Accelerating ethics, empathy, and equity in geographic information science.

Science has traditionally been driven by curiosity and followed one goal: the pursuit of truth and the advancement of knowledge. Recently, ethics, empathy, and equity, which we term "the 3Es," are emerging as new drivers of research and disrupting established practices. Drawing on our own field of GIScience (geographic information science), our goal is to use the geographic approach to accelerate the response to the 3Es by identifying priority issues and research needs that, if addressed, will advance ethical, empathic, and equitable GIScience. We also aim to stimulate similar responses in other disciplines. Organized around the 3Es we discuss ethical issues arising from locational privacy and cartographic integrity, how our ability to build knowledge that will lead to empathy can be curbed by data that lack representativeness and by inadvertent inferential error, and how GIScientists can lead toward equity by supporting social justice efforts and democratizing access to spatial science and its tools. We conclude with a call to action and invite all scientists to join in a fundamentally different science that responds to the 3Es and mobilizes for change by engaging in humility, broadening measures of excellences and success, diversifying our networks, and creating pathways to inclusive education. Science united around the 3Es is the right response to this unique moment where society and the planet are facing a vast array of challenges that require knowledge, truth, and action.

Signals of selection and ancestry in independently feral Gallus gallus populations.

Recent work indicates that feralisation is not a simple reversal of domestication, and therefore raises questions about the predictability of evolution across replicated feral populations. In the present study we compare genes and traits of two independently established feral populations of chickens (Gallus gallus) that inhabit archipelagos within the Pacific and Atlantic regions to test for evolutionary parallelism and/or divergence. We find that feral populations from each region are genetically closer to one another than other domestic breeds, despite their geographical isolation and divergent colonisation histories. Next, we used genome scans to identify genomic regions selected during feralisation (selective sweeps) in two independently feral populations from Bermuda and Hawaii. Three selective sweep regions (each identified by multiple detection methods) were shared between feral populations, and this overlap is inconsistent with a null model in which selection targets are randomly distributed throughout the genome. In the case of the Bermudian population, many of the genes present within the selective sweeps were either not annotated or of unknown function. Of the nine genes that were identifiable, five were related to behaviour, with the remaining genes involved in bone metabolism, eye development and the immune system. Our findings suggest that a subset of feralisation loci (i.e. genomic targets of recent selection in feral populations) are shared across independently established populations, raising the possibility that feralisation involves some degree of parallelism or convergence and the potential for a shared feralisation 'syndrome'.

National Analysis of Outcomes for Adult Trauma Patients With Isolated Severe Blunt Traumatic Brain Injury Following Venous Thromboembolism Prophylaxis.

INTRODUCTION: We aim to evaluate the association of early versus late venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis on in-hospital mortality among patients with severe blunt isolated traumatic brain injuries. METHODS: Data from the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Program Participant Use File for 2017-2021 were analyzed. The target population included adult trauma patients with severe isolated traumatic brain injury (TBI). VTE prophylaxis types (low molecular weight heparin and unfractionated heparin) and their administration timing were analyzed in relation to in-hospital complications and mortality. RESULTS: The study comprised 3609 patients, predominantly Caucasian males, with an average age of 48.5 y. Early VTE prophylaxis recipients were younger (P < 0.01) and more likely to receive unfractionated heparin (P < 0.01). VTE prophylaxis later than 24 h was associated with a higher average injury severity score and longer intensive care unit stays (P < 0.01). Logistic regression revealed that VTE prophylaxis later than 24 h was associated with significant reduction of in-hospital mortality by 38% (odds ratio 0.62, 95% confidence interval 0.40-0.94, P = 0.02). Additionally, low molecular weight heparin use was associated with decreased mortality odds by 30% (odds ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.89, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: VTE prophylaxis later than 24 h is associated with a reduced risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with severe isolated blunt TBI, as opposed to VTE prophylaxis within 24 h. These findings suggest the need for timely and appropriate VTE prophylaxis in TBI care, highlighting the critical need for a comprehensive assessment and further research concerning the safety and effectiveness of VTE prophylaxis in these patient populations.

A Narrative Review Investigating Practices and Disparities in Child Abuse Amongst United States Pediatric Trauma Patients & Associated Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Although non-accidental trauma continues to be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among children in the United States, the underlying factors leading to NAT are not well characterized. We aim to review reporting practices, clinical outcomes, and associated disparities among pediatric trauma patients experiencing NAT. METHODS: A literature search utilizing PubMed, Google Scholar, EMBASE, ProQuest, and Cochrane was conducted from database inception until April 6, 2023. This review includes studies that assessed pediatric (age <18) trauma patients treated for NAT in the United States emergency departments. The evaluated outcome was in-hospital mortality rates stratified by race, age, sex, insurance status, and socioeconomic advantage. RESULTS: The literature search yielded 2641 initial articles, and after screening and applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 15 articles remained. African American pediatric trauma patients diagnosed with NAT had higher mortality odds than white patients, even when adjusting for comparable injury severity. Children older than 12 mo experienced higher mortality rates compared to those younger than 12 mo, although some studies did not find a significant association between age and mortality. Uninsured insurance status was associated with the highest mortality rate, followed by Medicaid and private insurance. No significant association between sex and mortality or socioeconomic advantage and mortality was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Findings showed higher in-hospital mortality among African American pediatric trauma patients experiencing child abuse, and in patients 12 mo or older. Medicaid and uninsured pediatric patients faced higher mortality odds from their abuse compared to privately insured patients.

Evaluating the Effectiveness of Trauma-Informed Care Frameworks in Provider Education and the Care of Traumatized Patients.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma-informed care (TIC) spans many different health care fields and is essential in promoting the well-being and recovery of traumatized individuals. This review aims to assess the efficacy of TIC frameworks in both educating providers and enhancing care for adult and pediatric patients. METHODS: A literature search was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE, Proquest, Cochrane, and Google Scholar to identify relevant articles up to September 28, 2023. Studies implementing TIC frameworks in health care settings as a provider education tool or in patient care were included. Studies were further categorized based on adult or pediatric patient populations and relevant outcomes were extracted. RESULTS: A total of 36 articles were included in this review, evaluating over 7843 providers and patients. When implemented as a provider education tool, TIC frameworks significantly improved provider knowledge, confidence, awareness, and attitudes toward TIC (P < 0.05 to P < 0.001). Trauma screenings and assessments also increased (P < 0.001). When these frameworks were applied in adult patient care, there were positive effects across a multitude of settings, including women's health, intimate partner violence, post-traumatic stress disorder, and inpatient mental health. Findings included reduced depression and anxiety (P < 0.05), increased trauma disclosures (5%-30%), and enhanced mental and physical health (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This review underscores the multifaceted effectiveness of TIC frameworks, serving both as a valuable educational resource for providers and as a fundamental approach to patient care. Providers reported increased knowledge and comfort with core trauma principles. Patients were also found to derive benefits from these approaches in a variety of settings. These findings demonstrate the extensive applicability of TIC frameworks and highlight the need for a more comprehensive understanding of their applications and long-term effects.

Incidence of neonatal morbidity in small-for-gestational-age twins based on singleton and twin charts.

OBJECTIVE: To compare morbidity, as measured by length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), in twin and singleton gestations classified as small-for-gestational age (SGA) according to estimated fetal weight < 10th percentile on twin or singleton growth charts. METHODS: NICU length of stay was compared in 1150 twins and 29 035 singletons that underwent ultrasound assessment between 35 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Estimated fetal weight was obtained from measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Gestational age was derived from the first-trimester crown-rump length measurement, using the larger of the two twins. Singletons and twins were compared in terms of NICU admission rate and length of stay according to classification as SGA by the Fetal Medicine Foundation singleton and twin reference distributions. RESULTS: The overall proportions of twins and singletons admitted to NICU were similar (7.3% vs 7.4%), but twins tended to have longer lengths of stay in NICU (≥ 7 days: 2.4% vs 0.8%; relative risk (RR), 3.0 (95% CI, 1.6-4.4)). Using the singleton chart, a higher proportion of twins were classified as SGA compared with singletons (37.6% vs 7.0%). However, the proportion of SGA neonates entering NICU was similar (10.2% for twins and 10.1% for singletons) and the proportion of SGA neonates spending ≥ 7 days in NICU was substantially higher for twins compared with singletons (3.7% vs 1.4%; RR, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.7)). CONCLUSIONS: When singleton charts are used to define SGA in twins and in singletons, there is a greater degree of growth-related neonatal morbidity amongst SGA twins compared with SGA singletons. Consequently, singleton charts do not inappropriately overdiagnose fetal growth restriction in twins and they should be used for monitoring fetal growth in both twins and singletons. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Atypicality index as an add-on to combined first-trimester screening for chromosomal aberrations.

OBJECTIVES: To compute a set of atypicality indices based on combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) markers and second-trimester estimated fetal weight (EFW), and to demonstrate their potential in identifying pregnancies at reduced or increased risk of chromosomal aberrations following a low-risk cFTS result. METHODS: The atypicality index quantifies the unusualness of an individual set of measurements relative to a reference distribution and can be computed from any variables or measurements available. A score of 0% on the atypicality index represents the most typical profiles, while a score of 100% indicates the highest level of atypicality. From the Danish Fetal Medicine Database, we retrieved data on all pregnant women seen for cFTS in the Central Denmark Region between January 2008 and December 2018. All pregnancies with a cytogenetic or molecular analysis obtained prenatally, postnatally or following pregnancy loss or termination were identified. A first-trimester atypicality index (AcFTS) was computed based on nuchal translucency (NT) thickness, maternal serum free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A). Furthermore, a second-trimester index (AcFTS + EFW) was computed from cFTS markers and EFW from a routine second-trimester anomaly scan. All pregnancies were stratified into subgroups based on their atypicality levels and their cFTS risk estimates. The risk of chromosomal aberrations in each subgroup was then compared with the overall prevalence, and a graphical presentation of the multivariate measurement profiles was developed. RESULTS: We retrieved data on 145 955 singleton pregnancies, of which 9824 (6.7%) were genetically examined. Overall, 1 in 122 (0.82% (95% CI, 0.77-0.87%)) of all pregnancies seen for cFTS were affected by a fetal chromosomal aberration, and in screen-negative pregnancies (cFTS trisomy 21 risk < 1 in 100 and/or trisomy 18/13 risk < 1 in 50), 0.41% (95% CI, 0.38-0.44%) were affected. In screen-negative pregnancies with a typical first-trimester profile (AcFTS < 80%), the risk of chromosomal aberrations was significantly reduced (0.28%) compared with the overall risk. The risk of chromosomal aberrations increased with higher atypicality index to 0.49% (AcFTS [80-90%)), 1.52% (AcFTS [90-99%)) and 4.44% (AcFTS ≥ 99%) and was significantly increased in the two most atypical subgroups. The same applied for the second-trimester atypicality index, with risks of chromosomal aberrations of 0.76% and 4.16% in the two most atypical subgroups (AcFTS + EFW [90-99%) and AcFTS + EFW ≥ 99%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: As an add-on to cFTS, the atypicality index identifies women with typical measurement profiles, which may provide reassurance, whereas atypical profiles may warrant specialist referral and further investigation. In pregnancies identified as low risk on cFTS but with a highly atypical distribution of NT, PAPP-A and ß-hCG, the risk of a chromosomal aberration is substantially increased. The atypicality index optimizes the interpretation of pre-existing prenatal screening profiles and is not limited to cFTS markers or EFW. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Decoding 22q11.2: prenatal profiling and first-trimester risk assessment in Danish nationwide cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the distribution of nuchal translucency thickness (NT), free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in pregnancies with a fetal 22q11.2 aberration. Furthermore, the performance of combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) and a new risk algorithm targeting 22q11.2 deletions in detecting affected pregnancies was evaluated. Finally, prenatal malformations and pregnancy outcome were assessed. METHODS: This was a nationwide registry-based cohort study of all pregnancies that underwent prenatal screening with a due date between January 2008 and December 2018 in Denmark. All cases with a fetal 22q11.2 deletion or duplication (hg19 chr22:18.9mio-25.0mio) diagnosed pre- or postnatally or following pregnancy loss or termination of pregnancy were retrieved from the Danish Cytogenetic Central Register and linked with pregnancy data from the Danish Fetal Medicine Database. Fetal and maternal characteristics, including cFTS results and pregnancy outcome, of pregnancies with any 22q11.2 deletion or duplication (LCR22-A to -H) and pregnancies with a classic deletion or duplication (LCR22-A to -D) diagnosed by chromosomal microarray were compared with those of a chromosomally normal reference group. A risk algorithm was developed for assessing patient-specific risks for classic 22q11.2 deletions based on NT, PAPP-A and ß-hCG. Detection rates and false-positive rates at different risk cut-offs were calculated. RESULTS: We included data on 143 pregnancies with a fetal 22q11.2 aberration, of which 97 were deletions (54 classic) and 46 were duplications (32 classic). NT was significantly increased in fetuses with a classic deletion (mean, 1.89 mm), those with any deletion (mean, 1.78 mm) and those with any duplication (mean, 1.86 mm) compared to the reference group (mean, 1.65 mm). ß-hCG multiples of the median (MoM) was decreased in all 22q11.2 subgroups compared with the reference group (mean, 1.02) and reached significance in pregnancies with a classic deletion and those with any deletion (mean, 0.77 and 0.71, respectively). PAPP-A MoM was significantly decreased in pregnancies with a classic duplication and those with any duplication (mean, 0.57 and 0.63, respectively), and was significantly increased in pregnancies with a classic deletion and those with any deletion (mean, 1.34 and 1.16, respectively), compared to reference pregnancies (mean, 1.01). The screen-positive rate by cFTS was significantly increased in pregnancies with a classic deletion (13.7%), any deletion (12.5%), a classic duplication (46.9%) or any duplication (37.8%) compared to the reference group (4.5%). A risk algorithm targeting classic 22q11.2 deletions more than doubled the prenatal detection rate of classic 22q11.2 deletions, but with a substantial increase in the false-positive rate. Structural malformations were detected in 41%, 35%, 17% and 25% of the pregnancies with a classic deletion, any deletion, classic duplication or any duplication, respectively. Pregnancy loss occurred in 40% of pregnancies with a classic deletion and 5% of those with a classic duplication diagnosed prenatally or following pregnancy loss. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of cFTS markers in pregnancies with a classic 22q11.2 duplication resembles that of the common trisomies, with decreased levels of PAPP-A. However, classic 22q11.2 deletions are associated with increased levels of PAPP-A, which likely limits early prenatal detection using the current cFTS risk algorithm. The scope for improving early detection of classic 22q11.2 deletions using targeted risk algorithms based on NT, PAPP-A and ß-hCG is limited. This demonstrates the capability, but also the limitations, of cFTS markers in detecting atypical chromosomal anomalies, which is important knowledge when designing new prenatal screening programs. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal Medicine Foundation charts for fetal growth in twins.

OBJECTIVE: To derive reference distributions of estimated fetal weight (EFW) in twins relative to singletons. METHODS: Gestational-age- and chorionicity-specific reference distributions for singleton percentiles and EFW were fitted to data on 4391 twin pregnancies with two liveborn fetuses from four European centers, including 3323 dichorionic (DC) and 1068 monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies. Gestational age was derived using the larger of the two crown-rump length measurements obtained during the first trimester of pregnancy. EFW was obtained from ultrasound measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Singleton percentiles were obtained using the Fetal Medicine Foundation population weight charts for singleton pregnancies. Hierarchical models were fitted to singleton Z-scores with autoregressive terms for serial correlations within the same fetus and between twins from the same pregnancy. Separate models were fitted for DC and MCDA twins. RESULTS: Fetuses from twin pregnancies tended to be smaller than singletons at the earliest gestational ages (16 weeks for MCDA and 20 weeks for DC twins). This was followed by a period of catch-up growth until around 24 weeks. After that, both DC and MCDA twins showed reduced growth. In DC twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 50th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 23 weeks, the 43rd percentile at 28 weeks, the 32nd percentile at 32 weeks and the 22nd percentile at 36 weeks. In MCDA twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 36th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 24 weeks, the 29th percentile at 28 weeks, the 19th percentile at 32 weeks and the 12th percentile at 36 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: In DC and, to a greater extent, MCDA twin pregnancies, fetal growth is reduced compared with that observed in singleton pregnancies. Furthermore, after 24 weeks, the divergence in growth trajectories between twin and singleton pregnancies becomes more pronounced as gestational age increases. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Screening for pre-eclampsia with competing-risks model using placental growth factor measurement in blood samples collected before 11 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the distributional properties and assess the performance of placental growth factor (PlGF) measured in blood samples collected before 11 weeks' gestation in the prediction of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS: The study population consisted of pregnant women included in the Pre-eclampsia Screening in Denmark (PRESIDE) study with a PlGF measurement from the routine combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) blood sample collected at 8-14 weeks' gestation. PRESIDE was a prospective multicenter study investigating the predictive performance of the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) first-trimester screening algorithm for PE in a Danish population. In the current study, serum concentration of PlGF in the cFTS blood samples was analyzed in batches between January and June 2021. RESULTS: A total of 8386 pregnant women were included. The incidence of PE was 0.7% at < 37 weeks' gestation and 3.0% at ≥ 37 weeks. In blood samples collected at 10 weeks' gestation, PlGF multiples of the median (MoM) were significantly lower in pregnancies with preterm PE < 37 weeks compared to unaffected pregnancies. However, PlGF MoM did not differ significantly between pregnancies with PE and unaffected pregnancies in samples collected before 10 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSIONS: The gestational-age range for PlGF sampling may be expanded from 11-14 to 10-14 weeks when assessing the risk for PE using the FMF first-trimester screening model. There is little evidence to support the use of PlGF in blood samples collected before 10 weeks' gestation. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Quadruplet pregnancy outcome with and without fetal reduction: Danish national cohort study (2008-2018) and comparison with dichorionic twins.

OBJECTIVES: To perform a nationwide study of quadrichorionic quadriamniotic (QCQA) quadruplet pregnancies and to compare the pregnancy outcome in those undergoing fetal reduction with non-reduced quadruplets and dichorionic diamniotic (DCDA) twin pregnancies from the same time period. METHODS: This was a retrospective Danish national register-based study performed using data from the national Danish Fetal Medicine Database, which included all QCQA quadruplets and all non-reduced DCDA twin pregnancies with an estimated due date between 2008 and 2018. The primary outcome measure was a composite of adverse pregnancy outcomes, including pregnancy loss or intrauterine death of one or more fetuses. Secondary outcomes included gestational age at delivery, the number of liveborn children, preterm delivery before 28, 32 and 37 gestational weeks and birth weight. Data on pregnancy complications and baseline characteristics were also recorded. Outcomes were compared between reduced and non-reduced quadruplet pregnancies, and between DCDA pregnancies and quadruplet pregnancies reduced to twins. A systematic literature search was performed to describe and compare previous results with our findings. RESULTS: Included in the study were 33 QCQA quadruplet pregnancies, including three (9.1%) non-reduced pregnancies, 28 (84.8%) that were reduced to twin pregnancy and fewer than three (6.1%) that were reduced to singleton pregnancy, as well as 9563 DCDA twin pregnancies. Overall, the rate of adverse pregnancy outcome was highest in non-reduced quadruplets (66.7%); it was 50% in quadruplets reduced to singletons and 10.7% in quadruplets reduced to twins. The proportion of liveborn infants overall was 91.1% of the total number expected to be liveborn in quadruplet pregnancies reduced to twins. This was statistically significantly different from 97.6% in non-reduced dichorionic twins (P = 0.004), and considerably higher than 58.3% in non-reduced quadruplets. The rates of preterm delivery < 28, < 32 and < 37 weeks were decreased in quadruplets reduced to twins compared with those in non-reduced quadruplet pregnancies. Quadruplets reduced to twins did not achieve equivalent pregnancy outcomes to those of DCDA twins. CONCLUSION: This national study of QCQA quadruplets has shown that multifetal pregnancy reduction improves pregnancy outcome, including a decreased rate of preterm delivery and higher proportion of liveborn children. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

ASPRE trial: effects of aspirin on mean arterial blood pressure and uterine artery pulsatility index trajectories in pregnancy.

OBJECTIVES: The mechanism by which aspirin prevents pre-eclampsia is poorly understood, and its effects on biomarkers throughout pregnancy are unknown. We aimed to investigate the effects of aspirin on mean arterial pressure (MAP) and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) using repeated measures from women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia. METHODS: This was a longitudinal secondary analysis of the Combined Multimarker Screening and Randomized Patient Treatment with Aspirin for Evidence-Based Pre-eclampsia Prevention (ASPRE) trial using repeated measures of MAP and UtA-PI. In the trial, 1620 women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia were identified using the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks, of whom 798 were randomly assigned to receive 150 mg/day aspirin and 822 were assigned to receive placebo daily from 11-14 weeks to 36 weeks of gestation or delivery, whichever came first. MAP and UtA-PI were measured at baseline and follow-up visits at 19-24, 32-34 and 36 weeks of gestation. Generalized additive mixed models with treatment by gestational age interaction terms were used to investigate the effects of aspirin on MAP and UtA-PI trajectories over time. RESULTS: Among 798 participants in the aspirin group and 822 in the placebo group, there were 5951 MAP and 5942 UtA-PI measurements. Trajectories of raw and multiples of the median (MoM) values of MAP did not differ significantly between the two groups (MAP MoM analysis: P-value for treatment by gestational age interaction, 0.340). In contrast, trajectories of raw and MoM values of UtA-PI showed a significantly steeper decline in the aspirin group than in the placebo group, with the difference mainly driven by a more pronounced reduction before 20 weeks of gestation (UtA-PI MoM analysis: P-value for treatment by gestational age interaction, 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: In women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia, 150 mg/day aspirin initiated in the first trimester does not affect MAP but is associated with a significant decrease in mean UtA-PI, particularly before 20 weeks of gestation. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Incidence of pre-eclampsia: effect of deprivation.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationship between the English index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and the incidence of pre-eclampsia (PE), evaluate the distribution of IMD in a cohort of ethnically diverse pregnant women in South East England and assess whether IMD improves the prediction of PE compared with that provided by the 'history-only' competing-risks model (based on maternal characteristics and medical history). METHODS: This was a prospective, observational study of 159 125 women with a singleton pregnancy who attended their first routine hospital visit at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in the UK. The inclusion criteria were delivery at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation of babies without major abnormality. Participants completed a questionnaire on demographic characteristics and obstetric and medical history, which was then reviewed by a doctor together with the woman. Patients were asked to self-identify as white, black, South Asian, East Asian or mixed race. IMD was used as a measure of socioeconomic status, which takes into account income, employment, education, skills and training, health and disability, crime, barriers to housing and services, and living environment. Each neighborhood is ranked according to their level of deprivation relative to that of other areas into one of five equal groups, with Quintile 1 containing the 20% most deprived areas and Quintile 5 containing the 20% least deprived areas. IMD was assigned based on a woman's postcode. Risk factors for PE and its incidence were assessed across IMD using chi-square test or t-test, as appropriate. The relationship between IMD and gestational age at delivery with PE was evaluated by fitting parametric survival models for IMD alone, IMD combined with race and IMD combined with the Fetal Medicine Foundation history-only competing-risks model. RESULTS: The incidence of PE (n = 4088, 2.6%) increased progressively across IMD quintiles, from 2.0% in Quintile 5 (least deprived) to 3.0% in Quintile 1 (most deprived). Compared with white women and those in other racial groups, black women had a higher incidence of PE (4.8%), were less often in IMD Quintiles 4 and 5, and were more often in IMD Quintiles 1 and 2. None of the IMD quintiles improved the prediction of PE compared with that provided by the history-only competing-risks model (which includes race). The history-only competing-risks model with vs without IMD had a similar detection rate for delivery with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation (44.1% (95% CI, 41.1-47.2%) vs 43.9% (95% CI, 40.1-47.0%)) and at any gestational age (35.2% (95% CI, 33.8-36.7%) vs 35.1% (95% CI, 33.7-36.6%)), at a 10% screen-positive rate. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PE is higher in women living in the most deprived areas in South East England and in black women (vs those of other racial groups), who also live in areas of higher deprivation. However, in screening for PE, inclusion of IMD does not improve the prediction of PE provided by race and other maternal characteristics and elements of medical history. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Atypicality index: avoiding false reassurance in prenatal screening.

OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate the application of the atypicality index as an adjunct to first-trimester risk assessment for major trisomies by the combined test. METHODS: This was a study of 123 998 Danish women with a singleton pregnancy who underwent routine first-trimester screening, including risk assessment for major trisomies. An atypicality index, which is a measure of the degree to which a profile is atypical, was produced for measurements of fetal nuchal translucency thickness and maternal serum free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A. The incidence of adverse pregnancy outcome, including miscarriage, intrauterine death and termination of pregnancy, was tabulated according to the screening result and atypicality index. RESULTS: In pregnancies with low risk and those with high risk for major trisomies according to the combined screening test, the incidence of adverse pregnancy outcome increased with increasing atypicality index. In pregnancies with a low risk for trisomies and atypicality index of ≥ 99%, the incidence of adverse outcome was 5.1 (95% CI, 3.4-7.6) times higher compared with that in low-risk pregnancies with a typical measurement profile, reflected by an atypicality index of < 80%. Similarly, in high-risk pregnancies, the incidence of adverse outcome was 7.9 (95% CI, 4.4-14.5) times higher in those with an atypicality index of ≥ 99% compared to those with an atypicality index of < 80%. Using individual profile plots, we were able to demonstrate a transparent and intuitive method for visualization of multiple variables, which can help interpret the individual combination of measurements and level of atypicality. CONCLUSIONS: In pregnancies undergoing first-trimester combined screening and classified as being at low risk for major trisomies, profiles that are typical of pregnancies with normal outcome provide additional reassurance, whereas those with an atypical profile may warrant further investigation. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Pre-eclampsia screening in Denmark (PRESIDE): national validation study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the predictive performance of the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) first-trimester screening algorithm for pre-eclampsia in a Danish population and compare screening performance with that of the current Danish strategy, which is based on maternal risk factors. METHODS: This was a prospective study of women with a singleton pregnancy attending for their first-trimester ultrasound scan and screening for aneuploidies at six Danish university hospitals between May 2019 and December 2020. Prenatal data on maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded, and measurements of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF) were collected without performing a risk assessment for pre-eclampsia. Information on acetylsalicylic acid use was recorded. After delivery, pregnancy outcome, including gestational age at delivery and pre-eclampsia diagnosis, was recorded. Pre-eclampsia risk assessment for each woman was calculated blinded to outcome using the FMF screening algorithm following adjustment to the Danish population. Detection rates (DRs) of the FMF algorithm were calculated for a fixed screen-positive rate (SPR) of 10% and for the SPR achieved in the current Danish screening. RESULTS: A total of 8783 pregnant women were included, with a median age of 30.8 (interquartile range (IQR), 28.1-33.9) years. The majority were white (95%), naturally conceiving (90%), non-smokers (97%) and had no family history of pre-eclampsia (96%). The median body mass index was 23.4 (IQR, 21.2-26.6) kg/m2 . A complete risk assessment including maternal characteristics, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and PAPP-A was available for 8156 women (92.9%). In these women, UtA-PI was measured bilaterally with a median value of 1.58 (IQR, 1.27-1.94) and the median resting MAP of 80.5 (IQR, 76.1-85.4) mmHg in two consecutive measurements. Among these, 303 (3.7%) developed pre-eclampsia, including 55 (0.7%) cases of pre-eclampsia with delivery < 37 weeks of gestation and 16 (0.2%) cases of pre-eclampsia with delivery < 34 weeks. At a SPR of 10%, combined screening using the FMF algorithm based on maternal characteristics, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and PAPP-A had a DR of 77.4% (95% CI, 57.6-97.2%) for pre-eclampsia with delivery < 34 weeks, 66.8% (95% CI, 54.4-79.1%) for pre-eclampsia with delivery < 37 weeks and 44.1% (95% CI, 38.5-49.7%) for pre-eclampsia with delivery at any gestational age. The current Danish screening strategy using maternal risk factors detected 25.0% of women with pre-eclampsia with delivery < 34 weeks and 19.6% of women with pre-eclampsia with delivery < 37 weeks at a SPR of 3.4%. When applying the FMF algorithm including maternal characteristics, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF at the fixed SPR of 3.4%, the DRs were 60.5% (95% CI, 36.9-84.1%) for PE with delivery < 34 weeks and 45.2% (95% CI, 32.0-58.5%) for PE with delivery < 37 weeks. CONCLUSION: In this large Danish multicenter study, the FMF algorithm based on maternal characteristics, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and PAPP-A predicted 77.4% of cases with pre-eclampsia with delivery < 34 weeks and 66.8% of cases with pre-eclampsia with delivery < 37 weeks of gestation at a SPR of 10%, suggesting that the performance of the algorithm in a Danish cohort matches that in other populations. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Competing-risks model for pre-eclampsia and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: The competing-risks model for assessment of risk for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 35-37 weeks' gestation identifies the majority of women who are at high risk of subsequent delivery with PE. We aimed to examine the incidence and relative risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes in patient groups stratified according to the estimated risk of delivery with PE. METHODS: This was a prospective non-interventional, observational study in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. The risk of delivery with PE for each patient in the study population was estimated using the competing-risks model, combining the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE and the likelihood from multiples of the median values of mean arterial pressure, placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. The patients were assigned to one of the following five risk categories: Group A, ≥ 1 in 2; Group B, 1 in 5 to 1 in 3; Group C, 1 in 20 to 1 in 6; Group D, 1 in 50 to 1 in 21; and Group E, < 1 in 50. The outcome measures were delivery with PE, gestational hypertension (GH), small-for-gestational age (SGA) at birth, delivery by Cesarean section, stillbirth, neonatal death, perinatal death and admission to the neonatal unit (NNU) for at least 48 h. In each risk category, the proportion of women with each adverse outcome was determined and relative risks (RR) were calculated as compared with the lowest-risk Group E. RESULTS: In the study population of 29 035 women, 1.6%, 2.7%, 8.2%, 9.8% and 77.8% were categorized into Groups A, B, C, D and E, respectively. Compared with women in Group E, women in the higher-risk groups were more likely to have an adverse outcome. The RR of delivery with PE in Group A compared with Group E was 65.5 (95% CI, 54.1-79.1) and the respective values were 11.9 (95% CI, 9.1-15.5) for GH, 1.8 (95% CI, 1.5-2.1) for delivery by emergency Cesarean section, 1.5 (95% CI, 1.2-1.8) for delivery by elective Cesarean section, 8.9 (95% CI, 7.4-10.8) for SGA with birth weight < 3rd percentile, 4.8 (95% CI, 4.3-5.4) for SGA with birth weight < 10th percentile, 5.3 (95% CI, 1.4-20.5) for stillbirth and 3.4 (95% CI, 2.8-4.2) for NNU admission for ≥ 48 h. The RR for these pregnancy complications in higher-risk groups (vs Group E) was particularly high for cases with delivery within 2 weeks after assessment. In terms of SGA, both for birth weight < 10th and < 3rd percentiles, the trend in all cases was stronger than that observed when the analysis was confined to normotensive pregnancies. The rates of neonatal death were too small to allow meaningful comparisons between risk groups. CONCLUSION: Pregnant women identified by the competing-risks model to be at high risk of PE are also at increased risk of GH, Cesarean section, stillbirth, SGA and NNU admission for ≥ 48 h. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

STATIN trial: predictive performance of competing-risks model in screening for pre-eclampsia at 35-37 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the predictive performance of a previously reported competing-risks model of screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 35-37 weeks' gestation by combinations of maternal risk factors, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in a validation dataset derived from the screened population of the STATIN study. METHODS: This was a prospective third-trimester multicenter study of screening for PE in singleton pregnancies by means of a previously reported algorithm that combines maternal risk factors and biomarkers. Women in the high-risk group were invited to participate in a trial of pravastatin vs placebo, but the trial showed no evidence of an effect of pravastatin in the prevention of PE. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE were calculated using the competing-risks model, and the performance of screening for PE by maternal risk factors alone and by various combinations of risk factors with MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 was assessed. The predictive performance of the model was examined by, first, the ability of the model to discriminate between the PE and no-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and the detection rate at a fixed false-positive rate of 10%, and, second, calibration by measurements of calibration slope and calibration-in-the-large. RESULTS: The study population of 29 677 pregnancies contained 653 that developed PE. In screening for PE by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1 (triple test), the detection rate at a 10% false-positive rate was 79% (95% CI, 76-82%) and the results were consistent with the data used for developing the algorithm. Addition of UtA-PI did not improve the prediction provided by the triple test. The AUC for the triple test was 0.923 (95% CI, 0.913-0.932), demonstrating very high discrimination between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Similarly, the calibration slope was 0.875 (95% CI, 0.831-0.919), demonstrating good agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of PE. CONCLUSION: The competing-risks model provides an effective and reproducible method for third-trimester prediction of term PE. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Evaluation of a training programme for Pharmacist Independent Prescribers in a care home medicine management intervention.

BACKGROUND: The provision of independent prescribing rights for United Kingdom (UK) pharmacists has enabled them to prescribe within their area of competence. The aim of this study was to evaluate an evidence-based training programme designed to prepare Pharmacist Independent Prescribers (PIPs) to safely and effectively assume responsibility for pharmaceutical care of older people in care homes in the UK, within a randomised controlled trial. METHODS: The training and competency assessment process included two training days, professional development planning against a bespoke competency framework, mentor support, and a viva with an independent General Practitioner (GP). Data on the PIPs' perceptions of the training were collected through evaluation forms immediately after the training days and through online questionnaires and interviews after delivery of the 6-month intervention. Using a mixed method approach each data set was analysed separately then triangulated providing a detailed evaluation of the process. Kaufman's Model of Learning Evaluation guided interpretations. RESULTS: All 25 PIPs who received the training completed an evaluation form (N = 25). Post-intervention questionnaires were completed by 16 PIPs and 14 PIPs took part in interviews. PIPs reported the training days and mentorship enabled them to develop a personalised portfolio of competence in preparation for discussion during a viva with an independent GP. Contact with the mentor reduced as PIPs gained confidence in their role. PIPs applied their new learning throughout the delivery of the intervention leading to perceived improvements in residents' quality of life and medicines management. A few PIPs reported that developing a portfolio of competence was time intensive, and that further training on leadership skills would have been beneficial. CONCLUSIONS: The bespoke training programme was fit for purpose. Mentorship and competency assessment were resource intensive but appropriate. An additional benefit was that many PIPs reported professional growth beyond the requirement of the study. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The definitive RCT was registered with the ISRCTN registry (registration number ISRCTN 17,847,169 ).

Evaluation of the RCOG guideline for the prediction of neonates that are small for gestational age and comparison with the competing risks model.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the predictive performance of the relevant guideline by the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (RCOG) for neonates that are small for gestational age (SGA), and to compare the performance of the RCOG guideline with that of our competing risks model for SGA. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Obstetric ultrasound departments in two UK maternity hospitals. POPULATION: A total of 96 678 women with singleton pregnancies attending for routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks of gestation. METHODS: Risks for SGA for different thresholds were computed, according to the competing risks model using maternal history, second-trimester estimated fetal weight, uterine artery pulsatility index and mean arterial pressure. The detection rates by the RCOG guideline scoring system and the competing risks model for SGA were compared, at the screen positive rate (SPR) derived from the RCOG guideline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Small for gestational age (SGA), <10th or <3rd percentile, for different gestational age thresholds. RESULTS: At an SPR of 22.5%, as defined by the RCOG guideline, the competing risks model predicted 56, 72 and 81% of cases of neonates that are SGA, with birthweights of <10th percentile, delivered at ≥37, <37 and <32 weeks of gestation, respectively, which were significantly higher than the respective figures of 36, 44 and 45% achieved by the application of the RCOG guideline. The respective figures for neonates that were SGA with birthweights of <3rd percentile were 66, 79, 85 and 41, 45, 44%. CONCLUSION: The detection rate for neonates that were SGA with the competing risk approach is almost double than that obtained with the RCOG guideline. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: The competing risks approach for the prediction of SGA performs better than the existing RCOG guideline.

Competing-risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate from estimated fetal weight at 19-24 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To develop further a new competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, by including second-trimester ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW). METHODS: This was a prospective observational study in 96 678 women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks' gestation. All pregnancies had ultrasound biometry assessment, and EFW was calculated according to the Hadlock formula. We refitted in this large dataset a previously described competing-risks model for the joint distribution of gestational age (GA) at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, to obtain the prior distribution. The continuous likelihood of the EFW was fitted conditionally to GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and modified the prior distribution, according to Bayes' theorem, to obtain individualized distributions for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and therefore patient-specific risks for any cut-offs for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score. We assessed the discriminative ability of the model for predicting SGA with, without or independently of pre-eclampsia occurrence. A calibration study was carried out. Performance of screening was evaluated for SGA defined according to the Fetal Medicine Foundation birth-weight charts. RESULTS: The distribution of EFW, conditional to both GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, was best described by a regression model. For earlier gestations, the association between EFW and birth weight was steeper. The prediction of SGA by maternal factors and EFW improved for increasing degree of prematurity and greater severity of smallness but not for coexistence of pre-eclampsia. Screening by maternal factors predicted 31%, 34% and 39% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10th percentile delivered at ≥ 37, < 37 and < 30 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a 10% false-positive rate, and, after addition of EFW, these rates increased to 38%, 43% and 59%, respectively; the respective rates for birth weight < 3rd percentile were 43%, 50% and 64%. The addition of EFW improved the calibration of the model. CONCLUSION: In the competing-risks model for prediction of SGA, the performance of screening by maternal characteristics and medical history is improved by the addition of second-trimester EFW. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.