Prognostic impact of the simple L-index and absolute lymphocyte count early after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND AIMS: The L-index, designed as a quantitative parameter to simultaneously assess the duration and severity of lymphopenia, and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) have a prognostic impact after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). However, discrepancies have been reported in the impact of ALC, and limited information is currently available on the L-index. METHODS: To search for a better clinical tool, the authors retrospectively compared the simple L-index at 30 days (sL-index(30)), which aims to make the original L-index more compact, and ALC at 30 days (ALC(30)) after allo-HSCT in 217 patients who underwent allo-HSCT at the authors' institutions. RESULTS: Median sL-index(30) was 11 712 (range, 4419-18 511) and median ALC(30) was 404 (range, 0-3754). In a multivariate analysis, higher sL-index(30) was associated with a significantly higher cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) (hazard ratio [HR], 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.02, P = 0.02 for every increase of 100 in sL-index(30)) as well as non-relapse mortality (NRM) (HR, 1.02, 95% CI, 1.00-1.03, P = 0.01 for every increase of 100 in sL-index(30)). Although higher ALC(30) was associated with significantly lower CIR (HR, 0.94, 95% CI, 0.89-1.00, P = 0.04 for every increase of 100/µL in ALC(30)), it was not extracted as an independent risk factor for NRM (HR, 0.96, 95% CI, 0.88-1.05, P = 0.39). Higher sL-index(30) was associated with a slightly higher rate of grade 3-4 acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) (HR, 1.02, 95% CI, 1.00-1.04, P = 0.12 for every increase of 100 in sL-index(30)) but not chronic GVHD (HR, 1.00, 95% CI, 0.99-1.01, P = 0.63). ALC(30) was not associated with rates of grade 3-4 acute GVHD (HR, 1.02, 95% CI, 0.88-1.17, P = 0.81) or chronic GVHD (HR, 1.02, 95% CI, 0.98-1.06, P = 0.34). In a receiver operating characteristic curve, the cutoff values of sL-index(30) and ALC(30) for CIR were 9000 and 500, respectively, and the cutoff value of sL-index(30) for NRM was 12 000. CONCLUSIONS: sL-index(30) is a promising tool that may be applied to various survival outcomes. A large-scale prospective study is needed to clarify whether medical interventions based on sL-index(30) values will improve the clinical prognosis of patients.

Development of a Nomogram for Predicting the Cumulative Incidence of Disease Recurrence of AML After Allo-HSCT.

Using targeted exome sequencing, we studied correlations between mutations at diagnosis and transplant outcomes in 332 subjects with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) receiving allotransplantation. A total of 299 patients (299/332, 90.1%) had at least one oncogenic point mutation. In multivariable analyses, pretransplant disease status, minimal residual disease (MRD) before transplantation (pre-MRD), cytogenetic risk classification, and TP53 and FLT3-ITD high ratio mutations were independent risk factors for AML recurrence after allotransplantation (p < 0.05). A nomogram for the cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) that integrated all the predictors in the multivariable model was then constructed, and the concordance index (C-index) values at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months for CIR prediction were 0.754, 0.730, 0.715, and 0.690, respectively. Moreover, calibration plots showed good agreements between the actual observation and the nomogram prediction for the 6, 12, 18, and 24 months posttransplantation CIR in the internal validation. The integrated calibration index (ICI) values were 0.008, 0.055, 0.094, and 0.136 at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months posttransplantation, respectively. With a median cutoff score of 9.73 from the nomogram, all patients could be divided into two groups, and the differences in 2-year CIR, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) between these two groups were significant (p < 0.05). Taken together, the results of our study indicate that gene mutations could help to predict the outcomes of patients with AML receiving allotransplantation.