HYPO-CHEAT's aggregated weekly visualisations of risk reduce real world hypoglycaemia.

ABSTRACT

Background: Children with congenital hyperinsulinism (CHI) are at constant risk of hypoglycaemia with the attendant risk of brain injury. Current hypoglycaemia prevention methods centre on the prediction of a continuous glucose variable using machine learning (ML) processing of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). This approach ignores repetitive and predictable behavioural factors and is dependent upon ongoing CGM. Thus, there has been very limited success in reducing real-world hypoglycaemia with a ML approach in any condition. Objectives: We describe the development of HYPO-CHEAT (HYpoglycaemia-Prevention-thrOugh-CGM-HEatmap-Technology), which is designed to overcome these limitations by describing weekly hypoglycaemia risk. We tested HYPO-CHEAT in a real-world setting to evaluate change in hypoglycaemia. Methods: HYPO-CHEAT aggregates individual CGM data to identify weekly hypoglycaemia patterns. These are visualised via a hypoglycaemia heatmap along with actionable interpretations and targets. The algorithm is iterative and reacts to anticipated changing patterns of hypoglycaemia. HYPO-CHEAT was compared with Dexcom Clarity's pattern identification and Facebook Prophet's forecasting algorithm using data from 10 children with CHI using CGM for 12 weeks. HYPO-CHEAT's efficacy was assessed via change in time below range (TBR). Results: HYPO-CHEAT identified hypoglycaemia patterns in all patients. Dexcom Clarity identified no patterns. Predictions from Facebook Prophet were inconsistent and difficult to interpret. Importantly, the patterns identified by HYPO-CHEAT matched the lived experience of all patients, generating new and actionable understanding of the cause of hypos. This facilitated patients to significantly reduce their time in hypoglycaemia from 7.1% to 5.4% even when real-time CGM data was removed. Conclusions: HYPO-CHEAT's personalised hypoglycaemia heatmaps reduced total and targeted TBR even when CGM was reblinded. HYPO-CHEAT offers a highly effective and immediately available personalised approach to prevent hypoglycaemia and empower patients to self-care.