Joint effect of heatwaves and air quality on emergency department attendances for vulnerable population in Perth, Western Australia, 2006 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: As global warming and the frequency and intensity of heatwaves increases, health service utilization, including emergency department attendances (EDA) have correspondingly increased across the world. The impact of air quality on health adds to the complexity of the effects. Potential joint effects between heatwaves and air quality on EDA have been rarely reported in the literature, prompting this study. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the potential joint effect of heatwaves and air quality on the EDA for vulnerable populations in the Perth metropolitan area, Western Australia. METHODS: A time series design was used. Daily data on EDA, heatwaves (excess heat factor>0) and air pollutants (CO, SO2, NO2, O3, PM10 and PM2.5) were collected for Perth, Western Australia from 2006 to 2015. Poisson regression modelling was used to assess the associations between heatwaves, air quality, and EDA. Risk assessments on age, gender, Aboriginality, socio-economic status (SES), and joint effect between heatwaves and air quality on EDA were conducted. RESULTS: The EDA rate was higher in heatwave days (77.86/100,000/day) compared with non-heatwave days (73.90/100,000/day) with rate ratio of 1.053 (95% confidence interval 1.048, 1.058). The EDA rate was higher in males, people older than 60 years or younger than 15 years, Aboriginal people, and people with low SES. Exposure to CO, SO2, O3 and PM2.5 increased risk on EDA and exposure to PM2.5 showed joint effect with heatwave and increased risk of EDA by 6.6% after adjustment of all other risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: EDA is an important indicator to evaluate heatwave related morbidity for emergency medical service as EDA rate increased during heatwaves with relative high concentrations of air pollutants. As all air pollutants measured in the study were lower than the Australian National Standards, the joint effect of heatwaves and air quality needs to be further examined when it exceeds the standards.

Auscultation-assisted bedside postpyloric placement of feeding tube in critically ill patients: a prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of auscultation-assisted bedside postpyloric feeding tube (ABPFT) placement in early enteral nutritional support for critically ill patients. METHODS AND STUDY DESIGN: A prospective observational study was conducted and 92 critically ill patients who met the inclusion criteria undergoing ABPFT placement after the intravenous injection of 10 mg of metoclopramide were included. Abdominal X-ray was performed to confirm the location of the catheter tip. End points investigated were the success rate of tube placement, rate of jejunal tube placement, duration of the procedure, length of insertion, and number of attempts. Operational-related adverse events or complications were also documented and evaluated. RESULTS: The total success rate of postpyloric feeding tube implantation was 97.8% (90/92), among which, 89.1% (82/92) of the tubes were placed proximal to the jejunum. The first-attempt success rate was 91.3% (84/92) and the mean attempt per individual patient was 1.11±0.38 times. The mean operation time was 28.6±17.7 minutes, and the mean insertion length of tube was 106±9.6 cm. A total of 27 adverse events occurred in 19.6% (18/92) patients and there was no serious adverse events or complications during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Assistance by auscultation can significantly improve the success rate of nasal feeding tube placement. This simple, safe and fast approach is feasible for the application among health practitioners in the intensive care unit.

Inhibition of nuclear factor-kappa B enhances the tumor growth of ovarian cancer cell line derived from a low-grade papillary serous carcinoma in p53-independent pathway.

BACKGROUND: NF-kB can function as an oncogene or tumor suppressor depending on cancer types. The role of NF-kB in low-grade serous ovarian cancer, however, has never been tested. We sought to elucidate the function of NF-kB in the low-grade serous ovarian cancer. METHODS: The ovarian cancer cell line, HOC-7, derived from a low-grade papillary serous carcinoma. Introduction of a dominant negative mutant, IkBαM, which resulted in decrease of NF-kB function in ovarian cancer cell lines. The transcription ability, tumorigenesis, cell proliferation and apoptosis were observed in derivative cell lines in comparison with parental cells. RESULTS: Western blot analysis indicated increased expression of the anti-apoptotic proteins Bcl-xL and reduced expression of the pro-apoptotic proteins Bax, Bad, and Bid in HOC-7/IĸBαM cell. Further investigations validate this conclusion in KRAS wildtype cell line SKOV3. Interesting, NF-kB can exert its pro-apoptotic effect by activating mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) phosphorylation in SKOV3 ovarian cancer cell, whereas opposite changes detected in p-MEK in HOC-7 ovarian cancer cell, the same as some chemoresistant ovarian cancer cell lines. In vivo animal assay performed on BALB/athymic mice showed that injection of HOC-7 induced subcutaneous tumor growth, which was completely regressed within 7 weeks. In comparison, HOC-7/IĸBαM cells caused sustained tumor growth and abrogated tumor regression, suggesting that knock-down of NF-kB by IĸBαM promoted sustained tumor growth and delayed tumor regression in HOC-7 cells. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrated that NF-kB may function as a tumor suppressor by facilitating regression of low grade ovarian serous carcinoma through activating pro-apoptotic pathways.

Data driven analysis reveals prognostic genes and immunological targets in human sepsis-associated acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: The molecular mechanism of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) is unclear. We analyzed co-differentially expressed genes (co-DEGs) to elucidate the underlying mechanism and intervention targets of SA-AKI. METHODS: The microarray datasets GSE65682, GSE30718, and GSE174220 were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. We identified the co-DEGs and constructed a gene co-expression network to screen the hub genes. We analyzed immune correlations and disease correlations and performed functional annotation of the hub genes. We also performed single-cell and microenvironment analyses and investigated the enrichment pathways and the main transcription factors. Finally, we conducted a correlation analysis to evaluate the role of the hub genes. RESULTS: Interleukin 32 (IL32) was identified as the hub gene in SA-AKI, and the main enriched signaling pathways were associated with hemopoiesis, cellular response to cytokine stimulus, inflammatory response, and regulation of kidney development. Additionally, IL32 was significantly associated with mortality in SA-AKI patients. Monocytes, macrophages, T cells, and NK cells were closely related to IL32 and were involved in the immune microenvironment in SA-AKI patients. IL32 expression increased significantly in the kidney of septic mouse. Toll-like receptor 2 (TLR2) was significantly and negatively correlated with IL32. CONCLUSION: IL32 is the key gene involved in SA-AKI and is significantly associated with prognosis. TLR2 and relevant immune cells are closely related to key genes.

Impact of elevated fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) during landscape fire events on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions in Perth, Western Australia.

BACKGROUND: Australia has experienced extreme fire weather in recent years. Information on the impact of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) from landscape fires (LFs) on cardiorespiratory hospital admissions is limited. METHODS: We conducted a population-based time series study to assess associations between modelled daily elevated PM 2.5 at a 1.5×1.5 km resolution using a modified empirical PM 2.5 exposure model during LFs and hospital admissions for all-cause and cause-specific respiratory and cardiovascular diseases for the study period (2015-2017) in Perth, Western Australia. Multivariate Poisson regressions were used to estimate cumulative risk ratios (RR) with lag effects of 0-3 days, adjusted for sociodemographic factors, weather and time. RESULTS: All-cause hospital admissions and overall cardiovascular admissions increased significantly across each elevated PM 2.5 concentration on most lag days, with the strongest associations of 3% and 7%, respectively, at the high level of ≥12.60 µg/m3 on lag 1 day. For asthma hospitalisation, there was an excess relative risk of up to 16% (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.35) with same-day exposure for all people, up to 93% on a lag of 1 day in children and up to 52% on a lag of 3 days in low sociodemographic groups. We also observed an increase of up to 12% (RR 1.12, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.24) for arrhythmias on the same exposure day and with over 154% extra risks for angina and 12% for heart failure in disadvantaged groups. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to elevated PM 2.5 concentrations during LFs was associated with increased risks of all-cause hospital admissions, total cardiovascular conditions, asthma and arrhythmias.

Improving the spatial and temporal resolution of burden of disease measures with Bayesian models.

This paper contributes to the field by addressing the critical issue of enhancing the spatial and temporal resolution of health data. Although Bayesian methods are frequently employed to address this challenge in various disciplines, the application of Bayesian spatio-temporal models to burden of disease (BOD) studies remains limited. Our novelty lies in the exploration of two existing Bayesian models that we show to be applicable to a wide range of BOD data, including mortality and prevalence, thereby providing evidence to support the adoption of Bayesian modeling in full BOD studies in the future. We illustrate the benefits of Bayesian modeling with an Australian case study involving asthma and coronary heart disease. Our results showcase the effectiveness of Bayesian approaches in increasing the number of small areas for which results are available and improving the reliability and stability of the results compared to using data directly from surveys or administrative sources.

The FABS trial: a randomised control trial of the effects of a 6-month physical activity intervention on adherence and long-term physical activity and self-efficacy in older adults with memory complaints.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to assess in older adults with memory complaints, the effects of a 6-month home-based physical activity (PA) intervention on short-term adherence, short and long-term self-efficacy and the predictors of adherence. METHODS: Participants with memory complaints with or without mild cognitive impairment (MCI) were recruited from Perth, Western Australia between May 2004 and July 2006 and randomly assigned to a control or an intervention group. The intervention group received a 6-month PA programme and recorded sessions on a diary. Pedometer readings, questionnaires, and physical and cognitive measures were completed at 0, 6, 12 and 18 months. RESULTS: One hundred and seventy participants started the study. Retention rates were similar for both groups at all time-points however retention was higher for men than women (P<0.01). Adherence to the prescribed PA was 72.8% (95% CI, 70.8 74.9%). Men had higher adherence rate than women (P<0.001). Those with and without MCI had similar adherence. Compared to controls self-efficacy was higher in the intervention group after 6 months only (P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Older adults with memory complaints, with or without MCI, can successfully participate in and enjoy home-based PA programmes. Long-term adherence to such interventions may require continued support and increased self-efficacy. ( TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN012605000136606.).

Reducing all-cause mortality among patients with psychiatric disorders: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with psychiatric disorders, there are 10 times as many preventable deaths from physical disorders as there are from suicide. We investigated whether compulsory community treatment, such as community treatment orders, could reduce all-cause mortality among patients with psychiatric disorders. METHODS: We conducted a population-based survival analysis of an inception cohort using record linking. The study period extended from November 1997 to December 2008. The cohort included patients from all community-based and inpatient psychiatric services in Western Australia (state population 1.8 million). We used a 2-stage design of matching and Cox regression to adjust for demographic characteristics, previous use of health services, diagnosis and length of psychiatric history. We collected data on successive cohorts for each year for which community treatment orders were used to measure changes in numbers of patients, their characteristics and outcomes. Our primary outcome was 2-year all-cause mortality. Our secondary outcomes were 1-and 3-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The study population included 2958 patients with community treatment orders (cases) and 2958 matched controls (i.e., patients with psychiatric disorders who had not received a community treatment order). The average age for cases and controls was 36.7 years, and 63.7% (3771) of participants were men. Schizophrenia and other nonaffective psychoses were the most common diagnoses (73.4%) among participants. A total of 492 patients (8.3%) died during the study. Cox regression showed that, compared with controls, patients with community treatment orders had significantly lower all-cause mortality at 1, 2 and 3 years, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 0.62 (95% confidence interval 0.45-0.86) at 2 years. The greatest effect was on death from physical illnesses such as cancer, cardiovascular disease or diseases of the central nervous system. This association disappeared when we adjusted for increased outpatient and community contacts with psychiatric services. INTERPRETATION: Community treatment orders might reduce mortality among patients with psychiatric disorders. This may be partly explained by increased contact with health services in the community. However, the effects of uncontrolled confounders cannot be excluded.

The nomogram to predict the occurrence of sepsis-associated encephalopathy in elderly patients in the intensive care units: A retrospective cohort study.

Background: Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) is a critical and common problem in elderly patients with sepsis, which is still short of efficient predictive tools. Therefore, this study aims to screen the risk factors and establish a useful predictive nomogram for SAE in elderly patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU). Patients and methods: Elderly patients (age ≥ 65 years) with sepsis were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database. Data from demographics and laboratory examinations were collected on the first day of admission to the ICU. SAE was defined by two criteria in the presence of sepsis: ① a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of < 15 or ② delirium. Differences in demographics and laboratory tests were calculated between SAE and non-SAE groups. Participants were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set without replacement at a ratio of 6:4. A predictive nomogram was constructed in the training set by logistic regression analysis and then validated. The predictive capability of the nomogram was demonstrated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and calibration curve analysis. Results: A total of 22,361 patients were selected, of which 2,809 patients (12.7%) died in the hospital and 8,290 patients (37.1%) had SAE. In-hospital mortality in the SAE group was higher than that in the non-SAE group (18.8 vs. 8.9%, p < 0.001). Based on the results of logistic regression analysis, a nomogram integrating age, Na+, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, heart rate, and body temperature were constructed. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 80.2% in the training set and 80.9% in the validation set. Calibration curve analysis showed a good predictive capacity of the nomogram. Conclusion: SAE is an independent risk of in-hospital mortality in elderly patients in the intensive care unit. The nomogram has an excellent predictive capability of SAE and helps in clinical practice.

The procalcitonin-to-cortisol ratio is a potential prognostic predictor in sepsis with abdominal source: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to investigate the procalcitonin-to-cortisol ratio (P/C ratio) as a prognostic predictor among septic patients with abdominal source. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 132 post-surgery patients between 18 and 90 years old with sepsis of the abdominal source. On the second day of sepsis onset, cortisol, procalcitonin (PCT), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, C-response protein (CRP), and other baseline characteristics were collected. In addition, the length of ICU stay, length of mechanical ventilation (MV) days, length of shock days, and 28-day mortality were also recorded. Univariate analysis was performed to screen potential risk factors. Stratified analysis was used to identify the interaction among the risk factors. Multivariate analysis was also utilized to demonstrate the relationship between the risk factors and mortality. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to evaluate the risk factors. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) demonstrated the association between survival outcome and the P/C ratio variation. RESULTS: A total of twenty-nine patients died, and 103 patients survived within 28 d. There were significant differences in cortisol, PCT, P/C ratio, interleukin (IL)-6, SOFA, and APACHE II scores between the survival and non-survival groups. No significant interaction was observed in the stratified analysis. Logistic regression analysis revealed that P/C ratio (P=0.033) was significantly related to 28-day mortality. Based on ROC curves, P/C ratio (AUC=0.919) had a higher AUC value than cortisol or PCT. RCS analysis depicted a positive relationship between survival possibility and P/C ratio decrement. CONCLUSION: P/C ratio might be a potential prognostic predictor in septic patients with abdominal sources.

Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) during landscape fire events and the risk of cardiorespiratory emergency department attendances: a time-series study in Perth, Western Australia.

BACKGROUND: Landscape fires (LFs) are the main source of elevated particulate matter (PM2.5) in Australian cities and towns. This study examined the associations between daily exposure to fine PM2.5 during LF events and daily emergency department attendances (EDA) for all causes, respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes. METHODS: Daily PM2.5 was estimated using a model that included PM2.5 measurements on the previous day, remotely sensed aerosols and fires, hand-drawn tracing of smoke plumes from satellite images, fire danger ratings and the atmosphere venting index. Daily PM2.5 was then categorised as high (≥99th percentile), medium (96th-98th percentile) and low (≤95th percentile). Daily EDA for all-cause and cardiorespiratory conditions were obtained from the Western Australian Emergency Department Data Collection. We used population-based cohort time-series multivariate regressions with 95% CIs to assess modelled daily PM2.5 and EDA associations from 2015 to 2017. We estimated the lag-specific associations and cumulative risk ratios (RR) at lags of 0-3 days, adjusted for sociodemographic factors, weather and time. RESULTS: All-cause EDA and overall cardiovascular presentations increased on all lagged days and up to 5% (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.06) and 7% (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.12), respectively, at the high level. High-level exposure was also associated with increased acute lower respiratory tract infections at 1 (RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.29) and 3 (RR 1.17, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.23) days lags and transient ischaemic attacks at 1 day (RR 1.25, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.53) and 2 (RR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.42) days lag. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to PM2.5 concentrations during LFs was associated with an increased risk of all-cause EDA, overall EDA cardiovascular diseases, acute respiratory tract infections and transient ischaemic attacks.

Hospitalization Costs of Respiratory Diseases Attributable to Temperature in Australia and Projections for Future Costs in the 2030s and 2050s under Climate Change.

This study aimed to estimate respiratory disease hospitalization costs attributable to ambient temperatures and to estimate the future hospitalization costs in Australia. The associations between daily hospitalization costs for respiratory diseases and temperatures in Sydney and Perth over the study period of 2010-2016 were analyzed using distributed non-linear lag models. Future hospitalization costs were estimated based on three predicted climate change scenarios-RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The estimated respiratory disease hospitalization costs attributable to ambient temperatures increased from 493.2 million Australian dollars (AUD) in the 2010s to more than AUD 700 million in 2050s in Sydney and from AUD 98.0 million to about AUD 150 million in Perth. The current cold attributable fraction in Sydney (23.7%) and Perth (11.2%) is estimated to decline by the middle of this century to (18.1-20.1%) and (5.1-6.6%), respectively, while the heat-attributable fraction for respiratory disease is expected to gradually increase from 2.6% up to 5.5% in Perth. Limitations of this study should be noted, such as lacking information on individual-level exposures, local air pollution levels, and other behavioral risks, which is common in such ecological studies. Nonetheless, this study found both cold and hot temperatures increased the overall hospitalization costs for respiratory diseases, although the attributable fractions varied. The largest contributor was cold temperatures. While respiratory disease hospitalization costs will increase in the future, climate change may result in a decrease in the cold attributable fraction and an increase in the heat attributable fraction, depending on the location.

Awareness of cognitive deficits in older adults with cognitive-impairment-no-dementia (CIND): comparison with informant report.

Impaired awareness of cognitive deficits is a common symptom of dementia, but its prognostic importance in people with cognitive impairment-no dementia (CIND) is uncertain. In this study, we examined whether community volunteers with CIND and reduced awareness had worse cognitive performance and cognitive decline over 18 months than CIND participants with intact awareness or healthy controls. We recruited 92 participants with CIND and 91 healthy controls with their respective informants. We used discrepancy scores (informant minus participant) on the Anosognosia Questionnaire for Dementia and Dysexecutive Questionnaire to ascertain participants' awareness of their cognitive performance. The main cognitive outcome variable was the Alzheimer Disease Assessment Scale: Cognitive Section. Bivariate correlations showed no relationship between the awareness measures and cognitive performance or decline. Overall, CIND participants' ratings of cognitive deficits correlated significantly with their Alzheimer Disease Assessment Scale: Cognitive Section score after 18-months (for Anosognosia Questionnaire for Dementia, r=0.45, P <0.001) and showed a stronger relationship with cognitive performance than informant ratings. These results indicate that reduced awareness of deficit may be uncommon in community volunteer samples with CIND. In addition, self-report of cognitive complaints may be at least as useful as informant report when screening community-dwelling older adults at risk of cognitive decline and dementia.

Natural Orifice Translumenal Endoscopic Surgery (NOTES): patients' perceptions and attitudes.

BACKGROUND: Natural orifice translumenal endoscopic surgery (NOTES) has generated a surge of enthusiasm among researchers by virtue of its challenge to the dogma and potential benefits. However, no data is available in the medical literature about NOTES' acceptance by patients in Asia. The aim of the study is to survey patients' perceptions and attitudes towards NOTES. METHODS: It is a questionnaire-based multi-center study on inpatient subjects with various gastrointestinal disorders from 14 hospitals in 12 cities of China. Procedural details with the benefits and risks of NOTES, laparoscopic surgery, and conventional surgery were explained to all registered candidates. They were required to choose and cite reasons for adopting one of the above three surgical techniques as the preferred mode of treatment. The reasons for selection of the surgical treatment were: safety, efficacy, cost, postoperative pain, abdominal wounds, and scarring. RESULTS: There were 1,797 cases, including 976 (54.3%) males and 821 females (45.7%). Based on their comprehension of the procedure, 802 (44.6%) patients opted for NOTES, 757 (42.1%) for laparoscopic surgery, and 238 (13.2%) for conventional surgery. NOTES was mainly selected by the young and educated persons, especially females and by those with past exposure to laparoscopy or conventional surgery. The choice of treatment was significantly correlated with age (P=0.0021), education (P=0.0209), past medical history (laparoscopy, P=0.0134; open surgery, P<0.0001), and department of admission (P=0.0173). The preference for NOTES was based on safety (37.3%), cost (17.6%), elimination of postoperative scars (16.1%), abdominal wounds (16.0%), and efficacy (13.1%). CONCLUSIONS: The vast majority of patients prefer mini-invasive surgery to conventional surgery. The potential recipients of NOTES are educated and younger age groups. However, a few consider NOTES as a safe and effective intervention at present.

A multi-faceted intervention to implement guideline care and improve quality of care for older people who present to the emergency department with falls.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend that older people should receive multi-factorial interventions following an injurious fall however there is limited evidence that this is routine practice. We aimed to improve the delivery of evidence based care to patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) following a fall. METHODS: A prospective before and after study was undertaken in the ED of a medium-sized hospital in Perth, Western Australia. Participants comprised 313 community-dwelling patients, aged 65 years and older, presenting to ED as a result of a fall. A multi-faceted strategy to change practice was implemented and included a referral pathway, audit and feedback and additional falls specialist staff. Key measures to show improvements comprised the proportion of patients reviewed by allied health, proportion of patients referred for guideline care, quality of care index, all determined by record extraction. RESULTS: Allied health staff increased the proportion of patients being reviewed from 62.7% in the before period to 89% after the intervention (P < 0.001). Before the intervention a referral for comprehensive guideline care occurred for only 6/177 (3.4%) of patients, afterwards for 28/136 (20.6%) (difference = 17.2%, 95% CI 11-23%). Average quality of care index (max score 100) increased from 18.6 (95% CI: 16.7-20.4) to 32.6 (28.6-36.6). CONCLUSIONS: A multi-faceted change strategy was associated with an improvement in allied health in ED prioritizing the review of ED fallers as well as subsequent referral for comprehensive geriatric care. The processes of multi-disciplinary care also improved, indicating improved care received by the patient.

Comparison of Different Surgical Methods for Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Meta-Analysis.

Purpose: To compare the effectiveness and safety of three methods of open necrosectomy, minimally invasive surgery and endoscopic step-up approach for necrotizing pancreatitis. Methods: We searched Pubmed, Embase, ScienceDirect, and CNKI full text database (CNKI) (to December 25, 2019). RCT, prospective cohort study (PCS), and retrospective cohort study (RCS) comparing the effectiveness and safety of any two of above-mentioned three methods were included. Results: There was no significant difference in major complications or death, and mortality between the minimally invasive surgery treatment group and the endoscopic step-up approach treatment group (RR = 1.66, 95%CI: 0.83-3.33, P = 0.15; RR = 1.05, 95%CI: 0.59-1.86, P = 0.87); the incidence rate of new-onset multiple organ failure, enterocutaneous fistula, pancreatic-cutaneous fistula, intra-abdominal bleeding, and endocrine pancreatic insufficiency in the endoscopic step-up approach treatment group was significantly lower than minimally invasive surgery group (RR = 2.65, 95%CI: 1.10-6.36, P = 0.03; RR = 6.63, 95%CI: 1.59-27.60, P = 0.009; RR = 7.73, 95%CI: 3.00-19.89, P < 0.0001; RR = 1.91, 95%CI: 1.13-3.24, P = 0.02; RR = 1.83, 95%CI: 1.9-3.16, P = 0.02); hospital stay in the endoscopic step-up approach group was significantly shorter than minimally invasive surgical treatment group (MD = 11.26, 95%CI: 5.46-17.05, P = 0.0001). The incidence of pancreatic-cutaneous fistula in the endoscopic escalation step therapy group was significantly lower than that in the open necrosectomy group (RR = 0.11, 95%CI: 0.02-0.58, P = 0.009). Conclusion: Compared with minimally invasive surgery and open necrosectomy, although endoscopic step-up approach cannot reduce the main complications or death and mortality of patients, it can significantly reduce the incidence of some serious complications, such as pancreatic-cutaneous fistula, enterocutaneous fistula, intra-abdominal bleeding, endocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and can significantly shorten the patient's hospital stay.

Endoscopic gastric fenestration of debriding pancreatic walled-off necrosis: A pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic drainage of walled-off necrosis (WON) is still a challenge due to stent-associated problems. We explored endoscopic gastric fenestration (EGF) as an innovative alternative intervention. AIM: To assess the feasibility, efficacy and safety of EGF for WON. METHODS: Between March 2019 and March 2020, five patients with symptomatic WON in close contact with the stomach wall were treated by EGF. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) was used to select appropriate sites for gastric fenestration, which then proceeded layer by layer as in endoscopic submucosal dissection. Both the stomach muscularis propria and pseudocyst capsule were penetrated. Fenestrations were expanded up to 1.5-3 cm for drainage or subsequent necrosectomy. RESULTS: EGF failed in Case 1 due to nonadherence of WON to the gastric wall. EGF was successfully implemented in the other four cases by further refinement of fenestration site selection according to computed tomography, endoscopy and EUS features. The average procedure time for EGF was 124 min (EUS assessment, 32.3 min; initial fenestration, 28.8 min; expanded fenestration, 33 min), and tended to decrease as experience gradually increased. The diameter of the fenestration site was 1.5-3 cm, beyond the caliber of a lumen-apposing metal stent (LAMS), to ensure effective drainage or subsequent necrosectomy. Fenestration sites showed surprising capacity for postoperative self-healing within 1-3 wk. No EGF-related complications were seen. WON disappeared within 3 wk after EGF. In Case 3, another separate WON, treated by endoscopic LAMS drainage, recurred within 4 d after LAMS removal due to stent-related hemorrhage, and resolved slowly over almost 3 mo. No recurrences were observed in the five patients. CONCLUSION: EGF is an innovative and promising alternative intervention for WON adherent to the gastric wall. The challenge resides in the gauging of actual adherence and in selecting appropriate fenestration sites.

Estimation of glomerular filtration rate: does haemoglobin discriminate between ageing and true CKD?

AIM: The aim of this study was to analyse the association between chronic kidney disease (CKD) defined by an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/ 1.73 m(2) and anaemia in older people. BACKGROUND: Guidelines focus on early identification and management of CKD to prevent CKD progression and cardiovascular disease. However, the significance of CKD classification using eGFR in older people is unclear. METHODS: Serum creatinine and haemoglobin from individuals attending non-nephrology outpatient clinics were extracted from the state pathology provider over a 4-month period. The associations between eGFR, gender, age and haemoglobin were explored. RESULTS: Serum creatinine in 9853 individual patients aged > or =15 years was available for analysis. Haemoglobin was simultaneously available in 8752 (88.8%) subjects. There was a negative relationship between age and median eGFR, and the slope of the regression line was -0.68 ml/min/year for males and -0.74 ml/min/year for females. Over 35% of individuals > or =65 years were classified as having CKD stage > or =3. Odds ratios for haemoglobin <100 g/l for an eGFR <15, 15-29 and 30-59 versus reference GFR > or =60 ml/ min/1.73 m(2) in subjects 25-44 years were 34.2 (30.7-37.7), 23.4 (20.2-26.6) and 7.2 (5.3-9.1), respectively. In comparison, these were 8.9 (6.7-11.1), 5.6 (4.9-7.3) and 1.6 (1.1-2.1), respectively, in subjects > or =65 years. In subjects > or =65 years, odds ratios for haemoglobin <100 g/l for an eGFR 30-44 and 45-59 ml/min/1.73 m(2) versus reference GFR > or =60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) were 1.9 (1.3-2.5) and 1.2 (0.7-1.7), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) is very common in older people. Only an eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73 m(2) identified a smaller sub-group of older people with an increased prevalence of significant anaemia suggesting a clinically relevant disease. The benefits of identifying older people with an eGFR > or =45 ml/min/1.73 m(2) need to be determined.

The impact of declining clinical autopsy: need for revised healthcare policy.

In Western countries, autopsy rates for patients deceased in hospitals have dropped to record lows, while the average frequency of major errors in clinical diagnoses has more than doubled during the same time period. Meanwhile, the Institute of Medicine and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services have called attention to the high frequency of errors affecting patient safety, bringing the issue of public safety to the forefront of public health concerns. Although autopsies represent a vital tool for the acquisition of new medical knowledge and for medical quality assurance, health care professionals, insurers, and politicians apparently have not chosen the right approach to solve the problem of declining autopsy rates. The present article reviews the current status of clinical autopsies and addresses causes and consequences of their neglect and appeal the urgent need to revise the policy for clinical autopsy.

The Impact of Alcohol Restriction on Hospital and Emergency Department Service Utilizations in Two Remote Towns in the Kimberley Region of Western Australia.

Background: In a remote region of Western Australia, Kimberley, residents have nearly twice the State average per capita consumption of alcohol, four and a half times the level of alcohol-related hospitalizations and nearly three times the level of alcohol-related deaths. This study aimed to evaluate the long term effects of alcohol sale restrictions on health service utilization in two remote towns in Kimberley. Methods: Sale of high strength packaged alcohol was restricted in Fitzroy Crossing and Halls Creek since October 2007 and May 2009, respectively. Alcohol-related Emergency Department (ED) attendances and hospitalizations utilized by local residents before and after the intervention between 2003 and 2013 was compared by using yearly rates (/1,000 person-years) and interrupted time series analysis with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modeling. The Western Australia specific aetiological fractions (AAFs) were applied to hospital inpatient data for estimation of the proportion of hospital separations attributable to alcohol. Results: In Fitzroy Crossing, there was a significant reduction of over 40% on rates (/1,000 person-years) of alcohol-related acute hospitalizations (54.2 [95% CI: 53.8-54.7] vs. 31.7 [31.4-32.1]) and ED attendances (534.1[532.8-535.5] vs. 294.5 [293.5-295.4]). In Halls Creek, there was a significant reduction of over 50% on rates (/1,000 person-years) of alcohol- related acute hospitalizations (17.7 [17.6-17.8] vs. 8.0 [7.9-8.1]) and ED attendance (248.4 [247.9-248.9] vs. 111.1[110.8-111.5]). Domestic violence and injury related hospitalization rates were also reduced by over 20% in both towns. Conclusions: The total restriction of selling high strength alcohol through a community driven process has shown to be effective in reducing alcohol-related health service utilization in post-intervention period. Continue monitoring is required to address new emerging issues. Future research on health service utilization related to alcohol by using interrupted time series analysis incorporating ARIMA modeling and applying AAFs are recommended for evaluating alcohol-related interventions.