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INTRODUCTION: Local data are increasingly needed for public health practice. County-level data on disabilities can be a valuable complement to existing estimates of disabilities. The objective of this study was to describe the county-level prevalence of disabilities among US adults and identify geographic clusters of counties with a higher or lower prevalence of disabilities. METHODS: We applied a multilevel logistic regression and poststratification approach to geocoded 2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data, Census 2018 county-level population estimates, and American Community Survey 2014-2018 poverty estimates to generate county-level estimates for 6 functional disabilities and any disability type. We used cluster-outlier spatial statistical methods to identify clustered counties. RESULTS: Among 3,142 counties, median estimated prevalence was 29.5% for any disability and differed by type: hearing (8.0%), vision (4.9%), cognition (11.5%), mobility (14.9%), self-care (3.7%), and independent living (7.2%). The spatial autocorrelation statistic, Moran's I, was 0.70 for any disability and 0.60 or greater for all 6 types of disability, indicating that disabilities were highly clustered at the county level. We observed similar spatial cluster patterns in all disability types except hearing disability. CONCLUSION: The results suggest substantial differences in disability prevalence across US counties. These data, heretofore unavailable from a health survey, may help with planning programs at the county level to improve the quality of life for people with disabilities.
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Pessoas com Deficiência , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Adulto , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pobreza , Censos , Modelos LogísticosRESUMO
Interest in the impact of the built environment on health behaviors, outcomes, and disparities is increasing, and the growing development of statistical modeling techniques has allowed researchers to better investigate these relationships. However, without enough data that are identifiable at smaller geographic levels (e.g., census tract), place-based health researchers are unable to reliably estimate the prevalence of a health outcome at these more granular and potentially more salient neighborhood levels.When reliable direct survey estimates cannot be produced because of small samples or a lack of samples, estimates based on small area estimation techniques are often used. As place-based health research and the production and secondary use of small area estimates increase, it is critical that researchers understand both the underlying methods used to create these estimates and their limitations. Without this foundation, researchers may fit inappropriate models, or interpret findings inaccurately.As a demonstrative example, we focus this discussion on the small area health indicator estimates recently produced through the 500 Cities Project by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the CDC Foundation.
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Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde/métodos , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Saúde Pública , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
CONTEXT: Excessive alcohol use is responsible for 88 000 deaths in the United States annually and cost the United States $249 billion in 2010. There is strong scientific evidence that regulating alcohol outlet density is an effective intervention for reducing excessive alcohol consumption and related harms, but there is no standard method for measuring this exposure. PROGRAM: We overview the strategies available for measuring outlet density, discuss their advantages and disadvantages, and provide examples of how they can be applied in practice. IMPLEMENTATION: The 3 main approaches for measuring density are container-based (eg, number of outlets in a county), distance-based (eg, average distance between a college and outlets), and spatial access-based (eg, weighted distance between town center and outlets). EVALUATION: While container-based measures are the simplest to calculate and most intuitive, distance-based or spatial access-based measures are unconstrained by geopolitical boundaries and allow for assessment of clustering (an amplifier of certain alcohol-related harms). Spatial access-based measures can also be adjusted for population size/demographics but are the most resource-intensive to produce. DISCUSSION: Alcohol outlet density varies widely across and between locations and over time, which is why it is important to measure it. Routine public health surveillance of alcohol outlet density is important to identify problem areas and detect emerging ones. Distance- or spatial access-based measures of alcohol outlet density are more resource-intensive than container-based measures but provide a much more accurate assessment of exposure to alcohol outlets and can be used to assess clustering, which is particularly important when assessing the relationship between density and alcohol-related harms, such as violent crime.
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Bebidas Alcoólicas , Saúde Pública , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , Comércio , Humanos , Características de Residência , Estados UnidosRESUMO
Because conducting population-based oral health screening is resource intensive, oral health data at small-area levels (e.g., county-level) are not commonly available. We applied the multilevel logistic regression and poststratification method to estimate county-level prevalence of untreated dental caries among children aged 6-9years in the United States using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2010 linked with various area-level data at census tract, county and state levels. We validated model-based national estimates against direct estimates from NHANES. We also compared model-based estimates with direct estimates from select State Oral Health Surveys (SOHS) at state and county levels. The model with individual-level covariates only and the model with individual-, census tract- and county-level covariates explained 7.2% and 96.3% respectively of overall county-level variation in untreated caries. Model-based county-level prevalence estimates ranged from 4.9% to 65.2% with median of 22.1%. The model-based national estimate (19.9%) matched the NHANES direct estimate (19.8%). We found significantly positive correlations between model-based estimates for 8-year-olds and direct estimates from the third-grade State Oral Health Surveys (SOHS) at state level for 34 states (Pearson coefficient: 0.54, P=0.001) and SOHS estimates at county level for 53 New York counties (Pearson coefficient: 0.38, P=0.006). This methodology could be a useful tool to characterize county-level disparities in untreated dental caries among children aged 6-9years and complement oral health surveillance to inform public health programs especially when local-level data are not available although the lack of external validation due to data unavailability should be acknowledged.
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Cárie Dentária/epidemiologia , Análise Multinível , Saúde Bucal , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , New York , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To assess spatial accessibility measures to on-premise alcohol outlets at census block, census tract, county, and state levels for the United States. METHODS: Using network analysis in a geographic information system, we computed distance-based measures (Euclidean distance, driving distance, and driving time) to on-premise alcohol outlets for the entire U.S. at the census block level. We then calculated spatial access-based measures, specifically a population-weighted spatial accessibility index and population-weighted distances (Euclidean distance, driving distance, and driving time) to alcohol outlets at the census tract, county, and state levels. A multilevel model-based sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the associations between different on-premise alcohol outlet accessibility measures and excessive drinking outcomes. RESULTS: The national average population-weighted driving time to the nearest 7 on-premise alcohol outlets was 5.89 min, and the average population-weighted driving distance was 2.63 miles. At the state level, population-weighted driving times ranged from 1.67 min (DC) to 15.29 min (Arizona). Population-weighted driving distances ranged from 0.67 miles (DC) to 7.91 miles (Arkansas). At the county level, population-weighted driving times and distances exhibited significant geographic variations, and averages for both measures increased by the degree of county rurality. The population-weighted spatial accessibility indexes were highly correlated to respective population-weighted distance measures. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that population weighted accessibility measures were more sensitive to excessive drinking outcomes than were population weighted distance measures. CONCLUSIONS: These results can be used to assess the relationship between geographic access to on-premise alcohol outlets and health outcomes. This study demonstrates a flexible and robust method that can be applied or modified to quantify spatial accessibility to public resources such as healthy food stores, medical care providers, and parks and greenspaces, as well as, quantify spatial exposure to local adverse environments such as tobacco stores and fast food restaurants.
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Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Bebidas Alcoólicas , Comércio/métodos , Mapeamento Geográfico , Prática de Saúde Pública , Características de Residência , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/economia , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/tendências , Bebidas Alcoólicas/economia , Comércio/economia , Comércio/tendências , Recursos em Saúde/economia , Recursos em Saúde/tendências , Humanos , Prática de Saúde Pública/economia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We used a multilevel regression and poststratification approach to generate estimates of health-related outcomes using Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 2013 (BRFSS) data for the 500 US cities. We conducted an empirical study to investigate whether the approach is robust using different health surveys. METHODS: We constructed a multilevel logistic model with individual-level age, sex, and race/ethnicity as predictors (Model I), and sequentially added educational attainment (Model II) and area-level poverty (Model III) for 5 health-related outcomes using the nationwide BRFSS, the Massachusetts BRFSS 2013 (a state subset of nationwide BRFSS), and the Boston BRFSS 2010/2013 (an independent survey), respectively. We applied each model to the Boston population (2010 Census) to predict each outcome in Boston and compared each with corresponding Boston BRFSS direct estimates. RESULTS: Using Model I for the nationwide BRFSS, estimates of diabetes, high blood pressure, physical inactivity, and binge drinking fell within the 95% confidence interval of corresponding Boston BRFSS direct estimates. Adding educational attainment and county-level poverty (Models II and III) further improved their accuracy, particularly for current smoking (the model-based estimate was 15.2% by Model I and 18.1% by Model II). The estimates based on state BRFSS and Boston BRFSS models were similar to those based on the nationwide BRFSS, but area-level poverty did not improve the estimates significantly. CONCLUSION: The estimates of health-related outcomes were similar using different health surveys. Model specification could vary by surveys with different geographic coverage.
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Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Vigilância em Saúde Pública/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Consumo Excessivo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Boston/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Comportamento Sedentário , Análise de Pequenas Áreas , Fumar/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Local health authorities need small-area estimates for prevalence of chronic diseases and health behaviors for multiple purposes. We generated city-level and census-tract-level prevalence estimates of 27 measures for the 500 largest US cities. METHODS: To validate the methodology, we constructed multilevel logistic regressions to predict 10 selected health indicators among adults aged 18 years or older by using 2013 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) data; we applied their predicted probabilities to census population data to generate city-level, neighborhood-level, and zip-code-level estimates for the city of Boston, Massachusetts. RESULTS: By comparing the predicted estimates with their corresponding direct estimates from a locally administered survey (Boston BRFSS 2010 and 2013), we found that our model-based estimates for most of the selected health indicators at the city level were close to the direct estimates from the local survey. We also found strong correlation between the model-based estimates and direct survey estimates at neighborhood and zip code levels for most indicators. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that our model-based estimates are reliable and valid at the city level for certain health outcomes. Local health authorities can use the neighborhood-level estimates if high quality local health survey data are not otherwise available.
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Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Vigilância em Saúde Pública/métodos , Características de Residência , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Boston/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Doctor-diagnosed arthritis is a common chronic condition that affects approximately 52.5 million (22.7%) adults in the United States and is a leading cause of disability (1,2). The prevalence of doctor-diagnosed arthritis has been well documented at the national level (1), but little has been published at the state level and the county level, where interventions are carried out and can have their greatest effect. To estimate the prevalence of doctor-diagnosed arthritis among adults at the state and county levels, CDC analyzed data from the 2014 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). This report summarizes the results of that analysis, which found that, for all 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC) overall, the age-standardized median prevalence of doctor-diagnosed arthritis was 24% (range = 18.8%-35.5%). The age-standardized model-predicted prevalence of doctor-diagnosed arthritis varied substantially by county, with estimates ranging from 15.8% to 38.6%. The high prevalence of arthritis in all counties, and the high frequency of arthritis-attributable limitations (1) among adults with arthritis, suggests that states and counties might benefit from expanding underused, evidence-based interventions for arthritis that can reduce arthritis symptoms and improve self-management.
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Artrite/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Artrite/diagnóstico , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Doença Crônica , District of Columbia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
The older adult population is growing rapidly in the USA and it is expected that by 2040 the number of adults ≥ 65 years of age will have increased by about 50%. With the growth of this subpopulation, oral health status, and periodontal status in particular, becomes important in the quest to maintain an adequate quality of life. Poor oral health can have a major impact, leading to tooth loss, pain and discomfort, and may prevent older adults from chewing food properly, often leading to poor nutrition. Periodontitis is monitored in the USA at the national level as part of the Healthy People 2020 initiative. In this report, we provide estimates of the overall burden of periodontitis among adults ≥ 65 years of age and after stratification according to sociodemographic factors, modifiable risk factors (such as smoking status), the presence of other systemic conditions (such as diabetes) and access to dental care. We also estimated the burden of periodontitis within this age group at the state and local levels. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009/2010 and 2011/2012 cycles were analyzed. Periodontal measures from both survey cycles were based on a full-mouth periodontal examination. Nineteen per cent of adults in this subpopulation were edentulous. The mean age was 73 years, 7% were current smokers, 8% lived below the 100% Federal Poverty Level and < 40% had seen a dentist in the past year. Almost two-thirds (62.3%) had one or more sites with ≥ 5 mm of clinical attachment loss and almost half had at least one site with probing pocket depth of ≥ 4 mm. We estimated the lowest prevalence of periodontitis in Utah (62.3%) and New Hampshire (62.6%) and the highest in New Mexico, Hawaii, and the District of Columbia each with a prevalence of higher than 70%. Overall, periodontitis is highly prevalent in this subpopulation, with two-thirds of dentate older adults affected at any geographic level. These findings provide an opportunity to determine how the overall health-care management of older adults should consider the improvement of their oral health conditions. Many older adults do not have dental insurance and are also likely to have some chronic conditions, which can adversely affect their oral health.
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Saúde Bucal/normas , Periodontite/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Demografia , Inquéritos de Saúde Bucal , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Dor/epidemiologia , Perda da Inserção Periodontal/epidemiologia , Perda da Inserção Periodontal/etnologia , Índice Periodontal , Periodontite/etnologia , População , Prevalência , Qualidade de Vida , Fatores de Risco , Perda de Dente/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Small area estimation is a statistical technique used to produce reliable estimates for smaller geographic areas than those for which the original surveys were designed. Such small area estimates (SAEs) often lack rigorous external validation. In this study, we validated our multilevel regression and poststratification SAEs from 2011 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data using direct estimates from 2011 Missouri County-Level Study and American Community Survey data at both the state and county levels. Coefficients for correlation between model-based SAEs and Missouri County-Level Study direct estimates for 115 counties in Missouri were all significantly positive (0.28 for obesity and no health-care coverage, 0.40 for current smoking, 0.51 for diabetes, and 0.69 for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease). Coefficients for correlation between model-based SAEs and American Community Survey direct estimates of no health-care coverage were 0.85 at the county level (811 counties) and 0.95 at the state level. Unweighted and weighted model-based SAEs were compared with direct estimates; unweighted models performed better. External validation results suggest that multilevel regression and poststratification model-based SAEs using single-year Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data are valid and could be used to characterize geographic variations in health indictors at local levels (such as counties) when high-quality local survey data are not available.
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Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Estatística como Assunto , Análise de RegressãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Increases in population and life expectancy of Americans may result in shortages of endocrinologists by 2020. This study aims to assess variations in geographic accessibility to endocrinologists in the US, by age group at state and county levels, and by urban/rural status, and distance. METHODS: We used the 2012 National Provider Identifier Registry to obtain office locations of all adult and pediatric endocrinologists in the US. The population with geographic access to an endocrinologist within a series of 6 distance radii, centered on endocrinologist practice locations, was estimated using the US Census 2010 block-level population. We assumed that persons living within the same circular buffer zone of an endocrinologist location have the same geographic accessibility to that endocrinologist. The geographic accessibility (the percentage of the population with geographic access to at least one endocrinologist) and the population-to-endocrinologist ratio for each geographic area were estimated. RESULTS: By using 20 miles as the distance radius, geographic accessibility to at least one pediatric/adult endocrinologist for age groups 0-17, 18-64, and ≥ 65 years was 64.1%, 85.4%, and 82.1%. The overall population-to-endocrinologist ratio within 20 miles was 39,492:1 for children, 29,887:1 for adults aged 18-64 years, and 6,194:1 for adults aged ≥ 65 years. These ratios varied considerably by state, county, urban/rural status, and distance. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that there are geographic variations of accessibility to endocrinologists in the US. The areas with poorer geographic accessibility warrant further study of the effect of these variations on disease prevention, detection, and management of endocrine diseases in the US population. Our findings of geographic access to endocrinologists also may provide valuable information for medical education and health resources allocation.
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Endocrinologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/normas , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Censos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Características de Residência , Serviços de Saúde Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Rural/provisão & distribuição , Estados Unidos , Serviços Urbanos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços Urbanos de Saúde/provisão & distribuição , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Sleep insufficiency is a major health risk factor. Exposure to environmental noise may affect sleep duration and quality. The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between airport noise exposure and insufficient sleep in the United States by using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). METHODS: Data on the number of days without enough rest or sleep for approximately 750,000 respondents to the 2008 and 2009 BRFSS were linked with data on noise exposure modeled using the US Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA's) Integrated Noise Model for 95 major US airports for corresponding years. Noise exposure data were stratified into 3 groups depending on noise levels. People living outside airport noise exposure zones were included as a reference category. RESULTS: We found 8.6 mean days of insufficient sleep in the previous 30 days among 745,868 adults; 10.8% reported insufficient sleep for all 30 days; and 30.1% reported no days of insufficient sleep. After controlling for individual sociodemographics and ZIP Code-level socioeconomic status, we found no significant differences in sleep insufficiency between the 3 noise exposure zones and the zone outside. CONCLUSION: This research demonstrates the feasibility of conducting a national study of airport noise and sleep using an existing public health surveillance dataset and recommends methods for improving the accuracy of such studies; some of these recommendations were implemented in recent FAA-sponsored studies. Validation of BRFSS sleep measures and refined ways of collecting data are needed to determine the optimal measures of sleep for such a large-scale survey and to establish the relationship between airport noise and sleep.
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Aeronaves , Aeroportos/estatística & dados numéricos , Ruído dos Transportes/estatística & dados numéricos , Autorrelato , Privação do Sono/psicologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Aeroportos/tendências , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Índice de Massa Corporal , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Etnicidade/psicologia , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ruído dos Transportes/efeitos adversos , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Obesidade/psicologia , Características de Residência , Fatores de Risco , Privação do Sono/epidemiologia , Privação do Sono/etiologia , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/psicologia , Classe Social , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Hypertension is the leading cause of chronic disease and premature death in the United States. To date, most risk factors for hypertension have been identified at the individual (micro) level. The association of macro-level (area) socioeconomic factors and hypertension prevalence rates in the population has not been studied extensively. METHODS: We used the 2011 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System to examine whether state socioeconomic status (SES) indicators predict the prevalence of self-reported hypertension. Quintiles of state median household income, unemployment rate among the population aged 16 to 64 years, and the proportion of the population under the national poverty line were used as the proxy for state SES. Hypertension status was determined by the question "Have you ever been told by a doctor, nurse, or other health professional that you have high blood pressure?" Logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between state SES and hypertension with adjustment for individual covariates (demographic and socioeconomic factors and lifestyle behaviors). RESULTS: States with a median household income of $43,225 or less (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 1.16 [1.08-1.25]) and states with 18.7% or more of residents living below the poverty line (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 1.14 [1.04-1.24]) had a higher prevalence of hypertension than states with the most residents in the most advantageous quintile of the indicators. CONCLUSION: The observed state SES-hypertension association indicates that area SES may contribute to the burden of hypertension in community-dwelling adults.
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Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Classe Social , Adolescente , Adulto , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Consumo Excessivo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Consumo Excessivo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/psicologia , Índice de Massa Corporal , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Humanos , Hipertensão/prevenção & controle , Hipertensão/psicologia , Estilo de Vida , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Áreas de Pobreza , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Autorrelato , Fumar/epidemiologia , Fumar/psicologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Regulating alcohol outlet density is an evidence-based strategy for reducing excessive drinking. However, the effect of this strategy on violent crime has not been well characterized. A reduction in alcohol outlet density in the Buckhead neighborhood of Atlanta from 2003 through 2007 provided an opportunity to evaluate this effect. METHODS: We conducted a community-based longitudinal study to evaluate the impact of changes in alcohol outlet density on violent crime in Buckhead compared with 2 other cluster areas in Atlanta (Midtown and Downtown) with high densities of alcohol outlets, from 1997 through 2002 (preintervention) to 2003 through 2007 (postintervention). The relationship between exposures to on-premises retail alcohol outlets and violent crime were assessed by using annual spatially defined indices at the census block level. Multilevel regression models were used to evaluate the relationship between changes in exposure to on-premises alcohol outlets and violent crime while controlling for potential census block-level confounders. RESULTS: A 3% relative reduction in alcohol outlet density in Buckhead from 1997-2002 to 2003-2007 was associated with a 2-fold greater reduction in exposure to violent crime than occurred in Midtown or Downtown, where exposure to on-premises retail alcohol outlets increased. The magnitude of the association between exposure to alcohol outlets and violent crime was 2 to 5 times greater in Buckhead than in either Midtown or Downtown during the postintervention period. CONCLUSIONS: A modest reduction in alcohol outlet density can substantially reduce exposure to violent crime in neighborhoods with high density of alcohol outlets. Routine monitoring of community exposure to alcohol outlets could also inform the regulation of alcohol outlet density, consistent with Guide to Community Preventive Services recommendations.
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Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Bebidas Alcoólicas/estatística & dados numéricos , Comércio/métodos , Crime/estatística & dados numéricos , Violência/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/prevenção & controle , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Análise por Conglomerados , Pesquisa Participativa Baseada na Comunidade , Crime/etnologia , Crime/tendências , Etnicidade/psicologia , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Georgia/epidemiologia , Regulamentação Governamental , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Licenciamento , Estudos Longitudinais , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Pobreza/tendências , Características de Residência , Análise Espacial , Violência/etnologia , Violência/tendências , Adulto JovemRESUMO
A variety of small-area statistical models have been developed for health surveys, but none are sufficiently flexible to generate small-area estimates (SAEs) to meet data needs at different geographic levels. We developed a multilevel logistic model with both state- and nested county-level random effects for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) using 2011 data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We applied poststratification with the (decennial) US Census 2010 counts of census-block population to generate census-block-level SAEs of COPD prevalence which could be conveniently aggregated to all other census geographic units, such as census tracts, counties, and congressional districts. The model-based SAEs and direct survey estimates of COPD prevalence were quite consistent at both the county and state levels. The Pearson correlation coefficient was 0.99 at the state level and ranged from 0.88 to 0.95 at the county level. Our extended multilevel regression modeling and poststratification approach could be adapted for other geocoded national health surveys to generate reliable SAEs for population health outcomes at all administrative and legislative geographic levels of interest in a scalable framework.
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Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Projetos de Pesquisa Epidemiológica , Modelos Logísticos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Censos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Autorrelato , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Automobile dependency and longer commuting are associated with current obesity epidemic. We aimed to examine the urban-rural differential effects of neighborhood commuting environment on obesity in the US METHODS: The 1997-2005 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) were linked to 2000 US Census data to assess the effects of neighborhood commuting environment: census tract-level automobile dependency and commuting time, on individual obesity status. RESULTS: Higher neighborhood automobile dependency was associated with increased obesity risk in urbanized areas (large central metro (OR 1.11[1.09, 1.12]), large fringe metro (OR 1.17[1.13, 1.22]), medium metro (OR 1.22[1.16, 1.29]), small metro (OR 1.11[1.04, 1.19]), and micropolitan (OR 1.09[1.00, 1.19])), but not in non-core rural areas (OR 1.00[0.92, 1.08]). Longer neighborhood commuting time was associated with increased obesity risk in large central metro (OR 1.09[1.04, 1.13]), and less urbanized areas (small metro (OR 1.08[1.01, 1.16]), micropolitan (OR 1.06[1.01, 1.12]), and non-core rural areas (OR 1.08[1.01, 1.17])), but not in (large fringe metro (OR 1.05[1.00, 1.11]), and medium metro (OR 1.04[0.98, 1.10])). CONCLUSION: The link between commuting environment and obesity differed across the regional urbanization levels. Urban and regional planning policies may improve current commuting environment and better support healthy behaviors and healthy community development.
Assuntos
Condução de Veículo/psicologia , Planejamento Ambiental , Obesidade/epidemiologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Meios de Transporte/métodos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Condução de Veículo/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multinível , Características de Residência , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Fatores de Tempo , Meios de Transporte/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Excessive alcohol consumption is a leading cause of premature mortality in the United States. The objectives of this study were to update national estimates of alcohol-attributable deaths (AAD) and years of potential life lost (YPLL) in the United States, calculate age-adjusted rates of AAD and YPLL in states, assess the contribution of AAD and YPLL to total deaths and YPLL among working-age adults, and estimate the number of deaths and YPLL among those younger than 21 years. METHODS: We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Alcohol-Related Disease Impact application for 2006-2010 to estimate total AAD and YPLL across 54 conditions for the United States, by sex and age. AAD and YPLL rates and the proportion of total deaths that were attributable to excessive alcohol consumption among working-age adults (20-64 y) were calculated for the United States and for individual states. RESULTS: From 2006 through 2010, an annual average of 87,798 (27.9/100,000 population) AAD and 2.5 million (831.6/100,000) YPLL occurred in the United States. Age-adjusted state AAD rates ranged from 51.2/100,000 in New Mexico to 19.1/100,000 in New Jersey. Among working-age adults, 9.8% of all deaths in the United States during this period were attributable to excessive drinking, and 69% of all AAD involved working-age adults. CONCLUSIONS: Excessive drinking accounted for 1 in 10 deaths among working-age adults in the United States. AAD rates vary across states, but excessive drinking remains a leading cause of premature mortality nationwide. Strategies recommended by the Community Preventive Services Task Force can help reduce excessive drinking and harms related to it.
Assuntos
Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Álcool/mortalidade , Alcoolismo/mortalidade , Mortalidade Prematura/tendências , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Adulto , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Álcool/epidemiologia , Alcoolismo/epidemiologia , Sistema de Vigilância de Fator de Risco Comportamental , Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S. , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica/mortalidade , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Perfil de Impacto da Doença , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Most reports about respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in developing countries rely on sentinel surveillance, from which population incidence is difficult to infer. We used the proportion of RSV infections from population-based surveillance with data from a healthcare utilization survey to produce estimates of RSV incidence in Damanhour district, Egypt. METHODS: We conducted population-based surveillance in 3 hospitals (2009-2012) and 3 outpatient clinics (2011-2012) in Damanhour district. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal specimens from hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness and outpatients with influenza-like illness were tested by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for RSV. We also conducted a healthcare utilization survey in 2011-2012 to determine the proportion of individuals who sought care for respiratory illness. RESULTS: Among 5342 hospitalized patients and 771 outpatients, 12% and 5% tested positive for RSV, respectively. The incidence of RSV-associated hospitalization and outpatient visits was estimated at 24 and 608 (per 100 000 person-years), respectively. Children aged <1 year experienced the highest incidence of RSV-associated hospitalizations (1745/100 000 person-years). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the utility of combining a healthcare utilization survey and population-based surveillance data to estimate disease incidence. Estimating incidence and outcomes of RSV disease is critical to establish the burden of RSV in Egypt.
Assuntos
Vigilância da População/métodos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano/isolamento & purificação , Adulto , Egito/epidemiologia , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/virologia , Vírus Sincicial Respiratório Humano/genética , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Little national evidence is available on spatial disparities in distributions of parks and green spaces in the USA. PURPOSE: This study examines ecological associations of spatial access to parks and green spaces with percentages of black, Hispanic, and low-income residents across the urban-rural continuum in the conterminous USA. METHODS: Census tract-level park and green space data were linked with data from the 2010 U.S. Census and 2006-2010 American Community Surveys. Linear mixed regression models were performed to examine these associations. RESULTS: Poverty levels were negatively associated with distances to parks and percentages of green spaces in urban/suburban areas while positively associated in rural areas. Percentages of blacks and Hispanics were in general negatively linked to distances to parks and green space coverage along the urban-rural spectrum. CONCLUSIONS: Place-based race-ethnicity and poverty are important correlates of spatial access to parks and green spaces, but the associations vary across the urbanization levels.
Assuntos
Recreação , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Negro ou Afro-Americano , Coleta de Dados , Hispânico ou Latino , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Current asthma prevalence among adults in the United States has reached historically high levels. Although national-level estimates indicate that asthma prevalence among adults increased by 33% from 2000 to 2009, state-specific temporal trends of current asthma prevalence and their contributing risk factors have not been explored. METHODS: We used 2000-2009 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia (D.C.) to estimate state-specific current asthma prevalence by 2-year periods (2000-2001, 2002-2003, 2004-2005, 2006-2007, 2008-2009). We fitted a series of four logistic-regression models for each state to evaluate whether there was a statistically significant linear change in the current asthma prevalence over time, accounting for sociodemographic factors, smoking status, and weight status (using body mass index as the indicator). RESULTS: During 2000-2009, current asthma prevalence increased in all 50 states and D.C., with significant increases in 46/50 (92%) states and D.C. After accounting for weight status in the model series with sociodemographic factors, and smoking status, 10 states (AR, AZ, IA, IL, KS, ME, MT, UT, WV, and WY) that had previously shown a significant increase did not show a significant increase in current asthma prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant increasing trend in state-specific current asthma prevalence among adults from 2000 to 2009 in most states in the United States. Obesity prevalence appears to contribute to increased current asthma prevalence in some states.