Tumour burden score combined with albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio predicts prognosis in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

Tumour morphology (tumour burden score (TBS)) and liver function (albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR)) have been shown to correlate with outcomes in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to evaluate the combined predictive effect of TBS and AAPR on survival outcomes in ICC patients. We conducted a retrospective analysis using a multicentre database of ICC patients who underwent curative surgery from 2011 to 2018. The Kaplan-Meier method was employed to examine the relationship between a new index (combining TBS and AAPR) and long-term outcomes. The predictive efficacy of this index was compared to other conventional indicators. A total of 560 patients were included in the study. Based on TBS and AAPR stratification, patients were classified into three groups. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that 124 patients with low TBS and high AAPR had the best overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), while 170 patients with high TBS and low AAPR had the worst outcomes (log-rank p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses identified the combined index as an independent predictor of OS and RFS. Furthermore, the index showed superior accuracy in predicting OS and RFS compared to other conventional indicators. Collectively, this study demonstrated that the combination of liver function and tumour morphology provides a synergistic effect in evaluating the prognosis of ICC patients. The novel index combining TBS and AAPR effectively stratified postoperative survival outcomes in ICC patients undergoing curative resection.

C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio Is an Independent Risk Factor for Recurrence and Survival Following Curative Resection of Stage I-III Colorectal Cancer in Older Patients.

BACKGROUND: The number of older patients with cancer has increased, and colorectal cancer is expected to be affected by this trend. This study aimed to compare prognostic factors, including nutritional and inflammation-based indices, between patients aged ≥ 70 and < 70 years following curative resection of stage I-III colorectal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study included 560 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection between May 2010 and June 2018. A retrospective analysis was performed to identify prognosis-associated variables in patients aged ≥ 70 and < 70 years. RESULTS: Preoperative low body mass index, high C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, and comorbidities were mainly associated with poor prognosis in patients aged ≥ 70 years. Tumor factors were associated with a poor prognosis in patients aged < 70 years. The C-reactive protein/albumin ratio was independently associated with poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival in those aged ≥ 70 years. The time-dependent area under the curve for the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio was superior to those of other nutritional and inflammation-based indices in most postoperative observation periods in patients aged ≥ 70 years. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor factors were associated with a poor prognosis in patients aged < 70 years. In addition to lymph node metastasis, preoperative statuses were associated with poor prognosis in patients aged ≥ 70 years. Specifically, the preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio was independently associated with long-term prognosis in patients aged ≥ 70 years with stage I-III colorectal cancer after curative resection.

Impact of preoperative antiviral therapy on the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: For chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection patients, increasing evidence has demonstrated the effectiveness of expanding the indications and applicable population for antiviral therapy. However, the expanded indication of antiviral therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains to be further explored. METHODS: 196 HBV-related HCC patients who received radical hepatectomy and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) therapy at Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital were enrolled in this study. HCC recurrence, overall survival (OS), early virological (VR) and biochemical responses (BR) of patients were compared between different NAs therapy and the use of anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) therapy. RESULTS: NAs therapy at different timing of surgery was a strong independent risk factor for postoperative recurrence and overall mortality of HBV-related HCC patients. Furthermore, in HCC patients who received postoperative anti-PD-1 therapy, patients with HBV DNA < 1000 copy/mL had significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) and OS than those with HBV DNA ≥ 1000 copy/mL (HR: 7.783; P = 0.002; HR: 6.699; P < 0.001). However, the differences of RFS and OS rates between entecavir group and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate group were not statistically significant. Similar results were also observed in the rates of early VR, BR and combined VR and BR. CONCLUSION: Timely and reasonable preoperative NAs therapy showed clinical benefit in improving the prognosis of patients with HBV-related HCC, even in the case of normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level and negative hepatitis e antigen (HBeAg). Furthermore, a possible synergistic effect between antiviral therapy and anti-PD-1 therapy was founded and need further verification.

Prognostic impact of primary tumour location after curative resection in Stage I-III colorectal cancer: a single-centre retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: The relationship of tumour site with post-recurrence course and outcome after primary surgery in resectable colorectal cancer is unclear. This study investigated the prognostic impact of primary tumour location following radical resection without preoperative treatment in Stage I-III colorectal cancer. METHODS: We analyzed 3770 patients with Stage I-III colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection at our hospital during 2000-15. We defined the right-sided colon as the cecum, ascending colon and transverse colon, and the left-sided colon as the descending colon, sigmoid and rectosigmoid junction. Patients were divided into three groups according to tumour site: right-sided colon, left-sided colon and rectum. Endpoints were overall survival, recurrence-free survival by stage and survival after recurrence, respectively. RESULTS: The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with stage I left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 98.2, 97.3 and 97.2%, respectively (P = 0.488). The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with Stage II left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 96.2, 88.7 and 83.0, respectively (P = 0.070). The 5-year overall survival rates of patients with Stage III left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 88.7, 83.0 and 80.2, respectively (P = 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage I left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 95.1, 94.5 and 90.6% (P = 0.027). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage II left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 85.2, 90.2 and 76.1%, respectively (P < 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of patients with Stage III left-sided colon cancer, right-sided colon cancer and rectal cancer were 75.3, 75.3 and 59.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). Right-sided colon cancer was significantly associated with better recurrence-free survival compared with left-sided colon cancer (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.03-1.63; P = 0.025) and rectal cancer (HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.51-2.38; P < 0.001) after adjusting for clinical factors. Amongst patients with recurrence, right-sided colon cancer was significantly associated with poorer survival after recurrence compared with left-sided colon cancer (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.48-0.97; P = 0.036), and showed a tendency towards poorer survival after recurrence compared with rectal cancer (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.57-1.10; P = 0.164). CONCLUSIONS: In Stage I-III colorectal cancer without preoperative treatment, our results suggest that the three tumour sites (right-sided colon, left-sided colon or rectum) may have prognostic significance for recurrence-free survival and survival after recurrence, rather than sidedness alone.

Predictive factors of 90-day mortality after curative hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: a western single-center observational study.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to identify predictive risk factors associated with 90-day mortality after hepatic resection (HR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: All patients undergoing elective resection for HCC from a single- institutional and prospectively maintained database were included. Multivariate regression analysis was conducted to identify pre- and intraoperative as well as histopathological predictive factors of 90-day mortality after elective HR. RESULTS: Between August 2004 and October 2021, 196 patients were enrolled (148 male /48 female). The median age of the study cohort was 68.5 years (range19-84 years). The rate of major hepatectomy (≥ 3 segments) was 43.88%. Multivariate analysis revealed patient age ≥ 70 years [HR 2.798; (95% CI 1.263-6.198); p = 0.011], preoperative chronic renal insufficiency [HR 3.673; (95% CI 1.598-8.443); p = 0.002], Child-Pugh Score [HR 2.240; (95% CI 1.188-4.224); p = 0.013], V-Stage [HR 2.420; (95% CI 1.187-4.936); p = 0.015], and resected segments ≥ 3 [HR 4.700; (95% 1.926-11.467); p = 0.001] as the major significant determinants of the 90-day mortality. CONCLUSION: Advanced patient age, pre-existing chronic renal insufficiency, Child-Pugh Score, extended hepatic resection, and vascular tumor involvement were identified as significant predictive factors of 90-day mortality. Proper patient selection and adjustment of treatment strategies could potentially reduce short-term mortality.

Long-term outcomes after non-curative endoscopic resection for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma followed by additional chemoradiotherapy.

Endoscopic resection (ER) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is evaluated pathologically, and additional treatment is recommended for cases resulting in non-curative resection, defined as pMM with lymphovascular invasion (LVI), pSM, or positive vertical margin. This study aimed to assess long-term outcomes and risk factors for recurrence in patients with ESCC treated with non-curative ER followed by additional chemoradiotherapy (CRT). We retrospectively reviewed the clinical courses of patients who underwent non-curative ER followed by additional CRT for ESCCs between August 2007 and December 2017. Recurrence rates and risk factors for recurrence were analyzed. Among 97 patients with non-curative ER, 73 underwent additional CRT. With a median follow-up period of 71 months, recurrences were observed in 10 (14%) of 73 patients, with a median interval of 24.5 (1-59 months). The 3- and 5-year recurrence-free survival were 89 and 85%, respectively, and the 3- and 5-year overall survival rates were 96 and 91%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that lymphatic invasion was an independent risk factor for recurrence in patients with non-curative ESCC receiving additional CRT. Among the 10 patients with recurrence, 4, 3, 2, and 1 underwent surgery, chemotherapy, supportive care, and CRT, respectively. Notably, all four patients who underwent surgery survived, regardless of regional and/or distant lymph node metastasis. Lymphatic invasion is an independent risk factor for the recurrence of non-curative ESCCs. Careful follow-up is required for at least 5 years after ER with additional CRT.

Which factors predict tumor recurrence and survival after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma? Results from a European institution.

BACKGROUND: High tumor recurrence and dismal survival rates after curative intended resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still concerning. The primary goal was to assess predictive factors associated with disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in a subset of patients with HCC undergoing hepatic resection (HR). METHODS: Between 08/2004-7/2021, HR for HCC was performed in 188 patients at our institution. Data allocation was conducted from a prospectively maintained database. The prognostic impact of clinico-pathological factors on DFS and OS was assessed by using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Survival curves were generated with the Kaplan Meier method. RESULTS: The postoperative 1-, 3- and 5- year overall DFS and OS rates were 77.9%, 49.7%, 41% and 72.7%, 54.7%, 38.8%, respectively. Tumor diameter ≥ 45 mm [HR 1.725; (95% CI 1.091-2.727); p = 0.020], intra-abdominal abscess [HR 3.812; (95% CI 1.859-7.815); p < 0.0001], and preoperative chronic alcohol abuse [HR 1.831; (95% CI 1.102-3.042); p = 0.020] were independently predictive for DFS while diabetes mellitus [HR 1.714; (95% CI 1.147-2.561); p = 0.009), M-Stage [HR 2.656; (95% CI 1.034-6.826); p = 0.042], V-Stage [HR 1.946; (95% CI 1.299-2.915); p = 0.001, Sepsis [HR 10.999; (95% CI 5.167-23.412); p < 0.0001], and ISGLS B/C [HR 2.008; (95% CI 1.273-3.168); p = 0.003] were significant determinants of OS. CONCLUSIONS: Despite high postoperative recurrence rates, an acceptable long-term survival in patients after curative HR could be achieved. The Identification of parameters related to OS and DFS improves patient-centered treatment and surveillance strategies.

Development and validation of prognostic nomogram for T1-3N0M0 non-small cell lung cancer after curative resection.

BACKGROUND: Radical resection plus lymph node dissection is a common treatment for patients with T1-3N0M0 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Few models predicted the survival outcomes of these patients. This study aimed to developed a nomogram for predicting their overall survival (OS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study involved 3002 patients with T1-3N0M0 NSCLC after curative resection between January 1999 and October 2013. 1525 Patients from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were randomly allocated to training cohort and internal validation cohort in a ratio of 7:3. 1477 patients from ten institutions were recruited as external validation cohort. A nomogram was constructed based on the training cohort and validated by internal and external validation cohort to predict the OS of these patients. The accuracy and practicability were tested by Harrell's C-indexes, calibration plots and decision curve analyses (DCA). RESULTS: Age, sex, histological classification, pathological T stage, and HI standard were independent factors for OS and were included in our nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram for OS estimates were 0.671 (95% CI, 0.637-0.705),0.632 (95% CI, 0.581-0.683), and 0.645 (95% CI, 0.617-0.673) in the training cohorts, internal validation cohorts, and external validation cohort, respectively. The calibration plots and DCA for predictions of OS were in excellent agreement. An online version of the nomogram was built for convenient clinical practice. CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram can predict the OS of patients with T1-3N0M0 NSCLC after curative resection. The online version of our nomogram offer opportunities for fast personalized risk stratification and prognosis prediction in clinical practice.

Nomogram for pre-procedural prediction of non-curative endoscopic resection in patients with early gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Non-curative resection (non-CR) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) requires additional surgery due to the possibility of lymph node metastasis (LNM). Therefore, it is important to accurately predict the risk of non-CR to avoid unnecessary preoperative procedures. Thus, we aimed to develop and verify a nomogram to predict the risk of non-CR prior to ESD. METHODS: Patients who underwent ESD for early gastric cancer (EGC) were divided into CR and non-CR groups based on the present ESD criteria. The pre-procedural factors, such as endoscopic features, radiologic findings, and pathology of the lesion, were compared between the groups to identify the risk factors associated with non-CR. A nomogram was developed using multivariate analysis, and its predictive value was assessed using an external validation group. RESULTS: Among 824 patients, 682 were curative (82.7%) and 142 were non-curative (17.3%). By comparing two groups, endoscopic features including redness, whitish mucosal change, fold convergence, and large lesion size; histologic features such as moderately or poorly differentiated or signet ring cell carcinoma; and abnormal CT findings including non-specific lymph node enlargement and fold thickening were identified as significant predictors of non-CR. The nomogram was developed based on these predictors and showed good predictive performance in the external validation, with an area under the curve of 0.87. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a nomogram to predict the risk of non-CR prior to ESD. These predictive factors in addition to the existing ESD criteria can help provide the best treatment option for patients with EGC.

Short-term efficacy of additional laparoscopic-assisted radical gastrectomy after non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate short-term efficacy of direct laparoscopic-assisted radical gastrectomy (LAG) versus non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) plus additional LAG for early gastric cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 286 patients were retrospectively assigned into two groups: direct LAG group (n = 255) and additional LAG (ESD plus LAG, n = 31) group. A 1:2 propensity score matching was performed to equalize relevant confounding factors between two groups for analysis. RESULTS: Ninety-three patients were successfully matched, including 62 in the direct LAG group and 31 in the additional LAG group. A significant (P = 0.013) difference existed in the drainage removal time between the additional LAG and direct LAG group (7 d vs. 6 d). Age, sex, tumor location and surgical approach were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with complications, with age ≥ 60 years (P = 0.002) and total gastrectomy (P = 0.011) as significant independent risk factors. A significant (P = 0.023) difference existed in the surgical time between the early and late groups (193.3 ± 37.6 min vs. 165.5 ± 25.1 min). CONCLUSION: Additional LAG (D1 + lymphadenectomy) after ESD may be safe and effective even though non-curative ESD may prolong the drainage removal time and increase the difficulty of surgery.

[Risk factors for residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic noncurable resection of early colorectal cancer].

Objective: Risk factors related to residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic non-curative resection of early colorectal cancer were analyzed to predict the risk of residual cancer or lymph node metastasis, optimize the indications of radical surgical surgery, and avoid excessive additional surgical operations. Methods: Clinical data of 81 patients who received endoscopic treatment for early colorectal cancer in the Department of Endoscopy, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from 2009 to 2019 and received additional radical surgical surgery after endoscopic resection with pathological indication of non-curative resection were collected to analyze the relationship between various factors and the risk of residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic resection. Results: Of the 81 patients, 17 (21.0%) were positive for residual cancer or lymph node metastasis, while 64 (79.0%) were negative. Among 17 patients with residual cancer or positive lymph node metastasis, 3 patients had only residual cancer (2 patients with positive vertical cutting edge). 11 patients had only lymph node metastasis, and 3 patients had both residual cancer and lymph node metastasis. Lesion location, poorly differentiated cancer, depth of submucosal invasion ≥2 000 µm, venous invasion were associated with residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic (P<0.05). Logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that poorly differentiated cancer (OR=5.513, 95% CI: 1.423, 21.352, P=0.013) was an independent risk factor for residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic non-curative resection of early colorectal cancer. Conclusions: For early colorectal cancer after endoscopic non-curable resection, residual cancer or lymph node metastasis is associated with poorly differentiated cancer, depth of submucosal invasion ≥2 000 µm, venous invasion and the lesions are located in the descending colon, transverse colon, ascending colon and cecum with the postoperative mucosal pathology result. For early colorectal cancer, poorly differentiated cancer is an independent risk factor for residual cancer or lymph node metastasis after endoscopic non-curative resection, which is suggested that radical surgery should be added after endoscopic treatment.

AGA Clinical Practice Update on Surveillance After Pathologically Curative Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection of Early Gastrointestinal Neoplasia in the United States: Commentary.

The purpose of this American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) Institute Clinical Practice Update was to review the available evidence and provide expert advice regarding surveillance using endoscopy and other relevant modalities after removal of dysplastic lesions and early gastrointestinal cancers with endoscopic submucosal dissection deemed to be pathologically curative. This Clinical Practice Update was commissioned and approved by the AGA Institute Clinical Practice Updates Committee and the AGA Governing Board to provide timely guidance on a topic of high clinical importance to the AGA membership, and underwent internal peer review by the Clinical Practice Updates Committee and external peer review through standard procedures of Gastroenterology. This expert commentary incorporates important as well as recently published studies in this field, and it reflects the experiences of the authors, who are advanced endoscopists with high-level expertise in performing endoscopic submucosal dissection to treat dysplasia and early cancers in the luminal gastrointestinal tract.

Postoperative hyperprogression disease of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after curative resection: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prognosis for patients recurred rapidly after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) was extremely poor. We proposed the concept of postoperative hyper-progression disease (PO-HPD) to define recurrence within 2 months after surgery, explored the role of surgery for postoperative HPD patients and determined the predictive preoperative risk factors and genomic features of PO-HPD. METHODS: 976 patients undergoing curative resection of PDAC were enrolled. Survival data of 1733 stage IV patients from the US Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database was also collected. Patients relapsed were grouped into 3 groups regarding of the recurrence time (within 2 months were PO-HPD, within 2 to 12 months were early recurrence (ER) and within > 12 months were late recurrence (LR)). Risk factors for PO-HPD were explored with logistic regression models. Genomic features of 113 patients were investigated using next-generation sequencing-based gene panel testing. RESULTS: 718 of 976 cases relapsed, 101were PO-HPD, 418 were ER and 199 were LR. Total survival of PO-HPD was 12.5 months, shorter than that of ER (16.7 months) and LR (35.1 months), and verged on that of stage IV patients (10.6 months). Preoperative risk factors for PO-HPD included red blood cell count < 3.94*10^12/L, CA19-9 ≥ 288.6 U/mL, CA125 ≥ 22.3 U/mL and tumor size≥3.45 cm. Mutations of CEBPA, ATR and JAK1 were only identified in PO-HPD and they owned lower level of CN gain compared to others. CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of PO-HPD was extremely poor and the role of surgery for PO-HPD should be prudently assessed.

Prediction model for curative endoscopic submucosal dissection of undifferentiated-type early gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is an effective treatment for early gastric cancer (EGC); however, its curative resection rate is low for undifferentiated-type EGC. We developed and externally validated a prediction model for curative ESD of undifferentiated-type EGC. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we included 448 patients who underwent ESD for undifferentiated-type EGC at 18 hospitals in Korea between 2005 and 2015 in the development cohort and 1342 patients who underwent surgery at two hospitals in the validation cohort. A prediction model was developed using the logistic regression model. RESULTS: Endoscopic tumor size 1-2 cm (odds ratio [OR], 2.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.54-3.73), tumor size > 2 cm (OR, 14.00; 95% CI 6.81-28.77), and proximal tumor location from the lower to upper third of the stomach (OR, 1.45; 95% CI 1.03-2.04) were independent predictors of non-curative ESD. A six-score prediction model was developed by assigning points to endoscopic tumor size > 2 cm (five points), tumor size 1-2 cm (two points), upper third location (two points), and middle third location (one point). The rate of curative ESD ranged from 70.6% (score 0) to 11.6% (score 5) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.720 (95% CI 0.673-0.766). The model also showed good performance in the validation cohort (AUC, 0.775; 95% CI 0.748-0.803). CONCLUSIONS: This six-score prediction model may help in predicting curative ESD and making informed decisions about the treatment selection between ESD and surgery for undifferentiated-type EGC.

High tumor budding predicts a poor prognosis in resected duodenal adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: Tumor budding is a histological characteristic defined as the presence of small clusters of cancer cells at the invasion front. Its significance in duodenal adenocarcinoma (DA) has not been fully described. METHODS: A single-center, retrospective study was conducted. Patients who underwent curative surgery for histologically diagnosed DA from January 2006 to December 2018 at Kansai Medical University Hospital were included. Tumor budding was counted per 0.785 mm2 and classified as low (0-4 buds), intermediate (5-9 buds), or high (≥ 10 buds). RESULTS: In total, 47 patients were included. The 5-year overall survival and relapse-free survival rates were 77% and 72%, respectively. High tumor budding was seen in 15 patients (32%). Excluding patients with superficial type (pT1) DA (n = 22), high tumor budding [hazard ratio (HR) 13.4, p = 0.028], regional lymph node metastasis (HR 19.9, p = 0.039), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 0.056, p = 0.036) were independent factors related to the overall survival in multivariate analyses. Distant metastases occurred significantly more often in patients who had high tumor budding than in others (p = 0.039). CONCLUSION: The data suggest that high tumor budding is a predictor of a poor prognosis in resected DA.

One Year Survival of Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Patients Who Did Not Undergo Curative Resection and Paliative Chemotherapy and Its Associated Factors.

BACKGROUND: Extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is rare but fatal. Patients who come are usually already in the advanced stage that can not undergo curative resection and chemotherapy also seems to be very rarely done. The survival rate and its associated factors in Indonesia are unknown. This study aimed to identify 1-year survival of patients with extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma without curative resection and palliative chemotherapy and its associated factors. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study using medical records of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (perihilar and distal) inpatient and outpatient patients at Cipto Mangunkusumo Hospital, Jakarta from January 2015 to March 2020, reviewed retrospectively. The following factors were analyzed in terms of mortality: metastasis, sepsis, hypoalbuminemia, serum bilirubin level, serum CA 19-9 level, billiary drainage, neutrophyl lympocyte ratio (NLR) and comorbid factors. RESULTS: 115 out of 144 patients were enrolled in this study with male proportion of 50.4%, and proportion of patients aged 65 years or above was 71.3%. 1 year survival rate was 10 % and median survival was 3 months (CI 95% 2.388-3.612)Multivariate analysis showed that only sepsis, unsuccessful or no prior biliary drainage and total bilirubin >19.8 mg/dl were independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: 1 year survival of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma without curative resection and paliative chemotherapy was 10 %.Sepsis, unsuccessful or no prior bilirary drainage, and total biirubin >19.8 mg/dl  are factors significantly associated with shortened survival in malignant obstructive jaundice patients.

Clinico-pathologic determinants of non-e-curative outcome following en-bloc endoscopic submucosal dissection in patients with early gastric neoplasia.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is gaining enormous popularity in the treatment of early gastric cancers (EGCs) in many institutions across the world. However, appropriate selection of candidates for endoscopic resection is crucial to sufficiently mitigate non-e-curative (NEC) resection. This study aims at identifying the various clinico-pathologic factors that independently predict the NEC outcome and depth of submucosal invasion following ESD procedure in patients with EGC. METHODS: Multiple logistic regression analysis was applied to investigate factors that independently predict both non-curability phenomenon and the level of submucosal invasion in patients with early gastric neoplasia. Statistical Packages for the Social Sciences version 23 was used for analysis. RESULTS: A total of 153 patients (162 EGC lesions) underwent en-bloc ESD after which the rate of complete resection and non-e-curative outcome were 95% and 22.2%, correspondingly. Multivariate analysis depicted that tumor location in the upper two third of stomach (odds ratio [OR], 5.46; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.65-18.12; p = 0.006), tumor size > 2 cm (OR, 7.63; 95% CI, 2.29-25.42; p = 0.001), histologically undifferentiated tumor (OR, 15.54; 95% CI, 1.65-146.22; p = 0.001), and tumors with 0-IIa/0-IIc or their mixed variants with predominant 0-IIa/0-IIc (OR, 9.77; 95% CI, 1.23-77.65; p = 0.031) were all independent predictors of NEC resection for early gastric tumors. Additionally, location in the upper two third of the stomach (OR, 8.88; 95% CI, 2.90-27.17; p < 0.001), ulcerated lesions (OR, 3.70; 95% CI, 1.15-11.90; p = 0.028), lesions with > 2 cm (OR, 2.94; 95% CI, 1.08-8.02; p = 0.036) and those with poor differentiation (OR, 6.51; 95% CI, 2.23-18.98; p = 0.001) were found to have significant association with submucosal invasion. CONCLUSIONS: Tumors located in the upper two third of the stomach having a larger size (> 2 cm), poor histo-differentiation and a gross type of 0-IIa/0-IIc or their mixed variants with predominant 0-IIa/0-IIc were significantly associated with a risk of NEC after ESD procedure. Thus, early gastric tumors displaying these features need to be handled carefully during endoscopic resection. Our findings may shed light on the pre-procedural detection of clinicopathologic factors that determine non-e-curability in patients with EGC.

Adequate period of surveillance in each stage for curatively resected gastric cancer: analyzing the time and rates of recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance after curative surgery for gastric cancer is conventionally performed for 5 years. However, the appropriate follow-up period remains controversial. METHODS: This study retrospectively compiled a clinicopathological database of patients who underwent curative gastrectomy between 1975 and 2010 at Toranomon Hospital and were reviewed until March 2020. Analyzing the follow-up rate and recurrence rate for each stage in each postoperative year, we set each follow-up endpoint when the subsequent recurrence rate fell below 1%. RESULTS: A total of 5235 patients were eligible for inclusion in the study. The rate of patients followed up for 5 years was 90.3%. The rates of follow-up were 52.7% at 10 years, 38.3% at 15 years, and 10.3% at 20 years. Recurrence was confirmed in 850 patients in total (16.2%) and in 50 patients beyond 5 years. The adequate follow-up endpoints according to stage (with < 1% recurrence risk) were 2 years for stage IA, 4 years for IB, 6 years for IIA, 9 years for IIB, 7 years for IIIA, and 8 years for IV (curative). For stage IIIB and IIIC, the recurrence risk remained. CONCLUSIONS: The adequate surveillance duration of resected gastric cancer might be different in each stage. Although the follow-up duration for stage I disease could be reduced to less than 5 years, advanced gastric cancer such as stage III or IV disease has risk of recurrence beyond 5 years and therefore additional follow-up is required. These results could help decide the strategy for surveillance.

Risk factors of lymph node metastasis after non-curative endoscopic resection of undifferentiated-type early gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate risk factors for lymph node (LN) or distant metastasis after non-curative endoscopic resection (ER) of undifferentiated-type early gastric cancer (EGC). METHODS: Of 1124 patients who underwent ER for undifferentiated-type gastric cancer at 18 tertiary hospitals across six geographic areas in Korea between 2005 and 2014, 634 with non-curative ER beyond the expanded criteria were retrospectively enrolled. According to the treatment after ER, patients were divided into additional surgery (n = 270) and follow-up (n = 364) groups. The median follow-up duration was 59 months for recurrence and 84 months for mortality. RESULTS: LN metastasis was found in 6.7% (18/270) of patients at surgery. Ulcer [odds ratio (OR) 3.83; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-12.13; p = 0.022] and submucosal invasion (OR 10.35; 95% CI 1.35-79.48; p = 0.025) were independent risk factors. In the follow-up group, seven patients (1.9%) developed LN or distant recurrence. Ulcer [hazard ratio (HR) 7.60; 95% CI 1.39-35.74; p = 0.018], LVI (HR 6.80; 95% CI 1.07-42.99; p = 0.042), and positive vertical margin (HR 6.71; 95% CI 1.28-35.19; p = 0.024) were independent risk factors. In the overall cohort, LN metastasis rates were 9.6% in patients with two or more risk factors and 1.2% in those with no or one risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: LVI, ulcer, submucosal invasion, and positive vertical margin are independently associated with LN or distant metastasis after non-curative ER of undifferentiated-type EGC. Surgical resection is strongly recommended for patients with two or more risk factors.

Predictive factors for distant recurrence of colorectal cancer in patients after curative resection for stage I-III colorectal cancer in Australia.

PURPOSE: Distant recurrence is a devastating occurrence after colorectal cancer resection. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for distant recurrence following surgery. METHODS: All consecutive colorectal cancer resections with curative intent were included from a prospectively maintained colorectal cancer database. The primary outcome was to identify predictive factors for distant recurrence of colorectal cancer. RESULTS: A total of 670 eligible cases were identified with 88 (13.1%) developing distant recurrence during the follow-up period. The median time to distant recurrence was 1.2 years with the most common sites of distant recurrence being the lung (44.3%) and liver (44.3%). Predictive factors for distant recurrence in colon cancer included a high tumor, nodal, and overall stage of the primary cancer (p < 0.001 for all). Surgical complications (p = 0.007), including anastomotic leak (p = 0.023), were associated with a higher risk of developing distant recurrence in rectal cancer patients. Independent variables associated with distant recurrence included tumor stage (OR 1.61, p = 0.011), nodal stage (OR 2.18, p < 0.001), and both KRAS (OR 11.04, p < 0.001) and MLH/PMS2 (OR 0.20, p = 0.035) genetic mutations. Among patients with distant recurrence, treatment with surgery conferred the best survival, with patients < 50 years of age having the best overall 5-year survival. CONCLUSION: Predictive factors for distant recurrence include advanced tumor and nodal stages, and the presence of KRAS and MLH/PSM2 mutations. Clinicians should be cognizant of these risk factors, and instate close surveillance plans for patients exhibiting these features.