What are the prognostic implications and factors relating to exercise induced electrocardiographic ST segment changes in the setting of a non-ischemic stress echocardiogram?

BACKGROUND: Electrocardiographic (ECG) changes during stress testing are a common and perplexing finding during non-ischemic stress echocardiography (niSE). Research has provided conflicting results regarding the implications. METHODS: SE was performed after maximal Bruce protocol treadmill exercise. RESULTS: 3020 consecutive patients, mean age 58 ± 12 years, 36% female, were followed-up for up to 9 years (mean 36 ± 21 months) post niSE. Time to first cardiac event (composite of heart failure admission, worsening New York Heart Association class, worsening ejection fraction, acute coronary syndrome, revascularization, angina or cardiovascular death) was analysed and adjusted using Cox proportional hazards regression. Prognostic significance was found with 1.5 mm of downsloping or horizontal ST depression. Adjusting for baseline differences, increased risk of composite major adverse cardiac events was shown with at least 1.5 mm of exercise induced ST depression (Hazard ratio [HR] of 2.47, 95% Confidence ratio [CI] 1.67-3.72, p < 0.0001). Patients achieving high level exercise capacity (≥13 metabolic equivalents or METs) with ST depression lower risk of cardiac events during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Patients with ST segment depression but non-ischemic stress imaging have a poorer prognosis compared to patients with niSE with normal stress ECGs. ST depression of 1.5 mm or more was established as a prognostically significance value. High exercise capacity was associated with an improved prognosis, and ECG changes in that setting can be regarded as false positives. All niSE have low risk of a cardiac event in the very short term (<12 months). Overall, ST depression during non-ischaemic stress imaging is not a benign finding.