Mapping Blood Lead Levels in China during 1980-2040 with Machine Learning.

Lead poisoning is globally concerning, yet limited testing hinders effective interventions in most countries. We aimed to create annual maps of county-specific blood lead levels in China from 1980 to 2040 using a machine learning model. Blood lead data from China were sourced from 1180 surveys published between 1980 and 2022. Additionally, regional statistical figures for 15 natural and socioeconomic variables were obtained or estimated as predictors. A machine learning model, using the random forest algorithm and 2973 generated samples, was created to predict county-specific blood lead levels in China from 1980 to 2040. Geometric mean blood lead levels in children (i.e., age 14 and under) decreased significantly from 104.4 µg/L in 1993 to an anticipated 40.3 µg/L by 2040. The number exceeding 100 µg/L declined dramatically, yet South Central China remains a hotspot. Lead exposure is similar among different groups, but overall adults and adolescents (i.e., age over 14), females, and rural residents exhibit slightly lower exposure compared to that of children, males, and urban residents, respectively. Our predictions indicated that despite the general reduction, one-fourth of Chinese counties rebounded during 2015-2020. This slower decline might be due to emerging lead sources like smelting and coal combustion; however, the primary factor driving the decline should be the reduction of a persistent source, legacy gasoline-derived lead. Our approach innovatively maps lead exposure without comprehensive surveys.

Urinary cadmium levels in China (1982-2021): Regional trends and influential factors.

Despite the significant threat of cadmium exposure in China, a national-level assessment has been conspicuously absent. This study bridges this critical gap by collecting, geospatial analyzing and multivariable regression analyzing published studies on urinary cadmium levels in Chinese from 1982 to 2021. Our research reveals a notable decline trend in cadmium exposure among Chinese populations. However, this trend varies by region, age and gender group, higher levels are seen in the South (1.04 µg/g cr) compared to the North (0.48 µg/g cr), and in adults (1.08 µg/g cr) relative to children (0.33 µg/g cr), with higher levels being more pronounced in females (6.17 µg/g cr). Urinary cadmium is significantly correlated with rice consumption (P < 0.001), while mining activities have been identified as the dominant factor for cadmium exposure in most regions of China, a trend that is evident both in past decades and is expected to continue into the next decade. These findings underscore the need for region-specific environmental and public health strategies, designed to effectively address the distinct cadmium exposure risks in various regions and among different population groups, thus enhancing protection against the adverse effects of cadmium.

Effect of Lactobacillus plantarum fermentation on the physicochemical properties and flavor of rice protein-carboxymethylcellulose complexes.

BACKGROUND: Fermentation is known to enhance the nutritional profile and confer unique flavors to products. However, the resultant effects on stability and physicochemical properties remain unexplored. RESULTS: This study aims to elucidate the influence of fermentation on the stability and organoleptic characteristics of a rice protein beverage stabilized by carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC). The findings revealed that the average aggregate size escalated from 507 to 870 nm, concurrently exhibiting a significant increase in surface potential. The aggregation enhancement was substantiated by evident morphological changes and confocal laser scanning microscopical (CLSM) observations. A negative correlation was discerned between the physical stability of the beverage and fermentation duration. Moreover, flavor analysis of the beverage post a 3 h fermentation period highlighted an increase in aromatic ester compounds, thereby intensifying the aroma. CONCLUSION: The study corroborates that fermentation can detrimentally influence product stability while concurrently improving its flavor profile. By establishing a mix ratio of 10:1 for rice protein and CMC and forming a relatively stable system through electrostatic interaction at a pH of 5.4, a flavorful rice protein beverage can be derived post 3 h-fermentation process. These findings offer insights into the impact of varying fermentation durations on the stability and flavor of polysaccharide-based rice protein beverages. © 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.

Database examination, multivariate analysis, and machine learning: Predictions of vapor intrusion attenuation factors.

Traditional soil vapor intrusion (VI) models usually rely on preset conceptual scenarios, simplifying the influences of limiting environmental covariates in determining indoor attenuation factors relative to subsurface sources. This study proposed a technical framework and applied it to predict VI attenuation factors based on site-specific parameters recorded in the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA)'s and the California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA)'s VI databases, which can overcome the limitations of traditional VI models. We examined the databases with multivariate analysis of variance to identify effective covariates, which were then employed to develop VI models with three machine learning algorithms. The results of multivariate analysis show that the effective covariates include soil texture, source depth, foundation type, lateral separation, surface cover, and land use. Based on these covariates, the predicted attenuation factors by these new models are generally within one order of magnitude of the observations recorded in the databases. Then the developed models were employed to generate the generic indoor attenuation factors to subsurface vapor (i.e., the 95th percentile of selected dataset), the values of which are different between the USEPA's and CalEPA's databases by one order of magnitude, although comparable to recommendations by the USEPA and literature, respectively. Such a difference may reflect the significant regional disparity in factors such as building structures or operational conditions (e.g., indoor air exchange rates), which necessitates generating generic VI attenuation factors on a state-specific basis. This study provides an alternative for VI risk screens on a site-specific basis, especially in states with a good collection of datasets. Although the proposed technical framework is used for the VI databases, it can be equally applied to other environmental science problems.

Application of Image Segmentation to Identify In-flight Particles in Thermal Spraying.

In thermal spray process, the characteristics of in-flight particles (velocity and temperature) play an important role regarding the microstructure of the deposit and thus the coating performances. The implementation of diagnostic devices is necessary to measure such characteristics. Many imaging systems and algorithms have been developed for identifying and tracking in-flight particles. However, these current image systems have significant limitations in terms of accuracy for example. One key to solving the tracking problem is to get an algorithm that can effectively distinguish different particles in the same image frame at the same time. This study aims to develop an algorithm capable of identifying a large number of in-flight particles sprayed by thermal process. The results show that the noise and vignettes could be successfully treated, particles are clearly recognized in the background, leading to properly measuring the sizes and positions of the particle versus time. The proposed algorithm has a higher recognition rate and recognition range than other algorithms, which will provide a reasonable basis for subsequent calculation and processing.

Causes and predictors of readmission after transcatheter aortic valve implantation : A meta-analysis and systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Since readmission rate is an important clinical index to determine the quality of inpatient care and hospital performance, the aim of this study was to explain the causes and predictors of readmission following transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) at short-term and mid-term follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of all published articles from Embase, Pubmed/MEDLINE, and Ovid was carried out. In all, 10 studies including 52,702 patients were identified. The pooled estimate for the overall event rate was 0.15, and cardiovascular causes were the main reason for 30-day readmission (0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.39-0.45). In addition, the pooled incidence of 1­year readmission was 0.31, and cardiovascular events were still the main cause (0.41, 95% CI: 0.33-0.48). Patients with major and life-threatening bleeding, new permanent pacemaker implantation, and clinical heart failure were associated with a high risk for early readmission after TAVI. Moreover, an advanced (≥3) New York Heart Association classification, acute kidney injury, paravalvular leak, mitral regurgitation (≥ moderate), and major bleeding predicted unfavorable outcome to 1­year readmission. Female gender and transfemoral TAVI was associated with a lower risk for unplanned rehospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis found cardiovascular factors to be the main causes for both 30-day and 1­year rehospitalization. Heart failure represented the most common cardiovascular event at both short-term and mid-term follow-up. Several baseline characteristics and procedure-related factors were deemed unfavorable predictors of readmission. Importantly, transfemoral access and female gender were associated with a lower risk of readmission.

Unraveling the molecular mechanism of BNC105, a phase II clinical trial vascular disrupting agent, provides insights into drug design.

Microtubules are made up of tubulin protein and play a very important part in numerous cellular events of eukaryotic cells, which is why they are seen as attractive targets for tumor chemotherapy. BNC105, a known vascular targeting agent, has entered in phase II clinical trials. It has previously been confirmed that BNC105 is an effective microtubule targeting agent for various cancers. BNC105 exhibits selectivity for tumor cells, elicits vascular disrupting effects, and inhibits tumor growth. However, the molecular mechanism of BNC105 is still elusive. Herein, the crystal structure of BNC105 in complex with tubulin protein is revealed, demonstrating the its interaction with the colchicine binding site. In order to thoroughly evaluate its molecular mechanism from a structural-activity-relationship standpoint, the binding mode of tubulin to BNC-105 is compared with colchicine, CA-4 and other BNC-105 derivatives. Our study not only confirms the detailed interactions of the BNC105-tubulin complex, but also offer substantial structural foundation for the design and development of novel benzo[b]furan derivatives as microtubule targeting agents.

Investigating the Role of Soil Texture in Petroleum Vapor Intrusion.

In this work we investigate the role of soil texture in petroleum vapor intrusion (PVI) by performing numerical modeling, analytical calculations, and statistical analysis of the USEPA's PVI database. Numerical simulations were conducted for three kinds of soil (sand, sandy loam, and clay), and the results indicate that the maximum attenuations of vapor concentrations from source to indoor air were observed when the clay soil is below the building. In the anaerobic zone, the normalized soil gas concentration profiles were observed to be similar and independent of soil type, whereas in the aerobic zone, a more significant attenuation was observed in finer grained soils. Such a finding is consistent with the statistical results of the USEPA's PVI database, which indicate that in the near-source zone, the soil gas concentration in coarse-grained soil tends to be lower than that in fine-grained soil, possibly caused by a weaker source due to mass loss by volatilization, whereas at a distance away from the source, the measured soil gas concentrations in fine-grained soils become much lower because of aerobic biodegradation with a shorter diffusive reaction length. Thus, 3 and 5 m are proposed as soil-type-dependent vertical screening distances for fine and coarse-grained soils, respectively. It should be noted that the validity of these screening distances is examined only for relatively homogeneous soils, and they may not be applicable for cases involving layered soil systems, where the availability of O in the subfoundation should be evaluated with subslab or multidepth samples to confirm the presence of aerobic biodegradation.

Examining the use of USEPA's Generic Attenuation Factor in determining groundwater screening levels for vapor intrusion.

A value of 0.001 is recommended by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) for its groundwater-to-indoor air Generic Attenuation Factor (GAFG), used in assessing potential vapor intrusion (VI) impacts to indoor air, given measured groundwater concentrations of volatile chemicals of concern (e.g., chlorinated solvents). The GAFG can, in turn, be used for developing groundwater screening levels for VI given target indoor air quality screening levels. In this study, we examine the validity and applicability of the GAFG both for predicting indoor air impacts and for determining groundwater screening levels. This is done using both analysis of published data and screening model calculations. Among the 774 total paired groundwater-indoor air measurements in the USEPA's VI database (which were used by that agency to generate the GAFG) we found that there are 427 pairs for which a single groundwater measurement or interpolated value was applied to multiple buildings. In one case, up to 73 buildings were associated with a single interpolated groundwater value and in another case up to 15 buildings were associated with a single groundwater measurement (i.e, that the indoor air contaminant concentrations in all of the associated buildings were influenced by the concentration determined at a single point). In more than 70% of the cases (390 of 536 paired measurements in which horizontal building-monitoring well distance was recorded) the monitoring wells were located more than 30 meters (and some up to over 200 meters) from the associated buildings. In a few cases, the measurements in the database even improbably implied that soil gas contaminant concentrations increased, rather than decreased, in an upward direction from a contaminant source to a foundation slab. Such observations indicate problematic source characterization within the dataset used to generate the GAFG, and some indicate the possibility of a significant influence of a preferential contaminant pathway. While the inherent value of the USEPA database itself is not being questioned here, the above facts raise the very real possibility that the recommended groundwater attenuation factors are being influenced by variables or conditions that have not thus far been fully accounted for. In addition, the predicted groundwater attenuation factors often fall far beyond the upper limits of predictions from mathematical models of VI, ranging from screening models to detailed computational fluid dynamic models. All these models are based on the same fundamental conceptual site model, involving a vadose zone vapor transport pathway starting at an underlying uniform groundwater source and leading to the foundation of a building of concern. According to the analysis presented here, we believe that for scenarios for which such a "traditional" VI pathway is appropriate, 10-4 is a more appropriately conservative generic groundwater to indoor air attenuation factor than is the EPA-recommended 10-3. This is based both on the statistical analysis of USEPA's VI database, as well as the traditional mathematical models of VI. This result has been validated by comparison with results from some well documented field studies.

Investigating the Role of Soil Texture in Vapor Intrusion from Groundwater Sources.

Soil texture is believed to play a significant role in the migration of subsurface volatile chemicals into buildings at contaminated sites, an exposure process known as vapor intrusion (VI). In this study, we investigated the role of soil texture in determining the attenuation of contaminant soil gas concentration from groundwater source to receptor building. We performed soil column experiments, numerical simulations, and statistical analysis of the USEPA's VI database. The soil column experiments were conducted with commercial sand and soils with sand and sandy loam textures. Measured one-dimensional soil gas concentration profiles were compared with numerical predictions. Good agreement between experiments and model results supports the use of the classical multiphase chemical transport equation for simulating contaminant vapor transport from groundwater through the vadose zone. A full three-dimensional numerical model was then used to simulate typical VI scenarios with groundwater sources. Results indicate that, although soil particle texture can play a role in determining subslab-to-indoor air concentration attenuation, there is no obvious relationship between soil particle size and groundwater source-to-subslab except in the case of a shallow contaminant source. This conclusion is consistent with results reported in USEPA's VI database, in which variation in soil particle size does not affect source-to-subslab attenuation factors but does influence subslab-to-indoor air concentration attenuation factors by an average of about 0.4 order of magnitude. This finding suggests that an appropriate focus of VI site investigation should include the shallow soil beneath the building foundation.

Three-Dimensional Simulation of Land Drains as a Preferential Pathway for Vapor Intrusion into Buildings.

Preferential pathways can be significant vapor intrusion (VI) contributors, causing potentially higher inhalation risk to residents of affected buildings than that arising through traditional intrusion pathways. To assess land drains as a preferential pathway, a three-dimensional model, validated using data from a 4-yr field study, was used to study the roles of subfoundation soil permeability on soil gas flow and indoor depressurization. Results indicated that it is almost impossible for an indirect preferential pathway like a land drain ending in subfoundation soils with a permeability <10 m to affect indoor air quality if the land drain connects to a source with the same vapor concentration as that of the groundwater source beneath the building. An equation was developed to estimate the threshold permeability. We also found that even after the preferential pathway was identified using indoor depressurization (also known as controlled pressure method [CPM]) and then turned off, the influence of the preferential pathway and indoor depressurization on indoor concentration might last for months, although it may not be significant (i.e., may not exceed one order of magnitude, in this study). In the absence of such a preferential VI pathway, CPM may actually reduce indoor air concentrations of contaminants below those present under natural indoor pressure conditions, due to the emission rate limit determined by the upward diffusion rate from the vapor source. Our study highlights the role of measuring subfoundation soil permeability to soil gas flow in site investigations and warns practitioners about the possible mischaracterization of indoor air concentration after applying CPM in the absence of a preferential pathway.

A two-dimensional analytical model of vapor intrusion involving vertical heterogeneity.

In this work, we present an analytical chlorinated vapor intrusion (CVI) model that can estimate source-to-indoor air concentration attenuation by simulating two-dimensional (2-D) vapor concentration profile in vertically heterogeneous soils overlying a homogenous vapor source. The analytical solution describing the 2-D soil gas transport was obtained by applying a modified Schwarz-Christoffel mapping method. A partial field validation showed that the developed model provides results (especially in terms of indoor emission rates) in line with the measured data from a case involving a building overlying a layered soil. In further testing, it was found that the new analytical model can very closely replicate the results of three-dimensional (3-D) numerical models at steady state in scenarios involving layered soils overlying homogenous groundwater sources. By contrast, by adopting a two-layer approach (capillary fringe and vadose zone) as employed in the EPA implementation of the Johnson and Ettinger model, the spatially and temporally averaged indoor concentrations in the case of groundwater sources can be higher than the ones estimated by the numerical model up to two orders of magnitude. In short, the model proposed in this work can represent an easy-to-use tool that can simulate the subsurface soil gas concentration in layered soils overlying a homogenous vapor source while keeping the simplicity of an analytical approach that requires much less computational effort.

A two-dimensional analytical model of petroleum vapor intrusion.

In this study we present an analytical solution of a two-dimensional petroleum vapor intrusion model, which incorporates a steady-state diffusion-dominated vapor transport in a homogeneous soil and piecewise first-order aerobic biodegradation limited by oxygen availability. This new model can help practitioners to easily generate two-dimensional soil gas concentration profiles for both hydrocarbons and oxygen and estimate hydrocarbon indoor air concentrations as a function of site-specific conditions such as source strength and depth, reaction rate constant, soil characteristics and building features. The soil gas concentration profiles generated by this new model are shown in good agreement with three-dimensional numerical simulations and two-dimensional measured soil gas data from a field study. This implies that for cases involving diffusion dominated soil gas transport, steady state conditions and homogenous source and soil, this analytical model can be used as a fast and easy-to-use risk screening tool by replicating the results of 3-D numerical simulations but with much less computational effort.

An Excel®-based visualization tool of 2-D soil gas concentration profiles in petroleum vapor intrusion.

In this study we present a petroleum vapor intrusion tool implemented in Microsoft® Excel® using Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) and integrated within a graphical interface. The latter helps users easily visualize two-dimensional soil gas concentration profiles and indoor concentrations as a function of site-specific conditions such as source strength and depth, biodegradation reaction rate constant, soil characteristics and building features. This tool is based on a two-dimensional explicit analytical model that combines steady-state diffusion-dominated vapor transport in a homogeneous soil with a piecewise first-order aerobic biodegradation model, in which rate is limited by oxygen availability. As recommended in the recently released United States Environmental Protection Agency's final Petroleum Vapor Intrusion guidance, a sensitivity analysis and a simplified Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis are also included in the spreadsheet.

A Petroleum Vapor Intrusion Model Involving Upward Advective Soil Gas Flow Due to Methane Generation.

At petroleum vapor intrusion (PVI) sites at which there is significant methane generation, upward advective soil gas transport may be observed. To evaluate the health and explosion risks that may exist under such scenarios, a one-dimensional analytical model describing these processes is introduced in this study. This new model accounts for both advective and diffusive transport in soil gas and couples this with a piecewise first-order aerobic biodegradation model, limited by oxygen availability. The predicted results from the new model are shown to be in good agreement with the simulation results obtained from a three-dimensional numerical model. These results suggest that this analytical model is suitable for describing cases involving open ground surface beyond the foundation edge, serving as the primary oxygen source. This new analytical model indicates that the major contribution of upward advection to indoor air concentration could be limited to the increase of soil gas entry rate, since the oxygen in soil might already be depleted owing to the associated high methane source vapor concentration.

Effect of polyethoxylated flavonoids (PMFs)-loaded citral and chitosan composite coatings on citrus preservation: From the perspective of fruit resistance.

Previous studies have shown that polymethoxylated flavonoids-loaded citral emulsion (PCT) can inhibit the growth and reproduction of Penicillium in citrus; however, PCT is difficult to apply to fruit preservation due to its high fluidity and volatility. Therefore, in this study, we combined PCT with chitosan (CS) to investigate the effect of a composite coating on citrus preservation. The results showed that compared to the control group, the CS-PCT group could effectively reduce the decay rate and maintain moisture availability, color difference, and hardness. Moreover, the contents of nonenzymatic antioxidants and volatile substances with antimicrobial activity were better preserved. In addition, the activities of related antioxidant enzymes were greater in the treatment group, and the expression of the corresponding enzyme-encoding genes was upregulated. Consequently, CS-PCT treatment could effectively maintain fruit quality and improve the resistance of citrus fruits during storage; moreover, it can be considered a nontoxic and efficient citrus preservative.

Spatial - temporal mapping of urine cadmium levels in China during 1980 - 2040: Dietary improvements lower exposure amid rising pollution.

Persistent cadmium exposure poses significant health risks to the Chinese population, underscored by its prevalence as an environmental contaminant. This study leverages a machine-learning model, fed with a comprehensive dataset of environmental and socio-economic factors, to delineate trends in cadmium exposure from 1980 to 2040. We uncovered that urinary cadmium levels peaked at 1.09 µg/g Cr in the mid-2000 s. Encouragingly, a decline is projected to 0.92 µg/g Cr by 2025, tapering further to 0.87 µg/g Cr by 2040. Despite this trend, regions heavily influenced by industrialization, such as Hunan and Guizhou, as well as industrial counties in Jilin, report stubbornly high levels of exposure. Our demographic analysis reveals a higher vulnerability among adults & adolescents over 14, with males displaying elevated cadmium concentrations. Alarmingly, the projected data suggests that by 2040, an estimated 41% of the population will endure exposure beyond the safety threshold set by the European Food Safety Authority. Our research indicates disproportionate cadmium exposure impacts, necessitating targeted interventions and policy reforms to protect vulnerable groups and public health in China.

Recent studies on proteins and polysaccharides-based pH-responsive fluorescent materials.

Polymer-based pH-responsive fluorescent materials have the characteristics of fast response, real-time monitoring, visualisation, and easy forming. Consequently, they have attracted widespread attention in wound healing, sweat monitoring, security and anti-counterfeiting, freshness detection of aquatic products, metal-ion sensing and bioimaging. This paper analyses the preparation principles and characteristics of pH-responsive fluorescent materials based on cellulose, chitosan and proteins. It then outlines the fluorescence properties, environmental response mechanisms and applications of various luminescent materials. Next, the research indicates that amines, N-heterocyclic rings, carboxyl groups and amino plasmonic groups on the fluorescent molecule structure and polymer skeleton appear to change the degree of ionisation under acid or alkali stimulation, which affects the light absorption ability of chromophore electrons, thus producing fluorescence changes in fluorescent materials under different pH stimuli. On this basis, the challenges and growth encountered in the development of proteins and polysaccharides-based pH-responsive fluorescent materials were prospected to provide theoretical references and technical support for constructing pH-responsive fluorescent materials with high stability, high sensitivity, long-lasting pH-response and wide detection range.

Superabsorbent carboxymethyl cellulose-based hydrogel fabricated by liquid-metal-induced double crosslinking polymerisation.

Herein, we introduced a liquid-metal/polymerisable deep eutectic solvent (LM/PDES) system to the carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) and acrylic acid solution to prepare a double-cross-linked CMC-polyacrylic acid (PAA)-LM/PDES superabsorbent hydrogel via graft crosslinking polymerisation for 5 min. FTIR and XRD provided evidence for the coordinate crosslinking between Ga3+ and carboxy groups in the CMC-PAA-LM/PDES gel structure and chemical crosslinking between CMC and PAA components. The pore size of the obtained hydrogels gradually decreases with the increase of LM-AA/PDES content. The rigid CMC polysaccharide chains increased the distance between the ionic groups on the flexible PAA molecular chains, resulting in high osmotic pressure. In addition, the synergistic effects of hydrophilic groups, electrostatic repulsion, macroporous structures and double crosslinking on the CMC and PAA structures provided a driving force and space for the gel to absorb electrolyte containing liquid. The absorption capacity of the CMC-PAA-LM/PDES gel for physiological saline reached 97 g/g, which exceeded that of a single cross-linked CMC-PAA gel and a reported superabsorbent material (71 g/g). This work solved the problem of long heating times and insufficient mechanical properties for the preparation of superabsorbent gels, providing a theoretical reference for improving the absorption capacity of superabsorbent materials for electrolyte-containing aqueous solutions.