The medication-based Rx-Risk Comorbidity Index and risk of hip fracture - a nationwide NOREPOS cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Few previous studies have assessed overall morbidity at the individual level with respect to future risk of hip fracture. The aim of this register-based cohort study was to examine the association between morbidity measured by the medication-based Rx-Risk Comorbidity Index (Rx-Risk) and the risk of first hip fracture. METHODS: Individual-level data on medications dispensed from pharmacies (2005-2016) was retrieved from the Norwegian Prescription Database and used to calculate Rx-Risk for each calendar year. Information on first hip fractures (2006-2017) was obtained from a nationwide hip fracture database. Individuals ≥ 51 years who filled at least one prescription during the study period comprised the population at risk. Using Rx-Risk as a time-varying exposure variable, relative risk estimates were obtained by a negative binomial model. RESULTS: During 2006-2017, 94,104 individuals sustained a first hip fracture. A higher Rx-Risk was associated with increased risk of hip fracture within all categories of age and sex. Women with the highest Rx-Risk (> 25) had a relative risk of 6.1 (95% confidence interval (CI): 5.4, 6.8) compared to women with Rx-Risk ≤ 0, whereas the corresponding relative risk in women with Rx-Risk 1-5 was 1.4 (95% CI: 1.3, 1.4). Similar results were found in men. Women > 80 years with Rx-Risk 21-25 had the highest incidence rate (514 (95% CI: 462, 566) per 10, 000 person years). The relative increase in hip fracture risk with higher Rx-Risk was most pronounced in the youngest patients aged 51-65 years. CONCLUSIONS: Rx-Risk is a strong predictor of hip fracture in the general outpatient population and may be useful to identify individuals at risk in a clinical setting and in future studies.

Global burden of hip fracture: The Global Burden of Disease Study.

This study is the first to measure global burden of hip fracture in patients aged 55 years and older across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Our study further proved that the global burden of hip fracture is still large. Hip fractures among males are perhaps underestimated, and older adults should be given more attention. PURPOSE: Hip fracture is a tremendous universal public health challenge, but no updated comprehensive and comparable assessment of hip fracture incidence and burden exists for most of the world in older adults. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2019, we estimated the number and rates of the incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLD) of hip fracture across 204 countries and territories in patients aged 55 years and older from 1990 to 2019. RESULTS: In 2019, the incidence, prevalence, and YLDs rates of hip fracture in patients aged 55 years and older were 681.35 (95% UI 508.36-892.27) per 100000 population, 1191.39 (95% UI 1083.80-1301.52) per 100000 population, and 130.78 (95% UI 92.26-175.30) per 100000 population. During the three decades, the incidence among people aged below 60 years showed a downward trend, whereas it showed a rapid upward trend among older adults. All the numbers and rates of hip fractures among females were higher than those among males and increased with age, with the highest number and rate in the highest age group. Notably, the male to female ratio of the incidence for people aged over 55 years increased from 0.577 in 1990 to 0.612 in 2019. Falls were the leading cause among both sexes and in all age groups. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and the number of hip fractures among patients aged 55 years and older increased over the past three decades, indicating that the global burden of hip fracture is still large. Hip fractures among males are perhaps underestimated, and older adults should be given more attention.

Increased risk of hip and major osteoporotic fractures in 8463 patients who have undergone stem cell transplantation, a Swedish population-based study.

In this retrospective cohort study of adult stem cell transplanted patients (n = 8463), a significant increased risk of both MOF and hip fractures was seen compared with the Swedish population and occurred in mean more than 2 years after stem cell transplantation. PURPOSE: To explore the risk for osteoporotic fracture in patients who have undergone hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) compared with the Swedish population. METHODS: The risk of osteoporotic fractures was determined in a retrospective population cohort study of adult (≥ 18 years) Swedish patients (n = 8463), who were transplanted with HSCT 1997-2016 and compared with all adults living in Sweden during the same period. RESULTS: In the total study group (n = 8463), 90 hip fractures (1.1% both in males and females) and 361 major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) (3.2% in men and 6.0% in women) were identified. In the total study population, the ratio of observed and expected number of hip fracture for women was 1.99 (95% CI 1.39-2.75) and for men 2.54 (95% CI 1.91-3.31). The corresponding ratio for MOF in women was 1.36 (CI 1.18-1.56) and for men 1.61 (CI 1.37-1.88). From 2005 onwards, when differentiation in the registry between allo- and auto-HSCT was possible, the observed number of hip fracture and MOF in allo-HSCT (n = 1865) were significantly increased (observed/expected hip fracture 5.24 (95% CI 3.28-7.93) and observed/expected MOF 2.08 (95% CI 1.63-2.62)). Fractures occurred in mean 2.7 (hip) and 2.5 (MOF) years after allo-HSCT. Graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) was not associated with an increased risk of fracture. CONCLUSION: Patients who underwent HSCT had an increased risk of both hip and major osteoporotic fracture compared with the Swedish population and occurred in 4.3% of patients. GVHD was not statistically significantly associated with fracture risk.

Osteoporosis management in adults with schizophrenia following index hip fracture event: a 10-year population-based retrospective cohort study, Ontario, Canada.

Little is known about the incidence of osteoporosis testing and treatment in individuals with schizophrenia, who may be more likely to fracture. Using competing risk models, we found that schizophrenia was associated with lower incidence of testing or treatment. Implications are for understanding barriers and solutions for this disadvantaged group. PURPOSE: Evidence suggests that individuals with schizophrenia may be more likely to experience hip fractures than the general population; however, little is known about osteoporosis management in this disadvantaged subpopulation. Our study objective was to compare bone mineral density (BMD) testing and pharmacologic treatment in hip fracture patients with versus without schizophrenia. METHODS: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study leveraging health administrative databases, and individuals aged 66-105 years with hip fracture between fiscal years 2009 and 2018 in Ontario, Canada. Schizophrenia was ascertained using a validated algorithm. The outcome was a composite measure of (1) pharmacologic prescription for osteoporosis; or (2) a BMD test. Inferential analyses were conducted using Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard regression, with mortality as the competing event. RESULTS: A total of 52,722 individuals aged 66 to 105 years who sustained an index hip fracture in Ontario during the study period were identified, of whom 1890 (3.6%) had schizophrenia. Hip fracture patients with vs without schizophrenia were more likely to be long-term care residents (44.3% vs. 18.1%; standardized difference, 0.59), frail (62.5% vs. 36.5%; standardized difference, 0.54) and without a primary care provider (9.2% vs. 4.8%; standardized difference, 0.18). In Fine-Gray models, schizophrenia was associated with a lower incidence of testing or treatment (0.795 (0.721, 0.877)). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based retrospective cohort study, a schizophrenia diagnosis among hip fracture patients was associated with a lower incidence of testing or treatment, after accounting for mortality, and several enabling and predisposing factors. Further research is required to investigate barriers to osteoporosis management in this disadvantaged population.

Trajectories of oral bisphosphonate use after hip fractures: a population-based cohort study.

Bisphosphonates prevent future hip fractures. However, we found that one in six patients with hip fractures had a delay in bisphosphonate initiation and another one-sixth discontinued treatment within 12 months after discharge. Our results highlight the need to address hesitancy in treatment initiation and continuous monitoring. PURPOSE: Suboptimal antiresorptive use is not well understood. This study investigated trajectories of oral bisphosphonate use following first hip fractures and factors associated with different adherence and persistence trajectories. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of all patients aged ≥ 50 years dispensed two or more bisphosphonate prescriptions following first hip fracture in Victoria, Australia, from 2012 to 2017. Twelve-month trajectories of bisphosphonate use were categorized using group-based trajectory modeling. Factors associated with different trajectories compared to the persistent adherence trajectory were assessed using multivariate multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: We identified four patterns of oral bisphosphonate use in 1811 patients: persistent adherence (66%); delayed dispensing (17%); early discontinuation (9%); and late discontinuation (9%). Pre-admission bisphosphonate use was associated with a lower risk of delayed dispensing in both sexes (relative risk [RR] 0.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.21-0.39). Older patients ( ≥ 85 years old versus 50-64 years old, RR 0.38, 95% CI 0.22-0.64) had a lower risk of delayed dispensing. Males with anxiety (RR 9.80, 95% CI 2.24-42.9) and females with previous falls had increased risk of early discontinuation (RR 1.80, 95% CI 1.16-2.78). CONCLUSION: Two-thirds of patients demonstrated good adherence to oral bisphosphonates over 12 months following hip fracture. Efforts to further increase post-discharge antiresorptive use should be sex-specific and address possible persistent uncertainty around delaying treatment initiation.

Association between total and animal proteins with risk of fracture: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Previous cohort studies have indicated that consumption of total and animal proteins are related to fracture risk; however, results were inconclusive. This dose-dependent review sought to summarize the earlier evidence regarding the relation between total and animal proteins and fracture risk. We searched Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science until July 2023 for original research articles examining the association of certain types of proteins and the incidence of all fractures in general adults. Summary relative risks (RRs) were calculated using random effects analysis to examine the relation between each certain amount (g/day) increment of total and animal protein and fracture risk. Twenty cohort studies with serious to moderate risk of bias involving 780,322 individuals were included. There was a non-statistically significant relation between intake of animal proteins and dairy products and all fracture risk. However, 43% and 5% decreased incidence of fracture was obtained with total protein (RR, 0.57; 95%CI, 0.36 to 0.93; per 100 g/day) and fish (RR, 0.95; 95%CI, 0.91 to 0.99; per 15 g/day) intake. Every 100 g/day total and animal protein consumption and every 15 g/day fish consumption were linked to 48%, 50%, and 5% lower hip fracture risk. Greater dietary animal protein intake might reduce risk of hip but not fracture at any site. We obtained a lower risk of any or hip fracture with greater total protein (per 100 g/day) and fish (per 15 g/day) intake. No evidence was obtained that higher intake of dairy could decrease risk of fracture.

Evaluation of mobility recovery after hip fracture: a scoping review of randomized controlled studies.

Few older adults regain their pre-fracture mobility after a hip fracture. Intervention studies evaluating effects on gait typically use short clinical tests or in-lab parameters that are often limited to gait speed only. Measurements of mobility in daily life settings exist and should be considered to a greater extent than today. Less than half of hip fracture patients regain their pre-fracture mobility. Mobility recovery is closely linked to health status and quality of life, but there is no comprehensive overview of how gait has been evaluated in intervention studies on hip fracture patients. The purpose was to identify what gait parameters have been used in randomized controlled trials to assess intervention effects on older people's mobility recovery after hip fracture. This scoping review is a secondary paper that identified relevant peer-reviewed and grey literature from 11 databases. After abstract and full-text screening, 24 papers from the original review and 8 from an updated search and manual screening were included. Records were eligible if they included gait parameters in RCTs on hip fracture patients. We included 32 papers from 29 trials (2754 unique participants). Gait parameters were primary endpoint in six studies only. Gait was predominantly evaluated as short walking, with gait speed being most frequently studied. Only five studies reported gait parameters from wearable sensors. Evidence on mobility improvement after interventions in hip fracture patients is largely limited to gait speed as assessed in a controlled setting. The transition from traditional clinical and in-lab to out-of-lab gait assessment is needed to assess effects of interventions on mobility recovery after hip fracture at higher granularity in all aspects of patients' lives, so that optimal care pathways can be defined.

Vaccination against COVID-19 reduced the mortality risk of COVID-positive hip fracture patients to baseline levels: the nationwide data-linked IMPACT Protect study.

This nationwide study used data-linked records to assess the effect of COVID-19 vaccination among hip fracture patients. Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of contracting COVID-19 and, among COVID-positive patients, it reduced the mortality risk to that of COVID-negative patients. This provides essential data for future communicable disease outbreaks. PURPOSE: COVID-19 confers a three-fold increased mortality risk among hip fracture patients. The aims were to investigate whether vaccination was associated with: i) lower mortality risk, and ii) lower likelihood of contracting COVID-19 within 30 days of fracture. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included all patients aged > 50 years that sustained a hip fracture in Scotland between 01/03/20-31/12/21. Data from the Scottish Hip Fracture Audit were collected and included: demographics, injury and management variables, discharge destination, and 30-day mortality status. These variables were linked to government-managed population level records of COVID-19 vaccination and laboratory testing. RESULTS: There were 13,345 patients with a median age of 82.0 years (IQR 74.0-88.0), and 9329/13345 (69.9%) were female. Of 3022/13345 (22.6%) patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 606/13345 (4.5%) were COVID-positive within 30 days of fracture. Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that vaccinated patients were less likely to be COVID-positive (odds ratio (OR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-0.48, p < 0.001) than unvaccinated patients. 30-day mortality rate was higher for COVID-positive than COVID-negative patients (15.8% vs 7.9%, p < 0.001). Controlling for confounders (age, sex, comorbidity, deprivation, pre-fracture residence), unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 had a greater mortality risk than COVID-negative patients (OR 2.77, CI 2.12-3.62, p < 0.001), but vaccinated COVID19-positive patients were not at increased risk of death (OR 0.93, CI 0.53-1.60, p = 0.783). CONCLUSION: Vaccination was associated with lower COVID-19 infection risk. Vaccinated COVID-positive patients had a similar mortality risk to COVID-negative patients, suggesting a reduced severity of infection. This study demonstrates the efficacy of vaccination in this vulnerable patient group, and presents data that will be valid in the management of future outbreaks.

Group-based trajectories of potentially preventable hospitalisations among older adults after a hip fracture.

Key predictors of three trajectory group membership of potentially preventable hospitalisations were age, the number of comorbidities, the presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and congestive heart failure, and frailty risk at the occurrence of hip fracture. These predictors of their trajectory group could be used in targeting prevention strategies. PURPOSE: Although older adults with hip fracture have a higher risk of multiple readmissions after index hospitalisation, little is known about potentially preventable hospitalisations (PPH) after discharge. This study examined group-based trajectories of PPH during a five-year period after a hip fracture among older adults and identified factors predictive of their trajectory group membership. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using linked hospitalisation and mortality data in New South Wales, Australia, between 2013 and 2021. Patients aged ≥ 65 years who were admitted after a hip fracture and discharged between 2014 and 2016 were identified. Group-based trajectory models were derived based on the number of subsequent PPH following the index hospitalisation. Multinominal logistic regression examined factors predictive of trajectory group membership. RESULTS: Three PPH trajectory groups were revealed among 17,591 patients: no PPH (89.5%), low PPH (10.0%), and high PPH (0.4%). Key predictors of PPH trajectory group membership were age, number of comorbidities, dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure (CHF), frailty risk, place of incident, surgery, rehabilitation, and length of hospital stay. The high PPH had a higher proportion of patients with ≥ 2 comorbidities (OR: 1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04-3.32) and COPD (OR: 2.97, 95%CIs: 1.76-5.04) than the low PPH, and the low and high PPHs were more likely to have CHF and high frailty risk as well as ≥ 2 comorbidities and COPD than the no PPH. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying trajectories of PPH after a hip fracture and factors predictive of trajectory group membership could be used to target strategies to reduce multiple readmissions.

Hip fractures in patients with primary aldosteronism - a Swedish nationwide study.

In this large population-based matched cohort study, patients with primary aldosteronism were at increased risk of hip fracture, particularly subgroups traditionally considered at higher risk of osteoporosis such as women, patients older than 56 years at diagnosis, patients with established cardiovascular disease at diagnosis, and patients treated with MRA. PURPOSE: Previous studies suggest that primary aldosteronism (PA) is associated with dysregulated bone homeostasis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of hip fractures in patients with PA. METHODS: We studied a nationwide cohort of 2419 patients with PA (1997-2019) and 24 187 age and sex matched controls from the general population. Hip fractures were identified by ICD codes in the Swedish National Patient Register. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for incident hip fractures, adjusted for prior fractures, socioeconomic factors, diabetes, osteoporosis, hyperparathyroidism, and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Pairwise subgroup comparisons were performed by age (18-56 and > 56 years), sex, CVD at baseline, and treatment for PA. RESULTS: During a mean follow up of 8 ± 5 years, 64 (2.6%) patients had a hip fracture after being diagnosed with PA, compared to 401 (1.7%) controls. After adjustments, PA was associated with a 55% increased risk of hip fracture compared to controls (HR 1.55 [1.18-2.03]). HRs were increased in women (HR 1.76 [95% CI 1.24-2.52]), patients aged > 56 years (HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.21-2.17]), and patients with CVD at diagnosis (HR 2.15 [95% CI 1.37-3.37]). PA patients treated with adrenalectomy did not have higher risk than controls (HR 0.84 [95% CI 0.35-2.0]), while patients treated with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA) retained a greater risk (HR 1.84 [95% CI 1.20-2.83]). CONCLUSION: PA is associated with increased hip fracture risk, especially in women, patients diagnosed after the age of 56 years and patients with established CVD at diagnosis. Also, patients treated with MRA seem to have an increased risk of hip fractures, while adrenalectomy may be protective.

Incidence of hip fractures in Mexico 2006-2019: increasing numbers but decreasing rates.

This study, characterizing the incidence of hip fractures in Mexico, showed not only that the crude number of fractures has increased, but also there has been a decrease in fracture rates. Nonetheless, as the population ages in the coming decades, the current declines rate of could be expected to reverse. PURPOSE: This study is to examine the incidence, rates, and time trends of hip fractures from 2006 to 2019 in Mexico. Additionally, an analysis of the follow-up of the birth cohorts was carried out. METHODS: Hip fractures registered during the period of the study were obtained through the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS) national discharge records. The incidence per 100,000 individuals was calculated from the IMSS population at risk. A time trend analysis was conducted using linear regression, and the identification of breakpoints in linear trends. RESULTS: There was an increase of hip fractures for both sexes ≥ 60 years (43% for women and 41%, for men). However, the rates diminished from 167.8/100,000 in 2006 to 138.5 /100,000 in the population 60 and over (1.9% and 0.9% per year in women and men respectively). When the information was analyzed by age groups, hip fracture rates were similar in both sexes but higher in women. The most significant contribution to the total number of fractures is due to the groups ≥ 70 years; people born before 1937 are accounting for the burden of fractures over the total data. In contrast, the younger generations appear to have lower rates. CONCLUSION: Rates of hip fracture have steadily declined in Mexico since 2006; however, with the population aging in the coming decades, current rates declines could be expected to reverse.

Risk factors associated with 1-year mortality after osteoporotic hip fracture in Hawai'i: higher mortality risk among Native Hawaiians and other Pacific Islanders.

We studied factors affecting osteoporotic hip fracture mortality in Hawai'i, a region with unique geography and racial composition. Men, older adults, higher ASA score, lower BMI, and NHPI race were associated with higher mortality. This is the first study demonstrating increased mortality risk after hip fracture in NHPI patients. PURPOSE: To estimate mortality rates and identify specific risk factors associated with 1-year mortality after osteoporotic hip fracture in Hawai'i. METHODS: A retrospective review of adults (≥ 50 years) hospitalized with an osteoporotic hip fracture at a large multicenter healthcare system in Hawai'i from 2011 to 2019. The Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests examined survival probability by sex, age group, race/ethnicity, primary insurance, body mass index (BMI), and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification. After accounting for potential confounders, adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained from Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: We identified 1755 cases of osteoporotic hip fracture. The cumulative mortality rate 1 year after fracture was 14.4%. Older age (aHR 3.50; 95% CI 2.13-5.76 for ≥ 90 vs 50-69), higher ASA score (aHR 5.21; 95% CI 3.09-8.77 for ASA 4-5 vs 1-2), and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander (NHPI) race (aHR 1.84; 95% CI 1.10-3.07 vs. White) were independently associated with higher mortality risk. Female sex (aHR 0.64; 95% CI 0.49-0.84 vs male sex) and higher BMI (aHR 0.35; 95% CI 0.18-0.68 for obese vs underweight) were associated with lower mortality risk. CONCLUSION: In our study, men, older adults, higher ASA score, lower BMI, and NHPI race were associated with significantly higher mortality risk after osteoporotic hip fracture. NHPIs are an especially vulnerable group and comprise a significant portion of Hawai'i's population. Further research is needed to address the causes of higher mortality and interventions to reduce hip fractures and associated mortality.

Sex differences and predictors of anti-osteoporosis medication use in the 12 months after hip fracture surgery in adults 65 or older.

PURPOSE: This study evaluates sex differences and predictors of anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) use following a hip fracture, with a focus on older men who exhibit higher mortality rates post-fracture compared to women over the age of 65. METHODS: Participants included 151 men and 161 women aged 65 and older with hip fractures. The outcome, AOM use, was assessed at baseline (≤ 22 days of hospitalization) and at 2, 6, and 12 months post-hip fracture. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) modeled sex differences and predictors of AOM use during the year post-fracture in 255 participants with complete baseline data and ≥ 1 follow-up observation. RESULTS: Of the 312 participants, only 53 used AOM at baseline, and 35 initiated use during follow-up. In the unadjusted GEE model, AOM use was significantly less likely in men (OR = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.22-0.78) compared to women. For both men and women, baseline use of AOM was a significant predictor (OR = 28.3; 95% CI, 5.4-148.0 vs. 41.6; 95% CI, 14.0-123.0). The other significant predictors by sex were osteoporosis diagnosis (OR = 3.19; 95% CI, 1.16-8.77) and minimal alcohol use (OR = 3.26; 95% CI, 1.34-7.94) for women versus age (OR = 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18) for men. CONCLUSION: In older adults with hip fractures, AOM use is low over the year post-fracture and men are less likely to report AOM use compared to women which has implications for important sex differences in predictors of use. Further research is needed to address overall disparities and sex differences in AOM use.

Handgrip strength as a predictor of 1­year mortality after hip fracture surgery in the Colombian Andes Mountains.

Hip fracture is a public health problem recognized worldwide and a potentially catastrophic threat for older persons, even carrying a demonstrated excess of mortality. Handgrip strength (HGS) has been identified as a predictor of different outcomes (mainly mortality and disability) in several groups with hip fracture. PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine the association between low HGS and 1-year mortality in a cohort of older patients over 60 years old with fragility hip fractures who underwent surgery in the Colombian Andes Mountains. METHODS: A total of 126 patients (median age 81 years, women 77%) with a fragility hip fracture during 2019-2020 were admitted to a tertiary care hospital. HGS was measured using dynamometry upon admission, and data about sociodemographic, clinical and functional, laboratory, and surgical intervention variables were collected. They were followed up until discharge. Those who survived were contacted by telephone at one, three, and 12 months. Bivariate, multivariate, and Kaplan-Meier analyses with survival curves were performed. RESULTS: The prevalence of low HGS in the cohort was 71.4%, and these patients were older, had poorer functional and cognitive status, higher comorbidity, higher surgical risk, time from admission to surgery > 72 h, lower hemoglobin and albumin values, and greater intra-hospital mortality at one and three months (all p < 0.01). Mortality at one year in in patients with low HGS was 42.2% and 8.3% in those with normal HGS, with a statistically significant difference (p = 0.000). In the multivariate analysis, low HGS and dependent gait measured by Functional Ambulation Classification (FAC) were the factors affecting postoperative 1-year mortality in older adults with hip fractures. CONCLUSION: In this study of older people with fragility hip fractures, low HGS and dependent gait were independent predictive markers of 1-year mortality.

Differences in femoral fracture localizations in men and women in Switzerland between 1998 and 2021-reversal of the secular trend?

Number and age-standardized incidences of femoral fractures by sex and localization were determined annually between 1998 and 2021 in subjects aged 45 years or older living in Switzerland. The number and incidences of femoral neck, pertrochanteric, subtrochanteric, and femoral shaft fractures followed distinct unexpected trend patterns. INTRODUCTION: Long-term incidence trends for femoral fractures by individual localizations are unknown. METHODS: Annual absolute number of hospitalizations and median age at hospital admission between 1998 and 2021 were extracted from the medical database of the Swiss Federal Office of Statistics by sex and 10-year age groups for the following 10th International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes: femoral neck (ICD-10 S72.0), pertrochanteric (S72.1), subtrochanteric (S72.2), and femoral shaft fractures (S72.3). Age-standardized incidence rates (ASI) and corresponding trends were calculated. RESULTS: Over 24 years, the number of femoral neck fractures increased in men (+ 45%) but decreased in women (- 7%) with ASI significantly decreasing by 20% and 37% (p < 0.001 for trend for both), respectively. By contrast, the number of pertrochanteric fractures increased by 67% and 45% in men and women, respectively, corresponding to a horizontal ASI-trend in men (n.s.) and a modest significant decreasing ASI-trend in women (p < 0.001). The number of subtrochanteric fractures increased in both sexes with corresponding modest significant reductions in ASI-trends (p = 0.015 and 0.002, respectively). Femoral shaft fractures almost doubled in men (+ 71%) and doubled in women (+ 100%) with corresponding significant increases in ASI-trends (p = 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Age at admission increased for all fracture localizations, more so in men than in women and more so for subtrochanteric and shaft fractures than for "typical" hip fractures. CONCLUSION: Incidence changes of pertrochanteric fractures and femoral shaft fractures deserve increased attention, especially in men. Pooling diagnostic codes for defining hip fractures may hide differing patterns by localization and sex.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of preoperative predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery.

Hip fractures are a global health problem with a high postoperative mortality rate. Preoperative predictors for early mortality could be used to optimise and personalise healthcare strategies. This study aimed to identify predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery. Cohort studies examining independent preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery were identified through a systematic search on Scopus and PubMed. Predictors for 30-day mortality were the primary outcome, and predictors for mortality within 1 year were secondary outcomes. Primary outcomes were analysed with random-effects meta-analyses. Confidence in the cumulative evidence was assessed using the GRADE criteria. Secondary outcomes were synthesised narratively. Thirty-three cohort studies involving 462,699 patients were meta-analysed. Five high-quality evidence predictors for 30-day mortality were identified: age per year (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.07), ASA score ≥ 3 (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.12-3.42), male gender (OR: 2.00, 95% CI: 1.85-2.18), institutional residence (OR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.31-2.49), and metastatic cancer (OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.58-3.10). Additionally, six moderate-quality evidence predictors were identified: chronic renal failure, dementia, diabetes, low haemoglobin, heart failures, and a history of any malignancy. Weak evidence was found for non-metastatic cancer. This review found relevant preoperative predictors which could be used to identify patients who are at high risk of 30-day mortality following hip fracture surgery. For some predictors, the prognostic value could be increased by further subcategorising the conditions by severity.

Validation of the Geriatrics at Risk Score (GeRi-Score) on 120-day follow-up, the influence of preoperative geriatric visits, and the time to surgery on the outcome of hip fracture patients: an analysis from the Registry for Geriatric Trauma (ATR-DGU).

A validation of the GeRi-Score on 120-day mortality, the impact of a pre-operative visit by a geriatrician, and timing of surgery on the outcome was conducted. The score has predictive value for 120-day mortality. No advantage was found for surgery within 24 h or a preoperative geriatric visit. PURPOSE: Numerous tools predict mortality among patients with hip fractures, but they include many variables, require time-consuming assessment, and are difficult to calculate. The GeRi-Score provides a quick method of pre-operative assessment. The aim of this study is to validate the score in the 120-day follow-up and determine the impact of a pre-operative visit by a geriatrician and timing of surgery on the patient outcome. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the AltersTraumaRegister DGU® from 2017 to 2021 was conducted, including all proximal femur fractures. The patients were divided into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups based on the GeRi-Score. Mortality was analyzed using logistic regression. To determine the influence of the time to surgery and the preoperative visit by a geriatrician, matching was performed using the exact GeRi-Score, preoperative walking ability, type of fracture, and the time to surgery. RESULTS: The study included 38,570 patients, divided into 12,673 low-risk, 18,338 moderate-risk, and 7,559 high-risk patients. The moderate-risk group had three times the mortality risk of the low-risk group (OR 3.19 (95% CI 2.68-3.79; p<0.001)), while the high-risk group had almost eight times the mortality risk than the low-risk group (OR 7.82 (95% CI 6.51-9.93; p<0.001)). No advantage was found for surgery within the first 24 h across all groups. There was a correlation of a preoperative geriatric visit and mortality showing an increase in the moderate and high-risk group on in-house mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The GeRi-Score has predictive value for 120-day mortality. No advantage was found for surgery within 24 h. The analysis did not demonstrate a benefit of the preoperative geriatric visit, but more data are needed.

Educational gradient in hip fracture incidence in Norway. The Norwegian Epidemiologic Osteoporosis Studies (NOREPOS).

Examining fracture dynamics by socioeconomic status may inform healthcare and prevention. We found a higher risk of hip fracture in men and women with lower educational level in Norway. However, by age 90 + years, the cumulative incidence was higher in those with higher education, due to their higher life expectancy. PURPOSE: Socioeconomic gradients are seen for several health outcomes in high-income countries. We aimed to examine possible educational gradients in risk of hip fracture in Norway and to describe the cumulative incidence of hip fracture by educational level. METHODS: In a population-wide cohort of Norwegians aged ≥ 50 years, information on attained education from Statistics Norway was linked to hospital-treated hip fractures and deaths during 2002-2019. We estimated relative fracture risk by educational level (primary, secondary or tertiary) in Cox proportional hazards regression. We also examined the cumulative incidence over attained age by gender and educational level in competing risk regression. RESULTS: The population included N = 1,389,858 individuals with 135,938 incident hip fractures. Compared with men who had attained tertiary education, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for hip fracture were 1.44 (1.40, 1.49) in men with primary education only and 1.26 (1.22, 1.29) in men with secondary education. In women, the corresponding estimates were 1.28 (1.25, 1.31) and 1.16 (1.13, 1.19). In the age range 50 to 90 years, the highest cumulative incidence of hip fracture was seen in those with primary education. The gradient gradually diminished with advancing age and was reversed in the oldest (> 90 years) in both genders. CONCLUSIONS: There was a clear educational gradient in hip fracture incidence in both men and women in Norway, with a higher risk in people with lower education. Despite this, the cumulative incidence of hip fracture in old age was highest among people with higher education, due to their higher life expectancy.

A new hip fracture risk index derived from FEA-computed proximal femur fracture loads and energies-to-failure.

Hip fracture risk assessment is an important but challenging task. Quantitative CT-based patient-specific finite element (FE) analysis (FEA) incorporates bone geometry and bone density in the proximal femur. We developed a global FEA-computed fracture risk index to increase the prediction accuracy of hip fracture incidence. PURPOSE: Quantitative CT-based patient-specific finite element (FE) analysis (FEA) incorporates bone geometry and bone density in the proximal femur to compute the force (fracture load) and energy necessary to break the proximal femur in a particular loading condition. The fracture loads and energies-to-failure are individually associated with incident hip fracture, and provide different structural information about the proximal femur. METHODS: We used principal component analysis (PCA) to develop a global FEA-computed fracture risk index that incorporates the FEA-computed yield and ultimate failure loads and energies-to-failure in four loading conditions of 110 hip fracture subjects and 235 age- and sex-matched control subjects from the AGES-Reykjavik study. Using a logistic regression model, we compared the prediction performance for hip fracture based on the stratified resampling. RESULTS: We referred the first principal component (PC1) of the FE parameters as the global FEA-computed fracture risk index, which was the significant predictor of hip fracture (p-value < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) using PC1 (0.776) was higher than that using all FE parameters combined (0.737) in the males (p-value < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The global FEA-computed fracture risk index increased hip fracture risk prediction accuracy in males.

Trabecular bone mineral density as measured by thoracic vertebrae predicts incident hip and vertebral fractures: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis.

We evaluated the relationship of bone mineral density (BMD) by computed tomography (CT), to predict fractures in a multi-ethnic population. We demonstrated that vertebral and hip fractures were more likely in those patients with low BMD. This is one of the first studies to demonstrate that CT BMD derived from thoracic vertebrae can predict future hip and vertebral fractures. PURPOSE/INTRODUCTION: Osteoporosis affects an enormous number of patients, of all races and both sexes, and its prevalence increases as the population ages. Few studies have evaluated the association between the vertebral trabecular bone mineral density(vBMD) and osteoporosis-related hip fracture in a multiethnic population, and no studies have demonstrated the predictive value of vBMD for fractures. METHOD: We sought to determine the predictive value of QCT-based trabecular vBMD of thoracic vertebrae derived from coronary artery calcium scan for hip fractures in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis(MESA), a nationwide multicenter cohort included 6814 people from six medical centers across the USA and assess if low bone density by QCT can predict future fractures. Measures were done using trabecular bone measures, adjusted for individual patients, from three consecutive thoracic vertebrae (BDI Inc, Manhattan Beach CA, USA) from non-contrast cardiac CT scans. RESULTS: Six thousand eight hundred fourteen MESA baseline participants were included with a mean age of 62.2 ± 10.2 years, and 52.8% were women. The mean thoracic BMD is 162.6 ± 46.8 mg/cm3 (95% CI 161.5, 163.7), and 27.6% of participants (n = 1883) had osteoporosis (T-score 2.5 or lower). Over a median follow-up of 17.4 years, Caucasians have a higher rate of vertebral fractures (6.9%), followed by Blacks (4.4%), Hispanics (3.7%), and Chinese (3.0%). Hip fracture patients had a lower baseline vBMD as measured by QCT than the non-hip fracture group by 13.6 mg/cm3 [P < 0.001]. The same pattern was seen in the vertebral fracture population, where the mean BMD was substantially lower 18.3 mg/cm3 [P < 0.001] than in the non-vertebral fracture population. Notably, the above substantial relationship was unaffected by age, gender, race, BMI, hypertension, current smoking, medication use, or activity. Patients with low trabecular BMD of thoracic vertebrae showed a 1.57-fold greater risk of first hip fracture (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.38-1.95) and a nearly threefold increased risk of first vertebral fracture (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.87-4.59) compared to normal BMD patients. CONCLUSION: There is significant correlation between thoracic trabecular BMD and the incidence of future hip and vertebral fracture. This study demonstrates that thoracic vertebrae BMD, as measured on cardiac CT (QCT), can predict both hip and vertebral fractures without additional radiation, scanning, or patient burden. Osteopenia and osteoporosis are markedly underdiagnosed. Finding occult disease affords the opportunity to treat the millions of people undergoing CT scans every year for other indications.