Community-engaged basic science in an NCI-designated comprehensive cancer center: antioxidants and chemotherapeutic efficacy.

PURPOSE: While community engagement has been a longstanding aspect of cancer-relevant research in social and behavioral sciences, it is far less common in basic/translational/clinical research. With the National Cancer Institute's incorporation of Community Outreach and Engagement into the Cancer Center Support Grant guidelines, successful models are desirable. We report on a pilot study supported by the University of Maryland Greenebaum Comprehensive Cancer Center (UMGCCC), that used a community-engaged, data-driven process to inform a pre-clinical study of the impact of antioxidants on the efficacy of platinum-based chemotherapeutics. METHODS: We conducted a survey of UMGCCC catchment area residents (n = 120) to identify commonly used antioxidants. We then evaluated the effect of individually combining commonly used antioxidants from the survey (vitamin C, green tea, and melatonin) with platinum agents in models of non-small cell lung cancer (A549), colon adenocarcinoma (SW620) and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (FaDu). RESULTS: In vitro, the anti-neoplastic activity of each chemotherapy was not potentiated by any of the antioxidants. Instead, when combined at fixed ratios, most antioxidant-chemotherapy combinations were antagonistic. In vivo, addition of antioxidants did not improve chemotherapeutic efficacy and in a FaDu-tumor bearing model, cisplatin-mediated tumor growth inhibition was significantly impeded by the addition of epigallocatechin gallate, the main antioxidant in green tea. CONCLUSION: These initial findings do not support addition of antioxidant supplementation to improve platinum-based chemotherapeutic efficacy. This study's approach can serve as a model of how to bring together the two seemingly discordant areas of basic research and community engagement.

Impaired kidney function and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease among Chinese hypertensive adults: Using three different equations to estimate the glomerular filtration rate.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to seek accurate assessments of the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in a Chinese hypertensive population to identify individuals at high risk for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Then, the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause death due to kidney injury were further investigated under appropriate GFR-estimation equations. METHODS: In this prospective follow-up cohort study of 10,171 hypertensive patients, we compared the discrimination power of a trio of GFR-estimation equations using Harrell's C-index, measuring the model fit by calculating the Akaike information criterion. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were respectively used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval [CI] values for CKD progression. In addition, we also assessed the risk of CVD and all-cause death with impaired renal function using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. RESULTS: The Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation showed the highest C-index range for the predicted probability of CKD progression in the fully adjusted model. During MDRD analysis, a low eGFR (60-89 mL/min/1.73m2 or < 60 mL/min/1.73m2) was an independent risk factor for CVD, especially stroke (1.28 [95% CI, 1.05-1.55] and 1.89 [95% CI, 1.08-3.31]), as well as all-cause mortality (1.28 [95% CI, 1.09-1.50] and 1.68 [95% CI, 1.01-2.78]). CONCLUSIONS: The MDRD equation seems to be more suitable for screening CKD progression in Chinese hypertensive populations, targeting potential risk factors for effective prevention to reduce renal impairment so as to further limit CVD morbidity and mortality.

Anaphylaxis knowledge gaps and future research priorities: A consensus report.

BACKGROUND: Despite a better understanding of the epidemiology, pathogenesis, and management of patients with anaphylaxis, there remain knowledge gaps. Enumerating and prioritizing these gaps would allow limited scientific resources to be directed more effectively. OBJECTIVE: We sought to systematically describe and appraise anaphylaxis knowledge gaps and future research priorities based on their potential impact and feasibility. METHODS: We convened a 25-member multidisciplinary panel of anaphylaxis experts. Panelists formulated knowledge gaps/research priority statements in an anonymous electronic survey. Four anaphylaxis themed writing groups were formed to refine statements: (1) Population Science, (2) Basic and Translational Sciences, (3) Emergency Department Care/Acute Management, and (4) Long-Term Management Strategies and Prevention. Revised statements were incorporated into an anonymous electronic survey, and panelists were asked to rate the impact and feasibility of addressing statements on a continuous 0 to 100 scale. RESULTS: The panel generated 98 statements across the 4 anaphylaxis themes: Population Science (29), Basic and Translational Sciences (27), Emergency Department Care/Acute Management (24), and Long-Term Management Strategies and Prevention (18). Median scores for impact and feasibility ranged from 50.0 to 95.0 and from 40.0 to 90.0, respectively. Key statements based on median rating for impact/feasibility included the need to refine anaphylaxis diagnostic criteria, identify reliable diagnostic, predictive, and prognostic anaphylaxis bioassays, develop clinical prediction models to standardize postanaphylaxis observation periods and hospitalization criteria, and determine immunotherapy best practices. CONCLUSIONS: We identified and systematically appraised anaphylaxis knowledge gaps and future research priorities. This study reinforces the need to harmonize scientific pursuits to optimize the outcomes of patients with and at risk of anaphylaxis.

Electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy in relation to peripheral and central blood pressure indices in a Nigerian population.

Purpose: Previous studies that addressed whether left ventricular hypertrophy is more closely associated with central than peripheral blood pressure (BP) have been inconsistent. Radial artery wave generated by applanation tonometry and calibrated with brachial BP in 162 adult Nigerians were analysed by using generalized transfer function to derive central BP.Materials and methods: We compared the associations of ECG voltages and left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH) as continuous and binary variables respectively with central and brachial BP indices.Results: In a multivariable adjusted analysis, 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in brachial systolic, diastolic, pulse and mean arterial pressures increased the Sokolow-Lyon QRS voltage by 0.34 (CI, 0.21-0.48; p < 0.0001), 0.21 (CI, 0.07-0.36; p < 0.05); 0.22 (CI, 0.9-0.34; p < 0.001) and 0.29 (CI, 0.14-0.43) similar to (p > 0.05) corresponding Sokolow-Lyon QRS increase of 0.26 (0.12-0.40, p < 0.001); 0.14 (0.00-0.28, p < 0.05); 0.24 (0.11-0.39; p < 0.001) and 0.19 (0.05-0.34, p < 0.05) respectively observed for 1 SD increment in central pressures. The odds ratio (OR) relating ECG-LVH to 1 SD increase in brachial systolic, pulse, and mean arterial pressures were 2.62 (CI, 1.49-4.65, p < 0.001); 1.88 (CI, 1.19-2.95, p < 0.01) and 2.16 (CI, 1.22-3.82, p < 0.01) was similar to (p > 0.05) corresponding OR of 2.41 (1.33-4.36, p < 0.01); 2.04 (1.23-3.37, p < 0.01); 2.00 (1.11-3.63, p < 0.001) observed for I SD increment in central pressures.Conclusion: Central and peripheral BP are similarly associated with Sokolow-Lyon ECG voltage and hypertrophy.

Exercise Habits Are Associated with Improved Long-Term Mortality Risks in the Nationwide General Japanese Population: A 20-Year Follow-Up of the NIPPON DATA90 Study.

Exercise habits are known as a protective factor for a variety of diseases and thus recommended worldwide; however, few studies have examined long-term effects of exercise habits on mortality. We continuously monitored death status in a nationwide population sample of 7,709 eligible persons from the National Integrated Project for Prospective Observation of Noncommunicable Disease and its Trends in the Aged in 1990 (NIPPON DATA90), for which baseline data were obtained in 1990. To investigate the long-term impact of baseline exercise habits, we calculated the relative risk of non-exercisers (participants without regular voluntary exercise habits) in reference to exercisers (those with these habits) for all-cause or cause-specific mortality using a Cox proportional hazard model, in which the following confounding factors were appropriately adjusted: sex, age, body mass index, total energy intake, smoking, drinking, and history of cardiovascular disease. During a median 20 years of follow-up, 1,747 participants died, 99 of heart failure. The risk for all-cause mortality was 12% higher in non-exercisers than in exercisers (95% confidence interval, 1%-24%), which was also observed for mortality from heart failure, as 68% higher in non-exercisers than in exercises (95% confidence interval, 3%-173%). These associations were similarly observed when the participants were divided to subgroups by sex, age, and the light, moderate, or vigorous intensity of physical activity, without any significant heterogeneities (P > 0.1). The present study has revealed significant impact of exercise habits on long-term mortality risks, supporting worldwide recommendations for improvement of exercise habits.

Evidence-based proposal for the number of ambulatory readings required for assessing blood pressure level in research settings: an analysis of the IDACO database.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines on the required number of ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) readings focus on individual patients. Clinical researchers often face the dilemma of applying recommendations and discarding potentially valuable information or accepting fewer readings. METHODS: Starting from ABP recordings with ≥30/≥10 awake/asleep readings in 4277 participants enrolled in eight population studies in the International Database on Ambulatory Blood Pressure in Relation to Cardiovascular Outcomes (IDACO), we randomly selected a certain number of readings (from 30 to 1 awake and 10 to 1 asleep readings) at a time over 1000 bootstraps at each step. We evaluated: (i) concordance of the ABP level; (ii) consistency of the cross-classification based on office blood pressure and ABP; and (iii) accuracy in predicting cardiovascular complications. For each criterion, we fitted a regression line joining data points relating outcome to the number of readings covering the ranges of 30-20/10-7 for awake/asleep readings. RESULTS: Reducing readings widened the SD of the systolic/diastolic differences between full (reference) and selected recordings from 1.7/1.2 (30 readings) to 14.3/10.3 mm Hg (single reading) during wakefulness, and from 1.9/1.4 to 10.3/7.7 mm Hg during sleep; lowered the κ statistic from 0.94 to 0.63, and decreased the hazard ratio associated with 10/5 mm Hg increments in systolic/diastolic ABP from 1.21/1.14 to 1.06/1.04 during wakefulness and from 1.26/1.17 to 1.14/1.08 during sleep. The first data points falling off these regression lines during wakefulness/sleep corresponded to 8/3 and 8/4 readings for criteria (i) and (iii) and to 5 awake readings for criterion (ii). CONCLUSIONS: 24-h ambulatory recordings with ≥8/≥4 awake/asleep readings yielded ABP levels similar to recordings including the guideline-recommended ≥20/≥7 readings. These criteria save valuable data in a research setting, but are not applicable to clinical practice.

PEAR1 is not a major susceptibility gene for cardiovascular disease in a Flemish population.

BACKGROUND: Platelet Endothelial Aggregation Receptor 1 (PEAR1), a membrane protein highly expressed in platelets and endothelial cells, plays a role in platelet contact-induced activation, sustained platelet aggregation and endothelial function. Previous reports implicate PEAR1 rs12041331 as a variant influencing risk in patients with coronary heart disease. We investigated whether genetic variation in PEAR1 predicts cardiovascular outcome in a white population. METHODS: In 1938 participants enrolled in the Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes (51.3% women; mean age 43.6 years), we genotyped 9 tagging SNPs in PEAR1, measured baseline cardiovascular risk factors, and recorded Cardiovascular disease incidence. For SNPs, we contrasted cardiovascular disease incidence of minor-allele heterozygotes and homozygotes (variant) vs. major-allele homozygotes (reference) and for haplotypes carriers vs. non-carriers. In adjusted analyses, we accounted for family clusters and baseline covariables, including sex, age, body mass index, mean arterial pressure, the total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio, smoking and drinking, antihypertensive drug treatment, and history of cardiovascular disease and diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 15.3 years, 238 died and 181 experienced a major cardiovascular endpoint. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of eight PEAR1 SNPs, including rs12566888, ranged from 0.87 to 1.07 (P ≥0.35) and from 0.78 to 1.30 (P ≥0.15), respectively. The hazard ratios of three haplotypes with frequency ≥10% ranged from 0.93 to 1.11 (P ≥0.49) for mortality and from 0.84 to 1.03 (P ≥0.29) for a cardiovascular complications. These results were not influenced by intake of antiplatelet drugs, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, or both (P-values for interaction ≥ 0.056). CONCLUSIONS: In a White population, we could not replicate previous reports from experimental studies or obtained in patients suggesting that PEAR1 might be a susceptibility gene for cardiovascular complications.

Incidence of nephrolithiasis in relation to environmental exposure to lead and cadmium in a population study.

Whether environmental exposure to nephrotoxic agents that potentially interfere with calcium homeostasis, such as lead and cadmium, contribute to the incidence of nephrolithiasis needs further clarification. We investigated the relation between nephrolithiasis incidence and environmental lead and cadmium exposure in a general population. In 1302 participants randomly recruited from a Flemish population (50.9% women; mean age, 47.9 years), we obtained baseline measurements (1985-2005) of blood lead (BPb), blood cadmium (BCd), 24-h urinary cadmium (UCd) and covariables. We monitored the incidence of kidney stones until October 6, 2014. We used Cox regression to calculate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for nephrolithiasis. At baseline, geometric mean BPb, BCd and UCd was 0.29µmol/L, 9.0nmol/L, and 8.5nmol per 24h, respectively. Over 11.5 years (median), nephrolithiasis occurred in 40 people. Contrasting the low and top tertiles of the distributions, the sex- and age-standardized rates of nephrolithiasis expressed as events per 1000 person-years were 0.68 vs. 3.36 (p=0.0016) for BPb, 1.80 vs. 3.28 (p=0.11) for BCd, and 1.65 vs. 2.95 (p=0.28) for UCd. In continuous analysis, with adjustments applied for sex, age, serum magnesium, and 24-h urinary volume and calcium, the hazard ratios expressing the risk associated with a doubling of the exposure biomarkers were 1.35 (p=0.015) for BPb, 1.13 (p=0.22) for BCd, and 1.23 (p=0.070) for UCd. In conclusion, our results suggest that environmental lead exposure is a risk factor for nephrolithiasis in the general population.

Quality control of the blood pressure phenotype in the Gaoyou population study.

The Korotkoff approach is the only blood pressure (BP) measurement technique that allows contemporary data to be compared with decades of research. We randomly recruited 4483 people (53.3% women; mean age 52.1 years) from Gaoyou County, Jiangsu Province, China. Nine observers recorded the participants™ BP three times consecutively following Chinese Society of Hypertension guidelines. We assessed the BP phenotype based on five criteria: completeness of readings, percentage of identical BP readings, odd BP readings, end-digit preference and trends in BP from the first to the third reading. The proportion of participants with identical readings were 2.0% and 3.1% for systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), respectively. Among 26,898 BP values, 0.3% ended in an odd number. Among observers, the prevalence of identical readings varied from 0% to 5.3% for SBP and from 0% to 6.8% for DBP. Compared with the expected frequency of 20%, those ending in 0 had a lower frequency (17.2%; p < 0.001), whereas those ending in 8 had a higher frequency (22.4%; p < 0.001). From the first to the third measurement, SBP and DBP decreased (p < 0.001) by 0.87 and 0.55 mmHg, respectively. In conclusion, the procedures set up in the Gaoyou study produced a high-quality BP phenotype.

PEAR1 is not a human hypertension-susceptibility gene.

OBJECTIVE: Platelet endothelial aggregation receptor 1 (PEAR1) is a membrane protein involved in platelet contact-induced activation and sustained platelet aggregation. Experimental studies identified PEAR1, as a candidate gene that may be linked to the blood-pressure driven kidney injury in salt-sensitive Dahl rats. AIM: In a family-based European population study (mean age 39.7 years; 52.2% women), we searched for association of changes in blood pressure or incidence of hypertension with genetic variation in PEAR1. METHODS: Among 1973 randomly recruited people, genotyped for PEAR1, we measured blood pressure at baseline and follow-up. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 10.0 years. While accounting for family clusters and blood pressure at baseline and with adjustments applied for sex, age, body mass index, smoking and drinking, total cholesterol, and antihypertensive drug treatment, all associations of systolic and diastolic blood pressure changes with nine single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in PEAR1 were all non-significant (p ≥ 0.059). With similar adjustments, the incidence of hypertension (397 cases among 1532 participants were normotensive at baseline [25.9%]) was not related to the SNPs in PEAR1 (hazard ratios ≤ 1.09; p ≥ 0.09). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that PEAR1 is not a hypertension susceptibility gene in humans.

The urinary proteome as correlate and predictor of renal function in a population study.

BACKGROUND: We investigate whether the urinary proteome refines the diagnosis of renal dysfunction, which affects over 10% of the adult population. METHODS: We measured serum creatinine, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and 24-h albuminuria in 797 people randomly recruited from a population. We applied capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry to measure multi-dimensional urinary proteomic classifiers developed for renal dysfunction (CKD273) or left ventricular dysfunction (HF1 and HF2). Renal function was followed up in 621 participants and the incidence of cardiovascular events in the whole study population. RESULTS: In multivariable-adjusted cross-sectional analyses, higher biomarker levels analysed separately or combined by principal component analysis into a single factor (SF), correlated (P ≤ 0.010) with worse renal function. Over 4.8 years, higher HF1 and SF predicted (P ≤ 0.014) lowering of eGFR; higher HF2 predicted (P ≤ 0.049) increase in serum creatinine and decrease eGFR. HF1, HF2 and SF predicted progression from CKD Stages 2 or ≤2 to Stage ≥3, with risk estimates for a 1-SD increment in the urinary biomarkers ranging from 38 to 71% (P ≤ 0.039). HF1, HF2 and SF yielded a net reclassification improvement of 31-51% (P ≤ 0.029). Over 6.1 years, 47 cardiovascular events occurred. HF2 and SF, independent of baseline eGFR, 24-h albuminuria and other covariables were significant predictors of cardiovascular complications with risk estimates for 1-SD increases ranging from 32 to 41% (P ≤ 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: The urinary proteome refines the diagnosis of existing or progressing renal dysfunction and predicts cardiovascular complications.

An outcome-driven threshold for pulse pressure amplification.

Pulse pressure amplification (PPA) is the brachial-to-aortic pulse pressure ratio and decreases with age and cardiovascular risk factors. This individual-participant meta-analysis of population studies aimed to define an outcome-driven threshold for PPA. Incidence rates and standardized multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of cardiovascular and coronary endpoints associated with PPA, as assessed by the SphygmoCor software, were evaluated in the International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification (n = 5608). Model refinement was assessed by the integrated discrimination (IDI) and net reclassification (NRI) improvement. Age ranged from 30 to 96 years (median 53.6). Over 4.1 years (median), 255 and 109 participants experienced a cardiovascular or coronary endpoint. In a randomly defined discovery subset of 3945 individuals, the rounded risk-carrying PPA thresholds converged at 1.3. The HRs for cardiovascular and coronary endpoints contrasting PPA < 1.3 vs ≥1.3 were 1.54 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-2.36) and 2.45 (CI: 1.20-5.01), respectively. Models were well calibrated, findings were replicated in the remaining 1663 individuals analyzed as test dataset, and NRI was significant for both endpoints. The HRs associating cardiovascular and coronary endpoints per PPA threshold in individuals <60 vs ≥60 years were 3.86 vs 1.19 and 6.21 vs 1.77, respectively. The proportion of high-risk women (PPA < 1.3) was higher at younger age (<60 vs ≥60 years: 67.7% vs 61.5%; P < 0.001). In conclusion, over and beyond common risk factors, a brachial-to-central PP ratio of <1.3 is a forerunner of cardiovascular coronary complications and is an underestimated risk factor in women aged 30-60 years. Our study supports pulse wave analysis for risk stratification.

Association Between Obesity and Risk of Total and Obesity-Related Cancer in People With Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer frequently co-occur due to shared risk factors such as obesity, which is linked to CVD and 14 cancer types. This study explores whether CVD pathophysiologies, combined with obesity, increase cancer risk, impacting clinical management. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, spanning 28 years, were analyzed. The cohort included 5127 participants with incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, coronary heart disease), of whom 1511 developed a first primary cancer. Follow-up began at CVD diagnosis after Visit 1. Obesity was assessed using body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio. Incidence rate differences between obesity groups were adjusted for age, sex, and center, whereas the obesity-cancer association was estimated using Fine-Gray regression adjusted for shared risk factors including smoking. Cancer incidence in obese individuals with CVD (body mass index: rate differences=226.6/100 000 person-years) was higher than in those with normal weight. Although obesity was not linked to overall cancer after adjusting for shared risk factors, it was nominally associated with obesity-related cancers. Specifically, women with CVD and obesity had increased obesity-related cancer risk (body mass index: hazard ratio, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.17-2.31]). No significant associations were found in men, even after excluding prostate cancer. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that obesity is linked to higher obesity-related cancer risk in women with incident CVD, independent of shared risk factors. Further research is needed to eliminate residual confounding, understand sex differences, and explore how CVD pathophysiologies and obesity together influence cancer risk.

A Prospective Study of the Association Between Plasma Calprotectin Levels and New-Onset CKD in the General Population.

Introduction: Systemic inflammation has been associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we aimed to investigate a potential association between the plasma biomarker of inflammation calprotectin and new-onset CKD in a population-based cohort study. Methods: Individuals without CKD at baseline (n = 4662) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective population-based cohort study in the Netherlands were included. Baseline plasma calprotectin levels were assessed in samples that had been stored at -80 °C. Occurrence of new-onset CKD was defined as a composite outcome of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, urinary albumin excretion (UAE) >30 mg/24h, or both. Results: Baseline median (interquartile range) plasma calprotectin levels were 0.49 (0.35-0.68) mg/l and baseline median eGFR was 95.9 (interquartile range: 85.0-105.7) ml/min per 1.73 m2. After median follow-up of 8.3 (7.8-8.9) years, 467 participants developed new-onset CKD. Baseline plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset CKD (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.28 [95% confidence interval, CI: 1.14-1.44], P < 0.001), independent of potentially confounding factors (HR 1.14 [95% CI: 1.01-1.29], P = 0.034), except for baseline high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) (HR 1.05 [0.91-1.21], P = 0.494). In secondary analyses, the association between plasma calprotectin and occurrence of UAE >30 mg/24h remained significant (HR 1.17 [1.02-1.34], P = 0.027), but not significantly so for the incidence of eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 as individual outcome (HR 1.15 [0.92-1.43], P = 0.218). Conclusion: Higher plasma calprotectin levels are associated with an increased risk of developing CKD in the general population. This association is mitigated after adjustment for hs-CRP, and more pronounced with new-onset CKD defined by UAE.

Impact of individual level uncertainty of lung cancer polygenic risk score (PRS) on risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: Although polygenic risk score (PRS) has emerged as a promising tool for predicting cancer risk from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), the individual-level accuracy of lung cancer PRS and the extent to which its impact on subsequent clinical applications remains largely unexplored. METHODS: Lung cancer PRSs and confidence/credible interval (CI) were constructed using two statistical approaches for each individual: (1) the weighted sum of 16 GWAS-derived significant SNP loci and the CI through the bootstrapping method (PRS-16-CV) and (2) LDpred2 and the CI through posteriors sampling (PRS-Bayes), among 17,166 lung cancer cases and 12,894 controls with European ancestry from the International Lung Cancer Consortium. Individuals were classified into different genetic risk subgroups based on the relationship between their own PRS mean/PRS CI and the population level threshold. RESULTS: Considerable variances in PRS point estimates at the individual level were observed for both methods, with an average standard deviation (s.d.) of 0.12 for PRS-16-CV and a much larger s.d. of 0.88 for PRS-Bayes. Using PRS-16-CV, only 25.0% of individuals with PRS point estimates in the lowest decile of PRS and 16.8% in the highest decile have their entire 95% CI fully contained in the lowest and highest decile, respectively, while PRS-Bayes was unable to find any eligible individuals. Only 19% of the individuals were concordantly identified as having high genetic risk (> 90th percentile) using the two PRS estimators. An increased relative risk of lung cancer comparing the highest PRS percentile to the lowest was observed when taking the CI into account (OR = 2.73, 95% CI: 2.12-3.50, P-value = 4.13 × 10-15) compared to using PRS-16-CV mean (OR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.99-2.49, P-value = 5.70 × 10-46). Improved risk prediction performance with higher AUC was consistently observed in individuals identified by PRS-16-CV CI, and the best performance was achieved by incorporating age, gender, and detailed smoking pack-years (AUC: 0.73, 95% CI = 0.72-0.74). CONCLUSIONS: Lung cancer PRS estimates using different methods have modest correlations at the individual level, highlighting the importance of considering individual-level uncertainty when evaluating the practical utility of PRS.

The Role of Triglyceride-Glucose Index in the Prediction of the Development of Hypertension - Findings from a Community Cohort in Singapore.

Objectives: Triglyceride-glucose index (TyGI) is an emerging surrogate marker of insulin resistance. We aim to explore the role of triglyceride-glucose index in the prediction of the development of hypertension. Methodology: We conducted a retrospective cohort study that included 3,183 study participants identified from a community health screening programme who had no baseline hypertension and were then followed up after an average of 1.7 years. Cox proportional-hazard model was used to assess the association between risk of incident hypertension and TyGI in quartiles, while adjusting for demographics and clinical characteristics. Results: Hypertension occurred in 363 study participants (11.4%). Those who developed hypertension had higher TyGI [8.6 (IQR 8.2-9.0)] than those who did not [8.2 (IQR 8.0-8.7)] (p<0.001). Significant association between TyGI and hypertension was observed in both the unadjusted and proportional hazard model [Quartile (Q)2, p=0.010; Q3, p<0.001 and Q4, p<0.001] and the model that adjusted for demographics (Q2, p=0.016; Q3, p=0.003; Q4, p<0.001). In the model adjusted for clinical covariates, the hazard of developing hypertension remained higher in TyGI Q4 compared to TyGI Q1(Hazard Ratio=2.57; 95% Confidence Interval: 1.71, 3.87). Increasing triglyceride-glucose index accounted for 16.4% of the association between increasing BMI and incident hypertension, after adjusting for age, gender, ethnicity and baseline HDL cholesterol (p<0.001). Conclusion: Triglyceride-glucose index was an independent predictor of the development of hypertension. It may potentially be used as an inexpensive indicator to predict the development of hypertension and risk-stratify individuals to aid management in clinical practice.

Intracranial Carotid Arteriosclerosis Mediates the Association Between Blood Pressure and Cerebral Small Vessel Disease.

BACKGROUND: Intracranial arteriosclerosis could explain the association between blood pressure (BP) and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD). Therefore, we tested whether intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC) mediates the association between BP and CSVD and determined pathophysiological mechanisms based on ICAC subtypes. METHODS: One thousand four hundred fifty-eight stroke-free participants from the Rotterdam Study (mean age, 68 years; 52% women) underwent nonenhanced computed tomography scans to quantify ICAC volume (mm3) between 2003 and 2015. ICAC was categorized into intimal and internal elastic lamina calcifications. CSVD included white matter hyperintensities volume, the presence of lacunes, and cerebral microbleeds visualized on magnetic resonance imaging. Office BP included systolic BP, diastolic BP, pulse pressure, and mean arterial pressure. Mediation analysis included a 2-way decomposition to determine the direct association between BP and CSVD and the indirect or mediated effect (negative or positive mediations expressed in %) of log-ICAC volume on such association. RESULTS: BP and log-ICAC were correlated and were also associated with CSVD. In all participants, total log-ICAC volume mediated the association of diastolic BP (-14.5%) and pulse pressure (16.5%) with log-white matter hyperintensities. Internal elastic lamina log-ICAC volume mediated -19.5% of the association between diastolic BP and log-white matter hyperintensities; intimal log-ICAC volume did not mediate associations. For lacunes, total and internal elastic lamina log-ICAC volume mediated the association of diastolic BP (-40% and -45.8%) and pulse pressure (26.9% and 18.2%). We did not observe mediations for cerebral microbleeds. CONCLUSIONS: Intracranial arteriosclerosis mediates the association between BP and CSVD. Internal elastic lamina calcification, considered a proxy of arterial stiffness, is the leading mechanism explaining the link between BP and CSVD.

Urinary matrix Gla protein is associated with mortality risk in Flemish population: A prospective study.

Background: Vascular calcification is strongly related to the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) diseases. In vascular calcification, matrix Gla protein (MGP), a small vitamin K-dependent protein, is an important mineralization inhibitor. Recent studies showed that circulating MGP is associated with mortality risk. However, the longitudinal association between urinary excretion of MGP and all-cause mortality was not established. Materials and methods: Urinary MGP was measured in 776 randomly recruited Flemish population (mean age: 51.2 years; 50.9% women) at baseline (during 2005-2010) using capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. Plasma inactive MGP [desphospho-uncarboxylated MGP (dp-ucMGP)] levels were quantified in 646 individuals by ELISA kits. Mortality status was ascertained through the Belgian Population Registry until 2016. The longitudinal association with mortality was determined by the multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models. The multivariate linear regression models were used to identify determinants of urinary MGP level. Results: Over the 9.2 years, 47 (6.06%) participants died, including 15 CV deaths. For a doubling of urinary MGP, the hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.31 (95% CI: 1.01-1.69, P = 0.040) for all-cause mortality and 2.05 (95% CI: 1.11-3.79, P = 0.023) for CV mortality with adjustment for covariates, including estimated glomerular filtration rate and urine microalbumin. The addition of urinary MGP to the basic models improved the reclassification as suggested by the increased net reclassification improvement [64.01% (95% CI: 32.64-98.63)] and integrated discrimination improvement [2.33% (95% CI: 0.24-4.71)]. Circulating inactive MGP, total cholesterol, urine microalbumin, and smoking were significantly associated with urinary MGP levels (P ≤ 0.041), independent of sex and age. Conclusion: Elevated urinary MGP was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and CV mortality and improved the risk reclassification for all-cause mortality. These findings suggested that urinary MGP might be useful in mortality risk assessment in the general population. However, these observations need to be replicated in larger studies with a longer follow-up time.

Urinary Proteomic Profile of Arterial Stiffness Is Associated With Mortality and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

Background The underlying mechanisms of arterial stiffness remain not fully understood. This study aimed to identify a urinary proteomic profile to illuminate its pathogenesis and to determine the prognostic value of the profile for adverse outcomes. Methods and Results We measured aortic stiffness using pulse wave velocity (PWV) and analyzed urinary proteome using capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry in 669 randomly recruited Flemish patients (mean age, 50.2 years; 51.1% women). We developed a PWV-derived urinary proteomic score (PWV-UP) by modeling PWV with proteomics data at baseline through orthogonal projections to latent structures. PWV-UP that consisted of 2336 peptides explained the 65% variance of PWV, higher than 36% explained by clinical risk factors. PWV-UP was significantly associated with PWV (adjusted ß=0.73 [95% CI, 0.67-0.79]; P<0.0001). Over 9.2 years (median), 36 participants died, and 75 experienced cardiovascular events. The adjusted hazard ratios (+1 SD) were 1.46 (95% CI, 1.08-1.97) for all-cause mortality, 2.04 (95% CI, 1.07-3.87) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.11-1.74) for cardiovascular events (P≤0.031). For PWV, the corresponding estimates were 1.25 (95% CI, 0.97-1.60), 1.35 (95% CI, 0.85-2.15), and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.02-1.47), respectively (P≥0.033). Pathway analysis revealed that the peptides in PWV-UP mostly involved multiple pathways, including collagen turnover, cell adhesion, inflammation, and lipid metabolism. Conclusions PWV-UP was highly associated with PWV and could be used as a biomarker of arterial stiffness. PWV-UP, but not PWV, was associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality, implying that PWV-UP-associated peptides may be multifaceted and involved in diverse pathological processes beyond arterial stiffness.

The Role of Cumulative Mean Arterial Pressure Levels in First Stroke Events Among Adults with Hypertension: A 10-Year Prospective Cohort Study.

Background: Mean arterial pressure (MAP) has been proved to be an independent risk factor for stroke. In this study, we explored whether cumulative exposure of MAP in patients with hypertension is more associated with the occurrence of stroke. Methods: In this prospective follow-up cohort study of hypertension from June 2010 to May 2020, 9136 participants without previous stroke at recruitment were included, of whom 492 (5.4%) had a first incident stroke during the study period (418 ischemic strokes and 74 hemorrhagic strokes). The study exposure factor was cumulative MAP, and was quartered from low to high (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4). We analyzed the risk of first stroke using multivariable adjusted Cox regression models and used stratified analysis to further explore the risk of stroke in hypertensive patients with different characteristics. Results: Increased cumulative MAP in patients with hypertension were associated with risk for ischemic stroke (HR, Q2, 1.23 [95% CI, 0.91-1.67]; Q3, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.01-1.82]; Q4, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.15-2.10]; P=0.035). Furthermore, this trend persisted after stratified analysis in men (HR, Q3, 1.76[1.10-2.82]; Q4, 2.05[1.28-3.28]), aged 60 or above (HR, Q4, 1.63[1.13-2.35]) and higher body mass index (BMI) populations (HR, Q3, 1.48[1.02-2.14]; Q4, 1.59[1.09-2.32]). In contrast, cumulative MAP was not significantly associated with stroke in women, age under 60, and non-obese individuals. Conclusion: Increased cumulative MAP is an independent risk factor of ischemic stroke in patients with hypertension. Special attention should also be paid to men, aged 60 or older, or those with a higher BMI.