Predictive factors of survival in patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer who received neoadjuvant therapy.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop the prognostic score (PS) based on clinical factors to stratify the prognosis in borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy (NAT). METHODS: This retrospective study included 57 BRPC patients who received NAT between April 2012 and December 2017. A score was assigned to each prognostic factor available before and after NAT, according to their ß coefficients. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified the following six prognostic factors, and scores were assigned as follows being a familial PC patient (HR 4.98, p = 0.029), post-NAT CA19-9 ≥37 U/ml (HR 3.08, p = 0.020), reduction rate of CA19-9 <70% (HR 3.71, p = 0.008), pre-NAT neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥2.8 (HR 4.32, p = 0.003), and non-resection (HR 3.98, p = 0.009) were scored as 1; and post-NAT albumin-to-globulin ratio <1.33 (HR 8.31, p < 0.001) was scored as 2. The PS was calculated by summing the scores assigned to each prognostic factor. Patients were then classified into three risk groups (low- [0-1 points], moderate- [2-3 points], and high-risk [4-6 points] groups). Median overall survival in the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were not reached, 37.5 months, and 11.8 months, respectively, and there were significant differences in survival among the three groups (p < 0.01 in each group). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that the PS may be useful for predicting the prognosis of BRPC patients treated with NAT.