Risk factors and prognosis of aspiration pneumonia in the elderly / 中华老年医学杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective:To analyze the disease characteristics of aspiration pneumonia and its risk factors.Methods:In this retrospective case-control study, analysis was conducted on data from 92 patients aged ≥ 60 years admitted to Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University between June 1, 2018 and July 31, 2022, with aspiration pneumonia(AsP) as the primary diagnosis at the time of hospital discharge and from non-AsP patients admitted during the same period.The number of participants was matched at a 1∶1 ratio.Results:The average age of the AsP group was(80.88 ± 9.41) years and 57(62.0%) were men.The average age of the control group was(77.74 ± 10.98) years and 52(56.5%) were men.There was no statistically significant difference in age and sex ratio(age: t=1.973, P=0.060; sex ratio: χ2=0.661, P=0.416).Univariate analysis showed that, at admission, body mass index(BMI) and activities of daily living(ADL) scores of the AsP group were lower than those of the non-AsP group, the proportions of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease, acute trauma, cerebrovascular disease, history of cerebral infarction/hemorrhage and sequelae of cerebrovascular disease were higher than those of the non-AsP group(all P<0.05), and the proportions of patients receiving feeding via indwelling nasogastric intubation and tracheal intubation were also higher in the AsP group(all P<0.05).The white blood cell count, the percentage of neutrophils and the procalcitonin level in the first round of tests were higher in the AsP group than those in the non-AsP group and the maximum values of the above parameters during hospitalization were also higher than those in non-AsP patients, while the levels of albumin and prealbumin were lower than those in the non-AsP group( P<0.05 for all).Chest CT showed that 83.7%(77/92) of patients with AsP had bilateral pneumonia, higher than 55.4%(51/92) in the non-AsP group( χ2=8.569, P=0.014).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that male sex( OR=16.206, 95% CI: 1.268-207.191, P=0.032) was a risk factor for AsP, and BMI( OR=0.747, 95% CI: 0.582-0.959, P=0.022) and ADL score at admission( OR=0.945, 95% CI: 0.903-0.988, P=0.014) were protective factors against AsP.ADL score at admission( OR=0.951, 95% CI: 0.907-0.982, P=0.043), tumor history( OR=6.859, 95% CI: 1.484-31.700, P=0.014), history of cerebral infarction/intracerebral hemorrhage( OR=4.368, 95% CI: 1.087-17.511, P=0.038), history of chronic renal insufficiency( OR=5.820, 95% CI: 1.445-23.440, P=0.013), acute respiratory failure( OR=5.281, 95% CI: 1.237-22.545, P=0.013) and myocardial infarction( OR=9.466, 95% CI: 2.151-41.660, P=0.003) were independent factors affecting the prognosis of pneumonia in the elderly. Conclusions:Aspiration pneumonia in the elderly is more common in men and in individuals with low BMI and low ADL scores.There is no increased risk of mortality in people with AsP, compared with people without AsP, but some risk factors in AsP patients may lead to poor prognosis, calling for increased awareness and early intervention in clinical practice.