Combination of dasatinib and venetoclax in newly diagnosed chronic phase chronic myeloid leukemia.

BACKGROUND: The dual inhibition of the BCR::ABL1 tyrosine kinase and BCL-2 could potentially deepen the response rates of chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase (CML-CP). This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of the combination of dasatinib and venetoclax. METHODS: In this phase 2 trial, patients with CML-CP or accelerated phase (clonal evolution) received dasatinib 50 mg/day for three courses; venetoclax was added in course 4 for 3 years. The initial venetoclax dose was 200 mg/day continuously but reduced later to 200 mg/day for 14 days, and to 100 mg/day for 7 days per course once a molecular response (MR)4.5 was achieved. After 3 years of combination, patients were maintained on single-agent dasatinib. The primary end point was the rate of major molecular response (MMR) by 12 months of combination. RESULTS: Sixty-five patients were treated. Their median age was 46 years (range, 23-73). By 12 months of combination, the MMR, MR4, and MR4.5 rates were 86%, 53%, and 45%, respectively. After a median follow-up of 42 months, the 4-year event-free and overall survival rates were 96% and 100%, respectively. Outcomes with the combination were comparable to historical outcomes with single-agent dasatinib (cumulative 12-months MMR rate of 79% with both strategies). The incidence of grade 3-4 neutropenia was 22% with the combination and 11% with single-agent dasatinib (p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with dasatinib and venetoclax was safe and effective in CML-CP. The cumulative response rates with the combination were similar to those with single-agent dasatinib. Further follow-up is needed to evaluate the rates of durable deep molecular response and treatment-free remission.

Incidence and reasons for discontinuation of first-line therapy in patients with multiple myeloma: results from a historical cohort, Brazil 2009-2020.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is an incurable hematological cancer requiring multiple lines of anti-myeloma regimens to promote disease remission and increase patient survival. The study assessed the incidence and reasons for discontinuation of first-line therapy in outpatients who started MM therapy in Belo Horizonte, Brazil from 2009 to 2020. A historical cohort study in which patients were followed from treatment initiation until discontinuation of first-line therapy. Discontinuation of first-line therapy was characterized as (i) discontinuation followed by a second-line therapy, and (ii) discontinuation that prevented patients from receiving a subsequent line of treatment. Non-parametric competing risk analysis with a 95% confidence interval estimated the cumulative incidences of discontinuation followed by a second-line therapy. The probability of discontinuation was compared according to selected variables using the Gray's test at a significance level of 5%. Approximately half of the participants (n = 260) were female and younger than 65 years. Discontinuation of first-line therapy followed by a second-line therapy accounted for 50.4% of the patients and occurred up to 30th month. The main reason for discontinuation not qualifying patients for receiving second-line therapy was to achieve a response to treatment. The maximum times for discontinuation not followed by a second-line therapy ranged from 12 to 20 months due to deaths or response to treatment. The probability of receiving second-line therapy was higher among patients initiating therapy in 2009-2014 and those not undergoing transplantation. In conclusion, discontinuation of first-line therapy followed by second-line treatment occurred as likely as the discontinuation not followed by a subsequent line.

Treatment patterns and clinical outcomes in metastatic urothelial carcinoma: a German retrospective real-world analysis.

Aim: This study assessed real-world treatment in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) in Germany. Materials & methods: Patients diagnosed with mUC from 2015 to 2019 were identified in two claims databases: AOK PLUS and GWQ. Results: 3226 patients with mUC were analyzed; 1286 (39.9%) received systemic treatment within 12 months of diagnosis (platinum-based chemotherapy: 64.2%). Factors associated with receiving treatment were: younger age, male sex, less comorbidity and recent diagnosis. In AOK PLUS and GWQ populations, unadjusted median overall survival (interquartile range) from diagnosis in treated patients was 13.7 (6.8-32.9) and 13.8 (7.1-41.7) months, and in untreated patients was 3.0 (1.2-10.8) and 3.6 (1.2-18.8) months, respectively. Conclusion: A significant proportion of patients with mUC in Germany receive no systemic treatment.

What is this article about? This article reports the results from a study in Germany between 2015 and 2019 that investigated how advanced bladder cancer that has spread to other organs was treated and how long people lived after diagnosis. The study looked at systemic therapies, which means treatments that affect the entire body.What were the results? Only 40% of people diagnosed with advanced bladder cancer received systemic treatment within the first 12 months. Of those who did receive systemic treatment, the majority received combination therapy that included a chemotherapy drug containing platinum (64%). Systemic treatment was more likely to be given to people who were younger, less sick, male, or more recently diagnosed. After 12 months, 56% of treated people were still alive, compared with 26% of people without treatment. On average, people who received systemic treatment lived for about 14 months, while people without systemic treatment lived for only 3 to 4 months.What do the results of the study mean? Many people with advanced bladder cancer in Germany do not receive systemic treatment. People who receive treatment are likely to live longer than those who do not receive treatment.

A real-world multicentre evaluation of atezolizumab plus platinum-etoposide chemotherapy as first-line treatment in patients with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer in Italy.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to analyze real-life data from a cohort of adult patients receiving atezolizumab in combination with carboplatin and etoposide for first-line treatment of ES-SCLC, in order to assess relative dose intensity (RDI), time-to-treatment discontinuation (TTD), time-to-treatment failure (TTF), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) of treatments as well as the correlation between these outcomes. METHODS: An observational retrospective study was conducted. All patients treated with atezolizumab combined with carboplatin and etoposide for first-line treatment of ES-SCLC were included. Median TTD, TTF, PFS and OS were calculated in our cohort of patient by the Kaplan Meier method. RESULTS: The curves obtained with the Kaplan Meier method of TTF and TTD are substantially similar, indicating a good concordance of the information extracted by the two different data sources. This tendency was confirmed also when the TTD versus PFS curves were compared. The median OS registered was 11.8 months. Patients with no liver metastases showed a longer median time of OS than patients with liver metastases. The mean value of RDI for the entire cohort was 87.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that TTD, calculated from the administration data is a useful proxy of TTF as registered in the clinical chart. TTD is a real-world outcome that can be used to demonstrate the efficacy of drugs used for administered therapies. It can be used as an end point for RWE studies, where the evaluation is less structured and standardized.

The Positive Approach to the Psychiatric Assessment: A Randomized Trial of a Novel Interviewing Technique.

OBJECTIVE: This pilot study compared a novel communication strategy, the positive approach to the psychiatric interview, with the traditional approach to see if the positive approach can be taught to psychiatric residents; reproduced with standardized patients; measured with a structured scale, the "Positive Approach Outcome Measure," by blinded raters; and used to improve rapport (assessed with the Bond score), a key driver of engagement. METHODS: Thirty psychiatric residents were randomly assigned to conduct two psychiatric interviews with standardized patients. The standardized patients completed the Working Alliance Inventory-Short Revised, an assessment of the therapeutic alliance. T tests and linear regression examined the effect of the training on the outcome of interest, the Bond score. RESULTS: The Bond scores for the positive approach group (M = 19.27, SD = 2.87) and the traditional approach group (M = 16.90, SD = 3.44) were statistically significantly different (p = 0.05). All residents trained in the positive approach received a positive score on the Positive Approach Outcome Measure while none of the traditional approach-trained residents attained the threshold. The inter-rater reliability for the blinded raters was high (0.857), as was the intra-rater reliability (1.0). CONCLUSIONS: The positive approach can be taught to residents and reproduced consistently and was associated with improvement in a key driver of treatment engagement: rapport. The positive approach may be an important, inexpensive intervention to improve treatment engagement and ultimately treatment outcomes.

[Concept of remission in severe asthma]. / Concept de rémission dans l'asthme sévère.

The use of biotherapies has revolutionized the management of severe asthma. Following a review of asthma pathophysiology, which underpins the development of these new molecules, this article discusses the different types of remission in childhood and adult asthma. The possibilities of achieving remission with each biotherapy and the factors that predict remission will then be developed. Finally, we'll discuss the chances of maintaining good control of the disease after discontinuation of biotherapies, as well as their contribution in terms of systemic and local cortisone sparing.

L'utilisation des biothérapies a révolutionné la prise en charge de l'asthme sévère. Après un rappel de la physiopathologie de l'asthme qui sous-tend le développement de ces nouvelles molécules, cet article aborde les différents types de rémission de l'asthme de l'enfant et de l'adulte. Seront ensuite développés les possibilités avec chaque biothérapie d'obtenir une rémission ainsi que les facteurs prédictifs de cette rémission. Finalement, la discussion portera sur les chances de maintenir un bon contrôle de la maladie après arrêt des biothérapies ainsi que sur leur apport en termes d'épargne cortisonique par voie générale et locale.

Documented Adverse Drug Reactions and Discontinuation of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Angiotensin Receptor Blockers in Chronic Kidney Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) are frequently discontinued in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Documented adverse drug reactions (ADRs) in medical records may provide insight into the reasons for treatment discontinuation. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort of US veterans from 2005 to 2019, we identified individuals with CKD and a current prescription for an ACEi or ARB (current user group) or a discontinued prescription within the preceding 5 years (discontinued group). Documented ADRs in structured datasets associated with an ACEi or ARB were categorized into 17 pre-specified groups. Logistic regression assessed associations of documented ADRs with treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: There were 882,441 (73.0%) individuals in the current user group and 326,794 (27.0%) in the discontinued group. There were 26,434 documented ADRs, with at least one documented ADR in 7,520 (0.9%) current users and 9,569 (2.9%) of the discontinued group. ADR presence was associated with treatment discontinuation, aOR 4.16 (95% CI: 4.03, 4.29). The most common documented ADRs were cough (37.3%), angioedema (14.2%), and allergic reaction (10.4%). ADRs related to angioedema (aOR 3.81, 95% CI: 3.47, 4.17), hyperkalemia (aOR 2.03, 95% CI: 1.84, 2.24), peripheral edema (aOR 1.53, 95% CI: 1.33, 1.77), or acute kidney injury (aOR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.15, 1.51) were associated with treatment discontinuation. CONCLUSION: ADRs leading to drug discontinuation were infrequently documented. ADR types were differentially associated with treatment discontinuation. An understanding of which ADRs lead to treatment discontinuation provides an opportunity to address them at a healthcare system level.

Treatment persistence of bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide and efavirenz + lamivudine + tenofovir disoproxil among HIV-1 patients newly starting treatment in Hunan Province in China.

BACKGROUND: Though bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir (BIC/FTC/TAF) have been regulatory approved and included in the National Reimbursement Drug List in China, due to the affordability concern, generic version of efavirenz + lamivudine + tenofovir (EFV + 3TC + TDF) is still recommended as the first-line therapy in the clinical guideline and widely used in clinical practice. The aim of the study is to assess the persistence with first-line BIC/TAF/TAF and EFV + 3TC + TDF in newly treated HIV-1 patients in the real-world setting in Hunan Province in China. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the medical records of HIV patients initiating first-line antiretroviral therapy in the First Hospital of Changsha in January 1st, 2021-July 31st, 2022 was conducted. Persistence was assessed as the number of days on the therapy from the index until treatment discontinuation or end of data availability. Kaplan-Meier Curves and Cox Proportional Hazard models were used to evaluate the discontinuation rates. Subgroup analysis was performed excluding BIC/FTC/TAF patients with treatment discontinuation due to economic reason, and EFV + 3TC + TDF patients with a viral load > 500,000 copies/mL. RESULTS: A total of 310 eligible patients were included in the study, with 244 and 66 patients in the BIC/FTC/TAF group and EFV + 3TC + TDF group, respectively. Compared with EFV + 3TC + TDF patients, BIC/FTC/TAF patients were older, more living in the capital city currently, and had significantly higher total cholesterol and low-density level (all p < 0.05). No significant difference was shown in the time to discontinuation between BIC/FTC/TAF patients and EFV + 3TC + TDF patients. After excluding BIC/FTC/TAF patients with treatment discontinuation due to economic reason, EFV + 3TC + TDF group were shown to have a significantly higher risk of discontinuation than BIC/FTC/TAF group (hazard ratio [HR] = 11.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.3-93.2). After further removing the EFV + 3TC + TDF patients with a viral load > 500,000 copies/mL, the analysis showed similar results (HR = 10.1, 95% CI = 1.2-84.1). 79.4% of the EFV + 3TC + TDF patients discontinued treatment due to clinical reasons, while 83.3% of the BIC/FTC/TAF patients discontinued treatment due to economic reasons. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with BIC/FTC/TAF, EFV + TDF + 3TC patients were significantly more likely to discontinue the first-line treatment in Hunan Province in China.

A multicentre study with real-world data of the use of palbociclib in the treatment of breast cancer: Treatment duration correlates with dose reductions.

OBJECTIVE: Palbociclib, a highly selective reversible CDK4-6 kinase inhibitor, is indicated in combination with an aromatase inhibitor or in combination with fulvestrant in women who had received prior endocrine treatment. Studies have demonstrated the efficacy of palbociclib in combination with fulvestrant in increasing progression-free survival in patients who relapsed or progressed on previous endocrine therapy, or in combination with aromatase inhibitor in patients who had not received previous treatments. We analysed the prescribing patterns of palbociclib in real practice correlating it with the evidence of treatment-related toxicity management and to time-to-treatment discontinuation and treatment adherence. METHODS: For the observational, retrospective study, data were collected from five Italian hospital centres that prescribed palbociclib between April 2017 and April 2020. Each centre provided data derived from an administrative database of adult patients treated with palbociclib for the two therapeutic indications.Treatment adherence was calculated using the proportion of days covered method while time-to-treatment discontinuation was defined as the difference between the first and last date treatment was administered plus the days ideally covered by the last date treatment was given. RESULTS: There were 375 patients enrolled during the study period, of whom 159 were treated with palbociclib and aromatase inhibitor and 216 were treated with palbociclib and fulvestrant. The time-to-treatment discontinuation was 8.9 months in the case of P + f (95% CI: 7.1-12.7) and 13.7 months in the case of P + ia (95% CI: 8.9-17.5). In both cohorts, treatments that received at least one dose reduction had a statistically higher time-to-treatment discontinuation than those without dose reduction (17.7 months vs. 9.2 and 16.6 vs. 7.4).The mean adherence in our study was 0.9 and remained high in treatments with one dose reduction (0.83) and this with two dose reductions (0.87). CONCLUSION: Based on these findings, it appears that the management of toxicities through reducing doses, as required by the Summary of Product Characteristics, results in a better outcome in terms of therapy duration, and therefore time to failure due to progression or toxicity.

A comprehensive evaluation of the safety of ipilimumab, nivolumab and their combination therapy: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have changed the landscape of management of advanced cancers. It is imperative to evaluate the safety of nivolumab and ipilimumab based therapies. This study was aimed to assess the comparative safety profiles of ipilimumab, nivolumab and their combinations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, and the CENTRAL for randomised controlled trials of ipilimumab and nivolumab. The outcome measures were treatment-related adverse events [TRAEs], TRAEs of grade 3-5, treatment discontinuation due to TRAEs [TDTRAEs], TDTRAEs of grade 3-5, serious adverse events [SAEs] and SAEs of grades 3-5. We performed a network meta-analysis using the Bayesian approach in R version 4.0.3. RESULTS: We identified 42 RCTs for final analysis. The treatment ranking for TRAEs revealed that nivolumab 240 mg/week and nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week were safer (0.84 and 0.81 in SUCRA); for TRAEs of grade 3-5, nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week and nivolumab 240 mg/week were safer (0.83 and 0.75 in SUCRA); for TDTRAEs nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week and ipilimumab in combination with other drugs were safer (0.87 and 0.64 in SUCRA) and for TDTRAEs of grade 3-5, nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week was safer (0.85 in SUCRA). Nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week and nivolumab 240 mg/week were safer (0.79 and 0.76 in SUCRA) for SAEs and nivolumab 3 mg/kg/week was safer for SAEs of grade 3-5 (0.78 in SUCRA). CONCLUSION: Nivolumab 3 mg/kg biweekly, nivolumab 240 mg weekly and nivolumab 3 mg/kg plus ipilimumab 1 mg/kg triweekly could be preferred due to the relatively low risk of TRAEs, TDAEs and SAEs.

Treatment Experiences for Patients Receiving Buprenorphine/Naloxone for Opioid Use Disorder: A Qualitative Study of Patients' Perceptions and Attitudes.

Background: Although buprenorphine/naloxone has been demonstrated to be an effective treatment for patients with opioid use disorder (OUD), treatment retention has been a challenge. This study extends what is presently a limited literature regarding patients' experiences with this medication and the implications for treatment retention. Methods: The study was conducted as a qualitative investigation of patients in treatment for OUD at the time of the study. Forty-three patients (27 men, 15 women, mean age 34.7) were recruited from three clinical settings, a community health center, an academically-based treatment site, and an independent substance abuse treatment facility. Most patients had returned to use in the past after attempts to become abstinent. Results: Patients generally reported positive experiences with this medication noting it helped to reduce opioid cravings quickly. As important considerations for treatment retention, patients emphasized a firm commitment to achieving abstinence when beginning treatment and a prescriber who is informed about and attentive to their emotional state. Diverging attitudes did exist regarding treatment duration as some patients were accepting of long-term treatment while others desired a relatively brief option. Among patients who had returned to use, potentially important issues emerged pertaining to the absence of patient outreach for missed medication appointments and inadequate discharge planning following stays at rehabilitation facilities. Conclusions: While results regarding the importance of patient motivation and strong patient-prescriber relationships have been noted in previous studies, other findings regarding opportunities to improve patient outreach and coordination of care have received relatively less attention and warrant further consideration.

Clozapine use at a specialised psychiatric hospital in Johannesburg.

Background: Clozapine is the gold standard medication for treatment-resistant psychosis, with robust evidence supporting its efficacy in multiple symptom domains. However, clozapine's side effect profile contributes to its underutilisation and discontinuation. Aim: This study aimed to explore the magnitude of clozapine use and describe factors that impact on its effective use among in-patients. Setting: Tara Hospital, a specialised psychiatric hospital in Johannesburg. Methods: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional file review of clozapine-treated patients admitted over the 2-year study period. Data variables included: demographics, clinical information, discharge prescription, clozapine-related side effects and details of clozapine discontinuation, where applicable. Results: A cohort of 33.2% of patients from Tara's biological wards received a trial of clozapine. Participants experienced anti-cholinergic clozapine-related side effects that included weight gain (79.5%), tachycardia (35.2%) and constipation (35.2%). Clozapine was discontinued in 13.7% of participants, and no life-threatening side effects or deaths occurred. Significantly more use of flupenthixol decanoate (64.3% vs. 30.7%; p = 0.0322) and anticholinergics (35.7% vs. 11.4%; p = 0.0474) occurred in the clozapine-discontinued group. Polypharmacy rates were high for psychiatric and non-psychiatric medications. Conclusion: One-third of patients received clozapine trials, most of whom continued at discharge. Although side effects occurred frequently, life-threatening side effects did not. Clozapine monitoring protocols, side effect rating scales, pre-emptive management of side effects, lifestyle interventions and clinician education may improve outcomes of clozapine use. The use of plasma clozapine levels may be beneficial. Contribution: This study expands our limited knowledge regarding current clozapine prescribing trends in South Africa.

Clinical value of routine [18F]2-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron emission tomography scans as a decision tool for early immunotherapy discontinuation in advanced melanoma.

Routine [18F]2-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) may help predict clinical outcomes after response to immunotherapy. With a European Medicines Agency-recommended treatment length until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity, the optimal duration of immunotherapy remains to be defined. In a retrospective study, we retrieved from the Danish Metastatic Melanoma Database (DAMMED), all patients that were annotated as a partial or complete response based on the computed tomography (CT) of serial FDG-PET-CT scans. Patients treated with an anti-Programmed Death (PD)-1-containing regimen for <18 months, and ≥4 months without disease progression after halting anti-PD-1 were included. Cases were divided into an "elective" and a "toxicity" group based on the reason for treatment discontinuation. A total of 140 patients were included. At 29.3 months of median follow-up, a higher proportion of patients remained alive in the "elective" group (93% vs 75%, P = .0031) with an improved melanoma-specific (HR 0.07, 95% CI 0.02-0.32, P = .0041) survival (MSS). Patients without FDG-avid lesions at the time of treatment discontinuation had an improved MSS (HR 0.03, 95% CI 0.01-0.17, P = .0002), and the absence of FDG-avid lesions was the only independent predictive feature of improved MSS in multivariate analysis. In conclusion, patients with metastatic melanoma who obtain an early response and early discontinue immunotherapy have an excellent prognosis, especially in the absence of FDG-PET avid lesions when discontinuing treatment. These data support the option of early discontinuation, limiting possible overtreatment and thereby toxicity, health and economic expenses and improving logistics.

Real-World Efficacy and Tolerability of Brigatinib in Patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer with Prior ALK-TKIs in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Real-world evidence for brigatinib, a next-generation anaplastic lymphoma kinase-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (ALK-TKI) used in ALK-rearranged non-small cell lung cancer, is scarce. This retrospective study evaluated real-world brigatinib utilization in the US post other ALK-TKIs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adults with ≥1 brigatinib claim (index date) between 1 April 2017 and 30 September 2020 in the IQVIA longitudinal pharmacy claims database were followed until dose reduction, discontinuation, or end of follow-up. Patients had ≥12 months pre- and ≥1-month post-index observations. RESULTS: A total of 413 patients treated with brigatinib were analyzed. Over 80% received ≥1 prior ALK-TKI; alectinib and crizotinib were the most common (58.8% and 51.3% patients, respectively). The median follow-up was 8.4 months. The median time to treatment discontinuation (TTD) for brigatinib was 10.3 months (95% CI, 8.2-15.0), with 45% remaining on therapy at 12 months. The TTD was shortest (~8 months) in patients receiving both crizotinib and alectinib and longest in patients who received alectinib only prior to brigatinib (11.8 months). Adherence was high, with 92.7% of patients having a medication possession ratio of >80%. The mean dose compliance score was 1.0. Most patients reached the brigatinib dose of 180 mg/day (77%); 13.2% of patients had a dose reduction, with 89.3% and 84.6% continuing 180 mg/day therapy at 3 and 6 months, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Brigatinib appears to be effective and well-tolerated in the real-world ALK+ NSCLC population in the US, showing benefit in patients after a next-generation ALK-TKI. Notably, dose reduction rates appeared markedly less than those seen in trials when most trial-related dose reductions were for asymptomatic laboratory abnormalities.

Predicting cumulative live birth for couples beginning their second complete cycle of in vitro fertilization treatment.

STUDY QUESTION: Can we develop an IVF prediction model to estimate individualized chances of a live birth over multiple complete cycles of IVF in couples embarking on their second complete cycle of treatment? SUMMARY ANSWER: Yes, our prediction model can estimate individualized chances of cumulative live birth over three additional complete cycles of IVF. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: After the completion of a first complete cycle of IVF, couples who are unsuccessful may choose to undergo further treatment to have their first child, while those who have had a live birth may decide to have more children. Existing prediction models can estimate the overall chances of success in couples before commencing IVF but are unable to revise these chances on the basis of the couple's response to a first treatment cycle in terms of the number of eggs retrieved and pregnancy outcome. This makes it difficult for couples to plan and prepare emotionally and financially for the next step in their treatment. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: For model development, a population-based cohort was used of 49 314 women who started their second cycle of IVF including ICSI in the UK from 1999 to 2008 using their own oocytes and their partners' sperm. External validation was performed on data from 39 442 women who underwent their second cycle from 2010 to 2016. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Data about all UK IVF treatments were obtained from the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA) database. Using a discrete time logistic regression model, we predicted the cumulative probability of live birth from the second up to and including the fourth complete cycles of IVF. Inverse probability weighting was used to account for treatment discontinuation. Discrimination was assessed using c-statistic and calibration was assessed using calibration-in-the-large and calibration slope. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Following exclusions, 49 314 women with 73 053 complete cycles were included. 12 408 (25.2%) had a live birth resulting from their second complete cycle. Cumulatively, 17 394 (35.3%) had a live birth over complete cycles two to four. The model showed moderate discriminative ability (c-statistic: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.64 to 0.65) and evidence of overprediction (calibration-in-the-large = -0.08) and overfitting (calibration slope 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.88) in the validation cohort. However, after recalibration the fit was much improved. The recalibrated model identified the following key predictors of live birth: female age (38 versus 32 years-adjusted odds ratio: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.57 to 0.62), number of eggs retrieved in the first complete cycle (12 versus 4 eggs; 1.34, 1.30 to 1.37) and outcome of the first complete cycle (live birth versus no pregnancy; 1.78, 1.66 to 1.91; live birth versus pregnancy loss; 1.29, 1.23 to 1.36). As an example, a 32-year-old with 2 years of non-tubal infertility who had 12 eggs retrieved from her first stimulation and had a live birth during her first complete cycle has a 46% chance of having a further live birth from the second complete cycle of IVF and an 81% chance over a further three cycles. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The developed model was updated using validation data that was 6 to 12 years old. IVF practice continues to evolve over time, which may affect the accuracy of predictions from the model. We were unable to adjust for some potentially important predictors, e.g. BMI, smoking and alcohol intake in women, as well as measures of ovarian reserve such as antral follicle count. These were not available in the linked HFEA dataset. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: By appropriately adjusting for couples who discontinue treatment, our novel prediction model will provide more realistic chances of live birth in couples starting a second complete cycle of IVF. Clinicians can use these predictions to inform discussion with couples who wish to plan ahead. This prediction tool will enable couples to prepare emotionally, financially and logistically for IVF treatment. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by an Elphinstone scholarship scheme at the University of Aberdeen and Aberdeen Fertility Centre, University of Aberdeen. The authors have no conflict of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Serum hepatitis B virus RNA detectability, composition and clinical significance in patients with ab initio hepatitis B e antigen negative chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA is a surrogate biomarker for intrahepatic covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) transcriptional activity and persistence. In this retrospective study, we investigated its presence, levels and composition in ab initio Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) negative chronically infected patients and examined possible associations with disease activity and the outcome of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) discontinuation. METHODS: We developed a sensitive real time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for the specific detection of HBV pregenomic RNA (pgRNA) and precore (preC) mRNA and analyzed 220 serum specimens, 160 under NA treatment, from 116 Greek patients initially negative for HBeAg. RESULTS: HBV pgRNA was detected in 31% and preC mRNA in 15% of samples, at lower levels representing a small fraction (3.4%) of total core promoter produced transcripts. In the absence of NAs, pgRNA was detected in 57% of samples with median value of 5.19 (2.61-8.35) log10 cp/mL, at lower levels than HBV DNA and correlated significantly with ALT (r = 0.764) and serum HBV DNA (r = 0.906). A wide range of HBV DNA/pgRNA ratio was observed with significant inter- and intra-patient variation. During NA treatment, pgRNA displayed low detectability (22%) and variable levels, median 3.97 (2.30- 8.13) log10 cp/mL, as well as, a significant inverse correlation with the duration of treatment (r = - 0.346, p < 0.01). In 74 events of NA discontinuation, end-of-treatment pgRNA-positive compared to pgRNA-negative cases, experienced more frequently virological (p = 0.016) and clinical (p = 0.011) relapse. CONCLUSIONS: In genotype D ab initio HBeAg negative patients, serum HBV RNA is primarily composed of pgRNA plus a minor fraction of preC mRNA transcripts. Serum pgRNA is associated with disease activity, suggesting lysis of infected hepatocytes as a possible source of serum HBV RNA in untreated patients and in the early phase of NA treatment. During long term NA treatment, detectable serum pgRNA predicts viral rebound and clinical relapse following treatment discontinuation and may thus serve as a marker for the decision of cessation of therapy.

Estimating mean potential outcome under adaptive treatment length strategies in continuous time.

An adaptive treatment length strategy is a sequential stage-wise treatment strategy where a subject's treatment begins at baseline and one chooses to stop or continue treatment at each stage provided the subject has been continuously treated. The effects of treatment are assumed to be cumulative and, therefore, the effect of treatment length on clinical endpoint, measured at the end of the study, is of primary scientific interest. At the same time, adverse treatment-terminating events may occur during the course of treatment that require treatment be stopped immediately. Because the presence of a treatment-terminating event may be strongly associated with the study outcome, the treatment-terminating event is informative. In observational studies, decisions to stop or continue treatment depend on covariate history that confounds the relationship between treatment length on outcome. We propose a new risk-set weighted estimator of the mean potential outcome under the condition that time-dependent covariates update at a set of common landmarks. We show that our proposed estimator is asymptotically linear given mild assumptions and correctly specified working models. Specifically, we study the theoretical properties of our estimator when the nuisance parameters are modeled using either parametric or semiparametric methods. The finite sample performance and theoretical results of the proposed estimator are evaluated through simulation studies and demonstrated by application to the Enhanced Suppression of the Platelet Receptor IIb/IIIa with Integrilin Therapy (ESPRIT) infusion trial data.

Geriatric assessment and treatment outcomes in a Dutch cohort of older patients with potentially curable esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Patients with potentially curable esophageal cancer can be treated with neo-adjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery or definitive chemoradiotherapy with curative intent. For frail older patients choosing the appropriate oncological treatment can be difficult, and data on geriatric deficits as determinants of treatment outcomes are not yet available. OBJECTIVES: To describe the prevalence of geriatric deficits and to study their association with treatment discontinuation and mortality in older patients with potentially curable esophageal cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cohort study was conducted in a Dutch tertiary care hospital including patients aged ≥70 years with primary stage I-IVA esophageal cancer. Geriatric screening and assessment data were collected. Outcomes were treatment discontinuation and one year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In total, 138 patients with curable esophageal cancer were included. Mean age was 76.1 years (standard deviation 4.7), 54% had clinical stage III and 24% stage IVA disease. Most patients received neo-adjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery (41%), 32% definitive chemoradiotherapy and 22% palliative radiotherapy. Overall, one year all-cause mortality was 36%. Geriatric screening and assessment was performed in 94 out of 138 patients, of which 60% was malnourished, 20% dependent in Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) and 52% was frail. Malnutrition was associated with higher mortality risk (Hazard Ratio, 3.2; 95% Confidence Interval, 1.3-7.7)) independent of age, sex and tumor stage. Seventy-six out of 94 patients were treated with chemoradiotherapy, of which 23% discontinued treatment. Patients with IADL dependency and Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥1 discontinued treatment more often. CONCLUSION: All-cause mortality within one year was high, irrespective of treatment modality. Treatment discontinuation rate was high, especially in patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. Geriatric assessment associates with outcomes in older patients with esophageal cancer and may inform treatment decisions and optimization in future patients, but more research is needed to establish its predictive value. Trial registration: The study is retrospectively registered at the Netherlands Trial Register (NTR), trial number NL8107. Date of registration: 22-10-2019.

Comparison of two-year treatment adherence, persistence, discontinuation, reinitiation, and switching between psoriasis patients treated with ixekizumab or secukinumab in real-world settings.

BACKGROUND: Real-world data on long-term treatment patterns associated with interleukin-17A inhibitors in plaque psoriasis are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To compare ixekizumab or secukinumab treatment patterns over a 24-month period among plaque psoriasis patients. METHODS: Adult patients with psoriasis who had 1 or more claims for ixekizumab or secukinumab between March 1, 2016, and October 31, 2019, and with 24 months of follow-up after starting treatment were identified from IBM MarketScan claims databases. Inverse probability of treatment weighting and multivariable models were employed to balance cohorts and estimate the risks of nonpersistence, discontinuation, and switching and odds of highly adherent treatment (proportion of days covered ≥ 80%). RESULTS: A total of 471 ixekizumab and 990 secukinumab users were included. Compared to secukinumab, ixekizumab use was associated with a 20% lower risk of nonpersistence (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.70-0.92), a 17% lower risk of discontinuation (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.72-0.96), and a 42% higher odds of being highly adherent to treatment (odds ratio, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.12-1.80). No difference in risk of switching was observed (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.68-1.01). LIMITATIONS: Disease severity and clinical outcomes were unavailable. CONCLUSION: Over 24 months, ixekizumab users exhibited better persistence and adherence, and a lower risk of discontinuation than secukinumab users in real-world settings.

Treatment-emergent adverse events and antiseizure medication actual drug load.

OBJECTIVE: The correlation between treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAE) and antiseizure medication (ASM) drug load is a controversial topic. Previous studies used daily defined dosage (DDD) to measure drug load. We aim to assess if ASM adjusted to body weight and plasma levels were associated with TEAE. METHODS: We analyzed clinical visits of a trial on therapeutic drug monitoring in outpatients with epilepsy. TEAE, treatment, and its changes, as well as ASM plasma levels, were recorded at each visit. Each medication level was stratified according to its position in relation to its proposed reference range (below, in the lower half, upper half, or above). RESULTS: We analyzed 424 visits (151 participants). Treatment-emergent adverse events were reported in 84 (20%) visits. There was no significant difference when comparing visits with TEAE with those without TEAE in terms of ASM drug load (calculated with DDD), corrected for body weight, their changes since the last visit, as well as summed plasma levels compared to reference ranges. SIGNIFICANCE: Actual drug load seems not to represent a major determinant of TEAE recorded during routine visits, even when accounting thoroughly for the patient's exposure to the treatment. The use of structured questionnaires and neuropsychometric tests may assess more accurately the potential consequences of drug loads.