Predictive factors of antiproliferative activity of octreotide LAR as first-line therapy for advanced neuroendocrine tumours.

BACKGROUND: The antiproliferative activity of octreotide LAR in neuroendocrine tumours (NETs) has been demonstrated by small retrospective studies and confirmed by a prospective phase III trial (PROMID). However, there are limited data about the duration and predictors of response. The aim of our retrospective study was to determine the time to radiological progression (TTRP) of disease and the factors that were associated with better response. METHODS: A total of 254 treatment naïve patients with advanced NETs and positive somatostatin receptor scintigraphy were included. Mean follow-up period was 42 months. RESULTS: The location of primary was in the small bowel in 204, pancreas in 22, lungs in 14, rectum in 7 and unknown in 7 patients. Most tumours were well-differentiated, G1 (58%) and G2 (23%). The majority of patients commenced octreotide LAR due to functional symptoms (57%), radiological progression (10%) or in the presence of asymptomatic and stable disease on the basis of data from the PROMID trial (18.5%). Partial response occurred in 5%. For all patients, the median TTRP was 37 months (95% confidence interval, CI: 32-52 months). There was a statistically significant shorter TTRP in patients with pancreatic tumours, liver metastases and intermediate grade tumours. Extremely raised (>10 times the upper limit of normal) baseline chromogranin A levels were associated with an unfavourable outcome. In contrast, male sex, carcinoid heart disease and initiation of treatment in the presence of stable disease were predictive of a better response. Age, extra-hepatic metastases, presence of mesenteric desmoplasia, previous resection and functional status of the primary tumour did not affect response. CONCLUSIONS: The duration of the antiproliferative effect of octreotide LAR seems to be longer than previously reported. This study has identified several predictors of response in a large cohort of patients with NETs on somatostatin analogue therapy.