Correlation between allostatic load index and cumulative mortality: a register-based study of Danish municipalities.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine population-based allostatic load (AL) indices as an indicator of community health across 14 municipalities in Denmark. DESIGN: Register-based study. SETTING: Data derived from the Lolland-Falster Health Study, the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Danish General Suburban Population Study. Nine biomarkers (systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate, total serum cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, waist-to-hip ratio, triglycerides, C-reactive protein and serum albumin) were divided into high-risk and low-risk values based on clinically accepted criteria, and the AL index was defined as the average between the nine values. All-cause mortality data were obtained from Statistics Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: We examined a total of 106 808 individuals aged 40-79 years. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Linear regression models were performed to investigate the association between mean AL index and cumulative mortality risk. RESULTS: Mean AL index was higher in men (range 2.3-3.3) than in women (range 1.7-2.6). We found AL index to be strongly correlated with the cumulative mortality rate, correlation coefficient of 0.82. A unit increase in mean AL index corresponded to an increase in the cumulative mortality rate of 19% (95% CI 13% to 25%) for men, and 16% (95% CI 8% to 23%) for women but this difference was not statistically significant. The overall mean increase in cumulative mortality rate for both men and women was 17% (95% CI 14% to 20%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate the population-based AL index to be a strong indicator of community health, and suggest identification of targets for reducing AL.