Cyanobacterial blooms in Lake Taihu: Temporal trends and potential drivers.

ABSTRACT

Lake Taihu, an inland lake, frequently experiences Cyanobacterial blooms that have historically posed severe threats to its aquatic ecosystem. Combining field observations and satellite remote-sensed data, factors that influence algal bloom intensity in Lake Taihu over an eight-year period, from 2016 to 2023, are examined, and changes in phytoplankton community composition, climate, water quality, economic activities, and food web dynamics are reported. Sentinel-2 MSI data analysis reveals a dramatic decrease in Cyanobacterial blooms in 2023, with a reduction in the annual maximum bloom area of 76.90 % from 2016 values. From 2016 to 2022, the ratio of Cyanobacteria to other phytoplankton ranged 82.09 %-98.29 %, but in 2023, this dropped to 60.98 %. Concurrently, Cyanobacteria density dropped to an historic low of 2.29 × 107 cells/L (16.4 % of 2021 peak values). Redundancy and random forest analyses indicated that nitrogen has a greater influence on phytoplankton than phosphorus, with temperature and permanganate index being the important parameters to affect phytoplankton community structure. We attribute the decrease in Cyanobacterial blooms in Lake Taihu in 2023 to be largely caused by shifts in phytoplankton community structure, particularly the sharp decline in Microcystis sp. density, a genus often linked to bloom formation. Meteorological conditions such as reduced rainfall and wind speed during the winter and spring of 2023 also contributed to diminishing Cyanobacterial blooms. Ongoing improvements in water quality, reduced economic activities because of pandemic restrictions, and implementation of a fishing ban since 2020 have likely further contributed to reductions in bloom frequency. These results improve our understanding of the processes that affect algal blooms in Lake Taihu, and potentially other eutrophic inland lakes.