Predicting endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation: A novel approach utilizing computed tomography texture analysis.

BACKGROUND: Islet cell autotransplantation is an effective method to prevent morbidity associated with type IIIc diabetes after total pancreatectomy. However, there is no valid method to predict long-term endocrine function. Our aim was to assess computed tomography texture analysis as a strategy to predict long-term endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation. METHODS: All patients undergoing total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation from 2007 to 2020 who had high-quality preoperative computed tomography imaging available for texture analysis were included. The primary outcome was optimal long-term endocrine function, defined as stable glycemic control with <10 units of insulin/day. RESULTS: Sixty-three patients met inclusion criteria. Median yield was 6,111 islet equivalent/kg body weight. At a median follow-up of 64.2 months, 12.7% (n = 8) of patients were insulin independent and 39.7% (n = 25) demonstrated optimal endocrine function. Neither total islet equivalent nor islet equivalent/kg body weight alone were associated with optimal endocrine function. To improve endocrine function prediction, computed tomography texture analysis parameters were analyzed, identifying an association between kurtosis (odds ratio, 2.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-4.80; P = .02) and optimal endocrine function. Sensitivity analysis discovered a cutoff for kurtosis = 0.60, with optimal endocrine function seen in 66.7% with kurtosis ≥0.60, compared with only 26.2% with kurtosis <0.60 (P < .01). On multivariate logistic regression including islet equivalent yield, only kurtosis ≥0.60 (odds ratio, 5.61; 95% confidence interval, 1.56-20.19; P = .01) and fewer small islet equivalent (odds ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.00; P = .02) were associated with optimal endocrine function, with the whole model demonstrating excellent prediction of long-term endocrine function (area under the curve, 0.775). CONCLUSION: Computed tomography texture analysis can provide qualitative data, that when used in combination with quantitative islet equivalent yield, can accurately predict long-term endocrine function after total pancreatectomy and islet cell autotransplantation.