Longer time horizons are associated with reduced risk of mortality and disability in older adults.

OBJECTIVES: Longer time horizons are associated with positive health behaviors, but the associations of time horizons with disability and mortality are less understood. This study aims to test the hypothesis that longer time horizons are associated with decreased disability and mortality in older adults. METHOD: Participants were 1052 older adults (mean age = 81 ± 7 years) without dementia. Proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, and education were used to examine the associations of time horizons with risk of mortality and disability. RESULTS: During up to 11 years of follow up (mean = 5.7), 317 participants died. In fully adjusted models, longer time horizons were associated with reduced mortality risk (hazard rate [HR] = 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.68-0.89). About 36.7% of participants developed disability in instrumental activities of daily living (ADLs) and 49.3% developed disability in basic ADLs during follow up. Longer time horizons were associated with a reduced risk of disability in basic ADLs (HR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.79-0.99) but not instrumental ADLs (HR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.80-1.03). CONCLUSION: Longer time horizons are associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality and disability in basic ADLs among community-dwelling older adults, thus highlighting a potentially modifiable psychological risk factor for negative health outcomes in aging.

Effectiveness of Adjunctive High-Dose Infliximab Therapy to Improve Disability-Free Survival Among Patients With Severe Central Nervous System Tuberculosis: A Matched Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Few treatment options exist for patients with severe central nervous system (CNS) tuberculosis (TB) worsening due to inflammatory lesions, despite optimal antitubercular therapy (ATT) and steroids. Data regarding the efficacy and safety of infliximab in these patients are sparse. METHODS: We performed a matched retrospective cohort study based on Medical Research Council (MRC) grading system and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores comparing 2 groups of adults with CNS TB. Cohort A received at least 1 dose of infliximab after optimal ATT and steroids between March 2019 and July 2022. Cohort B received only ATT and steroids. Disability-free survival (mRS score ≤2) at 6 months was the primary outcome. RESULTS: Baseline MRC grades and mRS scores were similar between the cohorts. Median duration before initiation of infliximab therapy from start of ATT and steroids was 6 (IQR: 3.7-13) months and for neurological deficits was 4 (IQR: 2-6.2) months. Indications for infliximab were symptomatic tuberculomas (20/30; 66.7%), spinal cord involvement with paraparesis (8/30; 26.7%), and optochiasmatic arachnoiditis (3/30; 10%), worsening despite adequate ATT and steroids. Severe disability (5/30 [16.7%] and 21/60 [35%]) and all-cause mortality (2/30 [6.7%] and 13/60 [21.7%]) at 6 months were lower in cohort A versus cohort B, respectively. In the combined study population, only exposure to infliximab was positively associated (aRR: 6.2; 95% CI: 2.18-17.83; P = .001) with disability-free survival at 6 months. There were no clear infliximab-related side effects noted. CONCLUSIONS: Infliximab may be an effective and safe adjunctive strategy among severely disabled patients with CNS TB not improving despite optimal ATT and steroids. Adequately powered phase 3 clinical trials are required to confirm these early findings.

The effect of depressive symptoms on disability-free survival in healthy older adults: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Gerontology and ageing research are increasingly focussing on healthy life span (healthspan), the period of life lived free of serious disease and disability. Late-life depression (LLD) is believed to impact adversely on physical health. However, no studies have examined its effect on healthspan. This study investigated the effect of LLD and subthreshold depression on disability-free survival, a widely accepted measure of healthspan. METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly study. Participants were aged ≥70 years (or ≥65 years for African-American and Hispanic participants) and free of dementia, physical disability and cardiovascular disease. Depressive symptoms were measured using the 10-item Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D-10). LLD and subthreshold depression were defined as CES-D-10 scores ≥8 and 3-7, respectively. Disability-free survival was defined as survival free of dementia and persistent physical disability. RESULTS: A total of 19,110 participants were followed up for a maximum of 7.3 years. In female participants, LLD was associated with lower disability-free survival adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, medical comorbidities, polypharmacy, physical function and antidepressant use (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.23-1.82). In male participants, LLD was associated with lower disability-free survival adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.03-1.64). Subthreshold depression was also associated with lower disability-free survival in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: LLD may be a common and important risk factor for shortened healthspan.

Prediabetes, diabetes and loss of disability-free survival in a community-based older cohort: a post-hoc analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly trial.

BACKGROUND: Evidence for the prognostic implications of hyperglycaemia in older adults is inconsistent. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate disability-free survival (DFS) in older individuals by glycaemic status. METHODS: This analysis used data from a randomised trial recruiting 19,114 community-based participants aged ≥70 years, who had no prior cardiovascular events, dementia and physical disability. Participants with sufficient information to ascertain their baseline diabetes status were categorised as having normoglycaemia (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] < 5.6 mmol/l, 64%), prediabetes (FPG 5.6 to <7.0 mmol/l, 26%) and diabetes (self-report or FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/l or use of glucose-lowering agents, 11%). The primary outcome was loss of disability-free survival (DFS), a composite of all-cause mortality, persistent physical disability or dementia. Other outcomes included the three individual components of the DFS loss, as well as cognitive impairment-no dementia (CIND), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and any cardiovascular event. Cox models were used for outcome analyses, with covariate adjustment using inverse-probability weighting. RESULTS: We included 18,816 participants (median follow-up: 6.9 years). Compared to normoglycaemia, participants with diabetes had greater risks of DFS loss (weighted HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.21-1.60), all-cause mortality (1.45, 1.23-1.72), persistent physical disability (1.73, 1.35-2.22), CIND (1.22, 1.08-1.38), MACE (1.30, 1.04-1.63) and cardiovascular events (1.25, 1.02-1.54) but not dementia (1.13, 0.87-1.47). The prediabetes group did not have an excess risk for DFS loss (1.02, 0.93-1.12) or other outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Among older people, diabetes was associated with reduced DFS, and higher risk of CIND and cardiovascular outcomes, whereas prediabetes was not. The impact of preventing or treating diabetes in this age group deserves closer attention.

The association between long-term platelet count and disability-free survival among middle-aged and older Chinese: Evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to assess the associations of baseline and long-term platelet count (PLT) with disability-free survival (DFS) among middle-aged and older Chinese. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 7296 participants were recruited in the analysis. Updated mean PLT was defined as the mean of the two PLT measurements (4 years between wave 1-3). The long-term status of PLT was defined as persistent low, attenuated, increased and persistent high PLT according to the optimal cut points from the receiver operating characteristic curves of the two PLT measurements, respectively. The primary outcome was DFS, evaluated by the first occurrence of either disability or mortality. During 6-year visit, 1579 participants experienced disability or all-cause mortality. The rates of primary outcome were significantly higher among participants with elevated baseline PLT and updated mean PLT. Multivariable adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of primary outcome were 1.253 (1.049-1.496) for highest baseline PLT tertile and 1.532 (1.124-2.088) for highest updated mean PLT tertile, comparing to the lowest tertiles. Multivariable-adjusted spline regression models showed a linear association of baseline PLT (plinearity < 0.001) and updated mean PLT (plinearity = 0.005) with primary outcome. Moreover, participants with persistent high PLT and increased PLT had increased risk of primary outcome (ORs [95% CIs]: 1.825 [1.282-2.597] and 1.767 [1.046-2.985], respectively), compared with the reference of those with persistent low PLT. CONCLUSION: This study proved elevated baseline PLT, especially long-term persist high or increased PLT was associated with less likelihood of DFS among middle-aged and older Chinese.

The Association between Frailty and Dementia-Free and Physical Disability-Free Survival in Community-Dwelling Older Adults.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome that adversely impacts health outcomes. This study examined correlates of physical frailty in healthy community-dwelling older adults and studied the effect of frailty on disability-free survival (DFS), defined as survival free of independence-limiting physical disability or dementia. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of 19,114 community-dwelling older adults (median age: 74.0 years, interquartile range or IQR: 6.1 years) from Australia and the USA enrolled in the "ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE)" clinical trial. Frailty was assessed using a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) utilizing a ratio score derived from 66 items. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the correlates of frailty and Cox regression to analyze the association between frailty and DFS (and its components). RESULTS: At study enrollment, 39.0% were prefrail, and 2.2% of participants were frail, according to Fried phenotype. Older age, higher waist circumference, lower education, ethnoracial origin, current smoking, depression, and polypharmacy were associated with prefrailty and frailty according to Fried phenotype and FI. Fried phenotype defined prefrailty and frailty predicted reduced DFS (prefrail: HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.50-1.86 and frail: HR: 2.80; 95% CI: 2.27-3.46), affecting each component of DFS including dementia, physical disability, and mortality. Effect sizes were larger, according to FI. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that prefrailty is common in community-dwelling older adults initially free of cardiovascular disease, dementia, or independence-limiting physical disability. Prefrailty and frailty significantly reduced disability-free survival. Addressing modifiable correlates, like depression and polypharmacy, might reduce the adverse impact of frailty on dementia-free and physical disability-free survival.

Postoperative systemic inflammation after major abdominal surgery: patient-centred outcomes.

Postoperative systemic inflammation is strongly associated with surgical outcomes, but its relationship with patient-centred outcomes is largely unknown. Detection of excessive inflammation and patient and surgical factors associated with adverse patient-centred outcomes should inform preventative treatment options to be evaluated in clinical trials and current clinical care. This retrospective cohort study analysed prospectively collected data from 3000 high-risk, elective, major abdominal surgery patients in the restrictive vs. liberal fluid therapy for major abdominal surgery (RELIEF) trial from 47 centres in seven countries from May 2013 to September 2016. The co-primary endpoints were persistent disability or death up to 90 days after surgery, and quality of recovery using a 15-item quality of recovery score at days 3 and 30. Secondary endpoints included: 90-day and 1-year all-cause mortality; septic complications; acute kidney injury; unplanned admission to intensive care/high dependency unit; and total intensive care unit and hospital stays. Patients were assigned into quartiles of maximum postoperative C-reactive protein concentration up to day 3, after multiple imputations of missing values. The lowest (reference) group, quartile 1, C-reactive protein ≤ 85 mg.l-1 , was compared with three inflammation groups: quartile 2 > 85 mg.l-1 to 140 mg.l-1 ; quartile 3 > 140 mg.l-1 to 200 mg.l-1 ; and quartile 4 > 200 mg.l-1 to 587 mg.l-1 . Greater postoperative systemic inflammation had a higher adjusted risk ratio (95%CI) of persistent disability or death up to 90 days after surgery, quartile 4 vs. quartile 1 being 1.76 (1.31-2.36), p < 0.001. Increased inflammation was associated with increasing decline in risk-adjusted estimated medians (95%CI) for quality of recovery, the quartile 4 to quartile 1 difference being -14.4 (-17.38 to -10.71), p < 0.001 on day 3, and -5.94 (-8.92 to -2.95), p < 0.001 on day 30. Marked postoperative systemic inflammation was associated with increased risk of complications, poor quality of recovery and persistent disability or death up to 90 days after surgery.

Time spent walking and disability-free survival in older Japanese: The Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study.

The extent to which long disability-free survival (DFS) time can be extended according to the amount of time spent walking has not been investigated. The aim of this study was to examine the association between time spent walking per day and DFS time in older adults. We conducted a cohort study of 14 342 disability-free individuals (aged ≥ 65 years) living in Ohsaki City, Japan. The amount of time spent walking per day (<0.5 h, 0.5-1 h, ≥1 h) by each individual in 2006 was assessed by a self-reported questionnaire. Data on 11-year incident functional disability were retrieved from the public Long-Term Care Insurance database. After estimating the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of the composite outcome (incident functional disability or death), the multivariable-adjusted 50th percentile differences (50th PDs; difference in the period until the first 50% of the composite outcome occurred) were estimated according to time spent walking. Among 114 764 person-years, the composite outcome occurred in 7761 persons (67.6 per 1000 person-years). The HRs (95% confidence intervals) of the composite outcome were 1.00 (reference) for <0.5 h, 0.84 (0.79, 0.88) for 0.5-1 h, and 0.78 (0.74, 0.83) for ≥1 h (p-trend < 0.001). The 50th PDs (95% confidence intervals) of DFS time were 238 (155, 322) days longer for 0.5-1 h and 360 (265, 454) days longer for ≥1 h, in comparison with <0.5 h. The results suggest that longer time spent walking per day contributes to longer DFS time.

Association of life satisfaction with disability-free survival: role of chronic diseases and healthy lifestyle.

BACKGROUND: this article investigates the association between life satisfaction and disability-free survival, and explores the roles of chronic diseases and healthy lifestyle in this association. METHOD: a cohort of 2,116 functionally independent adults aged ≥60 was followed up to 12 years. At baseline, life satisfaction was assessed with the Life Satisfaction Index A (LSI-A). Disability-free survival was defined as the survival till the first occurrence of either death, dementia or physical disability. Information on lifestyle factors was collected via questionnaire. Chronic diseases were ascertained through clinical examinations at baseline and each follow-up. Data were analysed using Cox proportional hazard regression models and Laplace regression. RESULTS: over follow-up, 1,121 participants died, developed dementia, or became disabled. High LSI-A versus Low LSI-A had a lower risk of death, dementia and physical disability (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.67-0.94), and had a longer disability-free period by 1.73 (95% CI 0.18-3.32) years. In mediation analysis, accumulation of chronic diseases mediated 17.8% of the association between LSI-A and disability-free survival. In joint effect analysis, participants with high LSI-A and a favourable lifestyle profile had a HR of 0.53 (95% CI 0.41-0.69) for the composite endpoint, and lived 3.2 (95% CI 1.35-5.11) disability-free years longer than those with low life satisfaction and an unfavourable lifestyle profile. DISCUSSION: high life satisfaction is independently associated with longer disability-free survival. This association is partially mediated by a lower burden of chronic diseases and is reinforced by healthy lifestyle.

More than just morbidity and mortality - quality of recovery and long-term functional recovery after surgery.

Traditional surgical outcome measures include minor and major complications, hospital length of stay and sometimes longer-term survival. Each of these is important but there needs to be greater emphasis on patient-reported outcome measures. Global measures of a patient's quality of recovery, avoidance of postoperative morbidities, early hospital discharge to home (without re-admission) and longer term disability-free survival can better define postoperative recovery. A patient's recovery pathway can be mapped through the immediate days or weeks after surgery with documentation of morbidity using the postoperative morbidity survey and/or a quality of recovery score, days alive and at home up to 30 days after surgery and then longer term disability-free survival using the WHO Disability Assessment Schedule 2.0 scale. These can be used to define quality of recovery after surgery.

The Japanese Dietary Pattern Is Associated with Longer Disability-Free Survival Time in the General Elderly Population in the Ohsaki Cohort 2006 Study.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic observations have raised expectations that the Japanese dietary pattern could promote longer disability-free survival (DFS) times among the Japanese population; however, no previous study has examined this issue. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the Japanese dietary pattern and DFS time in the elderly Japanese population. METHODS: We analyzed follow-up data covering a 10-y period for 9456 elderly Japanese individuals (aged ≥65 y) participating in a community-based prospective cohort study. Dietary habits were assessed using a food-frequency questionnaire. Based on previous studies, we used 9 food items to calculate the Japanese Diet Index (JDI) score: rice, miso soup, fish and shellfish, green and yellow vegetables, seaweed, pickled vegetables, green tea (1 point for each item if the consumption value was more than or equal to the median, and 0 points otherwise), beef and pork, and coffee (0 points for each item if the consumption value was more than or equal to the median, and 1 point otherwise). Differences in median age at incident disability or death [50th percentile differences (PDs)] according to quartiles (Q1-Q4) of the JDI score were estimated using Laplace regression. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 4233 (44.8%) incident disability or death events occurred. In addition, a higher JDI score was significantly associated with longer DFS time: compared with the lowest quartile of JDI scores (Q1), the multivariate-adjusted 50th PD (95% CI) was 7.1 (1.8, 12.4) mo longer for Q4. Each 1-SD increase of the JDI score was associated with 3.7 (1.7, 5.7) additional months of life without disability (P-trend < 0.01). No differences were seen in sex or chronic condition (no or ≥1 chronic condition) at baseline. A post hoc analysis showed a larger effect on DFS time when using a modified JDI score without coffee. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the Japanese dietary pattern is associated with improved DFS time in the general elderly population.

A nomogram for predicting disability-free survival in older adults over 15 years: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This article aimed to develop and validate a simple-to-use nomogram to predict 15-year disability-free survival among older adults. METHODS: A cohort of 1878 disability-free participants aged ≥60 was followed for 15 years. Participants were randomly divided into a training cohort for nomogram development (n = 1314 [70 %]) and validation cohort to confirm the model's performance (n = 564 [30 %]). Information on socio-demographic, lifestyle factors, the Life Satisfaction Index A (LSI-A), chronic diseases, and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score, and biomarkers were collected through interviews, clinical and neuropsychological examinations, and medical records. Disability-free survival was defined as survival in the absence of dementia and physical disability, and the composite endpoint is first occurrence of events of death, dementia and physical disability. We developed a nomogram summing the number of risk points corresponding to weighted covariates to predict disability-free survival. Validation of the nomogram using C statistic, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: In the multivariate-adjusted model, factors associated with composite end point were younger age, high MMSE (hazard ratio [HR], 0.93; [95 % CI, 0.87-0.99]), high LSI-A (0.78, [0.64-0.97]), non-smoking (0.74, [0.59-0.94]), engagement in physical leisure activity (0.62, [0.48-0.78]), and absence of chronic diseases (0.78, [0.66-0.91]). Incorporating these 6 factors, the nomogram achieved C-statistics of 0.78 (95 % CI, 0.75-0.81) and 0.77 (95 % CI, 0.74-0.80) in predicting disability-free survival in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, and had good calibration curves. CONCLUSION: The nomogram was able to predict long-term of disability-free survival and performed well on internal validation, and may be considered for use in effective surveillance, promote, management of clinical and public health ageing.

Grip strength affects the association between platelet count and disability-free survival: Evidence from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Previous studies found elevated platelet count (PLT), especially long-term persist high or increased PLT was associated with less likelihood disability-free survival (DFS). However, whether grip strength affects the relationship between them is still not elucidated. METHODS: A total of 6252 participants were recruited in the analysis based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The primary outcome was DFS, evaluated by a composite endpoint based on the first occurrence of either disability (having difficulty in at least one of the 6 activities of daily living: namely, dressing, bathing, continence, eating, getting into or out of bed, and toileting) or all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The association of PLT with primary outcome was significantly modified by grip strength (pinteraction = 0.022). The rates of primary outcome were significantly lower among participants with lower baseline PLT in participants with normal grip strength (multivariable odds ratio [OR], 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54-0.84; ptrend < 0.001), but not in those with low grip strength (multivariable OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 0.88-3.15; ptrend = 0.135), for the lowest quartile vs the highest quartile. Adding baseline PLT (quartiles or continuous) to a model containing conventional risk factors significantly improved risk reclassification for primary outcome among those with normal grip strength (most of p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: An inverse dose-response association of PLT with DFS was found among participants with normal grip strength, but not among those with low grip strength. Low grip strength might weaken the benefit of low PLT on DFS among middle-aged and older Chinese.

GFR Variability, Survival, and Cardiovascular Events in Older Adults.

Rationale & Objective: Variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time is often observed, but it is unknown whether this variation is clinically important. We investigated the association between eGFR variability and survival free of dementia or persistent physical disability (disability-free survival) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events (myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, or CVD death). Study Design: Post hoc analysis. Setting & Participants: 12,549 participants of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly trial. Participants were without documented dementia, major physical disability, previous CVD, and major life-limiting illness at enrollment. Predictors: eGFR variability. Outcomes: Disability-free survival and CVD events. Analytical Approach: eGFR variability was estimated using the standard deviation of eGFR measurements obtained from participants' baseline, first, and second annual visits. Associations between tertiles of eGFR variability with disability-free survival and CVD events occurring after the eGFR variability estimation period were examined. Results: During median follow-up of 2.7 years after the second annual visit, 838 participants died, developed dementia, or acquired a persistent physical disability; 379 had a CVD event. The highest tertile of eGFR variability had an increased risk of death/dementia/disability (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.14-1.59) and CVD events (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.06-1.77) compared with the lowest tertile after covariate adjustment. These associations were present in patients with and without chronic kidney disease at baseline. Limitations: Limited representation of diverse demographics. Conclusions: In older, generally healthy adults, higher variability in eGFR over time predicts increased risk of future death/dementia/disability and CVD events.

Occupational characteristics and disability-free survival after retirement age: an exploratory analysis from the ASPREE study.

Background: Certain occupational characteristics have been linked with poor health and reduced longevity. However, the association between occupational characteristics and survival free of disability in a post-retirement age group has not been investigated. Methods: We investigated outcomes in 12,215 healthy older Australian adults in the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) and ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons (ALSOP) sub-study. The ISCO-88 major occupational groups, settings, and activity levels were assigned based on free-text job descriptions. The Finnish Job Exposure Matrix was used to assign occupational characteristics to the three longest-held jobs. The primary endpoint, disability-free survival, was defined as a composite measure of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. The endpoint of all-cause mortality was analyzed separately. Because of multiple exploratory analyses, only those associations with a two-sided value of p less than 0.005 were considered statistically significant. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios. Results: Having worked in an 'elementary' occupation was associated with a reduction in disability-free survival. A specific impact on disability-free survival was observed among those whose work had involved high accident risk and adverse social climate. No significant relationship was identified with those previously exposed to sedentary work, vigorous physical activity, work primarily outdoors, or a range of other occupational characteristics. All-cause mortality was not increased among any of the occupational groups. Conclusion: This exploratory study found a reduction in disability-free survival among people who worked in 'elementary' occupations, with specific risks associated with occupations involving high accident risks and adverse social climate.

The Association between Metabolic Syndrome, Frailty and Disability-Free Survival in Healthy Community-dwelling Older Adults.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and frailty, and determine whether co-existent MetS and frailty affect disability-free survival (DFS), assessed through a composite of death, dementia or physical disability. DESIGN: Longitudinal study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling older adults from Australia and the United States (n=18,264) from "ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly" (ASPREE) study. MEASUREMENTS: MetS was defined according to American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinical Practice Guidelines (2018). A modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI) were used to assess frailty. Association between MetS and frailty was examined using multinomial logistic regression. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between MetS, frailty and DFS over a median follow-up of 4.7 years. RESULTS: Among 18,264 participants, 49.9% met the criteria for MetS at baseline. Participants with Mets were more likely to be pre-frail [Relative Risk Ratio (RRR): 1.22; 95%Confidence Interval (CI): 1.14, 1.30)] or frail (RRR: 1.66; 95%CI: 1.32, 2.08) than those without MetS. MetS alone did not shorten DFS while pre-frailty or frailty alone did [Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.68; 95%CI: 1.45, 1.94; HR: 2.65; 95%CI:1.92, 3.66, respectively]. Co-existent MetS with pre-frailty/frailty did not change the risk of shortened DFS. CONCLUSIONS: MetS was associated with pre-frailty or frailty in community-dwelling older individuals. Pre-frailty or frailty increased the risk of reduced DFS but presence of MetS did not change this risk. Assessment of frailty may be more important than MetS in predicting survival free of dementia or physical disability.

The association between polypharmacy, frailty and disability-free survival in community-dwelling healthy older individuals.

OBJECTIVES: Polypharmacy and frailty are two common geriatric conditions. In community-dwelling healthy older adults, we examined whether polypharmacy is associated with frailty and affects disability-free survival (DFS), assessed as a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability. METHODS: We included 19,114 participants (median age 74.0 years, IQR: 6.1 years) from ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial. Frailty was assessed by a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI). Polypharmacy was defined as concomitant use of five or more prescription medications. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the cross-sectional association between polypharmacy and frailty at base line, and Cox regression to determine the effect of polypharmacy and frailty on DFS over five years. RESULTS: Individuals with polypharmacy (vs. <5 medications) were 55% more likely to be pre-frail (Relative Risk Ratio or RRR: 1.55; 95%Confidence Interval or CI:1.44, 1.68) and three times more likely to be frail (RRR: 3.34; 95%CI:2.64, 4.22) according to Fried phenotype. Frailty alone was associated with double risk of the composite outcome (Hazard ratio or HR: 2.16; 95%CI: 1.56, 2.99), but frail individuals using polypharmacy had a four-fold risk (HR: 4.24; 95%CI: 3.28, 5.47). Effect sizes were larger when frailty was assessed using the FI. CONCLUSION: Polypharmacy was significantly associated with pre-frailty and frailty at baseline. Polypharmacy-exposed frailty increased the risk of reducing disability-free survival among older adults. Addressing polypharmacy in older people could ameliorate the impact of frailty on individuals' functional status, cognition and survival.

Impact of Physical Inactivity on the Risk of Disability and Hospitalization in Older Patients with Advanced Lung Cancer.

PURPOSE: This prospective observational study aimed to explore the influence of physical inactivity during initial chemotherapy on the risk of disability and hospitalization in later life among older patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients aged 70 or above who were scheduled to receive first-line chemotherapy for newly diagnosed advanced NSCLC were recruited for the study. An electronic pedometer was used to measure daily steps; based on the change rate (cutoff: -12.5%) from pretreatment to 12 ± 4 weeks after enrolment, patients were classified as active or inactive. The Barthel Index estimated activities of daily living. We compared disability-free survival time, mean cumulative functions of hospital stays, and medical costs, between the active and inactive groups. RESULTS: Among the 29 patients enrolled, 21 were evaluable. Compared with active patients (n = 11), inactive patients (n = 10) showed shorter disability-free survival (6.4 vs 19.9 months, p < 0.05) and tended to have longer hospital stays (23.7 vs 6.3 days/person) and higher inpatient care cost (¥1.6 vs ¥0.3 million/person [US$16,000 vs US$3000/person]) during the first year. CONCLUSION: Physical inactivity during initial chemotherapy may be a risk factor for developing disability and requiring hospitalization in later life for older patients with advanced NSCLC. Our findings may indicate the need for lifestyle interventions with multidisciplinary teams, which include physicians, nurses, and physiotherapists, for older patients with advanced lung cancer during an active cancer treatment. A large-sample-sized study is needed to validate our findings.

Aspirin in coronary artery surgery: 1-year results of the Aspirin and Tranexamic Acid for Coronary Artery Surgery trial.

BACKGROUND: Aspirin may reduce the risk of vascular graft thrombosis after cardiovascular surgery. We previously reported the 30-day results of a trial evaluating aspirin use before coronary artery surgery. Here we report the 1-year outcomes evaluating late thrombotic events and disability-free survival. METHODS: Using a factorial design, we randomly assigned patients undergoing coronary artery surgery to receive aspirin or placebo and tranexamic acid or placebo. The results of the aspirin comparison are reported here. The primary 1-year outcome was death or severe disability, the latter defined as living with a modified Katz activities of daily living score < 8. Secondary outcomes included a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke and death from any cause through to 1 year after surgery. RESULTS: Patients were randomly assigned to aspirin (1059 patients) or placebo (1068 patients). The rate of death or severe disability was 4.1% in the aspirin group and 3.5% in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-1.81; P = .48). There was no significant difference in the rates of myocardial infarction (P = .11), stroke (P = .086), or death (P = .24), or a composite of these cardiovascular end points (P = .68). With the exception of those with a low European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation score (P = .03), there were no interaction effects on these outcomes with tranexamic acid (all tests of interaction P > .10). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing coronary artery surgery, preoperative aspirin did not reduce death or severe disability, or thrombotic events through to 1 year after surgery.

Tranexamic acid in coronary artery surgery: One-year results of the Aspirin and Tranexamic Acid for Coronary Artery Surgery (ATACAS) trial.

BACKGROUND: Tranexamic acid reduces blood loss and transfusion requirements in cardiac surgery but may increase the risk of coronary graft thrombosis. We previously reported the 30-day results of a trial evaluating tranexamic acid for coronary artery surgery. Here we report the 1-year clinical outcomes. METHODS: Using a factorial design, we randomly assigned patients undergoing coronary artery surgery to receive aspirin or placebo and tranexamic acid or placebo. The results of the tranexamic acid comparison are reported here. The primary 1-year outcome was death or severe disability, the latter defined as living with a modified Katz activities of daily living score of less than 8. Secondary outcomes included a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and death from any cause through to 1 year after surgery. RESULTS: The rate of death or disability at 1 year was 3.8% in the tranexamic acid group and 4.4% in the placebo group (relative risk, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.13; P = .27), and this did not significantly differ according to aspirin exposure at the time of surgery (interaction P = .073). The composite rate of myocardial infarction, stroke, and death up to 1 year after surgery was 14.3% in the tranexamic acid group and 16.4% in the placebo group (relative risk, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.76-1.00; P = .053). CONCLUSIONS: In this trial of patients having coronary artery surgery, tranexamic acid did not affect death or severe disability through to 1 year after surgery. Further work should be done to explore possible beneficial effects on late cardiovascular events.