Preoperative Prediction of Long-Term Survival After Surgery in Patients with Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although some clinical trials have demonstrated the benefits of neoadjuvant therapy for resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), its optimal candidate has not been clarified. This study aimed to detect predictive prognostic factors for resectable PDAC patients who underwent upfront surgery and identify patient cohorts with long-term survival without neoadjuvant therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 232 patients with resectable PDAC who underwent upfront surgery between January 2008 and December 2019 were evaluated. RESULTS: The median overall survival (OS) time and 5-year OS rate of resectable PDAC with upfront surgery was 31.5 months and 33.3%, respectively. Multivariate analyses identified tumor diameter in computed tomography (CT) ≤ 19 mm [hazard ratio (HR) 0.40, p < 0.001], span-1 within the normal range (HR 0.54, p = 0.023), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) ≥ 44.31 (HR 0.51, p < 0.001), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) ≥ 3.79 (HR 0.51, p < 0.001) as prognostic factors that influence favorable prognoses after upfront surgery. According to the prognostic prediction model based on these four factors, patients with four favorable prognostic factors had a better prognosis with a 5-year OS rate of 82.4% compared to others (p < 0.001). These patients had a high R0 resection rate and a low frequency of tumor recurrence after upfront surgery. CONCLUSIONS: We identified patients with long-term survival after upfront surgery by prognostic prediction model consisting of tumor diameter in CT, span-1, PNI, and LMR. Evaluation of anatomical, biological, nutritional, and inflammatory factors may be valuable to introduce an optimal treatment strategy for resectable PDAC.

Development of a Biomarker-Based Scoring System Predicting Early Recurrence of Resectable Pancreatic Duct Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (R-PDAC) often recurs early after radical resection, which is associated with poor prognosis. Predicting early recurrence preoperatively is useful for determining the optimal treatment. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred and seventy-eight patients diagnosed with R-PDAC on computed tomography (CT) imaging and undergoing radical resection at Hirosaki University Hospital from 2005 to 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with recurrence within 6 months after resection formed the early recurrence (ER) group, while other patients constituted the non-early recurrence (non-ER) group. Early recurrence prediction score (ERP score) was developed using preoperative parameters. RESULTS: ER was observed in 45 patients (25.3%). The ER group had significantly higher preoperative CA19-9 (p = 0.03), serum SPan-1 (p = 0.006), and CT tumor diameter (p = 0.01) compared with the non-ER group. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified cutoff values for CA19-9 (133 U/mL), SPan-1 (78.2 U/mL), and preoperative tumor diameter (23 mm). When the parameter exceeded the cutoff level, 1 point was given, and the total score of the three factors was defined as the ERP score. The group with an ERP score of 3 had postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS) of 5.5 months (95% CI 3.02-7.98). Multivariate analysis for ER-related perioperative and surgical factors identified ERP score of 3 [odds ratio (OR) 4.63 (95% CI 1.82-11.78), p = 0.0013] and R1 resection [OR 3.20 (95% CI 1.01-10.17), p = 0.049] as independent predictors of ER. CONCLUSIONS: For R-PDAC, ER could be predicted by the scoring system using preoperative serum CA19-9 and SPan-1 levels and CT tumor diameter, which may have great significance in identifying patients with poor prognoses and avoiding unnecessary surgery.

Comparison of the prognostic impact of pre- and post-operative CA19-9, SPan-1, and DUPAN-II levels in patients with pancreatic carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), s-pancreas antigen-1 (SPan-1), and duke pancreatic monoclonal antigen type 2 (DUPAN-II) are commonly utilized tumor markers in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), it is still unclear which is the most useful for predicting prognosis after surgical resection. Here, we aimed to compare the prognostic impact of pre- and post-operative serum CA19-9, SPan-1, and DUPAN-II levels in patients with resectable PDAC. METHODS: Pre-operative CA19-9, SPan-1, and DUPAN-II levels were analyzed to compare their prognostic values for resectable PDAC in 198 patients whose pre-operative tumor markers were available. The relationships of clinicopathological factors, including pre- and postoperative CA19-9, SPan-1, and DUPAN-II levels, with overall survival (OS) were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses in 149 patients for whom both pre- and postoperative tumor markers were available. RESULTS: Elevated pre-operative CA19-9 (≥37 U/mL), SPan-1 (≥30 U/mL), and DUPAN-II (≥150 U/mL) levels were found in 113 (60%), 96 (51%), and 82 (43%) patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, absence of adjuvant chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR], 4.17; p = 0.001), R1 resection (HR, 1.90; p = 0.03), higher histological grade (HR, 1.99; p = 0.02), advanced UICC T factor (HR, N/A; p = 0.04) and elevated postoperative CA19-9 (HR, 3.39; p = 0.009) were identified as independent predictors for worse OS. CONCLUSION: When the prognostic impacts of pre- and post-operative serum CA19-9, SPan-1, and DUPAN-II levels in patients with resectable PDAC were compared, elevated postoperative CA19-9 was the strongest predictive marker of poor survival in the pre- and post-operative period.

Carcinomatous Meningitis and Hydrocephalus in Plasmacytoid Urothelial Carcinoma of the Urinary Bladder With Extremely Elevated CA19-9 Levels.

This case report describes a rare and aggressive presentation of plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma (PUC) with carcinomatous meningitis, hydrocephalus, extensive organ involvement, and extremely elevated serum CA19-9 levels. Autopsy findings revealed that PUC of the urinary bladder origin caused carcinomatous meningitis and hydrocephalus, with exacerbation of hydrocephalus as the direct cause of death. Immunohistochemical studies confirmed the bladder origin of PUC, and PUC cells were positive for CA19-9, a tumor marker commonly associated with gastrointestinal malignancies, suggesting that the markedly high serum CA19-9 level was related to the tumor-producing mechanism.