New Trauma Score versus Kampala Trauma Score II in predicting mortality following road traffic crash: a prospective multi-center cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Mortality due to injuries disproportionately impact low income countries. Knowledge of who is at risk of poor outcomes is critical to guide resource allocation and prioritization of severely injured. Kampala Trauma Score (KTS), developed in 1996 and last modified in 2002 as KTS II, is still widely being used to predict injury outcomes in resource-limited settings with no further revisions in the past two decades, despite ongoing criticism of some of its parameters. The New Trauma Score (NTS), a recent development in 2017, has shown potential in mortality prediction, but a dearth of evidence exist regarding its performance in the African population. OBJECTIVES: To compare NTS to the modified Kampala Trauma Score (KTS II) in the prediction of 30-day mortality, and injury severity amongst patients sustaining road traffic crashes in Ugandan low-resource settings. METHODS: Multi-center prospective cohort study of patients aged 15 years and above. Of the 194 participants, 85.1% were males with a mean age of 31.7 years. NTS and KTS II were determined for each participant within 30-minutes of admission and followed-up for 30 days to determine their injury outcomes. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) for predicting mortality were compared between the two trauma scores using SPSS version 22. Ethical clearance: Research and Ethics Committee of Kampala International University Western Campus (Ref No: KIU-2022-125). RESULTS: The injury severity classifications based on NTS vs. KTS II were mild (55.7% vs. 25.8%), moderate (29.9% vs. 30.4%), and severe (14.4% vs. 43.8%). The mortality rates for each injury severity category based on NTS vs. KTS II were mild (0.9% v 0%), moderate (20.7% vs. 5.1%), and severe (50% vs. 28.2%). The AUC was 0.87 for NTS (95% CI 0.808-0.931) vs. 0.86 (95% CI 0.794-0.919) for KTS II respectively. The sensitivity of NTS vs. KTS II in predicting mortality was 92.6% (95% CI: 88.9-96.3) vs. 70.4% (95% CI: 63.0-77.8) while the specificity was 70.7% (95% CI: 64.2-77.2) vs. 78.4% (95% CI: 72.1-84.7) at cut off points of 17 for NTS and 6 for KTS II respectively. CONCLUSIONS: NTS was more sensitive but its specificity for purposes of 30-day mortality prediction was lower compared to KTS II. Thus, in low-resourced trauma environment where time constraints and pulse oximeters are of concern, KTS II remains superior to NTS.

The predictive value of the Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) in the outcome of multi-traumatic patients compared to the estimated Injury Severity Score (eISS).

PURPOSE: The classification of trauma patients in emergency settings is a constant challenge for physicians. However, the Injury Severity Score (ISS) is widely used in developed countries, it may be difficult to perform it in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). As a result, the ISS was calculated using an estimated methodology that has been described and validated in a high-income country previously. In addition, a simple scoring tool called the Kampala Trauma Score (KTS) was developed recently. The aim of this study was to compare the diagnostic accuracy of KTS and estimated ISS (eISS) in order to achieve a valid and efficient scoring system in our resource-limited setting. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study between December 2020 and March 2021 among the multi-trauma patients who presented at the emergency department of Imam Reza hospital, Tabriz, Iran. After obtaining informed consent, all data including age, sex, mechanism of injury, GCS, KTS, eISS, final outcome (including death, morbidity, or discharge), and length of hospital stay were collected and entered into SPSS version 27.0 and analyzed. RESULTS: 381 multi-trauma patients participated in the study. The area under the curve for prediction of mortality (AUC) for KTS was 0.923 (95%CI: 0.888-0.958) and for eISS was 0.910 (95% CI: 0.877-0.944). For the mortality, comparing the AUCs by the Delong test, the difference between areas was not statistically significant (p value = 0.356). The diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for the prediction of mortality KTS and eISS were 28.27 and 32.00, respectively. CONCLUSION: In our study population, the KTS has similar accuracy in predicting the mortality of multi-trauma patients compared to the eISS.

The Bidirectionality of Global Surgical Research: The Utility of the Malawi Trauma Score in the United States Trauma Population.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma scoring systems provide valuable risk stratification of injured patients. Trauma scoring systems developed in resource-limited settings, such as the Malawi Trauma Score (MTS), are based on readily available clinical information. This study sought to test the performance of the MTS in a United States trauma population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the United States National Trauma Data Bank during 2017-2020. MTS uses alertness score: alert, responds to verbal or painful stimuli, or unresponsive (AVPU), age, sex, presence of a radial pulse, and primary anatomic injury location. MTS and an age-adjusted version reflective of the US age distribution, was evaluated for its performance in predicting crude mortality in the National Trauma Data Bank using receiver operating characteristic analysis. We utilized logistic regression to model the odds ratio of death at a particular MTS cutoff. RESULTS: A total of 3,833,929 patients were included. The mean age was 49.3 y (sandard deviation 24.4), with a male preponderance (61.1%). Crude mortality was 3.4% (n = 131,452/3,833,929). The area under the curve for the MTS in predicting mortality was 0.87 (95% CI 0.87, 0.88). The area under the curve for a cutoff of 15 was 0.83 (95% CI 0.83, 0.83). An MTS of 15 higher had an odds ratio of death of 46.5 (95% CI 45.9, 47.1), compared to those with a score of 14 or lower. CONCLUSIONS: MTS has excellent performance as a predictor of mortality in a US trauma population. MTS is simple to calculate and can be estimated in the prehospital setting or the emergency department. Consequently, it may have utility as a triage tool in both high-income trauma systems and resource-limited settings.

Clinical evaluation and management of badminton-related eye injuries: a retrospective case series.

BACKGROUND: To describe the clinical features, visual outcomes, management, and complications of ocular injury in badminton and investigate risk factors associated with visual impairment. METHODS: Data on patients injured while playing badminton admitted to Department of Ophthalmology, Eye, Ear, Nose, and Throat Hospital, Fudan University between January 2018 to December 2020.The relationship between visual acuity (VA) and demographic and clinical variables was also analyzed. Patients were managed medically or surgically as per their needs, followed up for at least 18 months. The visual outcomes were predicted using ocular trauma score (OTS), predicted outcomes were compared with actual outcomes using statistical tests. RESULTS: This study involved 102 patients (78 men, 24 women) with a mean age of 43.8 ± 16.1 years (7-71 years). Of these, 93 patients had closed-globe injuries and 9 had open-globe injuries. Vision-threatening findings included lens subluxation(31.4%),retinal detachment(13.7%),hyphema(12.7%). Open-globe injury had significantly lower presenting VA and final VA (P= 0.0164, 0.0053).Final VA was found to be correlated with presenting VA, maculopathy, retinal detachment, and OTS (P=0.0000, 0.0494, 0.0001, 0.0000 respectively), it was worse in patients who were under 20 years of age and were female. OTS prediction was not significantly different when compared with actual visual outcomes postoperatively in OTS3, OTS4, and OTS5 (P > 0.05),while the prognosis of patients with OTS1 and OTS2 was better than OTS study (P=0.001, 0.007, respectively). CONCLUSION: Badminton-related closed-globe injuries were more frequent; open-globe injuries were usually more serious. Younger and female patients have poorer visual recovery prognoses. OTS was found to be a reliable tool for predicting visual outcomes.

Clinical Presentations, Management, and Factors Affecting Outcomes in Posterior Segment Open Globe Injuries: An Analysis of 2,360 Eyes.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of the study was to report the clinical presentations, management, and factors affecting the outcomes of posterior segment open globe injuries in 2,360 consecutive eyes. METHODS: This was a retrospective, consecutive, non-comparative interventional case series. All cases with scleral and corneoscleral wounds presenting to these centers from January 2014 to January 2021 were included. The cases were defined according to the Birmingham Eye Traumatology Terminology system (BETTs) classification. The Ocular Trauma Score (OTS) was applied to the dataset. RESULTS: Mean age of presentation was 36.63 ± 19.92 years (median 35 years). Penetrating trauma accounted for 70.92%, rupture for 18.6%, perforation for 4.60%, and IOFB in 5.88% eyes. In 76.60%, the location of injury involved zone 1 extending till zone 2, while in 23.40% it involved zone 2 and/or zone 3. Vision at presentation was logMAR 3.03 ± 0.99 and at the last visit was logMAR 2.47 ± 1.42 (p < 0.0001). Time interval between presentation to the treatment center and globe repair was 13.93 ± 19.56 h (median 7.60 h). Favorable functional outcomes were seen in 29.20% eyes and favorable anatomic outcomes in 66.90%. Decreasing age at presentation, penetrating injury instead of rupture or perforating injury, a higher OTS, absence of corneal involvement, absence of retinal detachment at presentation, and absence of concurrent orbital fracture were associated with a favorable functional outcome (>20/200). Final visual acuity in logMAR correlated with the OTS value calculated at presentation. CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of retinal detachment and orbital fracture, posterior open globe injuries typically have a favorable functional outcome. OTS correlated with the final visual acuity.

A modified pediatric ocular trauma score for predicting visual outcome post open globe injury.

PURPOSE: To construct a new pediatric ocular trauma score for predicting visual outcome after open globe injuries (OGI) and to compare it to the ocular trauma score (OTS) and pediatric ocular trauma score (POTS). METHODS: This is a retrospective chart review study. For each case, the following data were collected: demographics, mechanism of the injury, initial ophthalmologic findings, presented and last follow-up visual acuity (VA), ocular treatments, and final ocular findings. We then analyzed the risk factors for the poor visual outcome (VA ≤ 20/200), and a modified pediatric ocular trauma score (MPOTS) was constructed accordingly and compared to the OTS and POTS for predicting poor outcome. Finally, a different cohort of pediatric OGIs was used for score validation. RESULTS: Forty-five cases were included, significant predicting factors for poor visual outcome were initial VA ≤ 20/200, zone 2-3 locations of injury, presence of retinal detachment, vitreous hemorrhage, hyphema, and iris prolapse at initial presentation. The calculated Spearman correlation coefficients between each system score and poor visual outcome were OTS 0.56, POTS 0.57, and MPOTS 0.64 (P < 0.001 for all). A total of 71 new cases were used as validation cohort, and calculated Spearman correlation coefficients between each system score and poor visual outcome were: OTS 0.50, POTS 0.51, and MPOTS 0.53 (P < 0.001 for all). CONCLUSIONS: We suggest a new scoring system for predicting poor final visual outcomes after OGI's in children, which is simpler and more clinically suitable for this study population. It was found to be a better predictor of visual outcome in this scenario compared with existing scoring systems.

Analysis of ocular injury 1-year outcome in survivors of Beirut Port ammonium nitrate blast.

PURPOSE: Ascertain the 1-year outcome of patients who sustained open eye injuries from the Beirut Port ammonium nitrate (AN) explosion, one of the most powerful non-nuclear explosions in history. METHODS: Retrospective chart review of the operated eyes in 2 major eye hospitals. RESULTS: Out of 42 patients with open globe injury that was originally sutured, 29 patients (34 eyes) were followed at the 1-year mark. The initial vision in logMAR (mean ± SD) was 2.93 ± 0.87 (hand motion equivalent) and the final vision was 1.80 ± 1.47 (counting finger 2 m equivalent). No light perception (NLP) vision was noted in 12 eyes on presentation and 10 eyes remained so, while 2 eyes reached light perception (LP) vision. Eight eyes had an intraoperative expulsive choroidal hemorrhage (7 NLP and 1 LP both pre- and postoperatively), and 6 of the 8 developed phthisis. All eyes that developed phthisis had NLP preoperatively and postoperatively. Ocular Trauma Score (OTS) correlated inversely with both initial and final vision (p < 0.001). Zone of injury inversely correlated with initial vision (p = 0.02) and positively with final vision (p < 0.001). Final vision was significantly worse in zone 3 vs. zones 1 and 2 (3.2 ± 0.5) vs. 0.9 ± 1.1) (p < 0.001) injuries, as was the initial vision (3.3 ± 0.5 vs. 2.7 ± 0.8; p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: The OTS, which provides prognostic information for serious ocular trauma, also yields valuable prognostic information for AN-associated ocular injuries. Expulsive choroidal hemorrhage and NLP vision at presentation remain very poor prognostic signs.

Globe Ruptures: Outcomes and Prognostic Analysis of Severe Ocular Trauma.

PURPOSE: Eye trauma is an important cause of monocular visual loss worldwide. This study aimed to describe the structural and functional characteristics and outcomes of 281 globe ruptures. METHODS: Medical records of all patients undergoing surgery for a ruptured globe at Centro Hospitalar Universitário do Porto in the last 17 years were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: 281 eyes of 277 patients were included. The majority of them were males (71%) with a mean age of 59.7 ± 20.5. In 38.8% of the cases, the cause was a fall. At the time of admission, 29.5% of the eyes had a visual acuity (VA) greater than 20/200 and 12.5% had no light perception. The median time between trauma and primary repair was less than 8 h (interquartile range 5-12 h). A primary reconstruction was always attempted. Primary evisceration was performed in 14 cases (5%). In multivariable analysis, independent predictors of vision survival were male gender, shorter wound size, and absence of vitreous hemorrhage. CONCLUSION: In this large, retrospective study on globe ruptures, we identified male gender, short wound length, and the absence of vitreous hemorrhage or retinal detachment as predictors of improved functional outcome. We found a correlation between the presenting and final VAs. The Ocular Trauma Score predicted the outcome well. Our determination to reconstruct the traumatized eyes as early and as completely as possible was justified by the functional results: despite the severity of the injuries, one out of four eyes reached a final VA greater than 20/200.

Prediction of Prognosis in Patients with Trauma by Using Machine Learning.

Background and Objectives: We developed a machine learning algorithm to analyze trauma-related data and predict the mortality and chronic care needs of patients with trauma. Materials and Methods: We recruited admitted patients with trauma during 2015 and 2016 and collected their clinical data. Then, we subjected this database to different machine learning techniques and chose the one with the highest accuracy by using cross-validation. The primary endpoint was mortality, and the secondary endpoint was requirement for chronic care. Results: Data of 5871 patients were collected. We then used the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (xGBT) machine learning model to create two algorithms: a complete model and a short-term model. The complete model exhibited an 86% recall for recovery, 30% for chronic care, 67% for mortality, and 80% for complications; the short-term model fitted for ED displayed an 89% recall for recovery, 25% for chronic care, and 41% for mortality. Conclusions: We developed a machine learning algorithm that displayed good recall for the healthy recovery group but unsatisfactory results for those requiring chronic care or having a risk of mortality. The prediction power of this algorithm may be improved by implementing features such as age group classification, severity selection, and score calibration of trauma-related variables.

Visual outcomes of open globe injury patients with traumatic cataracts.

PURPOSE: Open globe injury (OGI) is a serious form of ocular trauma that can significantly lower quality of life post-injury due to comorbidities. This study was designed to investigate how traumatic cataracts and other pre-operative variables affect visual outcomes of OGIs. METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted for OGI patient records with presence of traumatic cataracts, visual outcomes, comorbidity data and provider training. Multivariable logistic regression analysis determined if several pre-operative variables including traumatic cataracts, retinal detachment and hyphema were predictive of final visual acuity and need for retinal surgery. Ancillary multivariable analysis was conducted to evaluate if timing of traumatic cataract extraction predicted poor final visual acuity. RESULTS: Multivariable logistic regression analysis did not find traumatic cataract to be an independent predictor of final visual outcome in the open globe injury sample population (n = 102, p = 0.386), but did find retinal detachment (p = 0.008), hyphema (p = 0.035) and scleral laceration (p = 0.009) to be independent predictors of poor final visual acuity. In the subgroup of eyes with traumatic cataract (n = 64), delayed cataract extraction was not found to be an independent predictor of poor final visual acuity (p = 0.156). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that retinal detachment, hyphema, and scleral laceration influence final visual outcome while traumatic cataract does not. Within the subpopulation of patients that received lens extraction, timing of extraction was not found to independently influence final visual acuity.

The clinical features and the factors affecting visual prognosis in pediatric open-globe injuries.

PURPOSE: To investigate clinical features and factors affecting visual prognosis after pediatric open-globe injuries. METHODS: Retrospective study of 223 children with open-globe injury was conducted. Children with final logMAR visual acuity (LVA) > 0.70 were determined as poor-vision group (group 1, n = 108) and those with final LVA ≤ 0.70 as good-vision group (group 2, n = 115). Demographic characteristics (age, gender, and damaged eye), time between trauma and surgery, ocular trauma score (OTS), follow-up time, injury size, initial and final visual acuity levels, injury type (penetrating injury, globe rupture, perforating injury, and intraocular foreign body injury), injury localization (zone 1 = within the corneal and/or limbal area, zone 2 = within the scleral area extending 5 mm back from the limbus, and zone 3 = within the area posterior to zone 2), injury cause [metal objects (fork, knife, needle), broken glass, blunt objects (ball, punch), pen-pencil, and unidentified objects], and accompanying ocular findings of the groups were detected, and comparisons were done. Additionally, effects of age, time between trauma and surgery, OTS, injury size, follow-up time, initial LVA, injury type, and injury zone on final LVA were analyzed in both groups. RESULTS: Mean age was 9.1 ± 2.0 years. There were 151 males and 72 females. Compared to group 1, group 2 had better initial and final visions (1.21 ± 0.26 vs 0.60 ± 0.28, p < 0.001 for initial LVA; 1.00 ± 0.32 vs 0.30 ± 0.13, p < 0.001 for final LVA), greater OTS (1.72 ± 0.53 vs 3.73 ± 0.61, p = 0.025), and smaller injury size (10.4 ± 3.5 vs 5.8 ± 2.4 mm, p = 0.002). Globe rupture (p = 0.015) and relative afferent pupillary defect (RAPD) (p = 0.037) were higher in group 1, while penetrating injury (p = 0.044), zone 1 involvement (p = 0.038), and metal object injury (p = 0.041) were higher in group 2. Based on multivariate analysis, the presences of globe rupture (p = 0.024) and RAPD (p = 0.035), the involvement without zone 1 (p = 0.042), and the injury without metal object (fork, knife, needle) (p = 0.046) were associated with poor final vision. Final LVA (for group 1 and group 2) was negatively correlated with OTS (r = - 0.398, p = 0.037; r = - 0.369, p = 0.040), while positively correlated with injury size (r = 0.412, p = 0.031; r = 0.318, p = 0.046) and initial LVA (r = 0.335, p = 0.043; r = 0.402, p = 0.034). CONCLUSION: In our study, poor prognostic factors affecting final vision were low OTS, poor initial vision, the presences of globe rupture and RAPD, the large injury size, the involvement without zone 1, and the injury without metal object (fork, knife, needle).

Factors affecting final functional outcomes in open-globe injuries and use of ocular trauma score as a predictive tool in Nepalese population.

BACKGROUND: Open globe injury (OGI) is one of the most devastating form of ocular trauma. The aim of the study is to identify the epidemiology and predict visual outcomes in traumatic open globe injuries using ocular trauma score (OTS) and correlate with final visual acuity (VA) at 3 months. METHODS: Patients older than 5 years, presenting to B.P. Koirala Lions Centre for Ophthalmic Studies (BPKLCOS) from March 2016- March 2017 with OGI that met inclusion criteria were evaluated. Patient profile, nature and cause of injury, and time to presentation were recorded. Patients were managed accordingly and followed up to 3 months. An OTS score for each patient was calculated and raw scores were categorized accordingly. The VA after 3 months were compared to the predicted OTS values. RESULTS: Seventy-three eyes of 72 patients were examined. 76 % were male, and the mean age was 26.17 years (median, 23.5 years). The mean time from injury to presentation was < 6 hours (30 patients, 41 %). Thirty-seven eyes (51 %) had zone I trauma, followed by twenty eyes (27 %) with zone II, and sixteen eyes (22 %) with zone III trauma. Sixty-five patients (90 %) were managed surgically, and fifty (68 %) received intravitreal antibiotics with steroid. When compared, the projected VA as per OTS were able to predict actual final visual outcomes in 60 % of the eyes with OGI of various zones. CONCLUSIONS: OTS can be an accurate predictive tool for final visual acuity even with a short follow up period of 3 months; with poor presenting visual acuity, delayed presentation, posterior zones of injury, need for intravitreal injections, endophthalmitis, and globe rupture associated with poorer prognosis.

Epidemiology and Clinical Patterns of Ocular Trauma at a Level 1 Trauma Center in Korea.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the patterns of distribution and clinical manifestations of ocular injuries referred to the level 1 trauma center of Pusan National University Hospital (PNUH) in Korea. METHODS: We analyzed 254 of 4,287 patients who were referred to the Department of Ophthalmology at the level 1 trauma center of the PNUH, from January 2016 through December 2018. Data on the incidence of ocular injuries, sex, age, monthly and seasonal distribution, day and time of injury, side of injury, cause, residence of patients, referral time to an ophthalmologist and subsequent examination time, final visual acuity (VA), and complications were obtained from medical records and retrospectively reviewed. The patients were grouped according to their main diagnosis using the Birmingham Eye Trauma Terminology System (BETTS) and Ocular Trauma Score (OTS). RESULTS: The incidence of ocular injuries with major trauma was higher in men (n = 207, 81.5%), the median age at time of injury was 54 years, and Pusan recorded the most cases. The incidences of ocular injury were 1.47/100,000, 1.57/100,000, 1.48/100,000 in 2016, 2017 and 2018, respectively. The most common cause was by a motorbike accident, followed by a pedestrian traffic accident and falls. According to the BETTS classification, open-globe injuries represented 4% of cases, closed-globe injuries represented 12.6%, and other injuries represented 83.1%. Open-globe injuries were significantly associated with low final VA (P = 0.01). In the OTS, 79.4% of patients received 4 or 5 points and 13.7% of patients received 1 or 2 points. The patients who received 1 or 2 points in the OTS score showed final VA below hand movement (P < 0.001), except for two patients. Lid laceration and low initial VA were highly correlated with poor final VA (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This is the first study on the epidemiology and clinical manifestations in trauma patients with ocular injuries at a level 1 trauma center. The incidences of ocular injuries with major trauma were about 1.47-1.57/100,000. BETTS, OTS, lid laceration and initial VA were associated with final VA. We expect our study to provide a basis of data for the evaluation, prevention, and management of ocular injuries in patients with systemic trauma.

Association of trauma severity scores with limb amputation and death in acute leg compartment syndrome.

PURPOSE: Limb amputation and death are devastating sequelae of acute compartment syndrome (ACS), and have been posited to result either from the initial injury burden or from pathophysiologic sequelae, such as rhabdomyolysis leading to acute renal failure. We aimed to test the hypothesis that severity of trauma is associated with limb amputation and death in patients with traumatic leg ACS. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 302 patients with ACS of 302 legs treated with fasciotomies from 2000 to 2015 at two tertiary trauma centers. Our response variables were death and limb amputation during inpatient hospital admission. Three common trauma severity scores, injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), and Glasgow coma scale (GCS), were studied. Patient- and injury-related explanatory variables were studied. Bivariate analyses were used to identify factors associated with limb amputation and death. RESULTS: Of 302 patients, 13 (4%) underwent limb amputation and 10 (3%) died during the inpatient admission. Only one of 10 patients who expired died secondary to acute renal failure. ISS and GCS were significantly associated with limb amputation, and RTS was marginally associated. ISS, RTS, and GCS were significantly associated with death. Moreover, smoking and open fracture were significantly associated with limb amputation, and diabetes mellitus, presence of fracture, closed head injury, and chest or abdominal injury were associated with death. CONCLUSION: Trauma severity scores are associated with both limb amputation and death during inpatient admission for traumatic leg ACS. These adverse sequelae of leg ACS are likely driven by the initial injury burden.

Optimal Prospective Predictors of Mortality in Austere Environments.

BACKGROUND: Prospective predictors of trauma-related outcomes have been validated to guide management in low-resource settings. The primary objective of this study was to determine the optimal prospective prediction method for mortality within combat and humanitarian trauma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective review of the Department of Defense Trauma Registry from 2008 to 2016 was performed for adult patients. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were calculated to assess the predictability of shock index (SI), reverse SI × Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG), SI × Glasgow Coma Scale (SIG), Revised Trauma Score, and Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) on mortality at point of injury, arrival in emergency department (ED), and the difference in vital signs between those time points. RESULTS: A total of 22,218 patients were included. Overall, 97.1% were male, median age range 25-29 y, Injury Severity Score 9.4 ± 0.07, with predominantly penetrating injuries (58.1%), and mortality of 3.4%. ED vitals yielded higher predictability of mortality for all tests based on higher AUROCs. TRISS and rSIG demonstrated the highest AUROCs (0.955 and 0.923, respectively). The optimal cutoff value for rSIG was 14.1 (sensitivity 89% and specificity 87%). rSIG values <14.1 were significantly associated with mortality (P < 0.01; odds ratio = 5.901). CONCLUSIONS: Initial ED vital signs represented a better predictor of early mortality compared with point of injury vital signs for all predictive tools assessed. TRISS and rSIG proved to be most predictive of mortality. However, of the prospective tools assessed, rSIG may be optimal scoring tool because of its ease of calculation and its increased ability to predict mortality.

International globe and adnexal trauma epidemiology study (IGATES): a report from Central India on visual outcome in open globe injuries and correlation with ocular trauma score.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the factors influencing final visual outcome after surgical repair of open globe injuries (OGIs) and to correlate the Ocular Trauma Score (OTS) system. METHODS: Prospective cross-sectional study of patients with OGIs from International Globe and Adnexal Trauma Epidemiology Study (IGATES) database at a tertiary referral eye centre in Central India over 2 years. Pre-operative factors affecting final visual outcome and correlation with OTS were evaluated. RESULTS: 208 patients had ocular trauma, of which data from 42 eyes with OGIs were reviewed. The majority of the patients were men (32, 76.2%) below the age of 40 (31, 73.8%). Patients were followed up for at least 6 months. Initial visual acuity (VA) was ≥ 20/40; 2 (4.8%), 20/200 to 20/50; 2 (4.8%), 1/200 to 19/200; 7 (16.7%), LP to HM; 26 (61.9%) and NLP (5, 11.9%). Final VA was ≥ 20/40; 1 (2.4%), 20/50 to 20/200; 8 (19.1%), 1/200 to 19/200; 9 (21.4%), LP to HM; 17 (40.5%) and NLP; 7 (16.7%). Univariate analysis of pre-operative variables showed initial VA (p = 0.0004), presence of hyphaema (p = 0.0323), laceration involving cornea visual axis (p = 0.0192) and retinal detachment (p = 0.0299) were significant prognostic factors in final visual outcome. OTS in our study does not fully correlate with international OTS system. CONCLUSIONS: Initial VA, hyphaema, visual-axis involving cornea laceration and retinal detachment are significant prognostic factors in OGIs. OTS remains a largely effective tool in counselling trauma patients.

Derivation and validation of an easy-to-compute trauma score that improves prognostication of mortality or the Trauma Rating Index in Age, Glasgow Coma Scale, Respiratory rate and Systolic blood pressure (TRIAGES) score.

BACKGROUND: Multiple trauma scores have been developed and validated, including the Revised Trauma Score (RTS) and the Mechanism, Glasgow Coma Scale, Age, and Arterial Pressure (MGAP) score. However, these scores are complex to calculate or have low prognostic abilities for trauma mortality. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a trauma score that is easier to calculate and more accurate than the RTS and the MGAP score. METHODS: The study was a retrospective prognostic study. Data from patients registered in the Japan Trauma Databank (JTDB) were dichotomized into derivation and validation cohorts. Patients' data from the Clinical Randomisation of an Antifibrinolytic in Significant Haemorrhage-2 (CRASH-2) trial were assigned to another validation cohort. We obtained age and physiological variables at baseline, created ordinal variables from continuous variables, and defined integer weighting coefficients. Score performance to predict all-cause in-hospital death was assessed using the area under the curve in receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) analyses. RESULTS: Based on the JTDB derivation cohort (n = 99,867 with 12.5% mortality), the novel score ranged from 0 to 14 points, including 0-2 points for age, 0-6 points for the Glasgow Coma Scale, 0-4 points for systolic blood pressure, and 0-2 points for respiratory rate. The AUROC of the novel score was 0.932 for the JTDB validation cohort (n = 76,762 with 10.1% mortality) and 0.814 for the CRASH-2 cohort (n = 19,740 with 14.6% mortality), which was superior to RTS (0.907 and 0.808, respectively) and MGAP score (0.918 and 0.774, respectively) results. CONCLUSIONS: We report an easy-to-use trauma score with better prognostication ability for in-hospital mortality compared to the RTS and MGAP score. Further studies to test clinical applicability of the novel score are warranted.

Open globe trauma in a military hospital: a review of the Ocular Trauma Score to help predict enucleation or evisceration.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to use the Ocular Trauma Score (OTS) to review and analyze all the open globe injuries (OGIs) that presented to Brooke Army Medical Center (BAMC) from July 2011 to March 2017, and whether or not the OTS can be used to predict enucleation or evisceration. METHODS: Retrospective chart review was performed through the medical record systems at BAMC for all OGIs from July 2011 to March 2017. This study was not performed on wartime patients. The primary outcome measures were the variables in the OTS and need for enucleation or evisceration. RESULTS: A total of 126 OGIs in 125 patients were identified from July 2011 to March of 2017. A lower calculated OTS was negatively associated with the outcome variables. A total of 25 cases resulted in enucleation or evisceration (19.8%). Of these, 17 underwent enucleation and 8 underwent evisceration. The average OTS for all eyes was 37.15, and the average OTS for eyes resulting in enucleation or evisceration was 22. Retinal detachment (RD), afferent pupillary defect (APD), globe rupture, globe perforation, and presenting visual acuity (VA) were all found to be statistically significant risk factors in patients who underwent enucleation or evisceration. CONCLUSIONS: The present study shows that the OTS and the OTS pre-operative variables can help predict the likelihood that an OGI will ultimately result in enucleation or evisceration. Our study shows that the OTS is a valuable tool to use when evaluating OGI and can help in evidence-based counseling.

Correlation Between the Revised Trauma Score and Injury Severity Score: Implications for Prehospital Trauma Triage.

OBJECTIVE: Prehospital triage of the seriously injured patient is fraught with challenges, and trauma scoring systems in current triage guidelines warrant further investigation. The primary objective of this study was to assess the correlation of the physiologically based Revised Trauma Score (RTS) and MGAP score (mechanism of injury, Glasgow Coma Scale, age, blood pressure) with the anatomically based Injury Severity Score (ISS). The secondary objectives for this study were to compare the accuracy of the MGAP score and the RTS for the prediction of in-hospital mortality for trauma patients. METHODS: This study was a retrospective cohort including 10 years of patient data in a large single-center trauma registry at a primary adult resource center (Level I) for trauma patients. Participants included adults (age ≥18 years). The primary outcome measure was injury severity (measured by ISS) and a secondary analysis compared the RTS and MGAP for the prediction of patient mortality. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the cohort and correlation methods were employed. Each score's accuracy for the prediction of mortality was calculated using the area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. RESULTS: In total, 43,082 trauma patient records were reviewed; 32,798 patients had complete RTS data available and 32,371 patients had complete data available for MGAP analyses. The correlation between scene RTS and ISS was poor (-.29), as was the correlation between MGAP and ISS (-.28). For the prediction of mortality, admission MGAP demonstrated the highest sensitivity and specificity for mortality (AUROC 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: While elements of the RTS remain the first criterion recommended to quantify the totality of physiological injury severity, the composite RTS score derived from this system correlates poorly with actual anatomical injury severity. The MGAP scoring system demonstrated higher sensitivity and specificity for mortality but was not superior to the RTS for predicting anatomical injury severity. In the future development of national and international field triage guidelines for trauma patients, the findings from this study may be considered in order to improve the accuracy of prehospital triage. The findings in this analysis complement a growing body of evidence that suggests that MGAP may be a superior and more easily calculable prehospital scoring system for the prediction of mortality in trauma patients.

The Effects of Medicaid Expansion on Triage and Regional Transfer After Upper-Extremity Trauma.

PURPOSE: Underinsured hand trauma patients are more likely to be transferred to quaternary care centers, which burdens these patients and centers. By increasing insurance coverage, care for less severe upper-extremity injuries may be available closer to patients' homes. We evaluated whether the 2014 expansion of Medicaid in Maryland under the Affordable Care Act decreased the number of uninsured upper-extremity trauma patients and the volume of unnecessary emergency trauma visits at our hand center. METHODS: We identified all upper-extremity trauma patients between 2010 and 2017 at our hand trauma referral center. Injury severity was classified based on the need for subspecialty care. Bivariate relations between insurance status and demographic covariates, including injury type and distance, both before and after Medicaid expansion were evaluated. We used patient-level and multinomial logistic regression models to evaluate changes in payer and transfer appropriateness. RESULTS: We studied 12,009 acute upper-extremity trauma patients. With Medicaid expansion, the percentage of trauma patients with Medicaid coverage increased from 15% to 24%, with a decrease in uninsured from 31% to 24%. After Medicaid expansion, non-transfer patient appropriateness decreased and appropriateness of transfers remained consistent across all payers. The average distance patients traveled for care remained similar before and after expansion. CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid expansion significantly decreased the proportion of uninsured upper-extremity trauma patients. We identified no significant changes in the distances these patients traveled for specialized care. In addition, the appropriateness of transferred patients did not change significantly after expansion, whereas appropriateness of nontransferred patients actually declined after Medicaid expansion. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: This study indicates no notable change in adherence to transfer guidelines after expansion, and a possible increase in use of emergency services by newly insured patients.