Comparisons of HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for all-cause mortality prediction in atrial fibrillation: a real-world evidence study.

OBJECTIVE: This study focused on the predictive ability of the 3 scores for all-cause mortality in 6444 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: To assess the predictive accuracy of risk of death modelled by HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) was applied. RESULTS: Over follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of death was clearly associated with the three scores (log-rank test, p<0.001). The AUROC for the HATCH (0.6618) was significantly higher than HAVOC Score (0.5733) and CHA2DS2-VAScs Score (0.6423). CONCLUSIONS: HATCH score has better ability in predicting mortality in comparison to other two scores in patients with AF.

Epidemiological study of calcified aortic valve stenosis in a Chinese community population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Due to the ageing global population, calcified aortic valve disease is currently the most common cardiac valve disorder. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and the risk factors for calcified aortic valve stenosis (CAVS), and develop a prediction model for predicting CAVS risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study was derived from the cross-sectional baseline survey of the PRECISE study (NCT03178448). The demographic, clinical and laboratory information of each participant was obtained. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine CAVS risk factors. A prediction model for predicting CAVS risk based on risk factors was developed and the result was performed by nomogram. The discrimination of the prediction model was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The degree of fitting for the prediction model was assessed by calibration curve analysis. A total of 3067 participants (1427 men and 1640 women) were included. The prevalence of CAVS among those aged below 60 years old, 60-70 years old and over 70 years old was 4.1%, 10.3% and 21.9%, respectively. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that age (OR: 1.099; 95% CI: 1.076 to 1.123, p<0.001), pulse pressure (OR: 1.020; 95% CI: 1.009 to 1.031, p<0.001), uric acid (OR: 1.003; 95% CI: 1.001 to 1.004, p<0.001), glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (OR: 1.152; 95% CI: 1.028 to 1.292, p=0.015) and lipoprotein(a) (OR: 1.002; 95% CI: 1.001 to 1.002, p<0.001) were independent risk factors for CAVS. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was a protective factor for CAVS (OR: 0.539; 95% CI: 0.349 to 0.831, p=0.005). The prediction model including the above risk factors showed a risk prediction of CAVS with good discrimination. The area under the curve value was found to be 0.743 (95% CI: 0.711 to 0.775). CONCLUSION: CAVS is currently prevalent in the elderly Chinese population. Age, pulse pressure, HbA1c, lower-level HDL-C, lipoprotein(a) and uric acid are the independent risk factors for CAVS.

Comparisons of HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for all-cause mortality prediction in atrial fibrillation: a real-world evidence study.

OBJECTIVE: This study focused on the predictive ability of the 3 scores for all-cause mortality in 6444 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: To assess the predictive accuracy of risk of death modelled by HATCH, HAVOC and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) was applied. RESULTS: Over follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of death was clearly associated with the three scores (log-rank test, p<0.001). The AUROC for the HATCH (0.6618) was significantly higher than HAVOC Score (0.5733) and CHA2DS2-VAScs Score (0.6423). CONCLUSIONS: HATCH score has better ability in predicting mortality in comparison to other two scores in patients with AF.

Association between anxiety symptoms and atrial fibrillation in a community cohort of Chinese older adults: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The association between anxiety and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. Moreover, this association has rarely been studied in Chinese individuals aged 60 years or older. This study investigated the association between anxiety and AF in a community-based case-control study of older adult residents in urban China. METHODS: The cases and controls were from a community-based study conducted in the Jingansi community in Shanghai, China, between January 2010 and December 2012. A total of 3622 residents aged 60 years or older without severe vision, hearing, or speaking impairments were eligible to participate in the physical examinations and questionnaire survey. AF was assessed based on a previous physician's diagnosis, electrocardiogram, ambulatory electrocardiogram, or echocardiogram. Anxiety was evaluated using the Zung Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (ZSAS). Using the AF group as a reference, the control group consisted of randomly selected age- and sex-matched individuals in a 1:5 ratio (case:control = 1:5). The association between anxiety and AF in the AF group and the multifactor-matched control group was explored using logistic regression. RESULTS: In the AF and control groups, after adjusting for a history of coronary heart disease, valvular heart disease, hypertension, stroke, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes, as well as depression score, ZSAS scores (odds ratio 1.07; 95% confidence interval 1.02-1.12; p = 0.003), and anxiety symptoms (odds ratio 3.94; 95% confidence interval 1.06-14.70; p = 0.041) were associated with AF. CONCLUSIONS: Anxiety symptoms were associated with AF in a Chinese older population. This suggests that older adults who have anxiety symptoms may need psychological intervention or treatment in daily life and care.

Trend in survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and its relationship with bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation: a six-year prospective observational study in Beijing.

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), a global health problem with a survival rate ranging from 2 to 22% across different countries, has been a leading cause of premature death for decades. The aim of this study was to evaluate the trends of survival after OHCA over time and its relationship with bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), initial shockable rhythm, return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), and survived event. METHODS: In this prospective observational study, data of OHCA patients were collected following the "Utstein style" by the Beijing, China, Emergency Medical Service (EMS) from January 2011 (data from February to June in 2011 was not collected) to October 2016. Patients who had a cardiac arrest and for whom an ambulance was dispatched were included in this study. All cases were followed up to determine hospital discharge or death. The trend of OHCA survival was analyzed using the Chi-square test. The relationship among bystander CPR, initial shockable rhythm, ROSC, survived event, and OHCA survival rate was analyzed using multivariate path analyses with maximum standard likelihood estimation. RESULTS: A total of 25,421 cases were transferred by the Beijing EMS; among them, 5042 (19.8%) were OHCA (median age: 78 years, interquartile range: 63-85, 60.1% male), and 484 (9.6%) received bystander CPR. The survival rate was 0.6%, which did not improve from 2012 to 2015 (P = 0.569). Overall, bystander CPR was indirectly associated with an 8.0% (ß = 0.080, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.064-0.095, P = 0.002) increase in survival rate. The indirect effect of bystander CPR on survival rate through survived event was 6.6% (ß = 0.066, 95% CI = 0.051-0.081, P = 0.002), which accounted for 82.5% (0.066 of 0.080) of the total indirect effect. With every 1 increase in survived event, the possibility of survival rate will directly increase by 53.5% (ß = 0.535, 95% CI = 0.512-0.554, P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The survival rate after OHCA was low in Beijing which has not improved between 2012 and 2015. The effect of bystander CPR on survival rate was mainly mediated by survived event. Trial registration Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR-TRC-12002149 (2 May, 2012, retrospectively registered). http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=7400.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests in the young population; a 6-year review of the Irish out-of-hospital cardiac arrest register.

STUDY PURPOSE: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) in the young population have only been examined in a limited number of regional studies. Hence, we sought to describe OHCA characteristics and predictors of survival to hospital discharge for the young Irish population. STUDY DESIGN: An observational analysis of the national Irish OHCA register for all OHCAs aged ≤35 years between January 2012 and December 2017 was performed. The young population was categorised into three age groups: ≤1 year, 1-15 years and 16-35 years. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of survival to hospital discharge. RESULTS: A total of 1295 OHCAs aged ≤35 years (26.9% female, median age 25 (IQR 17-31)) had resuscitation attempted. OHCAs in those aged ≥16 years (n=1005) were more likely to happen outside the home (38.5% vs 22.8%, p<0.001) and be of non-medical aetiology (59% vs 27.6%, p<0.001) compared with those aged <16 years (n=290). Asphyxiation, trauma and drug overdoses accounted for over 90% of the non-medical OHCAs for those 16-35 years. Overall survival to hospital discharge for the cohort was 5.1%; survival was non-significantly higher for those aged 16-35 years compared with those aged 1-15 years (6.0%, vs 2.8% p=0.93). Independent predictors of survival to hospital discharge included bystander witnessed OHCA, a shockable initial rhythm and a bystander defibrillation attempt. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of non-medical OHCAs and the OHCA location need to be considered when developing OHCA care pathways and preventative strategies to reduce the burden of OHCAs in the young population.

DARE-ISC model for prediction of 1-year ischaemic stroke risk in the general population and atrial fibrillation patients: a Danish nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a risk assessment model (DAnish REgister Ischaemic Stroke Classifier, DARE-ISC) for predicting 1-year primary ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) in the general population. Secondly, to validate the accuracy DARE-ISC in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients where well-established models and risk scores exist. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. DARE-ISC was developed using gradient boosting decision trees with information from 375 covariates including baseline information on relevant diagnoses, demographic characteristics, registered health-services, lifestyle-related covariates, hereditary stroke components, drug prescriptions and stress proxies. SETTING: Danish nationwide registries. PARTICIPANTS: All Danish individuals aged ≥18 from 2010 to 2017 (n=35 519 348 person-years). The model was trained on the 2010-2016 cohorts with validation in the 2017 cohort. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Model optimisation and validation were performed through comparison of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and average precision scores. Additionally, the relative importance of the model covariates was derived using SHAP values. RESULTS: DARE-ISC had an AUC (95% CI) of 0.874 (0.871 to 0.876) in the general population. In AF patients, DARE-ISC was superior to the GARFIELD-AF risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc score with AUC of 0.779 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.806), 0.704 (95% CI 0.674 to 0.732) and 0.681 (95% CI 0.652 to 0.709), respectively. Furthermore, in AF patients, DARE-ISC had an average threefold and fourfold higher ratio of correctly identified strokes compared with the GARFIELD-AF risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc score, as indicated by average precision scores of 0.119, 0.041 and 0.034, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: DARE-ISC had a very high stroke prediction accuracy in the general population and was superior to the GARFIELD-AF risk model and CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting ischaemic stroke/SE in AF patients.

Outcomes of single-procedure radiofrequency catheter ablation for idiopathic ventricular arrhythmias: a single-centre retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Radiofrequency catheter ablation is the first-line treatment for idiopathic premature ventricular complexes (PVCs) and ventricular tachycardias (VTs). However, the outcomes were less compared among the categories. The study aims to assess the effectiveness and safety of catheter ablation for idiopathic PVC/VTs in a single high-volume centre, using the right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) as a reference. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Patient data were collected from a tertiary hospital in Guizhou, China. PARTICIPANTS: Between September 2013 and September 2022, 1028 patients (male: 41.3%; age: 46.5±15.6 years) who underwent the first catheter ablation for idiopathic monomorphic PVC/VTs were enrolled. OUTCOME MEASURES: Acute success, procedure-related complications, and long-term recurrence were assessed. Antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) were not administrated after procedures unless recurrence was identified. RESULTS: The overall acute success rate was 90.3%, with 368 patients (35.8%) experiencing left ventricular PVC/VTs. No cases of third-degree atrioventricular block or death were reported. Complications were more common in patients with left ventricular PVC/VTs than those with right-sided ones (4.6% vs 0.1%, p<0.001). A total of 926 patients (90.1%) were followed up for an average of 9.7±3.7 months, and only the PVC/VTs category was found to be associated with long-term success rates. The RVOT, endocardial left ventricular outflow tract (endoLVOT), tricuspid annulus (TA) free wall, posterior septum and fascicular VT had long-term success rates exceeding 85%. Other types of PVC/VTs showed significantly higher risks of recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Besides RVOT and fascicular VT, single-procedure catheter ablation without AADs is highly effective for endoLVOT, TA-free wall and posterior septum. Patients with left ventricular PVC/VTs have higher complication risks compared with right ones.

Cohort profile for the Tongji Cardiovascular Health Study: a prospective multiomics cohort study.

PURPOSE: The Tongji Cardiovascular Health Study aimed to further explore the onset and progression mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) through a combination of traditional cohort studies and multiomics analysis, including genomics, metabolomics and metagenomics. STUDY DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: This study included participants aged 20-70 years old from the Geriatric Health Management Centre of Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology. After enrollment, each participant underwent a comprehensive series of traditional and novel cardiovascular risk factor assessments at baseline, including questionnaires, physical examinations, laboratory tests, cardiovascular health assessments and biological sample collection for subsequent multiomics analysis (whole genome sequencing, metabolomics study from blood samples and metagenomics study from stool samples). A biennial follow-up will be performed for 10 years to collect the information above and the outcome data. FINDINGS TO DATE: A total of 2601 participants were recruited in this study (73.4% men), with a mean age of 51.5±11.5 years. The most common risk factor is overweight or obesity (54.8%), followed by hypertension (39.7%), hyperlipidaemia (32.4%), current smoking (23.9%) and diabetes (12.3%). Overall, 13.1% and 48.7% of men and women, respectively, did not have any of the CVD risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes, cigarette smoking and overweight or obesity). Additionally, multiomics analyses of a subsample of the participants (n=938) are currently ongoing. FUTURE PLANS: With the progress of the cohort follow-up work, it is expected to provide unique multidimensional and longitudinal data on cardiovascular health in China.

Observational study protocol for an arrhythmia notification feature.

INTRODUCTION: Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population may help identify individuals at risk, enabling further assessment of risk factors and institution of appropriate treatment. Algorithms deployed on wearable technologies such as smartwatches and fitness bands may be trained to screen for such arrhythmias. However, their performance needs to be assessed for safety and accuracy prior to wide-scale implementation. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study will assess the ability of the WHOOP strap to detect AF using its WHOOP Arrhythmia Notification Feature (WARN) algorithm in an enriched cohort with a 2:1 distribution of previously diagnosed AF (persistent and paroxysmal) and healthy controls. Recruited participants will collect data for 7 days with the WHOOP wrist-strap and BioTel ePatch (electrocardiography gold-standard). Primary outcome will be participant level sensitivity and specificity of the WARN algorithm in detecting AF in analysable windows compared with the ECG gold-standard. Similar analyses will be performed on an available epoch-level basis as well as comparison of these findings in important subgroups. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the ethics board at the study site. Participants will be enrolled after signing an online informed consent document. Updates will be shared via clinicaltrials.gov. The data obtained from the conclusion of this study will be presented in national and international conferences with publication in clinical research journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05809362.

Disparities in the real-world prescription pattern of oral anticoagulants for US Medicare beneficiaries: a geospatial analysis.

OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to examine urban-rural differences in the real-world prescribing pattern of oral anticoagulants and geographic variations in the prescribing pattern among clinicians serving Medicare beneficiaries in the USA. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. SETTING: A real-world setting. PARTICIPANTS: 232 665 clinicians who prescribed oral anticoagulants for Medicare beneficiaries from the 2020 Medicare Provider Utilisation and Payment Data were classified as warfarin only, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) only or warfarin+DOAC prescribers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Urban-rural differences in the prescribing patterns were examined using multivariate multinominal logistic regression analysis. A geospatial analysis was conducted to estimate standardised prescriber ratios (SPR) for DOAC only or warfarin only prescribers versus warfarin+DOAC prescribers to illustrate hot and cold spots for DOAC adoption in the USA. RESULTS: 92% of clinicians who prescribed oral anticoagulants prescribed DOAC in 2020. Clinicians from rural regions were more likely to prescribe warfarin only (adjusted OR=1.335, 95% CI=(1.281 to 1.391)) and DOAC only (adjusted OR=2.052, 95% CI=(1.999 to 2.106)), compared with clinicians from urban regions. Hot spots for SPR of DOAC only versus warfarin+DOAC prescribers were mostly found in California, southern and southeastern states; cold spots were mostly found in Minnesota and Iowa. Hot spots for SPR of warfarin only versus warfarin+DOAC prescribers were mostly found in several metropolitan areas on the west coast and in Midwest; cold spots were mostly found on the east coast. CONCLUSIONS: Urban-rural status of clinicians was associated with their prescribing patterns of oral anticoagulants. The study identifies geographical heterogeneity in DOAC adoption and highlights gaps that may need to be addressed for increased accessibility of DOAC for patients in need.

Early ICD implantation following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a retrospective cohort study from the Swedish Registry for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is generally beneficial in survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). OBJECTIVE: We studied the association between ICD implantation prior to discharge and survival in patients with cardiac aetiology or initial shockable rhythm in OHCA. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in the Swedish Registry for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Treatment associations were estimated using propensity scores. We used gradient boosting, Bayesian additive regression trees, neural networks, extreme gradient boosting and logistic regression to generate multiple propensity scores. We selected the model yielding maximum covariate balance to obtain weights, which were used in a Cox regression to calculate HRs for death or recurrent cardiac arrest. PARTICIPANTS: All cases discharged alive during 2010 to 2020 with a cardiac aetiology or initial shockable rhythm were included. A total of 959 individuals were discharged with an ICD, and 2046 were discharged without one. RESULTS: Among those experiencing events, 25% did so within 90 days in the ICD group, compared with 52% in the other group. All HRs favoured ICD implantation. The overall HR (95% CI) for ICD versus no ICD was 0.38 (0.26 to 0.56). The HR was 0.42 (0.28 to 0.63) in cases with initial shockable rhythm; 0.18 (0.06 to 0.58) in non-shockable rhythm; 0.32 (0.20 to 0.53) in cases with a history of coronary artery disease; 0.36 (0.22 to 0.61) in heart failure and 0.30 (0.13 to 0.69) in those with diabetes. Similar associations were noted in all subgroups. CONCLUSION: Among survivors of OHCA, those discharged with an ICD had approximately 60% lower risk of death or recurrent cardiac arrest. A randomised trial is warranted to study this further.

Healthcare and economic cost burden of emergency medical services treated non-traumatic shock using a population-based cohort in Victoria, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the healthcare costs and impact on the economy at large arising from emergency medical services (EMS) treated non-traumatic shock. DESIGN: We conducted a population-based cohort study, where EMS-treated patients were individually linked to hospital-wide and state-wide administrative datasets. Direct healthcare costs (Australian dollars, AUD) were estimated for each element of care using a casemix funding method. The impact on productivity was assessed using a Markov state-transition model with a 3-year horizon. SETTING: Patients older than 18 years of age with shock not related to trauma who received care by EMS (1 January 2015-30 June 2019) in Victoria, Australia were included in the analysis. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome assessed was the total healthcare expenditure. Secondary outcomes included healthcare expenditure stratified by shock aetiology, years of life lived (YLL), productivity-adjusted life-years (PALYs) and productivity losses. RESULTS: A total of 21 334 patients (mean age 65.9 (±19.1) years, and 9641 (45.2%) females were treated by EMS with non-traumatic shock with an average healthcare-related cost of $A11 031 per episode of care and total cost of $A280 million. Annual costs remained stable throughout the study period, but average costs per episode of care increased (Ptrend=0.05). Among patients who survived to hospital, the average cost per episode of care was stratified by aetiology with cardiogenic shock costing $A24 382, $A21 254 for septic shock, $A19 915 for hypovolaemic shock and $A28 057 for obstructive shock. Modelling demonstrated that over a 3-year horizon the cohort lost 24 355 YLLs and 5059 PALYs. Lost human capital due to premature mortality led to productivity-related losses of $A374 million. When extrapolated to the entire Australian population, productivity losses approached $A1.5 billion ($A326 million annually). CONCLUSION: The direct healthcare costs and indirect loss of productivity among patients with non-traumatic shock are high. Targeted public health measures that seek to reduce the incidence of shock and improve systems of care are needed to reduce the financial burden of this syndrome.

Associations between dimensions of the social environment and cardiometabolic health outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The social environment (SE), that is, the social relationships and social context in which groups of people live and interact, is an understudied element of the broader living environment which impacts health. We aim to summarise the available evidence on the associations between SE and cardiometabolic disease (CMD) outcomes. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception to 28 February 2024. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included studies for which determinants were SE factors such as area-level deprivation and social network characteristics and outcomes were type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases incidence and prevalence. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Titles and abstracts and full text were screened in duplicate. Data appraisal and extraction were based on the study protocol published in PROSPERO. Methodological quality was assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We synthesised the data through vote counting and meta-analyses. RESULTS: From 10 143 records screened, 281 studies reporting 1108 relevant associations are included in this review. Of the 384 associations included in vote counting, 271 (71%) suggested that a worse SE is associated with a higher risk of CMD. 14 meta-analyses based on 180 associations indicated that worse SE was associated with increased odds of CMD outcomes, with 4 of them being statistically significant. For example, more economic and social disadvantage was associated with higher heart failure risk (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.61; n=18; I2=95%). With the exception of two meta-analyses for men, meta-analysed sex-specific associations consistently showed results in the same direction as the overall meta-analyses. CONCLUSION: Worse SE seems to be associated with increased odds of CMD outcomes, although certain SE dimensions are underexplored in relation to CMD. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021223035.

Cohort profile: the Environmental Reproductive and Glucose Outcomes (ERGO) Study (Boston, Massachusetts, USA) - a prospective pregnancy cohort study of the impacts of environmental exposures on parental cardiometabolic health.

PURPOSE: Pregnancy and the postpartum period are increasingly recognised as sensitive windows for cardiometabolic disease risk. Growing evidence suggests environmental exposures, including endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs), are associated with an increased risk of pregnancy complications that are associated with long-term cardiometabolic risk. However, the impact of perinatal EDC exposure on subsequent cardiometabolic risk post-pregnancy is less understood. The Environmental Reproductive and Glucose Outcomes (ERGO) Study was established to investigate the associations of environmental exposures during the perinatal period with post-pregnancy parental cardiometabolic health. PARTICIPANTS: Pregnant individuals aged ≥18 years without pre-existing diabetes were recruited at <15 weeks of gestation from Boston, Massachusetts area hospitals. Participants completed ≤4 prenatal study visits (median: 12, 19, 26, 36 weeks of gestation) and 1 postpartum visit (median: 9 weeks), during which we collected biospecimens, health histories, demographic and behavioural data, and vitals and anthropometric measurements. Participants completed a postpartum fasting 2-hour 75 g oral glucose tolerance test. Clinical data were abstracted from electronic medical records. Ongoing (as of 2024) extended post-pregnancy follow-up visits occur annually following similar data collection protocols. FINDINGS TO DATE: We enrolled 653 unique pregnancies and retained 633 through delivery. Participants had a mean age of 33 years, 10% (n=61) developed gestational diabetes and 8% (n=50) developed pre-eclampsia. Participant pregnancy and postpartum urinary phthalate metabolite concentrations and postpartum glycaemic biomarkers were quantified. To date, studies within ERGO found higher exposure to phthalates and phthalate mixtures, and separately, higher exposure to radioactive ambient particulate matter, were associated with adverse gestational glycaemic outcomes. Additionally, certain personal care products used in pregnancy, notably hair oils, were associated with higher urinary phthalate metabolite concentrations, earlier gestational age at delivery and lower birth weight. FUTURE PLANS: Future work will leverage the longitudinal data collected on pregnancy and cardiometabolic outcomes, environmental exposures, questionnaires, banked biospecimens and paediatric data within the ERGO Study.

Association between osteoarthritis and cardiovascular disease in elderly in Japan: an administrative claims database analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether osteoarthritis (OA) is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD); whether there are differences concerning ischaemic heart disease (IHD), congestive heart failure (CHF) and stroke; and whether there are differences between OA sites (hips, knees and hand) in predicting CVD onset. DESIGN: Population-based matched case-control study. SETTING: Health insurance claims data among Japanese patients. PARTICIPANTS: Japanese patients aged ≥65 years with newly diagnosed CVD and hospitalised between January 2015 and December 2020 (cases) and age-matched and sex-matched 1:1 individuals (controls). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: A conditional logistic regression model was used to estimate the adjusted ORs and their 95% CIs for CVD, IHD, CHF and stroke risk, adjusting for covariates. RESULTS: A total of 79 296 patients were included, with respect to CVD (39 648 patients with newly diagnosed CVD and 39 648 controls). After adjustment for covariates, the exposure odds of knee OA (KOA), hip OA (HipOA) and hand OA (HandOA) for CVD were 1.192 (95% CI 1.115 to 1.274), 1.057 (95% CI 0.919 to 1.215) and 1.035 (95% CI 0.684 to 1.566), respectively, showing an association only for KOA. The exposure odds of KOA, HipOA and HandOA for IHD were 1.187 (95% CI 1.086 to 1.297), 1.078 (95% CI 0.891 to 1.306) and 1.099 (95% CI 0.677 to 1.784), respectively. The exposure odds of KOA, HipOA and HandOA for stroke were 1.221 (95% CI 1.099 to 1.356), 0.918 (95% CI 0.723 to 1.165) and 1.169 (95% CI 0.635 to 2.151), respectively. Similar to CVD, only KOA was associated with both. For CHF, neither KOA nor HipOA and HandOA were associated with CHF development. CONCLUSION: This study confirms the association of KOA with CVD, particularly IHD and stroke, in the Japanese population. The finding that patients with KOA have a higher CVD risk can potentially assist in guiding future treatment strategies.

Time-varying association between cigarette and ENDS use on incident hypertension among US adults: a prospective longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVE: Electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) products have emerged as the most popular alternative to combustible cigarettes. However, ENDS products contain potentially dangerous toxicants and chemical compounds, and little is known about their health effects. The aim of the present study was to examine the prospective association between cigarette and ENDS use on self-reported incident hypertension. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: Nationally representative sample of the civilian, non-institutionalised population in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: 17 539 adults aged 18 or older who participated at follow-up and had no self-reported heart condition or previous diagnosis of hypertension or high cholesterol at baseline. MEASURES: We constructed a time-varying tobacco exposure, lagged by one wave, defined as no use, exclusive established use (every day or some days) of ENDS or cigarettes, and dual use. We controlled for demographics (age, sex, race/ethnicity and household income), clinical risk factors (family history of heart attack, obesity, diabetes and binge drinking) and smoking history (cigarette pack-years). OUTCOMES: Self-reported incident hypertension diagnosis. RESULTS: The self-reported incidence of hypertension was 3.7% between wave 2 and wave 5. At baseline, 18.0% (n=5570) of respondents exclusively smoked cigarettes; 1.1% (n=336) exclusively used ENDS; and 1.7% (n=570) were dual users. In adjusted models, exclusive cigarette use was associated with an increased risk of self-reported incident hypertension compared with non-use (adjusted HR (aHR) 1.21, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.38), while exclusive ENDS use (aHR 1.00, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.47) and dual use (aHR 1.15, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.52) were not. CONCLUSIONS: We found that smoking increased the risk of self-reported hypertension, but ENDS use did not. These results highlight the importance of using prospective longitudinal data to examine the health effects of ENDS use.

Hyperuricaemia: prevalence and association with mortality in an elderly Finnish population.

OBJECTIVE: To establish the prevalence of hyperuricaemia in an elderly Finnish cohort and to assess its association with comorbidities and mortality. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Good Ageing in Lahti Region study, Finland 2002-2012 (mortality data analysed until 2018). PARTICIPANTS: 2673 participants (mean age 64 years; 47% men). PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of hyperuricaemia in the study population was detected. Associations between hyperuricaemia and mortality were assessed using multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. METHODS: Data from a prospective, population-based study of elderly people (52-76 years) in the Lahti region, Finland, were used. Information on serum uric acid (SUA) levels as well as several other laboratory variables, comorbidities, lifestyle habits and socioeconomic factors was collected, and the association between SUA level and mortality in a 15-year follow-up period was analysed. RESULTS: Of 2673 elderly Finnish persons included in the study 1197 (48%) were hyperuricaemic. Hyperuricaemia was extremely prevalent in men (60%). There was an association between elevated SUA and mortality which remained after adjustment for potential confounding factors (age, gender, education, smoking status, body mass index, hypertension and dyslipidaemia). The adjusted HR for all-cause mortality among clearly hyperuricaemic individuals with SUA≥420 µmol/L compared with normouricaemic individuals (SUA<360 µmol/L) was 1.32 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.60) in women and 1.29 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.60) in men. In slightly hyperuricaemic individuals (SUA 360-420 µmol/L) the corresponding HRs were 1.03 (95% CI 0.78 to 1.35) and 1.11 (95% CI 0.89 to 1.39). CONCLUSIONS: Hyperuricaemia is very prevalent in the elderly Finnish population and is independently associated with increased mortality.

Temporal trends of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy in Denmark: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the population of patients diagnosed with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in Denmark and determine temporal trends in incidence and patient characteristics over time. DESIGN: Nationwide retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Danish nationwide administrative and clinical registers and databases. PARTICIPANTS: All patients aged ≥16 years diagnosed with HCM from 2005 to 2018. OUTCOMES MEASURES: Time trends in HCM diagnosis, patient characteristics, comorbidities and pharmacotherapy were identified and tested for significance using the Cochran-Armitage trend test. RESULTS: 3856 HCM patients were included (median age 68 years (IQR 56-78)). Although there were more males (53%), females were older (72 years vs 63 years) and more likely to have their type of HCM classified as obstructive (54% vs 38%). A consistent rise in HCM cases per year was detected and there was a significant decline in prevalence of heart failure (2005: 20% to 2018: 12%, p<0.001) and ischaemic heart disease (2005: 31% to 2019: 16%, p≤0.001). Prevalence of atrial fibrillation and stroke remained notable and unchanged. Lastly, the rate of hospitalisations decreased over time (2005: 64% to 2016: 46%, p<0.001), while the rate of outpatient follow-up increased (2005: 81% to 2016: 87%, p 0.003). CONCLUSION: There was a consistent rise in HCM cases with decreasing morbidity burden. Females were older at diagnosis and more likely to have their type of HCM classified as obstructive. The rate of outpatient follow-up is increasing.