A Serum Biomarker Panel Can Accurately Identify Mucosal Ulcers in Patients With Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: The Endoscopic Healing Index (EHI) is a serum biomarker panel that can predict endoscopic inflammation in Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: Paired serum samples with endoscopies from adult patients participating in a prospective biobank (June 2014 to December 2018) were analyzed post hoc. Diagnostic performance for EHI was assessed against the individual parameters of the Simple Endoscopic Score for CD using previously identified cutoffs. Confounders for EHI performance were identified using logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 205 CD patients were included (50% male, median age 37 years). An EHI of 20 points was sensitive for ruling out any ulcers (85%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 77%-91%) and large (5-20 mm) or very large (>20 mm) ulcers (93%; 95% CI, 84%-97%). An EHI of 50 points was specific for ruling in any ulcers (86%; 95% CI, 76%-92%) and large or very large ulcers (87%; 95% CI, 79%-92%). After accounting for total extent of inflamed mucosa, strictures, and disease location, each 20-point increase in EHI was associated with a 1.7-fold increased probability for the presence of large or very large ulcers (adjusted odds ratio, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.6). CONCLUSIONS: The EHI was independently associated with ulcer size and accurately identified large or very large ulcers. A cutoff of 50 points can reliably rule in mucosal ulcers and allow for treatment adjustment. A cutoff of 20 points can reliably rule out mucosal ulcers and signal completion of treatment adjustment algorithms.