Longitudinal natural history studies based on real-world data in rare diseases: Opportunity and a novel approach.

Growing interest in therapeutic development for rare diseases necessitate a systematic approach to the collection and curation of natural history data that can be applied consistently across this group of heterogenous rare diseases. In this study, we discuss the challenges facing natural history studies for leukodystrophies and detail a novel standardized approach to creating a longitudinal natural history study using existing medical records. Prospective studies are uniquely challenging for rare diseases. Delays in diagnosis and overall rarity limit the timely collection of natural history data. When feasible, prospective studies are often cross-sectional rather than longitudinal and are unlikely to capture pre- or early- symptomatic disease trajectories, limiting their utility in characterizing the full natural history of the disease. Therapeutic development in leukodystrophies is subject to these same obstacles. The Global Leukodystrophy Initiative Clinical Trials Network (GLIA-CTN) comprises of a network of research institutions across the United States, supported by a multi-center biorepository protocol, to map the longitudinal clinical course of disease across leukodystrophies. As part of GLIA-CTN, we developed Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) that delineated all study processes related to staff training, source documentation, and data sharing. Additionally, the SOP detailed the standardized approach to data extraction including diagnosis, clinical presentation, and medical events, such as age at gastrostomy tube placement. The key variables for extraction were selected through face validity, and common electronic case report forms (eCRF) across leukodystrophies were created to collect analyzable data. To enhance the depth of the data, clinical notes are extracted into "original" and "imputed" encounters, with imputed encounter referring to a historic event (e.g., loss of ambulation 3 months prior). Retrospective Functional Assessments were assigned by child neurologists, using a blinded dual-rater approach and score discrepancies were adjudicated by a third rater. Upon completion of extraction, data source verification is performed. Data missingness was evaluated using statistics. The proposed methodology will enable us to leverage existing medical records to address the persistent gap in natural history data within this unique disease group, allow for assessment of clinical trajectory both pre- and post-formal diagnosis, and promote recruitment of larger cohorts.

The Landscape of NIAID-funded Observational COVID-19 Cohort Studies.

The spread of SARS-CoV-2 since late 2019 represented an unprecedented public health emergency, which included a need to fully understand COVID-19 disease across all ages and populations. In response, the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) rapidly funded epidemiology studies that monitored COVID-19. However, the diversity and breadth of the populations studied in NIAID-funded COVID-19 observational cohorts were not easy to extrapolate because of siloed approaches to collect and report data within NIAID. Here, we describe the effort to develop a harmonized cohort study reporting tool that includes common epidemiological data elements as well as NIAID priorities. We report its implementation to analyze metadata from 58 COVID-19 cohort studies funded February 2020 to June 2021, visualize key metadata including geographic distribution, study duration, participant demographics, sample types collected, and scientific priorities addressed. A bibliographic analysis highlights the scientific publications and citations across these funded studies and demonstrates their enormous impact on the COVID-19 field. These analyses highlight how common data elements and reporting tools can assist funding agencies to capture the landscape and potential gaps during public health responses and how they can assist in decision making.

Multiple Sclerosis Progressive Courses: A Clinical Cohort Long-Term Disability Progression Study.

OBJECTIVES: Improving the understanding of multiple sclerosis (MS) mechanism and disability progression over time is essential to assess the value of healthcare interventions. Poor or no data on disability progression are available for progressive courses. This study aims to fill this gap. METHODS: An observational cohort study of patients with primary MS (PPMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) was conducted on 2 Italian MS centers disease registries over an observational time of 34 years. Annual transition probabilities among Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) states were estimated using continuous Markov models. A sensitivity analysis was performed in relation to clinical characteristic associated to disability progression. RESULTS: The study cohort included 758 patients (274 PPMS and 434 SPMS) with a median follow-up of 8.2 years. Annual transition probability matrices of SPMS and PPMS reported different annual probabilities to move within EDSS levels. Excluding EDSS associated to relapse events or patient with relapses, the annual probability of staying stable in an EDSS level increased in both disease courses even not significantly. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides estimates of annual disability progression as EDSS changes for PPMS and SPMS. These estimates could be a useful tool for healthcare decision makers and clinicians to properly assess impact of clinical interventions.

Clinical and MRI characteristics of multiple sclerosis in patients of Middle Eastern and North African ancestry residing in Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) incidence is rising in traditionally low-burden regions, including the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to evaluate disease characteristics in MS patients of MENA descent (MENA-MS). METHODS: MENA-MS patients and age- and sex-matched MS patients of European descent (EUR-MS) were identified through the MS Clinic Registry of St. Michael's Hospital in Toronto, Canada. Disease activity and severity were evaluated by the annualized relapse rate (ARR), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity, change in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), progression index (PI), and MS Severity Score (MSSS). RESULTS: All MS patients within the registry identified to be of MENA origin (n = 192), and age- and sex-matched EUR-MS patients were included. Mean age was 42.9 years, 67% female. A total of 25% and 24% of EUR-MS and MENA-MS had progressive disease, with similar mean disease durations (11.5 and 11.4 years, respectively). Clinical and radiological disease activity (ARR, proportion with new/enlarging MRI lesions) was similar. MENA-MS showed greater disability progression over time (EDSS change = 0.24 vs. 0.06, p = 0.01), a higher MSSS (3.12 vs. 2.67, p = 0.04), and higher PI (0.34 vs. 0.27, p = 0.07). CONCLUSION: MENA-MS patients demonstrate higher disease severity compared to EUR-MS patients, despite having similar inflammatory measures of disease activity, with disability progression in the absence of relapses. These observations illustrate the importance of the intersections of environmental, socioeconomic, and genetic determinants in optimizing individualized MS care.

Cognitive decline in older adults with epilepsy: The Cardiovascular Health Study.

OBJECTIVE: Cognitive decline is a major concern for older adults with epilepsy. Whether and how much faster older adults with epilepsy experience cognitive decline beyond expected age-related cognitive change remain unclear. We sought to estimate and compare rates of cognitive decline in older adults with and without epilepsy. METHODS: The Cardiovascular Health Study is a population-based longitudinal cohort study of 5888 US adults aged 65+. Cognitive function was assessed annually with Modified Mini-Mental State Exam (3MS) and Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST). We used linear mixed models to estimate average rates of decline in 3MS and DSST scores by epilepsy status (prevalent, incident, or no epilepsy), adjusted for risk factors associated with cognitive decline. RESULTS: The rate of decline in 3MS was significantly faster in prevalent epilepsy (P < .001) and after incident epilepsy (P = .002) compared with no epilepsy. Prevalent epilepsy and apolipoprotein E gene (APOE) ε4 (ApoE4) had a synergistic interaction, whereby prevalent epilepsy and ApoE4 together were associated with 1.51 points faster annual decline in 3MS than would be expected if prevalent epilepsy and ApoE4 did not interact (P < .001). Older adults with prevalent epilepsy had a significantly lower initial DSST score and faster rate of decline compared to those with no epilepsy (P < .001). SIGNIFICANCE: Faster decline in global cognitive ability seen in this study validates concerns of patients. ApoE4 allele status was an effect modifier of the relationship between cognitive decline and prevalent epilepsy. Further research is warranted to explore biological mechanisms and possible interventions to mitigate cognitive decline.

Peripheral nerve neurolymphomatosis: Clinical features, treatment, and outcomes.

This series characterises nine patients with neurohistopathologically proven peripheral nerve neurolymphomatosis. A search of the hospital neuropathology database from 2002 to 2019 identified biopsy proven cases. Clinical data, investigation modalities, treatments, and outcomes were collated. Median age at neuropathy onset was 47 y, the neuropathy commonly as the initial lymphoma disease manifestation. Most (8/9) presented with painful asymmetrical sensory disturbance, with additional cranial nerve involvement in three. Neurophysiology typically demonstrated multiple axonal mononeuropathies. Cerebrospinal fluid protein was often raised (6/8). Magnetic resonance imaging suggested peripheral nerve infiltration in 6/9 and positron emission tomography CT in 4/9. Bone marrow biopsy was abnormal in 6/8. Treatment involved systemic or intrathecal chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Median survival was 23 mo. Neurolymphomatosis is a rare but important cause of neuropathy, particularly in those lacking systemic evidence of lymphoma as correct aggressive treatment can prolong survival. Nerve biopsy is essential to classify lymphoma type and rule out alternatives.

Magnetic resonance imaging correlates with electrical impedance myography in facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy.

INTRODUCTION: Electrical impedance myography (EIM) has been proposed as a noninvasive biomarker of muscle composition in facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD). Here we determine the associations of EIM variables with muscle structure measured by MRI. METHODS: We evaluated 20 patients with FSHD at two centers, comparing EIM measurements (resistance, reactance, and phase at 50, 100, and 211 kHZ) recorded from bilateral vastus lateralis, tibialis anterior, and medial gastrocnemius muscles to MRI skin and subcutaneous fat thickness, MRI T1-based muscle severity score (T1 muscle score), and MRI quantitative intramuscular Dixon fat fraction (FF). RESULTS: While reactance and phase both correlated with FF and T1 muscle score, 50 kHz reactance was most sensitive to muscle structure alterations measured by both T1 score (ρ = -0.71, P < .001) and FF (ρ = -0.74, P < .001). DISCUSSION: This study establishes the correlation of EIM with structural MRI features in FSHD and supports further evaluation of EIM as a potential biomarker in FSHD clinical trials.

Premature mortality in persons with epilepsy and schizophrenia: A population-based nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the mortality for persons with epilepsy and schizophrenia by absolute and relative measures. METHODS: This is a population-based nationwide cohort study of persons born in Denmark from 1960 to 1987 who were alive and residing in Denmark on their 25th birthday. We identified persons diagnosed with epilepsy and schizophrenia prior to their 25th birthday and followed them to death, emigration, or December 31, 2012, whichever came first. The primary outcome was overall mortality. Data were analyzed using Cox regressions. RESULTS: Persons were followed for 24 167 573 person years; the median was 15 years. The mortality rate ratio was 4.4 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.1-4.7) for persons with epilepsy, 6.6 (95% CI = 6.1-7.1) for persons with schizophrenia, and 12.8 (95% CI = 9.1-18.1) for persons with both disorders, compared with persons without these disorders. The estimated cumulative mortality at the age of 50 years was 3.1% (95% CI = 3.0-3.1) for persons without epilepsy and schizophrenia, 10.7% (95% CI = 9.7-11.8) for persons with epilepsy, 17.4% (95% CI = 16.0-18.8) for persons with schizophrenia, and 27.2% (95% CI = 15.7-40.1) for persons with both disorders. SIGNIFICANCE: Persons with epilepsy and schizophrenia have very high mortality; more than one in four persons with both disorders died between the age of 25 and 50 years, indicating that these patients need special clinical attention.

Neurocognitive clinical outcome assessments for inborn errors of metabolism and other rare conditions.

Well-defined and reliable clinical outcome assessments are essential for determining whether a drug provides clinically meaningful treatment benefit for patients. In 2015, FDA convened a workshop, "Assessing Neurocognitive Outcomes in Inborn Errors of Metabolism." Topics covered included special challenges of clinical studies of inborn errors of metabolism (IEMs) and other rare diseases; complexities of identifying treatment effects in the context of the dynamic processes of child development and disease progression; and the importance of natural history studies. Clinicians, parents/caregivers, and participants from industry, academia, and government discussed factors to consider when developing measures to assess treatment outcomes, as well as tools and methods that may contribute to standardizing measures. Many issues examined are relevant to the broader field of rare diseases in addition to specifics of IEMs.

Vitamin D levels and risk of multiple sclerosis in patients with clinically isolated syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Growing evidence suggests that vitamin D deficiency may be one of the most important environmental factors for the development of multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this paper are to evaluate serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels in patients with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) and to examine whether they are related to MS risk. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of 100 CIS patients hospitalized from 2000 to 2009 at San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy. We evaluated baseline 25(OH)D level as well as clinical, brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) data. RESULTS: A total of 52% of CIS patients had vitamin D deficiency (25(OH)D < 50 nmol/l). During follow-up (median: 7.17 years), 55 patients developed clinically definite MS (CDMS). Patients with very low (< 10th percentile) and low (< 25th percentile) 25(OH)D levels were particularly at risk of CDMS (HRs (95% CIs): 2.12 (0.91-4.96) and 1.61 (0.85-3.03), respectively), while no further reduction in the HRs of disease was observed at high levels of 25(OH)D. This association was even stronger after adjustment for additional risk factors for CDMS development (HRs (95% CIs) for 25(OH)D levels < 10th and 25th percentiles: 3.34 (1.32-8.45) and 2.04 (0.96-4.36), respectively). CONCLUSION: Low serum vitamin D is associated with increased MS risk in patients with CIS.

Clinical and MRI characteristics of multiple sclerosis in Iranian Children and Adolescents.

Objective: To determine the clinical and MRI characteristics of multiple sclerosis (MS) in the children and adolescents. Material & Methods: In this cross-sectional study, information of 95 MS patients was obtained from the Iranian MS registry. Disease characteristics and imaging data were collected using medical records. Results: Ninety-five patients including 64 female and 31 male subjects with mean age of 13.97±2.4 years (range, 8-18) years were enrolled. The most frequent signs and symptoms were ophthalmic symptoms (n=61, 64.2%), brainstem signs (n=44, 46.3%), cerebellar signs (n=32, 33.6%) and pyramidal signs (n=26, 27.3%). Blurred vision (n=21, 34.4%) was the most common ophthalmic symptom and ataxia (n=24, 75%) the most prevalent cerebellar sign. The most common brainstem signs/symptoms were motor symptoms and vertigo (each n=14, 31.8%) and the most common pyramidal sign/symptom was right upper monoparesis (n=14, 23.3%). Active demyelinating lesions were reported in brain MRI of all patients, mostly appeared as periventricular (n=91, 95.8%) and pericallosal (n=55, 57.9%) lesions. Acute demyelinating spinal lesions were presented in 38 patients (51.3%) with a prominent involvement of the cervical spine (n=33, 86.8%). Conclusion: In our study, the most frequent signs and symptoms were eye symptoms, brainstem signs, cerebellar signs and pyramidal signs, respectively. Moreover, our results showed that MRI plays a critical role in the diagnostic evaluation of MS in children with presence of brain lesions in all patients and spinal lesion in a considerable portion of patients.

Age differences in trajectories of self-rated health of young people with Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence has suggested an existence of a multiple sclerosis (MS) prodrome. Hence, some young adults with MS are very likely to have had symptoms in childhood or adolescence. It is, therefore, reasonable to assume that people aged under 25 years with MS might have had pediatric-onset. In contrast, young people aged between 26 and 35 are less likely to have had pediatric-onset. Contrasting these two groups of people could lead to valuable information about the impact of MS over time. The purpose of this study is to characterize how self-rated health (SRH) in young people with MS changed over time and to estimate the extent to which SRH differs between age groups (18 to 25 years and 26 to 35 years) and sex. METHODS: This study utilized placebo arm data from the Multiple Sclerosis Outcome Assessment Consortium database. Responses to the RAND-36 SRH item of 393 participants were included. Group-based trajectory models (GBTM) were used to identify patterns of change over two years. Ordinal regression was performed to estimate whether these trajectory groups differed by age group, sex, and relapse event. RESULTS: Results of GBTM showed that all groups were stable over time except one progressing from a rating of "very good" to "excellent". Posterior probabilities showed that 35% of people consistently rated their health "very good or excellent" and 2% consistently rated their health as "poor". Health perceptions differed across age groups (ß = 0.5, OR: 1.7 CI: 1.1, 2.6) but not sex (ß = -0.1, OR: 0.9 CI: 0.6 1.3). Compared to the younger group, people aged 26 to 35 years are 1.7 times more likely to rate their health poorer. People with relapses are also 2.2 times more likely to rate their health poorer (ß = 0.8, OR: 2.2 CI: 1.5, 3.2). CONCLUSION: Trajectories of SRH of young people with MS were relatively stable. In the absence of drug treatment, people in the younger group (<25 years) rated their health better than those in a slightly older group which is consistent with lower disability.

Anxiety-like behavior and anxiolytic treatment in the Rett syndrome natural history study.

BACKGROUND: Rett syndrome (RTT) is a neurodevelopmental disorder most often related to a pathogenic variant in the X-linked MECP2 gene. Internalizing behaviors appear to be common, but standard methods of diagnosing anxiety are not readily applied in this population which typically has cognitive impairment and limited expressive language. This study aims to describe the frequency of anxiety-like behavior and anxiolytic treatments along with associated clinical features in individuals with RTT. METHODS: Parental reports and medication logs provided data from 1380 females with RTT participating in two iterations of the multicenter U.S. RTT Natural History Study (RNHS) from 2006 to 2019. RESULTS: Most participants with RTT (77.5%) had at least occasional anxious or nervous behavior. Anxiety was reported to be the most troublesome concern for 2.6%, and within the top 3 concerns for 10.0%, of participants in the second iteration. Parents directly reported treatment for anxious or nervous behavior in 16.6% of participants in the second iteration with most reporting good control of the behavior (71.6%). In the medication logs of both RNHS iterations, the indication of anxiety was listed for a similar number of participants (15% and 14.5%, respectively). Increased use of anxiolytics and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) was related to more frequent anxiety-like behaviors (P < 0.001), older age (P < 0.001), and mild MECP2 variants (P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Anxiety-like behavior is frequent at all ages and is a significant parental concern in RTT. Older individuals and those with mild MECP2 variants are more likely to be treated with medications. Better diagnosis and treatment of anxiety in RTT should be a goal of both future studies and clinical care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00299312 and NCT02738281.

Natural History Studies in NCL and Their Expanding Role in Drug Development: Experiences From CLN2 Disease and Relevance for Clinical Trials.

Conducting clinical trials in rare diseases is challenging. In trials that aim to use natural history control cohorts for evaluation of efficacy, lack of data on natural history of disease prolongs development of future therapies significantly. Therefore, collection of valid natural history data in clinical settings is needed to advance drug development. These data need to fulfill requirements on type of collection, quantifiable measures on the course of disease, verification and monitoring as well as compliance to strict data protection and sharing policies. Disease registries can be a source for patient data. Late-infantile CLN2 disease is characterized by rapid psychomotor decline and epilepsy. Natural-history data of 140 genotype-confirmed CLN2 patients from two independent, international cohorts were analyzed in a natural history study. Both datasets included quantitative ratings with disease-specific clinical scores. Among 41 patients for whom longitudinal assessments spanning an extended disease course were available within the DEM-CHILD DB (an international NCL disease patient database, NCT04613089), a rapid loss of motor and language abilities was documented in quantitative detail. Data showed that the course of disease in late-infantile CLN2 disease is highly predictable with regard to the loss of language and motor function and that the results were homogeneous across multiple and international sites. These data were accepted by EMA and FDA as valid natural-history controls for the evaluation of efficacy in experimental therapies for CLN2 disease and led to an expedited approval of intracerebroventricular enzyme replacement therapy with cerliponase alpha in May 2017.

Genetic Testing in Natural History Studies: A Review of the Regulatory and Legal Landscape.

BACKGROUND: Natural history (NH) studies, using observational methods, are common in rare and orphan diseases (80% of which have a genetic component). There is profound interest in identifying genetic mutations driving these diseases in these studies to support the formulation of targeted precision medicines. The global regulatory classification of NH studies with novel molecular biomarker collection has not been clearly delineated, presenting researchers with the challenge of determining how these studies are classified and regulated across multiple geographies. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this investigation was to conduct a review of regulations related to NH studies and genetic testing to elucidate regulatory pathways to inform clinical researchers in the field. METHODS: Regulatory provisions for NH studies and genetic testing were obtained from Pharmaceutical Product Development (PPD)'s propriety regulatory intelligence database and by surveying the company's country-specific regulatory experts. A literature search was conducted in the Google Scholar search engine and PubMed for supplementary information. RESULTS: Nineteen countries were evaluated; 37% classified NH studies with biomarker collection as noninterventional and 26% required regulatory approval (increasing to 47% when molecular biomarker testing was introduced). No regulatory provisions for genetic testing could be identified in 32% of countries, and 58% did not have binding requirements for genetic counseling. CONCLUSION: Lack of harmonization of regulations governing NH studies with molecular biomarker collection contributes to the operational complexity of conducting multinational studies in orphan and rare diseases. A set of harmonized international guidelines for these studies would improve efficiency, and this may be on the horizon with the recent adaption of International Conference on Harmonisation (ICH) guideline E18.

Longitudinal analysis of disability outcomes among young people with MS.

BACKGROUND: The age of onset of MS appears to influence the course of disease progression and people with younger age of onset might have a different disability trajectory. OBJECTIVES: To identify longitudinal patterns of disability progression, as measured by changes in the Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (MSFC), of young people in MS drug trials and to estimate the extent to which disability progression differ in two age groups (≤25 years and 26 - 35 years). METHODS: Data from the Multiple Sclerosis Outcomes Assessment Consortium (MSOAC) was used. Longitudinal patterns on the MSFC were identified using group-based trajectory models (GBTM). For difference between the expected and observed proportions of people with pediatric-onset MS chi-square statistic was used. Linear mixed models were used to estimate the average change in performance over time, age and sex. RESULTS: GBTM results showed little variability in performance over time. Mixed modeling showed that the younger group performed better for gait speed, dexterity, and cognition. Men performed poorer on dexterity and cognition. Distribution of people with pediatric-onset MS differed from expected on dexterity, cognition, and the EDSS. CONCLUSIONS: The combined use of trajectory models and linear mixed models provided rich information about the variability in function over time.

Natural History Studies and Clinical Trial Readiness for Genetic Developmental and Epileptic Encephalopathies.

The developmental and epileptic encephalopathies (DEEs) are the most severe group of epilepsies. They usually begin in infancy or childhood with drug-resistant seizures, epileptiform EEG patterns, developmental slowing or regression, and cognitive impairment. DEEs have a high mortality and profound morbidity; comorbidities are common including autism spectrum disorders. With advances in genetic sequencing, over 400 genes have been implicated in DEEs, with a genetic cause now identified in over 50% patients. Each genetic DEE typically has a broad genotypic-phenotypic spectrum, based on the underlying pathophysiology. There is a pressing need to improve health outcomes by developing novel targeted therapies for specific genetic DEE phenotypes that not only improve seizure control, but also developmental outcomes and comorbidities. Clinical trial readiness relies firstly on a deep understanding of phenotype-genotype correlation and evolution of a condition over time, in order to select appropriate patients for clinical trials. Understanding the natural history of the disorder informs assessment of treatment efficacy in terms of both clinical outcome and biomarker utility. Natural history studies (NHS) provide a high quality, integrated, comprehensive approach to understanding a complex disease and underpin clinical trial design for novel therapies. NHS are pre-planned observational studies designed to track the course of a disease and identify demographic, genetic, environmental, and other variables, including biomarkers, that correlate with the disease's evolution and outcomes. Due to the rarity of individual genetic DEEs, appropriately funded high-quality DEE NHS will be required, with sustainable frameworks and equitable access to affected individuals globally.

Natural history of generalized motor seizures: A retrospective analysis.

PURPOSE: This study aims to characterize the natural history of generalized motor seizures through longitudinal stratification of patient-reported clinical seizures into high, medium and low rates of generalized motor seizures (also known as generalized tonic-clonic seizures or GTCs). METHODS: From 2007 to 2018, 1.4 million seizures were recorded by 12,402 SeizureTracker.com users that met inclusion/exclusion criteria. The number of GTCs per year since the first seizure diary entry was calculated for each user and categorized as: Low (0 GTCs/year), Medium (1-2 GTCs/year), or High (>3 GTCs/year) GTC rates. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the time until exiting the initial category were computed. There was a global difference between risk groups (p < 0.01). Further pairwise log rank tests revealed a difference between each pair of risk groups (p < 0.01). At 3 years, 40.8% of people initially presenting with high GTC rates remained in their initial category, while 77.3% of people initially presenting with low GTC rates remained in their initial category. CONCLUSION: A patient with a low rate of GTCs is likely to remain at low risk for future GTCs, whereas higher GTC rate patients (at least one GTC/year) may leave their initial risk stratification. Thus, yearly re-assessment may be prudent when considering risk of further GTCs. Given the association between higher yearly rates of GTCs with increased SUDEP risk and morbidity in epilepsy, further validation of these findings is important for prognostication.

Bedside EEG predicts longitudinal behavioural changes in disorders of consciousness.

Providing an accurate prognosis for prolonged disorder of consciousness (pDOC) patients remains a clinical challenge. Large cross-sectional studies have demonstrated the diagnostic and prognostic value of functional brain networks measured using high-density electroencephalography (hdEEG). Nonetheless, the prognostic value of these neural measures has yet to be assessed by longitudinal follow-up. We address this gap by assessing the utility of hdEEG to prognosticate long-term behavioural outcome, employing longitudinal data collected from a cohort of patients assessed systematically with resting hdEEG and the Coma Recovery Scale-Revised (CRS-R) at the bedside over a period of two years. We used canonical correlation analysis to relate clinical (including CRS-R scores combined with demographic variables) and hdEEG variables to each other. This analysis revealed that the patient's age, and the hdEEG theta band power and alpha band connectivity, contributed most significantly to the relationship between hdEEG and clinical variables. Further, we found that hdEEG measures recorded at the time of assessment augmented clinical measures in predicting CRS-R scores at the next assessment. Moreover, the rate of hdEEG change not only predicted later changes in CRS-R scores, but also outperformed clinical measures in terms of prognostic power. Together, these findings suggest that improvements in functional brain networks precede changes in behavioural awareness in pDOC. We demonstrate here that bedside hdEEG assessments conducted at specialist nursing homes are feasible, have clinical utility, and can complement clinical knowledge and systematic behavioural assessments to inform prognosis and care.

Advancing Clinical Trials for Inherited Retinal Diseases: Recommendations from the Second Monaciano Symposium.

Major advances in the study of inherited retinal diseases (IRDs) have placed efforts to develop treatments for these blinding conditions at the forefront of the emerging field of precision medicine. As a result, the growth of clinical trials for IRDs has increased rapidly over the past decade and is expected to further accelerate as more therapeutic possibilities emerge and qualified participants are identified. Although guided by established principles, these specialized trials, requiring analysis of novel outcome measures and endpoints in small patient populations, present multiple challenges relative to study design and ethical considerations. This position paper reviews recent accomplishments and existing challenges in clinical trials for IRDs and presents a set of recommendations aimed at rapidly advancing future progress. The goal is to stimulate discussions among researchers, funding agencies, industry, and policy makers that will further the design, conduct, and analysis of clinical trials needed to accelerate the approval of effective treatments for IRDs, while promoting advocacy and ensuring patient safety.