Derivation and validation of a simple score to predict the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment in ICU-acquired bloodstream infection and pneumonia: CarbaSCORE.

ABSTRACT

Background: The recommendations of learned societies mention risk factors for the presence of multidrug resistant bacteria in hospital-acquired infections, but they do not propose a scoring system to guide empiric antibiotic therapy. Our study was aimed at developing a simple score for predicting "the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment" in ICU-acquired bloodstream infection and pneumonia. Methods: Between December 2011 and January 2015, we conducted a retrospective study using a prospectively collected French database of nosocomial infections in the polyvalent intensive care unit of a French university hospital. All patients with ICU-acquired bloodstream infection or pneumonia were included in the study. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed to develop the CarbaSCORE, and this score was internally validated. Results: In total, 338 patients were analyzed, including 27 patients requiring carbapenem treatment. The CarbaSCORE was composed of four criteria "presence of bloodstream infection" (as opposed to pneumonia) scored 2 points, "chronic hemodialysis" scored 4 points, "travel abroad in the last 6 months" scored 5 points, and "MDR-colonization or prior use of a ß-lactam of class ≥ 3" scored 6 points. Internal validation by bootstrapping showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.81 [0.73-0.89]. Sensitivity was 96% at the 6-point threshold and specificity was 91% at the 9-point threshold. Conclusions: The CarbaSCORE is a simple and efficient score for predicting the presence of bacteria requiring carbapenem treatment. Further studies are needed to test this score before it can be used in practice.