What drives the changing characteristics of phytoplankton in urban lakes: Climate, hydrology, or human disturbance?

Phytoplankton in shallow urban lakes are influenced by various environmental factors. However, the long-term coupling effects and impact pathways of these environmental variables on phytoplankton remain unclear. This is an emerging issue due to high urbanization and the resultant complex climate, lake hydrology and morphology, human interference, and water quality parameter changes. This study used Tangxun Lake, the largest urban lake in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, as an example to assess for the first time the individual contributions and coupled effects of four environmental variables and fourteen indicators on chlorophyll-a (Chla) concentrations under two scenarios from 2000 to 2019. Additionally, the influence pathways between the environmental variables and Chla concentration were quantified. The results indicated that the Chla concentration was most affected by lake hydrology and morphology, as were the total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and transparency. Especially after urbanization (2015-2019), the coupling effect of human interference, lake hydrology and morphology, and water quality parameters was strongest (18%). This is mainly due to fluctuations in the lake water level and an increase in the shape index of lake morphology, large amounts of nutrients were input, which reduced lake transparency and indirectly changed the Chla content. In addition, due to the rapid development of Wuhan city, the expansion of construction land has led to an increase in impervious surface area and a decrease in lake area. During periods of intense summer rainfall, a substantial amount of pollutants entered the lakes through surface runoff, resulting in decreased lake transparency, and elevated concentrations of nitrogen and phosphorus, indirectly increasing the Chla content. This study provides a scientific basis for aquatic ecological assessment and pollution control in urban shallow lakes.

Study on spatiotemporal dynamic characteristics of precipitation and causes of waterlogging based on a data-driven framework.

The discernible alterations in regional precipitation patterns, influenced by the intersecting factors of urbanization and climate change, exert a substantial impact on urban flood disasters. Based on multi-source precipitation data, a data-driven model fusion framework was constructed to analyze the spatial and temporal dynamic distribution characteristics of precipitation in Beijing. Wavelet analysis method was used to reveal the periodic variation characteristics and multi-scale effects of precipitation, and the machine learning method was used to characterize the spatiotemporal dynamic change pattern of precipitation. Finally, geographical detector was used to explore the causes of waterlogging in Beijing. The research outcomes reveal a disparate distribution of precipitation across the year, with 78 % of the total precipitation occurring during the flood season. The principal periodic cycles observed in annual cumulative precipitation (ACP) were identified at 21, 13, and 9-year intervals. Spatially, while a decreasing trend in precipitation was observed in most areas of Beijing, 63.4 % of the region exhibited an escalating concentration trend, thereby heightening the risk of urban waterlogging. Machine learning model clustering elucidated three predominant spatial dynamic distribution patterns of precipitation in Beijing. The utilization of web crawler technology to acquire water accumulation data addressed challenges in obtaining urban waterlogging data, and validation through Landsat8 images enhanced data reliability and authenticity. Factor detection shows that road network density, topography, and precipitation were the main factors affecting urban waterlogging. These findings hold significant implications for informing flood control strategies and emergency management protocols in urban areas across China.