Survival Estimates after Stopping Sorafenib in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: NEXT Score Development and Validation
Gut and Liver
; : 693-701, 2017.
Article
em En
| WPRIM
| ID: wpr-175160
Biblioteca responsável:
WPRO
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Limited information is available regarding patient survival after sorafenib discontinuation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Thus, we developed and validated a novel survival prediction model. METHODS: Clinical data from 409 patients with HCC who stopped taking sorafenib between September 2008 and February 2015 were reviewed. RESULTS: In the training cohort, four factors were independent negative predictors of survival (p400 ng/mL. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values to predict 1-, 3-, and 6-month survival rates were 0.805, 0.809, and 0.774, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.783, 0.728, and 0.673, respectively, in the validation cohort (n=137). When the training and validation cohorts were stratified into three risk groups (NEXT score 0 [low-risk] vs 1 to 2 [intermediate-risk] vs 3 to 4 [high-risk]), survival differed significantly between the groups (p<0.05, log-rank test). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HCC, survival after stopping sorafenib is poor. However, risk estimates based on a new “NEXT score” may help predict survival and prognosis even in patients who discontinue sorafenib treatment.
Palavras-chave
Texto completo:
1
Base de dados:
WPRIM
Assunto principal:
Prognóstico
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Sódio
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Taxa de Sobrevida
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Curva ROC
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Estudos de Coortes
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular
Tipo de estudo:
Etiology_studies
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Incidence_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Limite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Ano de publicação:
2017
Tipo de documento:
Article