Inversion of heavy metal content in soil using hyperspectral characteristic bands-based machine learning method.

The global concern regarding the adverse effects of heavy metal pollution in soil has grown significantly. Accurate prediction of heavy metal content in soil is crucial for environmental protection. This study proposes an inversion analysis method for heavy metals (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Ni, Pb) in soil based on hyperspectral and machine learning algorithms for 21 soil reference materials from multiple provinces in China. On this basis, an integrated learning model called Stacked RF (the base model is XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and the meta-model is RF) was established to perform soil heavy metal inversion. Specifically, three popular algorithms were initially employed to preprocess the spectral data, then Random Forest (RF) was used to select the best feature bands to reduce the impact of noise, finally Stacking and four basic machine learning algorithms were used to establish comparisons and analysis of inversion model. Compared with traditional machine learning methods, the stacking model showcases enhanced stability and superior accuracy. Research results indicate that machine learning algorithms, especially ensemble learning models, have better inversion effects on heavy metals in soil. Overall, the MF-RF-Stacking model performed best in the inversion of the six heavy metals. The research results will provide a new perspective on the ensemble learning model method for soil heavy metal content inversion using data of hyperspectral characteristic bands collected from soil reference materials.

The time-varying dynamic impact of US renewable energy prices on agricultural prices in China: the case of fuel ethanol.

This paper intends to look into the time-varying dynamic impact of US fuel ethanol, one of the renewable energy sources, on the prices of agricultural products (specifically corn, soybeans, rice, and wheat) in China based on monthly price data from January 2000 to January 2023. To achieve this, a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model is employed, which takes into account structural changes in emergencies through time-varying parameters. The empirical results show that the equal-interval impulse responses of price fluctuations in agricultural commodities are primarily positive to variations in fuel ethanol prices and production. And the intensity and direction of the effects vary at distinct time lags. Additionally, the magnitude of these responses is most pronounced in the short term for all agricultural commodities except for corn, and the duration of the impulse responses at different time points is generally longer for corn prices compared to other commodities. The study also reveals that the influence of US fuel ethanol on Chinese agricultural commodity prices is not substantial on the whole. Therefore, there is a necessity to advance the growth of biofuels and provide policy support and financial subsidies for agricultural products earmarked for food production. These actions could shed insights into the progression of Chinese renewable energy and food policies, ensuring the stability of the market in the long run.