Not all low grade dysplasia in Barrett's oesophagus is the same: using specific histological criteria in predicting progression to neoplasia.

Barrett's oesophagus with low grade dysplasia (LGD) is a risk factor for progression to high grade dysplasia (HGD) and oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC); however, only a subgroup of LGD will progress. We used a combination of specific histological criteria to identify patients with LGD who are more likely to progress to HGD or OAC. LGD slides from 38 patients within the progressor group (PG) and 17 patients from the non-progressor group (NPG) were obtained and reviewed by two expert GI pathologists, to be stratified by the same four specific histological variables identified by Ten Kate et al.: loss of surface maturation, mucin depletion, nuclear enlargement, and increase of mitosis. After review of LGD slides by two expert GI pathologists, 27 suitable patients were identified. Of these 27 patients there was a higher proportion of patients from the PG with all four specific criteria reported, compared to the NPG: 14 (78%) vs 3 (33%) p=0.0394. Patients with all four specific criteria were more likely to progress compared to those who had one or less specific criteria reported (OR 7, 95% CI 1.1848-41.3585, p=0.032). A combination of ≥2 or ≥3 specific histological criteria was not prognostic. Patients with a combination of all four specific histological criteria (loss of surface maturation, mucin depletion, nuclear enlargement, and increase of mitosis) were associated with greater progression from LGD to HGD or OAC in Barrett's oesophagus.