How does patient-rated outcome change over time following the surgical treatment of degenerative disorders of the thoracolumbar spine?

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Patient-rated measures are considered the gold standard for assessing the outcome of spine surgery, but there is no consensus on the appropriate timing of follow-up. Journals often demand a minimum 2-year follow-up, but the indiscriminate application of this principle may not be warranted. We examined the course of change in patient outcomes up to 5 years after surgery for degenerative spinal disorders. METHODS: The data were evaluated from 4287 consecutive patients (2287 women, 2000 men; aged 62 ± 15 years) with degenerative disorders of the thoracolumbar spine, undergoing first-time surgery at the given level between 01/01/2005 and 31/12/2011. The Core Outcome Measures Index (COMI; scored 0-10) was completed by 4012 (94%) patients preoperatively, 4008 (93%) at 3-month follow-up, 3897 (91%) at 1-year follow-up, 3736 (87%) at 2-year follow-up, and 3387 (79%) at 5-year follow-up. 2959 (69%) completed the COMI at all five time-points. RESULTS: The individual COMI change scores from preoperatively to the various follow-up time-points showed significant correlations ranging from r = 0.50 (for change scores at the earliest vs the latest follow-up) to r = 0.75 (for change scores after 12- vs 24-month follow-up). Concordance with respect to whether the minimum clinically important change score was achieved at consecutive time-points was also good (70-82%). COMI decreased significantly (p < 0.05) from preop to 3 months (by 3.6 ± 2.8 points) and from 3 to 12 months (by 0.3 ± 2.4 points), then levelled off up to 5 years (0.04-0.05 point change; p > 0.05). The course of change up to 12 months differed slightly (p < 0.05) depending on pathology/whether fusion was carried out. For patients undergoing simple decompression, 3-month follow-up was sufficient; those undergoing fusion continued to show further slight but significant change up to 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: Stable group mean COMI scores were observed for all patients from 12 months postoperatively onwards. The early postoperative results appeared to herald the longer term outcome. As such, a 'wait and see policy' in patients with a poor initial outcome at 3 months is not advocated. The insistence on a 2-year follow-up could result in a failure to intervene early to achieve better long-term outcomes.