Essential ocean variables for global sustained observations of biodiversity and ecosystem changes.

Sustained observations of marine biodiversity and ecosystems focused on specific conservation and management problems are needed around the world to effectively mitigate or manage changes resulting from anthropogenic pressures. These observations, while complex and expensive, are required by the international scientific, governance and policy communities to provide baselines against which the effects of human pressures and climate change may be measured and reported, and resources allocated to implement solutions. To identify biological and ecological essential ocean variables (EOVs) for implementation within a global ocean observing system that is relevant for science, informs society, and technologically feasible, we used a driver-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) model. We (1) examined relevant international agreements to identify societal drivers and pressures on marine resources and ecosystems, (2) evaluated the temporal and spatial scales of variables measured by 100+ observing programs, and (3) analysed the impact and scalability of these variables and how they contribute to address societal and scientific issues. EOVs were related to the status of ecosystem components (phytoplankton and zooplankton biomass and diversity, and abundance and distribution of fish, marine turtles, birds and mammals), and to the extent and health of ecosystems (cover and composition of hard coral, seagrass, mangrove and macroalgal canopy). Benthic invertebrate abundance and distribution and microbe diversity and biomass were identified as emerging EOVs to be developed based on emerging requirements and new technologies. The temporal scale at which any shifts in biological systems will be detected will vary across the EOVs, the properties being monitored and the length of the existing time-series. Global implementation to deliver useful products will require collaboration of the scientific and policy sectors and a significant commitment to improve human and infrastructure capacity across the globe, including the development of new, more automated observing technologies, and encouraging the application of international standards and best practices.

Revisiting the origin and diversification of vascular plants through a comprehensive Bayesian analysis of the fossil record.

Plants have a long evolutionary history, during which mass extinction events dramatically affected Earth's ecosystems and its biodiversity. The fossil record can shed light on the diversification dynamics of plant life and reveal how changes in the origination-extinction balance have contributed to shaping the current flora. We use a novel Bayesian approach to estimate origination and extinction rates in plants throughout their history. We focus on the effect of the 'Big Five' mass extinctions and on estimating the timing of origin of vascular plants, seed plants and angiosperms. Our analyses show that plant diversification is characterized by several shifts in origination and extinction rates, often matching the most important geological boundaries. The estimated origin of major plant clades predates the oldest macrofossils when considering the uncertainties associated with the fossil record and the preservation process. Our findings show that the commonly recognized mass extinctions have affected each plant group differently and that phases of high extinction often coincided with major floral turnovers. For instance, after the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary we infer negligible shifts in diversification of nonflowering seed plants, but find significantly decreased extinction in spore-bearing plants and increased origination rates in angiosperms, contributing to their current ecological and evolutionary dominance.

Effects of long-term floodplain disconnection on multiple facets of lake fish biodiversity: Decline of alpha diversity leads to a regional differentiation through time.

Hydrological disconnection is increasingly threatening biodiversity in river floodplain ecosystems worldwide, but studies reporting long-term change of aquatic biodiversity in relation to floodplain disconnection are seldom, especially from multifaceted biodiversity perspectives. Here, we examined how loss of river-lake connectivity affected multifaceted (taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic) alpha and beta diversity of fish assemblages in 11 Yangtze River floodplain lakes over the past 70 years. We found that all three facets of alpha diversity significantly decreased through time, but the decrease rate was highest (31.4%) in taxonomic richness, second in functional (26.4%) and lowest in phylogenetic facet (4.7%). Nevertheless, taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic structures of fish fauna all exhibited differentiation. The taxonomic and phylogenetic differentiations were due to the joint increases in their turnover and nestedness-resultant component, whereas the functional differentiation was mainly driven by the increase in its turnover component. Such distinct results were because of the imbalanced extirpations of fish species (especially from species-poor orders and families) in disconnected lakes and connected lakes. With few exceptions of strong correlations between changes in taxonomic dissimilarities and phylogenetic dissimilarities, we generally found weak correlations between changes in different facets of both alpha and beta diversity. This discrepancy highlights that measuring different biodiversity facets offer distinct information about biodiversity dynamics and can enhance our ability to detect and evaluate the impacts of floodplain disconnection on biodiversity. We therefore recommend an integrative approach embracing taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity is essential to effective biodiversity assessment and conservation in large river floodplains.