Two-dimensional constrained chaos and industrial revolution cycles.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
; 120(5): e2117497120, 2023 Jan 31.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-36706220
ABSTRACT
Since the 1760s, at least three industrial revolutions have occurred. To explain this phenomenon, we introduce two-dimensional (2D) constrained chaos. Using a model of innovation dynamics, we show that an industrial-revolution-like technology burst, driven by investment/saving motives for R&D activities, recurs about every one hundred years if the monopolistic use of a new technology lasts about 8 y.
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MEDLINE
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Ano de publicação:
2023
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Article