Incubation Period and Serial Interval of Mpox in 2022 Global Outbreak Compared with Historical Estimates.
Emerg Infect Dis
; 30(6): 1173-1181, 2024 Jun.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38781950
ABSTRACT
Understanding changes in the transmission dynamics of mpox requires comparing recent estimates of key epidemiologic parameters with historical data. We derived historical estimates for the incubation period and serial interval for mpox and contrasted them with pooled estimates from the 2022 outbreak. Our findings show the pooled mean infection-to-onset incubation period was 8.1 days for the 2022 outbreak and 8.2 days historically, indicating the incubation periods remained relatively consistent over time, despite a shift in the major mode of transmission. However, we estimated the onset-to-onset serial interval at 8.7 days using 2022 data, compared with 14.2 days using historical data. Although the reason for this shortening of the serial interval is unclear, it may be because of increased public health interventions or a shift in the mode of transmission. Recognizing such temporal shifts is essential for informed response strategies, and public health measures remain crucial for controlling mpox and similar future outbreaks.
Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Surtos de Doenças
/
Mpox
/
Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas
Limite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article