Estimating the Effect of Engagement in Community-Based Going-Out Program on Incidence Disability in Older Adults.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Although going out has been reported to be associated with the incidence of disability, few studies have investigated the effect of community-based programs to promote going out on the incidence of disability. This study aimed to estimate the effects of a program fostering going-out on the incidence of disability in community-dwelling older adults. DESIGN: Longitudinal, observational study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Nonengaged (n = 1086) and engaged older adults (n = 1086) enrolled in the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology Study of Geriatric Syndrome by using a one-to-one nearest neighbor propensity score-matching scheme. METHODS: After the baseline assessments, participants in the community-based going-out program received a specialized physical activity tracker, monitored their daily physical activity, and received personalized feedback on going out to community facilities with a system for reading the device for 12 months. Disability onset was defined as a new case of long-term care under the public insurance certification in Japan within 48 months of program completion. The absolute risk reduction and the number needed to treat for the incidence of disability were calculated for the nonengaged and engaged groups. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, using inverse probability weighting was used to obtain the hazard ratio. RESULTS: Disabilities occurred in 112 individuals in the matched nonengaged group and 51 individuals in the engaged group. The absolute risk reduction was 5.67% (95% CI 3.46%-7.88%). The number needed to treat was 18 (95% CI 13-29). The hazard ratio, with the nonengaged group as the reference, was 0.49 (95% CI 0.36-0.67). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS This longitudinal observational study suggested that a community-based program could prevent 1 disability in every 18 participants. This program does not require a professional instructor, only the distribution of devices and system installation, and it could be beneficial as a population-based approach to preventing disabilities.