Using Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Intra-Abdominal Abscess Risk Post-Appendectomy.
Ann Surg Open
; 3(2): e168, 2022 Jun.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-37601615
ABSTRACT
Objective:
To determine if artificial neural networks (ANN) could predict the risk of intra-abdominal abscess (IAA) development post-appendectomy.Background:
IAA formation occurs in 13.6% to 14.6% of appendicitis cases with "complicated" appendicitis as the most common cause of IAA. There remains inconsistency in describing the severity of appendicitis with variation in treatment with respect to perforated appendicitis.Methods:
Two "reproducible" ANN with different architectures were developed on demographic, clinical, and surgical information from a retrospective surgical dataset of 1574 patients less than 19 years old classified as either negative (n = 1,328) or positive (n = 246) for IAA post-appendectomy for appendicitis. Of 34 independent variables initially, 12 variables with the highest influence on the outcome selected for the final dataset for ANN model training and testing.Results:
A total of 1574 patients were used for training and test sets (80%/20% split). Model 1 achieved accuracy of 89.84%, sensitivity of 70%, and specificity of 93.61% on the test set. Model 2 achieved accuracy of 84.13%, sensitivity of 81.63%, and specificity of 84.6%.Conclusions:
ANN applied to selected variables can accurately predict patients who will have IAA post-appendectomy. Our reproducible and explainable ANNs potentially represent a state-of-the-art method for optimizing post-appendectomy care.
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Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Tipo de estudo:
Etiology_studies
/
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2022
Tipo de documento:
Article