A mathematical model of competition between fiber and mucin degraders in the gut provides a possible explanation for mucus thinning.

The human gut microbiota relies on complex carbohydrates (glycans) for energy and growth, primarily dietary fiber and host-derived mucins. We introduce a mathematical model of a glycan generalist and a mucin specialist in a two-compartment chemostat model of the human colon. Our objective is to characterize the influence of dietary fiber and mucin supply on the abundance of mucin-degrading species within the gut ecosystem. Current mathematical gut reactor models that include the enzymatic degradation of glycans do not differentiate between glycan types and their degraders. The model we present distinguishes between a generalist that can degrade both dietary fiber and mucin, and a specialist species that can only degrade mucin. The integrity of the colonic mucus barrier is essential for overall human health and well-being, with the mucin specialist Akkermanisa muciniphila being associated with a healthy mucus layer. Competition, particularly between the specialist and generalists like Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron, may lead to mucus layer erosion, especially during periods of dietary fiber deprivation. Our model treats the colon as a gut reactor system, dividing it into two compartments that represent the lumen and the mucus of the gut, resulting in a complex system of ordinary differential equations with a large and uncertain parameter space. To understand the influence of model parameters on long-term behavior, we employ a random forest classifier, a supervised machine learning method. Additionally, a variance-based sensitivity analysis is utilized to determine the sensitivity of steady-state values to changes in model parameter inputs. By constructing this model, we can investigate the underlying mechanisms that control gut microbiota composition and function, free from confounding factors.

A machine learning-based prediction model for postoperative delirium in cardiac valve surgery using electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: Previous models for predicting delirium after cardiac surgery remained inadequate. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning-based prediction model for postoperative delirium (POD) in cardiac valve surgery patients. METHODS: The electronic medical information of the cardiac surgical intensive care unit (CSICU) was extracted from a tertiary and major referral hospital in southern China over 1 year, from June 2019 to June 2020. A total of 507 patients admitted to the CSICU after cardiac valve surgery were included in this study. Seven classical machine learning algorithms (Random Forest Classifier, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine Classifier, K-nearest Neighbors Classifier, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and Perceptron.) were used to develop delirium prediction models under full (q = 31) and selected (q = 19) feature sets, respectively. RESULT: The Random Forest classifier performs exceptionally well in both feature datasets, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.92 for the full feature dataset and an AUC of 0.86 for the selected feature dataset. Additionally, it achieves a relatively lower Expected Calibration Error (ECE) and the highest Average Precision (AP), with an AP of 0.80 for the full feature dataset and an AP of 0.73 for the selected feature dataset. To further evaluate the best-performing Random Forest classifier, SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) was used, and the importance matrix plot, scatter plots, and summary plots were generated. CONCLUSIONS: We established machine learning-based prediction models to predict POD in patients undergoing cardiac valve surgery. The random forest model has the best predictive performance in prediction and can help improve the prognosis of patients with POD.

G Protein-Coupled Receptor-Ligand Pose and Functional Class Prediction.

G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) transmembrane protein family members play essential roles in physiology. Numerous pharmaceuticals target GPCRs, and many drug discovery programs utilize virtual screening (VS) against GPCR targets. Improvements in the accuracy of predicting new molecules that bind to and either activate or inhibit GPCR function would accelerate such drug discovery programs. This work addresses two significant research questions. First, do ligand interaction fingerprints provide a substantial advantage over automated methods of binding site selection for classical docking? Second, can the functional status of prospective screening candidates be predicted from ligand interaction fingerprints using a random forest classifier? Ligand interaction fingerprints were found to offer modest advantages in sampling accurate poses, but no substantial advantage in the final set of top-ranked poses after scoring, and, thus, were not used in the generation of the ligand-receptor complexes used to train and test the random forest classifier. A binary classifier which treated agonists, antagonists, and inverse agonists as active and all other ligands as inactive proved highly effective in ligand function prediction in an external test set of GPR31 and TAAR2 candidate ligands with a hit rate of 82.6% actual actives within the set of predicted actives.

Machine Learning-Based Mortality Prediction in Chronic Kidney Disease among Heart Failure Patients: Insights and Outcomes from the Jordanian Heart Failure Registry.

Background and Objectives: Heart failure (HF) is a prevalent and debilitating condition that imposes a significant burden on healthcare systems and adversely affects the quality of life of patients worldwide. Comorbidities such as chronic kidney disease (CKD), arterial hypertension, and diabetes mellitus (DM) are common among HF patients, as they share similar risk factors. This study aimed to identify the prognostic significance of multiple factors and their correlation with disease prognosis and outcomes in a Jordanian cohort. Materials and Methods: Data from the Jordanian Heart Failure Registry (JoHFR) were analyzed, encompassing medical records from acute and chronic HF patients attending public and private cardiology clinics and hospitals across Jordan. An online form was utilized for data collection, focusing on three kidney function tests, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and creatinine levels, with the eGFR calculated using the Cockcroft-Gault formula. We also built six machine learning models to predict mortality in our cohort. Results: From the JoHFR, 2151 HF patients were included, with 644, 1799, and 1927 records analyzed for eGFR, BUN, and creatinine levels, respectively. Age negatively impacted all measures (p ≤ 0.001), while smokers surprisingly showed better results than non-smokers (p ≤ 0.001). Males had more normal eGFR levels compared to females (p = 0.002). Comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, arrhythmias, and implanted devices were inversely related to eGFR (all with p-values <0.05). Higher BUN levels were associated with chronic HF, dyslipidemia, and ASCVD (p ≤ 0.001). Higher creatinine levels were linked to hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, arrhythmias, and previous HF history (all with p-values <0.05). Low eGFR levels were associated with increased mechanical ventilation needs (p = 0.049) and mortality (p ≤ 0.001), while BUN levels did not significantly affect these outcomes. Machine learning analysis employing the Random Forest Classifier revealed that length of hospital stay and creatinine >115 were the most significant predictors of mortality. The classifier achieved an accuracy of 90.02% with an AUC of 80.51%, indicating its efficacy in predictive modeling. Conclusions: This study reveals the intricate relationship among kidney function tests, comorbidities, and clinical outcomes in HF patients in Jordan, highlighting the importance of kidney function as a predictive tool. Integrating machine learning models into clinical practice may enhance the predictive accuracy of patient outcomes, thereby supporting a more personalized approach to managing HF and related kidney dysfunction. Further research is necessary to validate these findings and to develop innovative treatment strategies for the CKD population within the HF cohort.

Naïve Bayes classifier assisted automated detection of cerebral microbleeds in susceptibility-weighted imaging brain images.

Cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) in the brain are the essential indicators of critical brain disorders such as dementia and ischemic stroke. Generally, CMBs are detected manually by experts, which is an exhaustive task with limited productivity. Since CMBs have complex morphological nature, manual detection is prone to errors. This paper presents a machine learning-based automated CMB detection technique in the brain susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI) scans based on statistical feature extraction and classification. The proposed method consists of three steps: (1) removal of the skull and extraction of the brain; (2) thresholding for the extraction of initial candidates; and (3) extracting features and applying classification models such as random forest and naïve Bayes classifiers for the detection of true positive CMBs. The proposed technique is validated on a dataset consisting of 20 subjects. The dataset is divided into training data that consist of 14 subjects with 104 microbleeds and testing data that consist of 6 subjects with 63 microbleeds. We were able to achieve 85.7% sensitivity using the random forest classifier with 4.2 false positives per CMB, and the naïve Bayes classifier achieved 90.5% sensitivity with 5.5 false positives per CMB. The proposed technique outperformed many state-of-the-art methods proposed in previous studies.

Predicting clinical outcome of sulfur mustard induced ocular injury using machine learning model.

The sight-threatening sulfur mustard (SM) induced ocular injury presents specific symptoms in each clinical stage. The acute injury develops in all exposed eyes and may heal or deteriorate into chronic late pathology. Early detection of eyes at risk of developing late pathology may assist in providing unique monitoring and specific treatments only to relevant cases. In this study, we evaluated a machine-learning (ML) model for predicting the development of SM-induced late pathology based on clinical data of the acute phase in the rabbit model. Clinical data from 166 rabbit eyes exposed to SM vapor was used retrospectively. The data included a comprehensive clinical evaluation of the cornea, eyelids and conjunctiva using a semi-quantitative clinical score. A random forest classifier ML model, was trained to predict the development of corneal neovascularization four weeks post-ocular exposure to SM vapor using clinical scores recorded three weeks earlier. The overall accuracy in predicting the clinical outcome of SM-induced ocular injury was 73%. The accuracy in identifying eyes at risk of developing corneal neovascularization and future healed eyes was 75% and 59%, respectively. The most important parameters for accurate prediction were conjunctival secretion and corneal opacity at 1w and corneal erosions at 72 h post-exposure. Predicting the clinical outcome of SM-induced ocular injury based on the acute injury parameters using ML is demonstrated for the first time. Although the prediction accuracy was limited, probably due to the small dataset, it pointed out towards various parameters during the acute injury that are important for predicting SM-induced late pathology and revealing possible pathological mechanisms.

Predicting dry weight change in Hemodialysis patients using machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Machine Learning has been increasingly used in the medical field, including managing patients undergoing hemodialysis. The random forest classifier is a Machine Learning method that can generate high accuracy and interpretability in the data analysis of various diseases. We attempted to apply Machine Learning to adjust dry weight, the appropriate volume status of patients undergoing hemodialysis, which requires a complex decision-making process considering multiple indicators and the patient's physical conditions. METHODS: All medical data and 69,375 dialysis records of 314 Asian patients undergoing hemodialysis at a single dialysis center in Japan between July 2018 and April 2020 were collected from the electronic medical record system. Using the random forest classifier, we developed models to predict the probabilities of adjusting the dry weight at each dialysis session. RESULTS: The areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic curves of the models for adjusting the dry weight upward and downward were 0.70 and 0.74, respectively. The average probability of upward adjustment of the dry weight had sharp a peak around the actual change over time, while the average probability of downward adjustment of the dry weight formed a gradual peak. Feature importance analysis revealed that median blood pressure decline was a strong predictor for adjusting the dry weight upward. In contrast, elevated serum levels of C-reactive protein and hypoalbuminemia were important indicators for adjusting the dry weight downward. CONCLUSIONS: The random forest classifier should provide a helpful guide to predict the optimal changes to the dry weight with relative accuracy and may be useful in clinical practice.

Towards Managing Uncertain Geo-Information for Drilling Disasters Using Event Tracking Sensitivity Analysis.

In sub-surface drilling rigs, one key critical crisis is unwanted influx into the borehole as a result of increasing the influx rate while drilling deeper into a high-pressure gas formation. Although established risk assessments in drilling rigs provide a high degree of protection, uncertainty arises due to the behavior of the formation being drilled into, which may cause crucial situations at the rig. To overcome such uncertainties, real-time sensor measurements are used to predict, and thus prevent, such crises. In addition, new understandings of the effective events were derived from raw data. In order to avoid the computational overhead of input feature analysis that hinders time-critical prediction, EventTracker sensitivity analysis, an incremental method that can support dimensionality reduction, was applied to real-world data from 1600 features per each of the 4 wells as input and 6 time series per each of the 4 wells as output. The resulting significant input series were then introduced to two classification methods: Random Forest Classifier and Neural Networks. Performance of the EventTracker method was understood correlated with a conventional manual method that incorporated expert knowledge. More importantly, the outcome of a Neural Network Classifier was improved by reducing the number of inputs according to the results of the EventTracker feature selection. Most important of all, the generation of results of the EventTracker method took fractions of milliseconds that left plenty of time before the next bunch of data samples.

Instrumented Gait Classification Using Meaningful Features in Patients with Impaired Coordination.

Early onset ataxia (EOA) and developmental coordination disorder (DCD) both affect cerebellar functioning in children, making the clinical distinction challenging. We here aim to derive meaningful features from quantitative SARA-gait data (i.e., the gait test of the scale for the assessment and rating of ataxia (SARA)) to classify EOA and DCD patients and typically developing (CTRL) children with better explainability than previous classification approaches. We collected data from 18 EOA, 14 DCD and 29 CTRL children, while executing both SARA gait tests. Inertial measurement units were used to acquire movement data, and a gait model was employed to derive meaningful features. We used a random forest classifier on 36 extracted features, leave-one-out-cross-validation and a synthetic oversampling technique to distinguish between the three groups. Classification accuracy, probabilities of classification and feature relevance were obtained. The mean classification accuracy was 62.9% for EOA, 85.5% for DCD and 94.5% for CTRL participants. Overall, the random forest algorithm correctly classified 82.0% of the participants, which was slightly better than clinical assessment (73.0%). The classification resulted in a mean precision of 0.78, mean recall of 0.70 and mean F1 score of 0.74. The most relevant features were related to the range of the hip flexion-extension angle for gait, and to movement variability for tandem gait. Our results suggest that classification, employing features representing different aspects of movement during gait and tandem gait, may provide an insightful tool for the differential diagnoses of EOA, DCD and typically developing children.

Give Me a Sign: Using Data Gloves for Static Hand-Shape Recognition.

Human-to-human communication via the computer is mainly carried out using a keyboard or microphone. In the field of virtual reality (VR), where the most immersive experience possible is desired, the use of a keyboard contradicts this goal, while the use of a microphone is not always desirable (e.g., silent commands during task-force training) or simply not possible (e.g., if the user has hearing loss). Data gloves help to increase immersion within VR, as they correspond to our natural interaction. At the same time, they offer the possibility of accurately capturing hand shapes, such as those used in non-verbal communication (e.g., thumbs up, okay gesture, …) and in sign language. In this paper, we present a hand-shape recognition system using Manus Prime X data gloves, including data acquisition, data preprocessing, and data classification to enable nonverbal communication within VR. We investigate the impact on accuracy and classification time of using an outlier detection and a feature selection approach in our data preprocessing. To obtain a more generalized approach, we also studied the impact of artificial data augmentation, i.e., we created new artificial data from the recorded and filtered data to augment the training data set. With our approach, 56 different hand shapes could be distinguished with an accuracy of up to 93.28%. With a reduced number of 27 hand shapes, an accuracy of up to 95.55% could be achieved. The voting meta-classifier (VL2) proved to be the most accurate, albeit slowest, classifier. A good alternative is random forest (RF), which was even able to achieve better accuracy values in a few cases and was generally somewhat faster. outlier detection was proven to be an effective approach, especially in improving the classification time. Overall, we have shown that our hand-shape recognition system using data gloves is suitable for communication within VR.

The importance of mentalization, coping mechanisms, and perceived stress in the prediction of resilience of healthcare workers.

Resilience is the process of overcoming stressors. Being able to examine the effect of the Covid epidemic on healthcare workers (HCWs) has provided us a unique opportunity to understand the impact of trauma on resilience. We aimed to investigate the relationship between stress, mentalization, and an individual's coping capacity against a real risk (Covid-19) and evaluate the predictors of resilience. 302 HCWs have enrolled in the study and completed an online questionnaire assessing demographics, perceived stress, resilience, coping, and mentalization. We utilized statistical analysis together with a Random Forest classifier to analyze the interaction between these factors extensively. We applied ten times ten-fold cross-validation and plotted Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) with the calculated Area Under the Curve(AUC) score and identify the most important features. Our experiments showed that the Perceived stress scale has the strongest relationship with resilience. The subject's awareness level of emotional states is an important factor that determines the level of resilience. Coping styles such as the decision of giving up is also a crucial indicator. We conclude that being aware of the risks and the mental states are the dominant factors behind the resilience levels of healthcare workers under pandemic conditions.

KIM-1, IL-18, and NGAL, in the Machine Learning Prediction of Kidney Injury among Children Undergoing Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation-A Pilot Study.

Children undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) are prone to developing acute kidney injury (AKI). Markers of kidney damage: kidney injury molecule (KIM)-1, interleukin (IL)-18, and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) may ease early diagnosis of AKI. The aim of this study was to assess serum concentrations of KIM-1, IL-18, and NGAL in children undergoing HSCT in relation to classical markers of kidney function (creatinine, cystatin C, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)) and to analyze their usefulness as predictors of kidney damage with the use of artificial intelligence tools. Serum concentrations of KIM-1, IL-18, NGAL, and cystatin C were assessed by ELISA in 27 children undergoing HSCT before transplantation and up to 4 weeks after the procedure. The data was used to build a Random Forest Classifier (RFC) model of renal injury prediction. The RFC model established on the basis of 3 input variables, KIM-1, IL-18, and NGAL concentrations in the serum of children before HSCT, was able to effectively assess the rate of patients with hyperfiltration, a surrogate marker of kidney injury 4 weeks after the procedure. With the use of the RFC model, serum KIM-1, IL-18, and NGAL may serve as markers of incipient renal dysfunction in children after HSCT.

Monitoring invasive pines using remote sensing: a case study from Sri Lanka.

Production plantation forestry has many economic benefits but can also have negative environmental impacts such as the spreading of invasive pines to native forest habitats. Monitoring forest for the presence of invasive pines helps with the management of this issue. However, detection of vegetation change over a large time period is difficult due to changes in image quality and sensor types, and by the spectral similarity of evergreen species and frequent cloud cover in the study area. The costs of high-resolution images are also prohibitive for routine monitoring in resource-constrained countries. This research investigated the use of remote sensing to identify the spread of Pinus caribaea over a 21-year period (2000 to 2021) in Belihuloya, Sri Lanka, using Landsat images. It applied a range of techniques to produce cloud free images, extract vegetation features, and improve vegetation classification accuracy, followed by the use of Geographical Information System to spatially analyze the spread of invasive pines. The results showed most invading pines were found within 100 m of the pine plantations' borders where broadleaved forests and grasslands are vulnerable to invasion. However, the extent of invasive pine had an overall decline of 4 ha over the 21 years. The study confirmed that remote sensing combined with spatial analysis are effective tools for monitoring invasive pines in countries with limited resources. This study also provides information to conservationists and forest managers to conduct strategic planning for sustainable forest management and conservation in Sri Lanka.

Monitoring tea plantations during 1990-2022 using multi-temporal satellite data in Assam (India).

Background: Tea is a valuable economic plant grown extensively in several Asian countries. The accurate mapping of tea plantations is critical for the growth and development of the tea industry. In eastern India, tea plantations have a significant role in its economy. Sonitpur, Jorhat, Sibsagar, Dibrugarh, and Tinsukia are major tea-producing districts in Assam. Due to the rapid increase in tea plantations and the burgeoning population, a detailed mapping and regular monitoring of tea plantations are imperative for understanding land use alteration. Objectives: The present study aims to analyse the dynamics of tea plantations from 1990 to 2022 at a decadal scale, using satellite data, such as Landsat-5 and Sentinel-2. Methods: A supervised classifier called Random Forest (RF) was deployed in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to classify tea plantations. Results: The results showed significant growth in tea plantations in the district of Dibrugarh (112%), whereas the remaining districts had a growth rate of 45-89%. During 32 years (1990-2022), about 1280.47 km2 (78.71%) of areas of tea plantations expanded across five districts of Assam. Precision and recall were used to measure the accuracy of tea plantations classification, which exhibited considerably high F1 scores (0.80 to 0.96). Conclusions: This study helps to demonstrate the application of remote sensing techniques to evaluate the dynamics of tea plantations which can help policymakers to manage the tea estates and underlying changes in land cover.

Stool microbiota are superior to saliva in distinguishing cirrhosis and hepatic encephalopathy using machine learning.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Saliva and stool microbiota are altered in cirrhosis. Since stool is logistically difficult to collect compared to saliva, it is important to determine their relative diagnostic and prognostic capabilities. We aimed to determine the ability of stool vs. saliva microbiota to differentiate between groups based on disease severity using machine learning (ML). METHODS: Controls and outpatients with cirrhosis underwent saliva and stool microbiome analysis. Controls vs. cirrhosis and within cirrhosis (based on hepatic encephalopathy [HE], proton pump inhibitor [PPI] and rifaximin use) were classified using 4 ML techniques (random forest [RF], support vector machine, logistic regression, and gradient boosting) with AUC comparisons for stool, saliva or both sample types. Individual microbial contributions were computed using feature importance of RF and Shapley additive explanations. Finally, thresholds for including microbiota were varied between 2.5% and 10%, and core microbiome (DESeq2) analysis was performed. RESULTS: Two hundred and sixty-nine participants, including 87 controls and 182 patients with cirrhosis, of whom 57 had HE, 78 were on PPIs and 29 on rifaximin were included. Regardless of the ML model, stool microbiota had a significantly higher AUC in differentiating groups vs. saliva. Regarding individual microbiota: autochthonous taxa drove the difference between controls vs. patients with cirrhosis, oral-origin microbiota the difference between PPI users/non-users, and pathobionts and autochthonous taxa the difference between rifaximin users/non-users and patients with/without HE. These were consistent with the core microbiome analysis results. CONCLUSIONS: On ML analysis, stool microbiota composition is significantly more informative in differentiating between controls and patients with cirrhosis, and those with varying cirrhosis severity, compared to saliva. Despite logistic challenges, stool should be preferred over saliva for microbiome analysis. LAY SUMMARY: Since it is harder to collect stool than saliva, we wanted to test whether microbes from saliva were better than stool in differentiating between healthy people and those with cirrhosis and, among those with cirrhosis, those with more severe disease. Using machine learning, we found that microbes in stool were more accurate than saliva alone or in combination, therefore, stool should be preferred for analysis and collection wherever possible.

Deep learning-based model for diagnosing Alzheimer's disease and tauopathies.

AIMS: This study aimed to develop a deep learning-based model for differentiating tauopathies, including Alzheimer's disease (AD), progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP), corticobasal degeneration (CBD) and Pick's disease (PiD), based on tau-immunostained digital slide images. METHODS: We trained the YOLOv3 object detection algorithm to detect five tau lesion types: neuronal inclusions, neuritic plaques, tufted astrocytes, astrocytic plaques and coiled bodies. We used 2522 digital slide images of CP13-immunostained slides of the motor cortex from 10 cases each of AD, PSP and CBD for training. Data augmentation was performed to increase the size of the training dataset. We next constructed random forest classifiers using the quantitative burdens of each tau lesion from motor cortex, caudate nucleus and superior frontal gyrus, ascertained from the object detection model. We split 120 cases (32 AD, 36 PSP, 31 CBD and 21 PiD) into training (90 cases) and test (30 cases) sets to train random forest classifiers. RESULTS: The resultant random forest classifier achieved an average test score of 0.97, indicating that 29 out of 30 cases were correctly diagnosed. A validation study using hold-out datasets of CP13- and AT8-stained slides from 50 cases (10 AD, 17 PSP, 13 CBD and 10 PiD) showed >92% (without data augmentation) and >95% (with data augmentation) diagnostic accuracy in both CP13- and AT8-stained slides. CONCLUSION: Our diagnostic model trained with CP13 also works for AT8; therefore, our diagnostic tool can be potentially used by other investigators and may assist medical decision-making in neuropathological diagnoses of tauopathies.

Susceptibility to epilepsy after traumatic brain injury is associated with preexistent gut microbiome profile.

OBJECTIVE: We examined whether posttraumatic epilepsy (PTE) is associated with measurable perturbations in gut microbiome. METHODS: Adult Sprague Dawley rats were subjected to lateral fluid percussion injury (LFPI). PTE was examined 7 months after LFPI, during 4-week continuous video-electroencephalographic monitoring. 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequencing was performed in fecal samples collected before LFPI/sham-LFPI and 1 week, 1 month, and 7 months thereafter. Longitudinal analyses of alpha diversity, beta diversity, and differential microbial abundance were performed. Short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs) were measured in fecal samples collected before LFPI by liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry. RESULTS: Alpha diversity changed over time in both LFPI and sham-LFPI subjects; no association was observed between alpha diversity and LFPI, the severity of post-LFPI neuromotor impairments, and PTE. LFPI produced significant changes in beta diversity and selective changes in microbial abundances associated with the severity of neuromotor impairments. No association between LFPI-dependent microbial perturbations and PTE was detected. PTE was associated with beta diversity irrespective of timepoint vis-à-vis LFPI, including at baseline. Preexistent fecal microbial abundances of four amplicon sequence variants belonging to the Lachnospiraceae family (three enriched and one depleted) predicted the risk of PTE, with area under the curve (AUC) of .73. Global SCFA content was associated with the increased risk of PTE, with AUC of .722, and with 2-methylbutyric (depleted), valeric (depleted), isobutyric (enriched), and isovaleric (enriched) acids being the most important factors (AUC = .717). When the analyses of baseline microbial and SCFA compositions were combined, AUC to predict PTE increased to .78. SIGNIFICANCE: Whereas LFPI produces no perturbations in the gut microbiome that are associated with PTE, the risk of PTE can be stratified based on preexistent microbial abundances and SCFA content.

Random forest algorithms to classify frailty and falling history in seniors using plantar pressure measurement insoles: a large-scale feasibility study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty and falls are two adverse characteristics of aging that impair the quality of life of senior people and increase the burden on the healthcare system. Various methods exist to evaluate frailty, but none of them are considered the gold standard. Technological methods have also been proposed to assess the risk of falling in seniors. This study aims to propose an objective method for complementing existing methods used to identify the frail state and risk of falling in older adults. METHOD: A total of 712 subjects (age: 71.3 ± 8.2 years, including 505 women and 207 men) were recruited from two Japanese cities. Two hundred and three people were classified as frail according to the Kihon Checklist. One hundred and forty-two people presented with a history of falling during the previous 12 months. The subjects performed a 45 s standing balance test and a 20 m round walking trial. The plantar pressure data were collected using a 7-sensor insole. One hundred and eighty-four data features were extracted. Automatic learning random forest algorithms were used to build the frailty and faller classifiers. The discrimination capabilities of the features in the classification models were explored. RESULTS: The overall balanced accuracy for the recognition of frail subjects was 0.75 ± 0.04 (F1-score: 0.77 ± 0.03). One sub-analysis using data collected for men aged > 65 years only revealed accuracies as high as 0.78 ± 0.07 (F1-score: 0.79 ± 0.05). The overall balanced accuracy for classifying subjects with a recent history of falling was 0.57 ± 0.05 (F1-score: 0.62 ± 0.04). The classification of subjects relative to their frailty state primarily relied on features extracted from the plantar pressure series collected during the walking test. CONCLUSION: In the future, plantar pressures measured with smart insoles inserted in the shoes of senior people may be used to evaluate aspects of frailty related to the physical dimension (e.g., gait and balance alterations), thus allowing assisting clinicians in the early identification of frail individuals.

Meta-analysis of the microbial biomarkers in the gut-lung crosstalk in COVID-19, community-acquired pneumonia and Clostridium difficile infections.

Respiratory infections are the leading causes of mortality and the current pandemic COVID-19 is one such trauma that imposed catastrophic devastation to the health and economy of the world. Unravelling the correlations and interplay of the human microbiota in the gut-lung axis would offer incredible solutions to the underlying mystery of the disease progression. The study compared the microbiota profiles of six samples namely healthy gut, healthy lung, COVID-19 infected gut, COVID-19 infected lungs, Clostridium difficile infected gut and community-acquired pneumonia infected lungs. The metagenome data sets were processed, normalized, classified and the rarefaction curves were plotted. The microbial biomarkers for COVID-19 infections were identified as the abundance of Candida and Escherichia in lungs with Ruminococcus in the gut. Candida and Staphylococcus could play a vital role as putative prognostic biomarkers of community-acquired pneumonia whereas abundance of Faecalibacterium and Clostridium is associated with the C. difficile infections in gut. A machine learning random forest classifier applied to the data sets efficiently classified the biomarkers. The study offers an extensive and incredible understanding of the existence of gut-lung axis during dysbiosis of two anatomically different organs.

Choice of intraoperative ultrasound adjuncts for brain tumor surgery.

BACKGROUND: Gliomas are among the most typical brain tumors tackled by neurosurgeons. During navigation for surgery of glioma brain tumors, preoperatively acquired static images may not be accurate due to shifts. Surgeons use intraoperative imaging technologies (2-Dimensional and navigated 3-Dimensional ultrasound) to assess and guide resections. This paper aims to precisely capture the importance of preoperative parameters to decide which type of ultrasound to be used for a particular surgery. METHODS: This paper proposes two bagging algorithms considering base classifier logistic regression and random forest. These algorithms are trained on different subsets of the original data set. The goodness of fit of Logistic regression-based bagging algorithms is established using hypothesis testing. Furthermore, the performance measures for random-forest-based bagging algorithms used are AUC under ROC and AUC under the precision-recall curve. We also present a composite model without compromising the explainability of the models. RESULTS: These models were trained on the data of 350 patients who have undergone brain surgery from 2015 to 2020. The hypothesis test shows that a single parameter is sufficient instead of all three dimensions related to the tumor ([Formula: see text]). We observed that the choice of intraoperative ultrasound depends on the surgeon making a choice, and years of experience of the surgeon could be a surrogate for this dependence. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that neurosurgeons may not need to focus on a large set of preoperative parameters in order to decide on ultrasound. Moreover, it personalizes the use of a particular ultrasound option in surgery. This approach could potentially lead to better resource management and help healthcare institutions improve their decisions to make the surgery more effective.