patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest who survived to hospital admission between April 2010 to December 2020. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome. Logistic regression analyses were performed with STATA MP v18. Of 3274 patients (median age 64, interquartile range 54-75; 67.9% male) included in the study, 2476 (75.6%) had in-hospital mortality. NULL-EASE score was significantly lower in survivors compared with nonsurvivors (median [inter quartile range] 3 [1-4] versus 6 [4-7]; P<0.001) and strongly predictive of mortality (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.79-0.83]). Patients with a score of ≥3 had higher odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 8.11 [95% CI, 6.57-10.00]) when compared with those with lower scores, after adjusting for sex, residential arrest, diabetes, respiratory disease, and stroke. A cutoff value of ≥3 predicted mortality with 92.2% sensitivity, 84.1% positive predictive value, 46.1% specificity, and 65.5% negative predictive value. NULL-EASE score performed better in younger compared with older patients (area under receiver operating characteristic, 0.82 versus 0.77, P=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The NULL-EASE score has good discriminative performance (sensitivity and accuracy) in our multiethnic Asian cohort, but the cutoff of ≥3 falls short of the desired level of specificity for therapeutic decision-making.
Assuntos
Mortalidade Hospitalar , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Masculino , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/mortalidade , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/etnologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/diagnóstico , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Singapura/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco/métodos , Povo Asiático , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Valor Preditivo dos TestesRESUMO
Introduction: Anticoagulation is recommended during continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) to prolong the filter lifespan for optimal filter performance. We aimed to evaluate the effect of anticoagulation during CKRT on dialysis dependence and mortality within 90 days of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Method: Our retrospective observational study evaluated the first CKRT session in critically ill adults with acute kidney injury (AKI) in Singapore from April to September 2017. The primary outcome was a composite of dialysis dependence or death within 90 days of ICU admission; the main exposure variable was anticoagulation use (regional citrate anticoagulation [RCA] or systemic heparin). Multivariable logistic regression was performed to adjust for possible confounders: age, female sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, liver dysfunction, coagulopathy (international normalised ratio[INR] >1.5) and platelet counts of less than 100,000/uL). Results: The study cohort included 276 patients from 14 participating adult ICUs, of whom 176 (63.8%) experienced dialysis dependence or death within 90 days of ICU admission (19 dialysis dependence, 157 death). Anticoagulation significantly reduced the odds of the primary outcome (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.27-0.83, P=0.009). Logistic regression analysis using anticoagulation as a 3-level indicator variable demonstrated that RCA was associated with mortality reduction (AOR 0.46, 95% CI 0.25-0.83, P=0.011), with heparin having a consistent trend (AOR 0.51, 95% CI 0.23-1.14, P=0.102). Conclusion: Among critically ill patients with AKI, anticoagulation use during CKRT was associated with reduced dialysis or death at 90 days post-ICU admission, which was statistically significant for regional citrate anticoagulation and trended in the same direction of benefit for systemic heparin anticoagulation. Anticoagulation during CKRT should be considered whenever possible.