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1.
Cell ; 179(1): 13-17, 2019 Sep 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31519310

RESUMO

This year's Lasker-Bloomberg Public Service Award goes to GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance, for providing sustained access to childhood vaccines around the globe, saving millions of lives, and highlighting the power of immunization to prevent disease.


Assuntos
Cooperação Internacional , Vacinação/economia , Vacinação/história , Vacinas/história , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Criança , Saúde Global , História do Século XVII , História do Século XVIII , História do Século XIX , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Investimentos em Saúde , Pobreza , Medicina Preventiva/métodos , Vacinas/economia
2.
Nature ; 597(7876): 404-409, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34340242

RESUMO

Enhancing vaccine uptake is a critical public health challenge1. Overcoming vaccine hesitancy2,3 and failure to follow through on vaccination intentions3 requires effective communication strategies3,4. Here we present two sequential randomized controlled trials to test the effect of behavioural interventions on the uptake of COVID-19 vaccines. We designed text-based reminders that make vaccination salient and easy, and delivered them to participants drawn from a healthcare system one day (first randomized controlled trial) (n = 93,354 participants; clinicaltrials number NCT04800965) and eight days (second randomized controlled trial) (n = 67,092 individuals; clinicaltrials number NCT04801524) after they received a notification of vaccine eligibility. The first reminder boosted appointment and vaccination rates within the healthcare system by 6.07 (84%) and 3.57 (26%) percentage points, respectively; the second reminder increased those outcomes by 1.65 and 1.06 percentage points, respectively. The first reminder had a greater effect when it was designed to make participants feel ownership of the vaccine dose. However, we found no evidence that combining the first reminder with a video-based information intervention designed to address vaccine hesitancy heightened its effect. We performed online studies (n = 3,181 participants) to examine vaccination intentions, which revealed patterns that diverged from those of the first randomized controlled trial; this underscores the importance of pilot-testing interventions in the field. Our findings inform the design of behavioural nudges for promoting health decisions5, and highlight the value of making vaccination easy and inducing feelings of ownership over vaccines.


Assuntos
Agendamento de Consultas , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Programas de Imunização/métodos , Propriedade , Vacinação/psicologia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , California , Feminino , Humanos , Intenção , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Saúde Pública , Sistemas de Alerta
3.
Nature ; 596(7873): 495-504, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34237771

RESUMO

There is a realistic expectation that the global effort in vaccination will bring the pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) under control. Nonetheless, uncertainties remain about the type of long-term association that the virus will establish with the human population and, in particular, whether coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) will become an endemic disease. Although the trajectory is difficult to predict, the conditions, concepts and variables that influence this transition can be anticipated. Persistence of SARS-CoV-2 as an endemic virus, perhaps with seasonal epidemic peaks, may be fuelled by pockets of susceptible individuals and waning immunity after infection or vaccination, changes in the virus through antigenic drift that diminish protection and re-entries from zoonotic reservoirs. Here we review relevant observations from previous epidemics and discuss the potential evolution of SARS-CoV-2 as it adapts during persistent transmission in the presence of a level of population immunity. Lack of effective surveillance or adequate response could enable the emergence of new epidemic or pandemic patterns from an endemic infection of SARS-CoV-2. There are key pieces of data that are urgently needed in order to make good decisions; we outline these and propose a way forward.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/virologia , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Animais , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/provisão & distribuição , Evolução Molecular , Humanos , Evasão da Resposta Imune , Programas de Imunização , Influenza Humana/imunologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/virologia , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Fatores de Tempo
5.
Lancet ; 403(10441): 2307-2316, 2024 May 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38705159

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: WHO, as requested by its member states, launched the Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) in 1974 to make life-saving vaccines available to all globally. To mark the 50-year anniversary of EPI, we sought to quantify the public health impact of vaccination globally since the programme's inception. METHODS: In this modelling study, we used a suite of mathematical and statistical models to estimate the global and regional public health impact of 50 years of vaccination against 14 pathogens in EPI. For the modelled pathogens, we considered coverage of all routine and supplementary vaccines delivered since 1974 and estimated the mortality and morbidity averted for each age cohort relative to a hypothetical scenario of no historical vaccination. We then used these modelled outcomes to estimate the contribution of vaccination to globally declining infant and child mortality rates over this period. FINDINGS: Since 1974, vaccination has averted 154 million deaths, including 146 million among children younger than 5 years of whom 101 million were infants younger than 1 year. For every death averted, 66 years of full health were gained on average, translating to 10·2 billion years of full health gained. We estimate that vaccination has accounted for 40% of the observed decline in global infant mortality, 52% in the African region. In 2024, a child younger than 10 years is 40% more likely to survive to their next birthday relative to a hypothetical scenario of no historical vaccination. Increased survival probability is observed even well into late adulthood. INTERPRETATION: Since 1974 substantial gains in childhood survival have occurred in every global region. We estimate that EPI has provided the single greatest contribution to improved infant survival over the past 50 years. In the context of strengthening primary health care, our results show that equitable universal access to immunisation remains crucial to sustain health gains and continue to save future lives from preventable infectious mortality. FUNDING: WHO.


Assuntos
Mortalidade da Criança , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação , Humanos , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade da Criança/tendências , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Criança , Saúde Global , Recém-Nascido , Adulto , Adolescente , História do Século XX , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Saúde Pública , Adulto Jovem
6.
Lancet ; 403(10437): 1660-1670, 2024 Apr 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38583454

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine (RTS,S) was introduced by national immunisation programmes in Ghana, Kenya, and Malawi in 2019 in large-scale pilot schemes. We aimed to address questions about feasibility and impact, and to assess safety signals that had been observed in the phase 3 trial that included an excess of meningitis and cerebral malaria cases in RTS,S recipients, and the possibility of an excess of deaths among girls who received RTS,S than in controls, to inform decisions about wider use. METHODS: In this prospective evaluation, 158 geographical clusters (66 districts in Ghana; 46 sub-counties in Kenya; and 46 groups of immunisation clinic catchment areas in Malawi) were randomly assigned to early or delayed introduction of RTS,S, with three doses to be administered between the ages of 5 months and 9 months and a fourth dose at the age of approximately 2 years. Primary outcomes of the evaluation, planned over 4 years, were mortality from all causes except injury (impact), hospital admission with severe malaria (impact), hospital admission with meningitis or cerebral malaria (safety), deaths in girls compared with boys (safety), and vaccination coverage (feasibility). Mortality was monitored in children aged 1-59 months throughout the pilot areas. Surveillance for meningitis and severe malaria was established in eight sentinel hospitals in Ghana, six in Kenya, and four in Malawi. Vaccine uptake was measured in surveys of children aged 12-23 months about 18 months after vaccine introduction. We estimated that sufficient data would have accrued after 24 months to evaluate each of the safety signals and the impact on severe malaria in a pooled analysis of the data from the three countries. We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) by comparing the ratio of the number of events in children age-eligible to have received at least one dose of the vaccine (for safety outcomes), or age-eligible to have received three doses (for impact outcomes), to that in non-eligible age groups in implementation areas with the equivalent ratio in comparison areas. To establish whether there was evidence of a difference between girls and boys in the vaccine's impact on mortality, the female-to-male mortality ratio in age groups eligible to receive the vaccine (relative to the ratio in non-eligible children) was compared between implementation and comparison areas. Preliminary findings contributed to WHO's recommendation in 2021 for widespread use of RTS,S in areas of moderate-to-high malaria transmission. FINDINGS: By April 30, 2021, 652 673 children had received at least one dose of RTS,S and 494 745 children had received three doses. Coverage of the first dose was 76% in Ghana, 79% in Kenya, and 73% in Malawi, and coverage of the third dose was 66% in Ghana, 62% in Kenya, and 62% in Malawi. 26 285 children aged 1-59 months were admitted to sentinel hospitals and 13 198 deaths were reported through mortality surveillance. Among children eligible to have received at least one dose of RTS,S, there was no evidence of an excess of meningitis or cerebral malaria cases in implementation areas compared with comparison areas (hospital admission with meningitis: IRR 0·63 [95% CI 0·22-1·79]; hospital admission with cerebral malaria: IRR 1·03 [95% CI 0·61-1·74]). The impact of RTS,S introduction on mortality was similar for girls and boys (relative mortality ratio 1·03 [95% CI 0·88-1·21]). Among children eligible for three vaccine doses, RTS,S introduction was associated with a 32% reduction (95% CI 5-51%) in hospital admission with severe malaria, and a 9% reduction (95% CI 0-18%) in all-cause mortality (excluding injury). INTERPRETATION: In the first 2 years of implementation of RTS,S, the three primary doses were effectively deployed through national immunisation programmes. There was no evidence of the safety signals that had been observed in the phase 3 trial, and introduction of the vaccine was associated with substantial reductions in hospital admission with severe malaria. Evaluation continues to assess the impact of four doses of RTS,S. FUNDING: Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance; the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria; and Unitaid.


Assuntos
Estudos de Viabilidade , Programas de Imunização , Vacinas Antimaláricas , Malária Cerebral , Humanos , Gana/epidemiologia , Malaui/epidemiologia , Lactente , Feminino , Quênia/epidemiologia , Vacinas Antimaláricas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Antimaláricas/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Pré-Escolar , Malária Cerebral/epidemiologia , Malária Cerebral/mortalidade , Estudos Prospectivos , Malária Falciparum/prevenção & controle , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Meningite/epidemiologia , Meningite/prevenção & controle
7.
PLoS Biol ; 20(9): e3001804, 2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36149891

RESUMO

Following the initiation of the unprecedented global vaccination campaign against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), attention has now turned to the potential impact of this large-scale intervention on the evolution of the virus. In this Essay, we summarize what is currently known about pathogen evolution in the context of immune priming (including vaccination) from research on other pathogen species, with an eye towards the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação
9.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(6)2022 02 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35105809

RESUMO

Encouraging vaccination is a pressing policy problem. To assess whether text-based reminders can encourage pharmacy vaccination and what kinds of messages work best, we conducted a megastudy. We randomly assigned 689,693 Walmart pharmacy patients to receive one of 22 different text reminders using a variety of different behavioral science principles to nudge flu vaccination or to a business-as-usual control condition that received no messages. We found that the reminder texts that we tested increased pharmacy vaccination rates by an average of 2.0 percentage points, or 6.8%, over a 3-mo follow-up period. The most-effective messages reminded patients that a flu shot was waiting for them and delivered reminders on multiple days. The top-performing intervention included two texts delivered 3 d apart and communicated to patients that a vaccine was "waiting for you." Neither experts nor lay people anticipated that this would be the best-performing treatment, underscoring the value of simultaneously testing many different nudges in a highly powered megastudy.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Vacinas contra Influenza/administração & dosagem , Farmácias , Vacinação/métodos , Idoso , COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Farmácias/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas de Alerta , Envio de Mensagens de Texto , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
10.
Ann Intern Med ; 177(5): 609-617, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38527289

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has proposed administering annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of an annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign, quantify the health and economic benefits of a second dose provided to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older, and optimize the timing of a second dose. DESIGN: An age-structured dynamic transmission model. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: A synthetic population reflecting demographics and contact patterns in the United States. INTERVENTION: Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 with age-specific uptake similar to that of influenza vaccination. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence, hospitalizations, deaths, and direct health care cost. RESULTS: The optimal timing between the first and second dose delivered to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older in an annual vaccination campaign was estimated to be 5 months. In direct comparison with a single-dose campaign, a second booster dose results in 123 869 fewer hospitalizations (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 121 994 to 125 742 fewer hospitalizations) and 5524 fewer deaths (95% UI, 5434 to 5613 fewer deaths), averting $3.63 billion (95% UI, $3.57 billion to $3.69 billion) in costs over a single year. LIMITATIONS: Population immunity is subject to degrees of immune evasion for emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. The model was implemented in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions and preexisting vaccine-acquired immunity. CONCLUSION: The direct health care costs of SARS-CoV-2, particularly among adults aged 50 years or older, would be substantially reduced by administering a second dose 5 months after the initial dose. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Notsew Orm Sands Foundation, National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and National Science Foundation.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Hospitalização , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra COVID-19/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pré-Escolar , Programas de Imunização , Lactente , Idoso , Imunização Secundária , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Adulto , Esquemas de Imunização
11.
J Infect Dis ; 230(1): e131-e138, 2024 Jul 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39052714

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: "Zero-dose" children are those who are without any routine vaccination or are lacking the first dose of the diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis-containing vaccine. Based on global estimates from the World Health Organization/United Nations Children's Fund in 2022, Nigeria has the highest number of zero-dose children, with >2.3 million unvaccinated. METHODS: We used data from the 2021 Nigeria Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey/National Immunization Coverage Survey to identify zero-dose and underimmunized children. Geospatial modeling techniques were employed to determine the prevalence of zero-dose children and predict risk areas with underimmunized children at a high resolution (1 × 1 km). RESULTS: Zero-dose and underimmunized children are more prevalent in socially deprived groups. Univariate and multivariate bayesian analyses showed positive correlations between the prevalence of zero-dose and underimmunized children and factors such as stunting, contraceptive prevalence, and literacy. The prevalence of zero-dose and underimmunized children varies significantly by region and ethnicity, with higher rates observed in the country's northern parts. Significant heterogeneity in the distribution of undervaccinated children was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Nigeria needs to enhance its immunization system and coverage. Geospatial modeling can help deliver vaccines effectively to underserved communities. By adopting this approach, countries can ensure equitable vaccine access and contribute to global vaccination objectives.


Assuntos
Cobertura Vacinal , Humanos , Nigéria/epidemiologia , Lactente , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Pré-Escolar , Teorema de Bayes , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Criança , Vacina contra Difteria, Tétano e Coqueluche/administração & dosagem
12.
J Infect Dis ; 230(4): 949-956, 2024 Oct 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38470214

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In Denmark, a girls-only human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program was initiated in 2008-2009. The study aim was to assess the HPV prevalence and type distribution in younger men prior to HPV vaccination in men. METHODS: The study population was younger men who attended information days regarding military service. At random days (2019-2020), 280 men were included. We collected questionnaire data regarding risk factors for HPV infection and a penile swab for HPV testing. We compared results in this study with those from a previous study of young men (2006-2007). RESULTS: The majority of participants (94%) were 18-20 years old. The median number of lifetime sexual partners was 4. Altogether, 130 men (46.4%) were HPV positive. No infections with HPV types 6, 11, 16, 18, 31, and 45 were detected. The most frequent type was HPV-51 (detected in 11.1%). Comparison showed that the odds of high-risk HPV type infection were higher in 2019-2020 (prevalence odds ratio [POR], 1.7 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.1-2.7]) compared with 2006-2007. In contrast, the odds were lower (POR, 0.3 [95% CI, .1-.6]) for HPV types targeted by the 9-valent HPV vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: The multicohort girls-only vaccination program has to a large degree protected young men against the HPV types included in the licensed vaccines. This does not speak against gender-neutral vaccination as the HPV prevalence is still high, although consisting largely of less carcinogenic HPV types.


Assuntos
Papillomaviridae , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Humanos , Masculino , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/virologia , Adolescente , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/imunologia , Papillomaviridae/imunologia , Papillomaviridae/classificação , Papillomaviridae/isolamento & purificação , Feminino , Pênis/virologia , Programas de Imunização , Fatores de Risco , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Inquéritos e Questionários , Papillomavirus Humano
13.
Clin Infect Dis ; 79(Supplement_1): S20-S32, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38996040

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cholera outbreaks in Ethiopia necessitate frequent mass oral cholera vaccine (OCV) campaigns. Despite this, there is a notable absence of a comprehensive summary of these campaigns. Understanding national OCV vaccination history is essential to design appropriate and effective cholera control strategies. Here, we aimed to retrospectively review all OCV vaccination campaigns conducted across Ethiopia between 2019 and 2023. METHODS: The OCV request records from 2019 to October 2023 and vaccination campaign reports for the period from 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively accessed from the Ethiopia Public Health Institute (EPHI) database. Descriptive analysis was conducted using the retrospective data collected. RESULTS: From 2019 to October 2023, Ethiopian government requested 32 044 576 OCV doses (31 899 576 doses to global stockpile; 145 000 doses to outside of stockpile). Around 66.3% of requested doses were approved; of which 90.4% were received. Fifteen OCV campaigns (12 reactive and 3 pre-emptive) were conducted, including five two-dose campaigns with varying dose intervals and single-dose campaigns partially in 2019 and entirely in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Overall vaccine administrative coverage was high; except for Tigray region (41.8% in the 1st round; 2nd round didn't occur). The vaccine administrative coverage records were documented, but no OCV coverage survey data was available. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the first comprehensive review of OCV campaigns in Ethiopia spanning the last five years. Its findings offer valuable insights into informing future cholera control strategies, underscoring the importance of monitoring and evaluation despite resource constraints. Addressing the limitations in coverage survey data availability is crucial for enhancing the efficacy of future campaigns.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Cólera , Cólera , Surtos de Doenças , Vacinas contra Cólera/administração & dosagem , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Cólera/prevenção & controle , Cólera/epidemiologia , Administração Oral , Estudos Retrospectivos , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
14.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(11): 2362-2369, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39447183

RESUMO

In Kenya, influenza virus circulates year-round, raising questions about optimum strategies for vaccination. Given national interest in introducing influenza vaccination for young children 6-23 months of age, we modeled total influenza-associated illnesses (inclusive of hospitalizations, outpatient illnesses, and non‒medically attended illnesses) averted by multiple potential vaccination strategies: year-round versus seasonal-campaign vaccination, and vaccination starting in April (Southern Hemisphere influenza vaccine availability) versus October (Northern Hemisphere availability). We modeled average vaccine effectiveness of 50% and annual vaccination coverage of 60%. In the introduction year, year-round vaccination averted 6,410 total illnesses when introduced in October and 7,202 illnesses when introduced in April, whereas seasonal-campaign vaccination averted 10,236 (October) to 11,612 (April) illnesses. In the year after introduction, both strategies averted comparable numbers of illnesses (10,831-10,868 for year-round, 10,175-11,282 for campaign). Campaign-style vaccination would likely have a greater effect during initial pediatric influenza vaccine introduction in Kenya; however, either strategy could achieve similar longer-term effects.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Estações do Ano , Vacinação , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Influenza/administração & dosagem , Lactente , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Pré-Escolar , Masculino
15.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(7): 1326-1334, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38916545

RESUMO

COVID-19 vaccination was launched in March 2021 in Uganda and initially prioritized persons >50 years of age, persons with underlying conditions, healthcare workers, teachers, and security forces. However, uptake remained low 5 months after the program launch. Makerere University's Infectious Diseases Institute supported Uganda's Ministry of Health in optimizing COVID-19 vaccination uptake models by using point-of-care, place of worship, and place of work engagement and the Social Assistance Grant for Empowerment model in 47 of 135 districts in Uganda, where we trained influencers to support mobilization for vaccination outreach under each model. During July-December, vaccination rates increased significantly in targeted regions, from 92% to 130% for healthcare workers, 40% to 90% for teachers, 25% to 33% for security personnel, 6% to 15% for persons >50 years of age, and 6% to 11% for persons with underlying conditions. Our approach could be adopted in other targeted vaccination campaigns for future pandemics.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vacinação , Adulto , Pessoal de Saúde , Programas de Imunização , Masculino , Feminino
16.
Cancer Sci ; 115(7): 2410-2416, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698561

RESUMO

Japan has a particularly critical situation surrounding its collapsed HPV vaccination program for preventing HPV-caused cervical cancers, a problem exacerbated by the lack of a national immunization database. We have determined the year-to-year HPV vaccination uptake by Japanese females and analyzed by birth fiscal year (FY) the monthly number of people receiving initial HPV vaccination. Our analysis covers the period from the start of public subsidies in 2010 to September 2023, using data provided by local governments. We calculated the cumulative number of monthly immunizations for those unimmunized as of April (the beginning of each vaccination year). The monthly number of initial HPV vaccinations was highest in August for every FY from FY 2010 to FY 2023; a second vaccination peak tended to occur in March when the vaccination year ended. The highest number of August vaccinations occurred in FY 2011, followed (in order) by 2012, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2013. In Japan's ongoing catch-up vaccination program for young women, the monthly number of vaccinations increased in August 2022 but then slowed the following year. After FY 2021, the cumulative vaccination coverage of subjects unvaccinated at the beginning of the vaccination year but subsequently covered by routine immunizations was slightly improved. FY 2021 was when the governmental recommendations for HPV vaccination were resumed. More recent vaccination rates are considerably lower than those in FY 2011-2012 when vaccinations were first fully endorsed. Paralyzing HPV vaccination hesitancy, which began in FY 2013, will linger in Japan in FY 2024.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Vacinação , Humanos , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Japão/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/virologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos
17.
Cancer Sci ; 115(3): 916-925, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38158850

RESUMO

In 2013, the national human papillomavirus (HPV) immunization program began. However, in June 2013, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) announced a "temporary" suspension of its recommendation for the human papillomavirus vaccine. Finally, in November 2021, the MHLW ended its suspension of the recommendation of the HPV vaccine. To address the 9-year gap in HPV vaccinations the suspension had caused, the MHLW conducted a program of catch-up vaccinations from April 2022 to March 2025. Finally, in April 2023, the 9-valent HPV vaccine was approved for both the routine and catch-up vaccination programs in Japan. In this study, we investigated the potential effects of the introduction of the 9-valent vaccine on the increased risk of cervical cancer in females born after fiscal year (FY) 2000. We estimated the lifetime relative risk of cervical cancer incidence and death using the improved routine and catch-up vaccination rates after the recent resumption of the governmental recommendation for women and girls to have the HPV vaccination. These relative risks were calculated using a lifetime risk of 1.000 for cervical cancer incidence and death for females born in FY 1993. We predicted that even if a 90% vaccination rate were to be achieved by FY 2024 with the 9-valent vaccine among women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, the risk would remain higher than for the vaccination generation. Therefore, for women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, it will be necessary to significantly improve the cervical cancer screening rate to compensate for this increased risk.


Assuntos
Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Feminino , Humanos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Japão/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/administração & dosagem , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/prevenção & controle , Programas de Imunização
18.
EMBO J ; 39(23): e107227, 2020 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33205839

RESUMO

A number of promising COVID-19 vaccine candidates may pass approval this month. However, the pandemic will only be brought into check through an equitable, epidemiologically informed distribution policy. The health emergency provides a unique opportunity for a new paradigm to mitigate between global health, national and commercial interests.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Indústria Farmacêutica/economia , Programas de Imunização/organização & administração , Vacinas contra COVID-19/economia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Países em Desenvolvimento , Europa (Continente) , Saúde Global/economia , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/economia , Japão , Estados Unidos , Organização Mundial da Saúde
19.
Thorax ; 79(9): 861-869, 2024 Aug 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38359926

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been part of publicly funded childhood immunisation programmes in Ontario and British Columbia (BC) since 2010. We assessed the indirect impact of infant PCV13 programmes on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and all-cause pneumonia hospitalisation in older adults (aged ≥65 years) using a retrospective observational study. METHODS: We extracted monthly IPD and all-cause pneumonia cases from laboratory and health administrative databases between January 2005 and December 2018. Using a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences design, we calculated the ratio of risk ratios (RRRs) using incidence rates of IPD or all-cause pneumonia cases before (pre-PCV13 period) and after (PCV13 period) 2010 with rates of fractures as controls. RESULTS: The rates of all IPD or PCV serotype-specific IPD for older adults in both Ontario and BC did not change in 8 years after childhood PCV13 programme implementation. All-cause pneumonia increased in Ontario (RRR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.71) but remained unchanged in BC. CONCLUSIONS: Indirect community protection of older adults from hospitalisation with pneumococcal disease stalled despite maturation of childhood PCV13 vaccination programmes in two Canadian provinces.


Assuntos
Hospitalização , Infecções Pneumocócicas , Vacinas Pneumocócicas , Humanos , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/administração & dosagem , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Masculino , Feminino , Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Infecções Pneumocócicas/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Imunização , Ontário/epidemiologia , Incidência , Colúmbia Britânica/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Pneumonia Pneumocócica/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia Pneumocócica/epidemiologia , Vacinas Conjugadas
20.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 453, 2024 Oct 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39394601

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Despite free immunisation services through the Universal Immunisation Programme (UIP), around 14% of Indian households seek immunisation in the private sector. We examined the potential impact of rotavirus vaccine (RVV) introduction in the Universal Immunisation Programme (UIP) on private-sector rotavirus vaccine utilisation. METHODS: We analysed nationally representative private-sector vaccine sales data. The intervention under consideration is RVV introduction in the UIP in selected Indian states. The outcome is the 'monthly RVV sales volume'-a proxy for vaccine utilisation. We performed a Poisson regression interrupted time series analysis to detect the pre-intervention trend, post-intervention level change and trend change relative to the pre-intervention for monthly rotavirus vaccine utilisation. RESULTS: Poisson segmented regression analysis showed that immediately after RVV introduction in the UIP private-sector RVV sales showed a decline in Rajasthan by 37.4% (Incidence Risk Ratio (IRR): 0.626; 95% CI: 0.504-0.779), in Tamil Nadu by 26% (IRR: 0.740; 95% CI: 0.513-1.068), in Uttar Pradesh-East by 72.2% (IRR: 0.278; 95% CI: 0.178-0.436) and in Kerala by 3% (IRR: 0.970; 95% CI: 0.651-1.447). Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu and Kerala had sustained reduction in the postintervention trend relative to the preintervention trend by 20.1% (IRR: 0.799; 95% CI: 0.763-0.836), 6.4% (IRR: 0.936; 95% CI: 0.906-0.967) and 3.3% (IRR: 0.967; 95% CI: 0.926-0.960) per month, respectively. However, in Haryana and UP-west, in the first-month post-UIP introduction, the private-sector RVV sales increased by 101% and 3.8%, respectively which was followed by a sustained decrease of 14.2% (IRR: 0.858; 95% CI: 0.688-1.070) and 5.8% (IRR: 0.942; 95% CI: 0.926-0.960) per month, respectively. In terms of long-term impact, the private sector RVV sales post-UIP introduction decreased at a monthly rate of 4.4% (IRR: 0.956, 95% CI: 0.939-0.974) in Rajasthan but increased by 5.5% (IRR: 1.055; 95% CI: 1.040-1.070) in UP-east, 0.3% (IRR: 1.003, 95% CI: 0.976-1.031)) in Kerala and 0.2% (IRR: 1.002, 95% CI: 0.993-1.011) in Tamil Nadu whereas Haryana and UP-west had a reduction in RVV utilisation by 2.8% (IRR: 0.972; 95% CI: 0.955-0.990) and 1% (IRR: 0.990; 95% CI: 0.982-0.998), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The study provides evidence that access to RVV through UIP leads to a reduction in private-sector RVV utilisation. We recommend strengthening UIP to expand the basket of new vaccines.


Assuntos
Programas de Imunização , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Setor Privado , Infecções por Rotavirus , Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Humanos , Índia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
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