Space-time distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men, Brazil, 2010-2019. / Distribuição espaço-temporal da produção ambulatorial para incontinência urinária em homens, Brasil, 2010-2019.

ABSTRACT

OBJETIVE To estimate the temporal trend and spatial distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil. METHODS: This was an ecological time series study of Brazil and its regions, from 2010-2019, using data from the Brazilian National Health System Outpatient Information System. Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the temporal trend in Brazil as a whole and by region. The autoregressive integrated moving average model was used to forecast the trend until 2024. RESULTS: In 2010, 3,457 outpatient appointments for urinary incontinence in men were registered, rising to 16,765 in 2019, revealing a rising temporal trend [annual percentage change = 50.37%; 95% confidence interval (95%IC) 37.54;63.62]; and a forecast of growth for the period 2020-2024 (final ARIMA model 1, 1, 0). The spatial distribution of urinary incontinence rates varied between the country's macro-regions. CONCLUSION: There was a rising temporal trend in urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil between 2010-2019 with growth forecast until 2024. The highest rates occurred in the Southeast region and the highest increase was found in the Southern region.