Prediction of tumor regression grade in far-advanced gastric cancer after preoperative immuno-chemotherapy using dual-energy CT-derived extracellular volume fraction.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study examines the effectiveness of dual-energy CT (DECT) delayed-phase extracellular volume (ECV) fraction in predicting tumor regression grade (TRG) in far-advanced gastric cancer (FAGC) patients receiving preoperative immuno-chemotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on far-advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients treated with preoperative immuno-chemotherapy at our institution from August 2019 to March 2023. Patients were categorized based on their TRG into pathological complete response (pCR) and non-pCR groups. ECV was determined using the delayed-phase iodine maps. In addition, tumor iodine densities and standardized iodine ratios were meticulously analyzed using the triple-phase enhanced iodine maps. Univariate analysis with five-fold cross-validation and Spearman correlation determined DECT parameters and clinical indicators association with pCR. The predictive accuracy of these parameters for pCR was evaluated using a weighted logistic regression model with five-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: Of the 88 patients enrolled (mean age 60.8 ± 11.1 years, 63 males), 21 (23.9%) achieved pCR. Univariate analysis indicated ECV's significant role in differentiating between pCR and non-pCR groups (average p value = 0.021). In the logistic regression model, ECV independently predicted pCR with an average odds ratio of 0.911 (95% confidence interval, 0.798-0.994). The model, incorporating ECV, tumor area, and IDAV (the relative change rate of iodine density from venous phase to arterial phase), showed an average area under curves (AUCs) of 0.780 (0.770-0.791) and 0.766 (0.731-0.800) for the training and validation sets, respectively, in predicting pCR. CONCLUSION: DECT-derived ECV fraction is a valuable predictor of TRG in FAGC patients undergoing preoperative immuno-chemotherapy. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT This study demonstrates that DECT-derived extracellular volume fraction is a reliable predictor for pathological complete response in far-advanced gastric cancer patients receiving preoperative immuno-chemotherapy, offering a noninvasive tool for identifying potential treatment beneficiaries.