Divergent Trends in Postoperative Length of Stay and Postdischarge Complications over Time.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a push toward shorter length of stay (LOS) after surgery by hospitals, payers, and policymakers. However, the extent to which these changes have shifted the occurrence of complications to the postdischarge setting is unknown. The objectives of this study were to (1) evaluate changes in LOS and postdischarge complications over time and (2) assess factors associated with postdischarge complications. STUDY DESIGN: Patients who underwent surgery across five specialties (colorectal, esophageal, hepatopancreatobiliary [HPB], gynecology, and urology) were identified from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) procedure-targeted database (2014-2019). Trends in the proportion of postdischarge complications within 30 days of surgery and predictors of postdischarge complications were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 538,172 patients evaluated, median LOS decreased from 3 (2014) to 2 days (2019) (p < 0.001). Overall, 12.2% of patients experienced a 30-day complication, with 50.4% occurring postdischarge. with the highest in hysterectomy (80.9%), prostatectomy (74.6%), and cystectomy (54.6%). The overall postoperative complication decreased, but the proportion of postdischarge complications increased from 44.6% (2014) to 56.4% (2019) (p < 0.001), including surgical site infection (superficial/deep/organ space/wound dehiscence), other infection (pneumonia/urinary tract infection/sepsis), cardiovascular (myocardial infarction/cardiac arrest/stroke), and venous thromboembolism. Factors associated with an increased odds of postdischarge complications included Hispanic or other race, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists class, dependent functional status, increased body mass index, higher wound class, inpatient complication, longer operation, and procedure type (HPB/colorectal/hysterectomy/esophagectomy, vs. prostatectomy) (all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This comprehensive retrospective analysis across five representative surgical specialties highlighted that although LOS has decreased over time, the proportion of postdischarge complications has increased over time. Focusing on the development of a comprehensive, proactive, postdischarge monitoring system to better identify and manage postdischarge complications is necessary.