CDKN2A mutations have equivalent prognostic significance to homozygous deletion in IDH-mutant astrocytoma.

Homozygous deletion of CDKN2A/B is currently considered a molecular signature for grade 4 in IDH-mutant astrocytomas, irrespective of tumor histomorphology. The 2021 WHO Classification of CNS Tumors does not currently include grading recommendations for histologically lower-grade (grade 2-3) IDH-mutant astrocytoma with CDKN2A mutation or other CDKN2A alterations, and little is currently known about the prognostic implications of these alternative CDKN2A inactivating mechanisms. To address this, we evaluated a cohort of institutional and publicly available IDH-mutant astrocytomas, 15 with pathogenic mutations in CDKN2A, 47 with homozygous CDKN2A deletion, and 401 with retained/wildtype CDKN2A. The IDH-mutant astrocytomas with mutant and deleted CDKN2A had significantly higher overall copy number variation compared to those with retained/wildtype CDKN2A, consistent with more aggressive behavior. Astrocytoma patients with CDKN2A mutation had significantly worse progression-free (p = 0.0025) and overall survival (p < 0.0001) compared to grade-matched patients with wildtype CDKN2A, but statistically equivalent progression-free survival and overall survival outcomes to patients with CDKN2A deletion. No significant survival difference was identified between CDKN2A mutant cases with or without loss of the second allele. These findings suggest that CDKN2A mutation has a detrimental effect on survival in otherwise lower-grade IDH-mutant astrocytomas, similar to homozygous CDKN2A deletion, and should be considered for future grading schemes.